Making Predictions about the Future in English

it’s rolling hi everybody and welcome

back to our weekly

live stream my name is alicia and today

we are going to talk about

how to make guesses and predictions how

to make guesses and predictions

i’m going to cover some basic grammar in

today’s lesson

including will and going to and then i’m

also going to talk about

uh some vocabulary words some more

intermediate to advanced level

vocabulary words specifically verbs

you can use to talk about the future so

uh we will begin today’s lesson in just

a couple minutes we’ll give everybody

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i will take that away okay so as i said

now everybody’s here

everything is good i am going to show

you

today’s lesson flow today’s lesson flow

is this uh this is our uh

flow for today first i’m going to talk

about how to use

will and won’t so we will review

some basic grammar today i’ll talk about

pronunciation

then we’re going to we’re going to talk

about how to use

going to and again

we’ll cover some pronunciation a little

bit here finally today i’m going to talk

about some key vocabulary words you can

use

to make guesses and predictions so again

today’s topic is guesses like how to

talk about

the future how to make a guess about the

future

so uh when i talk about will and going

yes you can talk about using will and

going to for your

upcoming plans but for today’s lesson

we’re going to focus on making guesses

making guesses also just to start

today’s lesson what is the difference

between a guess

and a prediction a guess is something

is an opinion that we make uh without

any real information we’re just we just

come up with an idea we come up with an

opinion we didn’t research maybe

but we just want to throw an opinion out

a prediction

is usually a bit larger we use

information

uh to make our opinion we use data or

research

to make a prediction so we will talk

more about this

later but let’s get into today’s lesson

also if you have not not everybody is

here if you have not

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lesson so other learners can find it

online okay let’s begin am i sure i am

live yes i’m sure

okay i’m seeing your message okay let’s

get into today’s lesson then let’s begin

with how to use will and won’t again to

make

guesses and predictions i’m not going to

cover this for like future plans today

first a review a quick very very quick

review

to make uh a statement

with will or won’t we just use subject

plus will or subject plus won’t today

i’m going to use

won’t remember won’t means will

not will not it’s the reduced form

subject will or subject won’t

infinitive verb so infinitive verb means

the basic

verb form the kind that you see in the

dictionary

for example the weather

will be hot tomorrow at native speed

this sounds like the weather will be hot

tomorrow

the weather will be hot tomorrow so my

subject is the weather

we commonly say it when we are talking

about

the weather too the weather will here’s

my will

and my infinitive verb be the weather

will be

hot tomorrow so use a bee

pattern to describe a condition like

this will be

hot so sometimes i hear people forget

this

bee the weather will be hot tomorrow

okay

another example a negative he won’t get

to the meeting on time he won’t

get so get means arrive this is a casual

way

to say arrive he won’t get to the

meeting on time

so again this is a guess subject

he here won’t so will not

and get infinitive verb he won’t get to

the meeting on time

so i’m making a guess about someone else

with this expression you won’t get to

the meeting

okay so quick review

these as well as i’ll cover a little bit

later

we use will when we make guesses and

predictions

generally for guesses we make in the

conversation so it’s like a quick guess

about a kind of small situation an

everyday situation

maybe we don’t have a lot of information

or it’s just a little bit of information

like here

the weather will be hot tomorrow so it’s

like we maybe we heard quickly on the

news so it’s like

it’s like a small a small everyday life

kind of thing here at this point is one

that i hope

many of you can use i’m going to talk

about

probably probably i’m going to talk

about this with will

and with going to later

to give more uh

like to increase the level of emphasis

of your prediction you can use probably

with will and probably with

won’t so an important point

with probably with will and won’t

is to note the position so when i say

note the position

i mean be careful of the place

in the sentence where you use probably

so let’s compare let’s look at two

examples with probably first one

we’ll probably arrive late

we’ll probably arrive late here i have

reduced

we subject will to wheel

wheel this is very common try to reduce

we’ll probably arrive late so probably

comes after this

we will yeah in the positive form

however look at this sentence she

probably

won’t or won’t in this sentence so we

don’t say

she won’t probably come to work we don’t

say that

probably comes before and at native

speed

probably probably

is pronounced prolly kind of so to say

these sentences at my regular

pace my normal pace will probably arrive

late

she’ll pro oh sorry she probably won’t

come to work

she probably won’t come to work so this

probably is really hard to say in fast

speech

it sounds like probably probably and you

might hear some people say

prolly as well i guess i say prob

probably the most so don’t worry

like this it’s hard to say this probably

it’s hard to say it very very quickly uh

and naturally

uh so it’s very common to hear

probably probably for this so again

we use this for emphasis this is correct

we will arrive late is correct and

she won’t come to work is correct but

when we use probably we

introduce uh we give the sentence a

little

more nuance there’s more nuance there so

that means

there’s a good chance she will arrive

late

and there’s a good chance she won’t come

to work

so use probably to do this

okay if you have questions please send

them in the chat also

for those of you who want to get started

here is your comment question for this

sentence or for this section what do you

think you’ll do this weekend

i’ll probably so please practice okay

uh so i want to

finish this part with a a another

pronunciation point

i mentioned we use um we uh

we use will and won’t for in the moment

guesses yeah uh so

i think let’s see i’ve talked about

using will and going to

uh for uh future plans

in other lessons before and i’ve covered

this pronunciation point before this is

true

for making guesses and predictions and

for your future plans so

keep this pronunciation point in mind

for all

of your uses of will i’ll probably

go this is my example here one very

common uh pronunciation mistake

i hear from learners and i hope that

you can remember this one today is this

part when you reduce i will

to i’ll or she will to she’ll and so on

you forget this o sound i hear many

learners say

i probably go i know this

is i think because many native speakers

when we speak quickly

this ol sound is hard to catch

yeah but we still say it so when i say

this sentence it’s

i’ll probably go i’ll probably go so the

sound of the eye i’ll probably go is

really really

easy to hear yeah don’t forget this

i’ll so i’ll probably go i’ll probably

okay so this is part one so

send a comment to practice this what do

you think

i’ve made a question with this what do

you think you’ll do

this weekend what do you think you’ll do

this weekend i’ll probably

blah blah blah so what do i think i’ll

do this weekend i’ll probably

uh read this book i’ve been

inhaling i’ve been reading a lot

recently so i’ll probably read a book

i’ll probably read a book and clean my

house

very exciting very exciting some of your

examples are coming in

uh sumit says i will probably waste my

time this weekend oh no

um jermaine says i probably won’t show

up to the baby shower on time

that’s very specific okay uh conwell

hey says you’ll probably lost her up be

careful when you use this form

infinitive verb so you don’t need to use

past participle you don’t need to use

uh something else basic verb form to do

this

febrian says i will pass my english exam

with flying colors fantastic

fantastic uh annie says i’ll probably

ride my bike read some books and play

cards excellent someone says i’ll

probably buy a phone i’ll probably

stay home good job nice ones silva says

i’ll probably watch this lesson again

awesome great job youtube uh on facebook

i’m coming for you facebook

uh i’ll probably go shopping i’ll

probably go

shopping for groceries this weekend says

jomari nice i’ll probably go

shopping uh faith says i’ll probably

join an online class oh very nice that

sounds good

uh dimas talking about next year i’ll

probably travel to italy next year ooh

sounds good sounds good excellent

very nice examples with probably good

job

very very nice excellent that’s great i

am so happy to see

all of your awesome examples okay you

guys rocked part one so

let’s take a break and then we’ll go to

part two which i’m sure you will also

rock

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uh with that let’s continue along to

part two for today’s lesson

if you are just joining us live today’s

topic i will show you again

today’s topic is how to make guesses and

predictions

guesses and predictions uh so we are

covering how to use

will and going to today of course

uh and we are also talking about uh some

vocabulary we’re also going to talk

about some vocabulary so

i’m going to show you oops sorry i’m

going to show you

today’s lesson boards again this

is our lesson flow i just talked about

using will

and won’t now i’m going to talk about

using

going to to make guesses and predictions

so uh this one i think again lots of

review

uh for many of you but we’ll focus on

how to use this to make a

guess uh and we’ll talk about the

distant future

okay so let’s go to part number two

part number two for today also if you

have not please make sure to like this

video

thumbs up it and share the video so

other people can find

today’s lesson alrighty then let’s go to

part

two part two

okay going to going to so again

in this part i’m going to focus i’m

going to focus

on using going to to make guesses

and predictions guesses and predictions

uh so i’m not going to talk about going

for future plans we’re making guesses

with this grammar today

alrighty so let’s review very quickly

how do we make a statement

with going to we use our subject

plus m or is or r we need our b

verb here yeah so like i am or he

is or we are we need our beaver

and then we have our going to going to

not going to and infinitive

verb when we use going to

we usually in speech reduce we reduce it

we make it

short we make it gonna gonna

or negative not gonna not gonna

uh don’t use when you when you write

don’t spell

this in like polite or professional

uh like emails that kind of thing

this is a casual word in text messages

with your friends

cool with your family cool that’s fine

but uh this word is

generally it’s kind of a casual word so

let’s practice uh just to review

a couple of predictions a couple guesses

with this first one

it’s gonna be hot tomorrow it’s gonna be

hot tomorrow

so it is the weather right it

is it is gonna be going to be

hot tomorrow it’s gonna be hot tomorrow

and a negative we’re not

going to get to the airport on time

so here we are not going to

get to the airport on time

so this is a guess or a prediction

so at native speed these sound like

it’s going to be hot tomorrow and we’re

not going to get to the airport on time

we’re not going to get to the airport on

time so what is happening here why

why did i use going to for these why

didn’t i use will didn’t you use a

weather example alicia

in the first part yes i did so the first

example sentence in both of these

is about weather yeah it’s gonna be hot

tomorrow and the weather will be hot

tomorrow

both of these are correct what’s the

difference

largely there’s not really a difference

but

a good guide to follow is that going to

tends to sound like you’re more sure

about something just like when you talk

about your future plans with will

and going to going to it sounds like you

have some information or you have more

confidence about your guests so this

go it’s going to be hot tomorrow sounds

there’s more confidence in that guess

than will so will sounds a little bit

lower than going to

it’s going to be hot tomorrow i sound

very sure of that idea

so that’s the difference again with

going to we can use

probably for emphasis

with this one with this use of probably

we don’t have to worry about the

position

of probably it’s just before going to or

not going to so you don’t need to worry

about the position of

probably in negatives and positives

some examples he’s probably going to

arrive

soon he’s probably going to arrive soon

and

we’re probably not going to have enough

money

so at native speed this sounds like he’s

probably going to arrive soon

and we’re probably not going to have

enough money

so you can hear those sounds get reduced

once more

he’s probably going to arrive soon and

we’re probably not going to have enough

money so probably again

sounds like probably and this not going

have becomes like not going to have not

going to have

he’s probably going to arrive soon and

we’re probably not going to have

so again we use probably to put more uh

nuance in this sentence so he’s going to

arrive

soon is correct it’s a strong prediction

he’s going to arrive soon

and we’re not going to have enough money

that’s very

sure but using probably means

high chance of that there’s a high

chance of this

so uh as i said use uh

going to and not going to for like

strong in the moment guesses when i say

strong i mean

confident you feel very strongly you

have a good

um a good level of confidence about your

guess

okay let’s go to i don’t see

other questions yet so let’s go to this

point

i want to talk about uh distant

future predictions quickly distant

future predictions this means things

far far far in the future so maybe next

year

or in a hundred years or in a thousand

years

if we want to imagine the distant future

how do we do that should we use will

should we use going to

both so we use both going to

and will when we talk about the distant

future

here’s a quick guide a very quick guy

this is

not a rule but just to help you choose

going to is commonly used with like data

information based predictions again

because we have like a higher level of

confidence with going to so for example

many countries are going to experience

weather changes in the future mother

country

many countries are going to experience

weather changes in the future

so this is like there’s science there’s

data there’s information

i use going to will on the other hand

is like a basic guess or it’s like

we just we have a an interesting idea

and we just want to share it

so there’s not really like science or

research or anything

sometimes like this one we’ll have

flying cars

so it’s like what’s like what is the

science is there science is there data

that’s a good example of a

will prediction about the distant future

so again this is just a guide it’s not a

rule

but generally as with uh basic uses

of will and going to to express future

plans

it’s good to use going to for those

predictions you are confident

about because you have information

and will for just kind of the quick

in the moment ideas again not a rule but

a good guy

okay wow

that was quick so uh i don’t

see any questions

so i’ll continue we have to go because i

have a lot of vocabulary i want to

finish with today

uh so if you have questions or an

example sentence please send it in the

chat

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uh maria says could you talk about

probably with going

to yes i did really quickly uh

talk about probably with going to so we

use it the same as with will

and with won’t uh and the position

and we don’t have to worry about it it

just goes in front of

going to so we use it for emphasis to

mean a good chance of

something for those of you asking about

part two again

this video is being recorded you can

check it

after the lesson finishes alrighty let’s

go to part

three because time is running out

uh someone is flooding the chat uh on

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give everyone a chance to write i don’t

know what lemma

is okay let’s go to part three oh i

forgot to show you if you missed it if

you wanted to take a picture if you

if you’re confused what are we doing uh

this is today’s lesson flow

i talked about this in part one this was

part two

so we’ll going to finally we’re going to

talk about some vocabulary words some

vocabulary words over here

so i want to finish with this

list so for more for our um

maybe intermediate to advanced learners

i wanted to include some

additional vocabulary you can use

because many of these words

are being used in the news today so i

wanted

you to be able to understand them so

first

i want to point out all of these are

verbs

i’ve included them as verbs however

there are noun

forms of these words too yes i’m going

to cover

just the verb uses today uh and then you

can use your brain

to use uh the noun forms as well first i

want to talk about these two

in today’s lesson i kept saying yes

predict guess predict

to make guesses to make predictions so