MEGATRENDS 2020
[Music]
[Applause]
foreign
ambassador
and what my bio data didn’t tell you
that in 1972 i tried
to act in two bollywood films
both were super flops so if you give me
the next
10 minutes 15 minutes of your time
we’ll take a look at where our planet is
going
in the next 10 years
so we are going to take a look at what
our work
thank you very much now very quickly
ladies and gentlemen take a look at this
quiz and answer my questions how many
people in the world have visually 20 50
or 90 percent
quickly quickly quickly including the
poor countries
but uh all right how many children have
been vaccinated against disease 20 50 or
90 percent
very good how many children born after
2011 will reach their 100th birthday
215 or 33 right and worldwide
someone who is a male who’s 30 years
like me
would have would have done 10 years in
school and a woman whose 30 years would
have done three six or nine quickly
all right we did this quiz in devos we
had 15 questions 22 000 of the world’s
biggest leaders
their success rate was 7 we gave this on
a random basis to chimpanzees in the zoo
there
their success rate was 33 percent yours
is about 5
correct answer is 90 percent people have
electricity 90
have been vaccinated children 33 percent
of one after 2011 will reach their 100th
birthday
and a woman would have spent nine years
in school you gave wrong answers because
your information is based on what you
read see and here
beta ham sub those genes or they are
negative and positive
we have killed the positive genes we
only believe in our negative genes if a
newspaper says ambassador deepak porter
is a very nice guy
you’ll say snake who’s the ogi if a
newspaper
we are prepared to believe the worst the
world is much better than you can
imagine
all right here we are now let’s go to
the next slide here’s a very quick look
the first mega trend is demographics are
shifting
the window of opportunity comes when a
country
for people who are between 15 and 64
when you produce more than you consume
the median age in india half the
population below half the population
above
the median age in india today is 28
years half of india is less than 28
years like you kids and like me
and half is more than 28 like ma’am
sitting over here
in russia the median age is 40 the
window of opportunity has closed in
japan it is 47.
they’ve forgotten how to make babies we
can teach them we have the technology
we may not be a productive society we’re
a reproductive society
western europe is 44 one out of four
europeans is above 60. one out of three
japanese is 61 out of 12 indians is
above 60.
do you see the window of opportunity
when you can produce
much more than you consume so the first
thing we are seeing better
is the youthification of india we are
already the youngest country in the
world
two-thirds of my population 100 crore
one billion
are in the productive age group
some of you are familiar with the
mahabharata the four pander brothers
fall dead they refuse to answer the
question of the yaksh
and then yudhisthira dharmaputra is
asked what is man’s most
valuable possession he says education
thank you very much for the schools
that you are running man so 10 000 years
ago
we were talking of education when these
guys from the west were running around
in jungles without clothes
that’s what india was 50 000
universities and colleges how many
50 000 today 50 000 from 500 in 1950 we
have 1.5 million schools
and ma’am we have 320 million students
320 million 50.2 percent
are our daughters 50.2 percent are our
daughters
first time in human history that we have
so many people
hungry for education best time to be an
educated young person in india you can
scream and shout and complain all you
want the numbers speak for themselves
[Music]
so who adopts new technologies more
easily young people are old people
and then as the new technologies
coincide with the youngest educated
population in the world
conrock
he’s not born who can stop us because
this is a historical trend
no one can change this here’s a lovely
book
you see the title this book has been
written by an american
diplomat it’s called india our time has
come
how india is making its place in the
world by the way this book is a
bestseller
in pakistan
barack obama comes to india thrice twice
as president and once when he was no
longer prayer why does he come
he goes back and tells americans i’ve
seen billions of kids in india in
bengaluru
working to out-educate and out-compete
you he doesn’t come three times because
he has a girlfriend here
he comes because he wants to see the
revolution taking place in india
economic power shifting
we are already the world’s third largest
economy as you know
new world wealth report 2019 says
india’s
private wealth ma’am that’s the money
that you have hidden in your locker
india’s private wealth is 8.2 trillion
dollars
trillion has 12 zeros how many 12 zeros
and according to the same report
in eight years not my figures ma’am
these are international figures u.n
figures
in eight years the average indian will
have twice as much
private wealth as the average british
citizen or the average german
so now twice as much in india
where are we spending our money this is
last year
number one item looking better wearing
clothes like me and going to
ma’am you can and going to beauty palace
650 000 school villages and towns in
india
and 15 million beauty parlors
amazing how how much we spend then of
course on
eating better we all i’m sure there’s a
mcdonald’s over here in jaipur isn’t
that
that’s not eating better that’s eating
rubbish but there’s also a zomato
tomatoes wiki piggy
dominoes everybody’s there we are
spending money traveling better
communicating better
1.6 billion mobile connections for 1.3
billion people
and out of this 1.6 billion
does anybody here like me have a dumb
phone
everybody has a smartphone this is the
challenge that is taking place the
change
goldman sachs says that india’s success
story
will be shaped by the 450 million
gen next not millennials gen next born
after 1995
who are now coming of age it’ll be the
most compelling story in the world
ever i haven’t written this goldman
sachses
then of course we have these
life-changing technologies climate
change
engineered intelligence the result of
these changes ma’am
that 15 percent of the world’s
population
for 200 years they determined the
destiny of the other 85 percent
what is happening to them when these
changes take place number one disease in
the developed world depression
britain even has a ministry of
loneliness they have a minister for
loneliness
who’s 600 years old a very lonely child
himself but they have him
finally the deloitte survey of
millennial attitudes ma’am is called
deloitte does an annual survey of
millennial attitudes 2019
16 000 kids millennials post millennials
gen zed interviewed in 42 countries
the result from the bottom in terms of
optimism all the developed countries
sweden norway finland france germany all
at the bottom united states
do you know the country number one out
of 42 for optimism
your country india
and these kids were asked what’s your
top priority you kids were asked
a job a house a good wife a good life
partner
they said none of the above our first
priority is to give back to india
what india has given to us
look at what is happening to us
fourth most powerful military in the
world united states number one russia
number two china number three india
number four
our self-confidence ma’am here it is
2015 yoga resolution do you do yoga
i’m sitting in the u.n listening to
people discussing whether we should have
an international day of yoga
one european ambassador says my country
supports this resolution
because india is the spiritual mother of
all mankind
listen to that 177 out of 193 members
co-sponsor the resolution the largest in
the history of the united
nations we don’t need to vote
july 2015 india is the only country
allowed to take people out of yemen
yemen is stuck in civil war
the chinese the british the russians the
americans they all told no
only the indian military will come in we
go out we go in there 20
000 people we bring out from 40
countries six months later i’m in paris
the immigration officer at charles de
gaulle airport looks at me
i’ve studied at the sorbonne says
ambassador of india i said yes he said
you brought so many hundred frenchmen
out of yemen i said buddy if we made a
mistake we’ll take them back
he said no sir i just want to say
something to you thank you
inda thank you india
1969 kids i want to tell you there was
the founding of the international
um the organization of international of
islamic cooperation oic
1969 in morocco we were invited to the
founding conference
but on the morning of the conference we
were told to go home the pakistanis
protested vehemently we were not allowed
we were humiliated
we came back 50 years later at the 50th
anniversary
of the oic founding they invite a chief
guest
a country called india they call us now
because they recognize our strength they
know who we are
no foreign aid tsunami 2004
we didn’t do this and ask for help
kashmir earthquake kedarnal floods
kerala floods last year
cyclone value bengal floods nobody we
want no one
india will do it itself our growing
self-confidence
no one my dear children is above the law
two former chief ministers in jail so
many god men in jail one actor
who killed a sacred animal of the vishnu
community
take my word he will serve time in jail
this country is nobody’s
let me show you something sikkim was
devastated by an earthquake in 2011
300 landslides the road was blocked from
siliguri to gangtok
we asked international companies the
austrians are very good in this we said
how long will it take to open the road
they said six weeks prime minister said
we can’t wait six weeks
we asked the border roads part of the
indian army can you do it take a look
they said we’ll call you back ma’am i
know i was making a film there for dude
19 hours later we get a call the road is
open
19 hours as against six weeks
now what let’s get this picture do you
see this boy can you see him drilling
how he’s perched on a little stone this
is an indian boy working to reopen the
road we lost
nine kids from border roads i went to
one home
i met the woman and i said ma’am i’m
very sorry i’ve come to your house
bringing your child’s body or when your
child is dead
can i do anything for you apart from the
compensation government will give you
sikkim government border roads
i said ma’am i’ll get him a job in one
of the private companies i have lots of
friends i’m special adviser i’ll be able
to help
she turns around and says ebola private
sector
beta
how can anybody fight with a country
where mothers
are ready to sacrifice their children
just one humiliation beta in 1965
we fought a war with pakistan the rains
failed you don’t know what hunger is i
do
mrs gandhi went to beg for wheat from
the united states
american newspaper prominent newspaper
wrote new indian leader comes
begging that was our humiliation she
came back and she said never again will
be begged for food
this country 66 we did not eat on
mondays
one whole year i have slept hungry our
hands were like this begging
this country in 2020 the largest
producer of wheat and rice in the world
your country india do you see the
changes that are coming
we are lifting one indian out of basic
poverty every second
under swachh bharath we built one toilet
for the first time in human history
every two seconds
under pradhan mantri jandanyojna we open
two bank accounts
every second 15 minutes every 15 minutes
we are building one kilometer of highway
and do you know in september last year
what happened a major milestone that
people will talk about 20 years from now
poor and starving india gives a soft
loan of 1 billion dollars to russia
to develop siberia your country your
country
curse and abuse as much as you want 2014
we made a pledge at the international
solar alliance that within
2015 that within seven years 2022 we’d
produce 20 gigawatts of solar
energy gigawatt has a billion watts we
made this pledge in 2015 we’ll do it in
seven years people laughed that you
can’t do it
we did it in three years four years
ahead of schedule
when we set our minds to do something
you are young indians have faith and
confidence
in yourselves to be born indian is a
lottery of birth
somebody once asked a fakie how do i
change the world the fakie replied begin
with yourself
be the change you want to see that
fakie’s name was mohandas karamchand
gandhi
already someone has quoted me which i
love to say we’re not
indians because we are born or live in
india we are indians beta
because india lives here in our hearts
final thing at the height of the cargill
conflict ma’am 1999
i have a member of my family who sleeps
there
died for india at the height of the
cargill conflict this
young kid from a village came and said i
went to join the army both his legs were
cut off below the knees and people said
to him you can’t you are handicapped
you know what this kid says ma’am he
says gentlemen
i have come to fight the enemy not run
away from the enemy
so this is india for too long have
others written the destiny of
india now we will write it ourselves do
you promise me that you will write
india’s destiny yourselves do you young
people
do you promise me it is
when my time comes to leave my body
scattered in the dust
silent i’ll remain when india’s bugle
calls
i will rise again thank you so much
wonderful people
it’s been so nice to talk to you swami
vivekananda said the future india will
be much greater than
ancient india because india is awakening
and all of you who were sleeping should
now wake up
thank you so much god bless you and
thank you ma’am for giving me this
opportunity
thank you