Making Predictions about the Future in English
it’s rolling hi everybody and welcome
back to our weekly
live stream my name is alicia and today
we are going to talk about
how to make guesses and predictions how
to make guesses and predictions
i’m going to cover some basic grammar in
today’s lesson
including will and going to and then i’m
also going to talk about
uh some vocabulary words some more
intermediate to advanced level
vocabulary words specifically verbs
you can use to talk about the future so
uh we will begin today’s lesson in just
a couple minutes we’ll give everybody
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i will take that away okay so as i said
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everything is good i am going to show
you
today’s lesson flow today’s lesson flow
is this uh this is our uh
flow for today first i’m going to talk
about how to use
will and won’t so we will review
some basic grammar today i’ll talk about
pronunciation
then we’re going to we’re going to talk
about how to use
going to and again
we’ll cover some pronunciation a little
bit here finally today i’m going to talk
about some key vocabulary words you can
use
to make guesses and predictions so again
today’s topic is guesses like how to
talk about
the future how to make a guess about the
future
so uh when i talk about will and going
to
yes you can talk about using will and
going to for your
upcoming plans but for today’s lesson
we’re going to focus on making guesses
making guesses also just to start
today’s lesson what is the difference
between a guess
and a prediction a guess is something
is an opinion that we make uh without
any real information we’re just we just
come up with an idea we come up with an
opinion we didn’t research maybe
but we just want to throw an opinion out
a prediction
is usually a bit larger we use
information
uh to make our opinion we use data or
research
to make a prediction so we will talk
more about this
later but let’s get into today’s lesson
also if you have not not everybody is
here if you have not
please make sure to like and share this
lesson so other learners can find it
online okay let’s begin am i sure i am
live yes i’m sure
okay i’m seeing your message okay let’s
get into today’s lesson then let’s begin
with how to use will and won’t again to
make
guesses and predictions i’m not going to
cover this for like future plans today
so
first a review a quick very very quick
review
to make uh a statement
with will or won’t we just use subject
plus will or subject plus won’t today
i’m going to use
won’t remember won’t means will
not will not it’s the reduced form
subject will or subject won’t
infinitive verb so infinitive verb means
the basic
verb form the kind that you see in the
dictionary
for example the weather
will be hot tomorrow at native speed
this sounds like the weather will be hot
tomorrow
the weather will be hot tomorrow so my
subject is the weather
we commonly say it when we are talking
about
the weather too the weather will here’s
my will
and my infinitive verb be the weather
will be
hot tomorrow so use a bee
pattern to describe a condition like
this will be
hot so sometimes i hear people forget
this
bee the weather will be hot tomorrow
okay
another example a negative he won’t get
to the meeting on time he won’t
get so get means arrive this is a casual
way
to say arrive he won’t get to the
meeting on time
so again this is a guess subject
he here won’t so will not
and get infinitive verb he won’t get to
the meeting on time
so i’m making a guess about someone else
with this expression you won’t get to
the meeting
okay so quick review
these as well as i’ll cover a little bit
later
we use will when we make guesses and
predictions
generally for guesses we make in the
conversation so it’s like a quick guess
about a kind of small situation an
everyday situation
maybe we don’t have a lot of information
or it’s just a little bit of information
like here
the weather will be hot tomorrow so it’s
like we maybe we heard quickly on the
news so it’s like
it’s like a small a small everyday life
kind of thing here at this point is one
that i hope
many of you can use i’m going to talk
about
probably probably i’m going to talk
about this with will
and with going to later
to give more uh
like to increase the level of emphasis
of your prediction you can use probably
with will and probably with
won’t so an important point
with probably with will and won’t
is to note the position so when i say
note the position
i mean be careful of the place
in the sentence where you use probably
so let’s compare let’s look at two
examples with probably first one
we’ll probably arrive late
we’ll probably arrive late here i have
reduced
we subject will to wheel
wheel this is very common try to reduce
we’ll probably arrive late so probably
comes after this
we will yeah in the positive form
however look at this sentence she
probably
won’t or won’t in this sentence so we
don’t say
she won’t probably come to work we don’t
say that
probably comes before and at native
speed
probably probably
is pronounced prolly kind of so to say
these sentences at my regular
pace my normal pace will probably arrive
late
she’ll pro oh sorry she probably won’t
come to work
she probably won’t come to work so this
probably is really hard to say in fast
speech
it sounds like probably probably and you
might hear some people say
prolly as well i guess i say prob
probably the most so don’t worry
like this it’s hard to say this probably
it’s hard to say it very very quickly uh
and naturally
uh so it’s very common to hear
probably probably for this so again
we use this for emphasis this is correct
uh
we will arrive late is correct and
she won’t come to work is correct but
when we use probably we
introduce uh we give the sentence a
little
more nuance there’s more nuance there so
that means
there’s a good chance she will arrive
late
and there’s a good chance she won’t come
to work
so use probably to do this
okay if you have questions please send
them in the chat also
for those of you who want to get started
here is your comment question for this
sentence or for this section what do you
think you’ll do this weekend
i’ll probably so please practice okay
uh so i want to
finish this part with a a another
pronunciation point
i mentioned we use um we uh
we use will and won’t for in the moment
guesses yeah uh so
i think let’s see i’ve talked about
using will and going to
uh for uh future plans
in other lessons before and i’ve covered
this pronunciation point before this is
true
for making guesses and predictions and
for your future plans so
keep this pronunciation point in mind
for all
of your uses of will i’ll probably
go this is my example here one very
common uh pronunciation mistake
i hear from learners and i hope that
you can remember this one today is this
part when you reduce i will
to i’ll or she will to she’ll and so on
you forget this o sound i hear many
learners say
i probably go i know this
is i think because many native speakers
when we speak quickly
this ol sound is hard to catch
yeah but we still say it so when i say
this sentence it’s
i’ll probably go i’ll probably go so the
uh
sound of the eye i’ll probably go is
really really
easy to hear yeah don’t forget this
i’ll so i’ll probably go i’ll probably
go
okay so this is part one so
send a comment to practice this what do
you think
i’ve made a question with this what do
you think you’ll do
this weekend what do you think you’ll do
this weekend i’ll probably
blah blah blah so what do i think i’ll
do this weekend i’ll probably
uh read this book i’ve been
inhaling i’ve been reading a lot
recently so i’ll probably read a book
i’ll probably read a book and clean my
house
very exciting very exciting some of your
examples are coming in
uh sumit says i will probably waste my
time this weekend oh no
um jermaine says i probably won’t show
up to the baby shower on time
that’s very specific okay uh conwell
hey says you’ll probably lost her up be
careful when you use this form
infinitive verb so you don’t need to use
past participle you don’t need to use
uh something else basic verb form to do
this
febrian says i will pass my english exam
with flying colors fantastic
fantastic uh annie says i’ll probably
ride my bike read some books and play
cards excellent someone says i’ll
probably buy a phone i’ll probably
stay home good job nice ones silva says
i’ll probably watch this lesson again
awesome great job youtube uh on facebook
i’m coming for you facebook
uh i’ll probably go shopping i’ll
probably go
shopping for groceries this weekend says
jomari nice i’ll probably go
shopping uh faith says i’ll probably
join an online class oh very nice that
sounds good
uh dimas talking about next year i’ll
probably travel to italy next year ooh
sounds good sounds good excellent
very nice examples with probably good
job
very very nice excellent that’s great i
am so happy to see
all of your awesome examples okay you
guys rocked part one so
let’s take a break and then we’ll go to
part two which i’m sure you will also
rock
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uh with that let’s continue along to
part two for today’s lesson
if you are just joining us live today’s
topic i will show you again
today’s topic is how to make guesses and
predictions
guesses and predictions uh so we are
covering how to use
will and going to today of course
uh and we are also talking about uh some
vocabulary we’re also going to talk
about some vocabulary so
i’m going to show you oops sorry i’m
going to show you
today’s lesson boards again this
is our lesson flow i just talked about
using will
and won’t now i’m going to talk about
using
going to to make guesses and predictions
so uh this one i think again lots of
review
uh for many of you but we’ll focus on
how to use this to make a
guess uh and we’ll talk about the
distant future
okay so let’s go to part number two
part number two for today also if you
have not please make sure to like this
video
thumbs up it and share the video so
other people can find
today’s lesson alrighty then let’s go to
part
two part two
okay going to going to so again
in this part i’m going to focus i’m
going to focus
on using going to to make guesses
and predictions guesses and predictions
uh so i’m not going to talk about going
to
for future plans we’re making guesses
with this grammar today
alrighty so let’s review very quickly
how do we make a statement
with going to we use our subject
plus m or is or r we need our b
verb here yeah so like i am or he
is or we are we need our beaver
and then we have our going to going to
or
not going to and infinitive
verb when we use going to
we usually in speech reduce we reduce it
we make it
short we make it gonna gonna
or negative not gonna not gonna
uh don’t use when you when you write
don’t spell
this in like polite or professional
uh like emails that kind of thing
this is a casual word in text messages
with your friends
cool with your family cool that’s fine
but uh this word is
generally it’s kind of a casual word so
let’s practice uh just to review
a couple of predictions a couple guesses
with this first one
it’s gonna be hot tomorrow it’s gonna be
hot tomorrow
so it is the weather right it
is it is gonna be going to be
hot tomorrow it’s gonna be hot tomorrow
and a negative we’re not
going to get to the airport on time
so here we are not going to
get to the airport on time
so this is a guess or a prediction
so at native speed these sound like
it’s going to be hot tomorrow and we’re
not going to get to the airport on time
we’re not going to get to the airport on
time so what is happening here why
why did i use going to for these why
didn’t i use will didn’t you use a
weather example alicia
in the first part yes i did so the first
example sentence in both of these
is about weather yeah it’s gonna be hot
tomorrow and the weather will be hot
tomorrow
both of these are correct what’s the
difference
largely there’s not really a difference
but
a good guide to follow is that going to
tends to sound like you’re more sure
about something just like when you talk
about your future plans with will
and going to going to it sounds like you
have some information or you have more
confidence about your guests so this
go it’s going to be hot tomorrow sounds
like
there’s more confidence in that guess
than will so will sounds a little bit
lower than going to
it’s going to be hot tomorrow i sound
very sure of that idea
so that’s the difference again with
going to we can use
probably for emphasis
with this one with this use of probably
we don’t have to worry about the
position
of probably it’s just before going to or
not going to so you don’t need to worry
about the position of
probably in negatives and positives
some examples he’s probably going to
arrive
soon he’s probably going to arrive soon
and
we’re probably not going to have enough
money
so at native speed this sounds like he’s
probably going to arrive soon
and we’re probably not going to have
enough money
so you can hear those sounds get reduced
once more
he’s probably going to arrive soon and
we’re probably not going to have enough
money so probably again
sounds like probably and this not going
to
have becomes like not going to have not
going to have
he’s probably going to arrive soon and
we’re probably not going to have
so again we use probably to put more uh
nuance in this sentence so he’s going to
arrive
soon is correct it’s a strong prediction
he’s going to arrive soon
and we’re not going to have enough money
that’s very
sure but using probably means
high chance of that there’s a high
chance of this
so uh as i said use uh
going to and not going to for like
strong in the moment guesses when i say
strong i mean
confident you feel very strongly you
have a good
um a good level of confidence about your
guess
okay let’s go to i don’t see
other questions yet so let’s go to this
point
i want to talk about uh distant
future predictions quickly distant
future predictions this means things
far far far in the future so maybe next
year
or in a hundred years or in a thousand
years
if we want to imagine the distant future
how do we do that should we use will
should we use going to
both so we use both going to
and will when we talk about the distant
future
here’s a quick guide a very quick guy
this is
not a rule but just to help you choose
going to is commonly used with like data
information based predictions again
because we have like a higher level of
confidence with going to so for example
many countries are going to experience
weather changes in the future mother
country
many countries are going to experience
weather changes in the future
so this is like there’s science there’s
data there’s information
i use going to will on the other hand
is like a basic guess or it’s like
we just we have a an interesting idea
and we just want to share it
so there’s not really like science or
research or anything
sometimes like this one we’ll have
flying cars
so it’s like what’s like what is the
science is there science is there data
that’s a good example of a
will prediction about the distant future
so again this is just a guide it’s not a
rule
but generally as with uh basic uses
of will and going to to express future
plans
it’s good to use going to for those
predictions you are confident
about because you have information
and will for just kind of the quick
in the moment ideas again not a rule but
a good guy
okay wow
that was quick so uh i don’t
see any questions
so i’ll continue we have to go because i
have a lot of vocabulary i want to
finish with today
uh so if you have questions or an
example sentence please send it in the
chat
i will try to check it very very quickly
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have not heard
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uh maria says could you talk about
probably with going
to yes i did really quickly uh
talk about probably with going to so we
use it the same as with will
and with won’t uh and the position
and we don’t have to worry about it it
just goes in front of
going to so we use it for emphasis to
mean a good chance of
something for those of you asking about
part two again
this video is being recorded you can
check it
after the lesson finishes alrighty let’s
go to part
three because time is running out
uh someone is flooding the chat uh on
youtube could you please
give everyone a chance to write i don’t
know what lemma
is okay let’s go to part three oh i
forgot to show you if you missed it if
you wanted to take a picture if you
if you’re confused what are we doing uh
this is today’s lesson flow
i talked about this in part one this was
part two
so we’ll going to finally we’re going to
talk about some vocabulary words some
vocabulary words over here
so i want to finish with this
list so for more for our um
maybe intermediate to advanced learners
i wanted to include some
additional vocabulary you can use
because many of these words
are being used in the news today so i
wanted
you to be able to understand them so
first
i want to point out all of these are
verbs
i’ve included them as verbs however
there are noun
forms of these words too yes i’m going
to cover
just the verb uses today uh and then you
can use your brain
to use uh the noun forms as well first i
want to talk about these two
in today’s lesson i kept saying yes
predict guess predict
to make guesses to make predictions so
in case you missed it earlier
what is the difference between a guess
and a prediction
or in the verb form to guess or to
predict
to guess means to form an opinion
without much information to form an
opinion without much information
so you don’t know really but you need to
share an idea you need to share an
opinion like
you don’t you don’t have any information
but you give your opinion
that’s a guess a guess
so i’ve used it as a noun just there to
guess
as a verb on the other hand to predict
to predict means to form an opinion
about the future or about something
using information so you
have some information you’d have like
data
you can do research there’s science
you have past experience so
you use that information to
make an opinion about the future
to give an idea about the future that’s
called
as a noun a prediction a prediction
as a verb to predict to predict so this
is the difference
no information that’s the key
difference with guess and predict to
guess and predict
okay so let’s continue on to these
uh i have four more words and a little
time to explain them
these are a little especially these
three uh will take a little more time to
explain
but i want to include them because
they’re very common and very useful
first to bet to bet this is a very
common expression
in american english you might hear this
in tv
and in movies a lot like you bet or i
bet
what does that mean first let’s let’s
just look at
two bet what does it mean to bed to bed
means to make a guess about an
outcome with another person
the loser pays the winner money
so basically imagine sports like you’re
watching
uh soccer football uh and you think team
a will win
your friend thinks team b will win you
say
i bet ten dollars team a will win
and your friend says no team b will win
okay i bet you team b
will win that means we’re playing a game
now
if team a wins pers my friend give me
ten dollars
if team b wins i give my friend ten
dollars
this kind of uh game usually with money
is called as a noun a bet
a bet so but to bet is how
we use it as a verb to bet so we use
this
when we make predictions as a verb we
say
i bet team a
is going to win or i bet team b
is going to win so we use bet
instead of think because it kind of
communicates a little
feeling of competition so
it kind of makes it feel like a game so
we
we might use bet when we’re talking with
our friends or with people we’re close
to
and we want to create a kind of like
game or competition
feel to bet so this is very common
among uh like characters on tv shows
so they’ll say i bet this i bet that and
it’s very common to hear
after this after they agree or when they
agree
they’ll sometimes say you’re on which
means
okay like yeah let’s play this game sure
so to bet that’s what two-bet means
okey-dokey uh-oh okay
let’s go to oh um maria on facebook says
i bet
i’ll going to win ah a point uh
about bet we tend to use bet
with going to mostly
so bet and going to are kind of a
pair we don’t really use bet with will
so much uh because the reason for this i
mean you can sometimes
i bet i’ll blah blah but the reason that
we tend to use
bet with going to is because bet
has a like we feel pretty confident we
feel fairly confident in the guess
so going to is a nice match for that we
use
going to uh with our confident
predictions okay uh
yogi says i bet you are an american
i bet you’re american uh i bet you
are american yeah i bet you’re american
is correct it’s like i have a high level
of confidence
but if uh that’s the reason that
something like that is maybe a little
unnatural
is because that sounds like a
conversation you have with someone
uh like when you meet for the first time
like you’re guessing someone’s country
it sounds a little too close
so this is a word you use with somebody
that you
probably already have a close
relationship with
okay so that was a lot about bet if you
missed it uh this
is being recorded let’s go to these two
these are gonna take some time i’ll try
to go quick remote team
to speculate and to anticipate
to speculate first to speculate means to
imagine
an outcome from very little information
or in a difficult situation
to speculate to speculate to speculate
so we see a lot of
speculation as a noun
in the news like for example with the
with the situation right now so with the
virus so it’s like we don’t know what’s
going to happen
we have some information every country
has some information
but it’s hard to understand what is
going to happen
in the future so when we have like a
little bit of information
and we imagine different outcomes
we imagine different results we describe
that process
with speculate to speculate for example
the president speculated about the
following year
so that means the president imagined
some outcomes
about the following year but it’s like
speculate is just imagining something
but that doesn’t mean it’s going to be
true
so this is a very common word in the
news
again the noun form is speculation
speculation
okay to anticipate then to anticipate
also common in the news the noun form is
anticipation
anticipation to anticipate means to
expect something to happen
based on past information so you have
some
like data you have some information
maybe you know
a pattern and then you expect something
is going to happen we describe that with
the verb
anticipate anticipate so
we anticipate uh an
increase in sales next year
so we have some data and we expect this
thing is going to happen
so this can be for positive or for
negative things we use anticipate for
both
the last one i wanted to mention here is
to forecast
to forecast maybe lots of you know the
expression weather forecast
so to forecast we can use this as a verb
to to forecast means to expect an
outcome
based on data so whether
or we have like finance forecasts too
so the difference between forecast and
anticipate
anticipate uh actually let me start with
forecast
forecast is for something that’s really
like
data based so my examples here are
weather
and finance yeah so we have like
scientific data
that we use to share information
like about the recent future or with
finance
it’s maybe like the next three months or
something like that
with anticipate we kind of use it
again like we can use it to talk about
like research and data
sometimes but we also use anticipate to
talk about
emotions like we might say uh we
anticipate
um this will be a difficult process
so it’s a little bit more emotional
and anticipate can be more about
expecting an emotional
condition forecast tends to be used for
things that are
data based okay so
this is a list of some key vocabulary
words you can use for guesses and
predictions again
this is uh verbs these are this is a
list of verbs but you can use these as
nouns they are very common uh as nouns
as well so i hope that this is helpful
uh these words appear a lot in the news
especially these days
so this is a good study list maybe for
now
okay i have to finish for this week oh
my gosh i only have two minutes left
yikes so
let’s finish uh
what do i need to do i need to show you
the lesson board so you can take a
picture of today’s lesson don’t i
all right here we go but um this is
today’s
topics this is everything we talked
about in today’s
lesson so you can take a picture if you
like uh
we covered how to make guesses and
predictions
in a few different ways so i have to
finish today’s lesson so i will show you
next lesson now next lesson will be
july 22nd whew this year is going so
quick i’m going to talk about how to
study english
alone so for those of you who are
not studying with your teacher at this
time or ever
i will give you some tips to study on
your own
at home i hope that that will be helpful
for you so please join me
next week uh 10 p.m eastern standard
time wednesday that is new york city
time
or google your local time
cool cool cool all right so i will say
goodbye there uh
i guess i’ll leave you with this don’t
forget to download your free stuff from
the link below the video
of course and thanks very much for
liking and sharing this lesson that was
super awesome and thanks for
your awesome questions and comments i
have to go
so be well enjoy your week enjoy your
weekend and i will see you again next
time