How shocking events can spark positive change Naomi Klein

There’s a question I’ve been
puzzling over and writing about

for pretty much all of my adult life.

Why do some large-scale crises

jolt us awake and inspire us
to change and evolve

while others might jolt us a bit,

but then it’s back to sleep?

Now, the kind of shocks
I’m talking about are big –

a cataclysmic market crash,
rising fascism,

an industrial accident
that poisons on a massive scale.

Now, events like this
can act like a collective alarm bell.

Suddenly, we see a threat,
we get organized.

We discover strength and resolve
that was previously unimaginable.

It’s as if we’re no longer
walking, but leaping.

Except, our collective alarm
seems to be busted.

Faced with a crisis,
we often fall apart, regress

and that becomes a window
for antidemocratic forces

to push societies backwards,
to become more unequal and more unstable.

Ten years ago, I wrote
about this backwards process

and I called it the “Shock Doctrine.”

So what determines which road
we navigate through crisis?

Whether we grow up fast
and find those strengths

or whether we get knocked back.

And I’d say this is
a pressing question these days.

Because things are
pretty shocking out there.

Record-breaking storms, drowning cities,

record-breaking fires
threatening to devour them,

thousands of migrants
disappearing beneath the waves.

And openly supremacist movements rising,

in many of our countries
there are torches in the streets.

And now there’s no shortage
of people who are sounding the alarm.

But as a society,
I don’t think we can honestly say

that we’re responding
with anything like the urgency

that these overlapping crises
demand from us.

And yet, we know from history

that it is possible for crisis
to catalyze a kind of evolutionary leap.

And one of the most striking examples
of this progressive power of crisis

is the Great Crash of 1929.

There was the shock
of the sudden market collapse

followed by all of the aftershocks,

the millions who lost everything
thrown onto breadlines.

And this was taken by many as a message
that the system itself was broken.

And many people listened
and they leapt into action.

In the United States and elsewhere,
governments began to weave a safety net

so that the next time there was a crash

there would be programs
like social security to catch people.

There were huge job-creating
public investments

in housing, electrification and transit.

And there was a wave
of aggressive regulation

to reign in the banks.

Now, these reforms were far from perfect.

In the US, African American workers,
immigrants and women

were largely excluded.

But the Depression period,

along with the transformation
of allied nations and economies

during the World War II effort,

show us that it is possible
for complex societies

to rapidly transform themselves
in the face of a collective threat.

Now, when we tell this story
of the 1929 Crash,

that’s usually the formula
that it follows –

that there was a shock
and it induced a wake-up call

and that produced a leap to a safer place.

Now, if that’s really what it took,

then why isn’t it working anymore?

Why do today’s non-stop shocks –

why don’t they spur us into action?

Why don’t they produce leaps?

Especially when it comes
to climate change.

So I want to talk to you today

about what I think is a much more
complete recipe for deep transformation

catalyzed by shocking events.

And I’m going to focus
on two key ingredients

that usually get left out
of the history books.

One has to do with imagination,
the other with organization.

Because it’s in the interplay
between the two

where revolutionary power lies.

So let’s start with imagination.

The victories of the New Deal
didn’t happen just because suddenly

everybody understood
the brutalities of laissez-faire.

This was a time, let’s remember,
of tremendous ideological ferment,

when many different ideas
about how to organize societies

did battle with one another
in the public square.

A time when humanity dared to dream big

about different kinds of futures,

many of them organized
along radically egalitarian lines.

Now, not all of these ideas were good

but this was an era
of explosive imagining.

This meant that the movements
demanding change

knew what they were against –
crushing poverty, widening inequality –

but just as important,
they knew what they were for.

They had their “no”
and they had their “yes,” too.

They also had very different
models of political organization

than we do today.

For decades, social and labor movements

had been building up
their membership bases,

linking their causes together
and increasing their strength.

Which meant that by the time
the Crash happened,

there was already a movement
that was large and broad enough

to, for instance, stage strikes
that didn’t just shut down factories,

but shut down entire cities.

The big policy wins of the New Deal
were actually offered as compromises.

Because the alternative
seemed to be revolution.

So, let’s adjust
that equation from earlier.

A shocking event plus utopian imagination

plus movement muscle,

that’s how we get a real leap.

So how does our present moment measure up?

We are living, once again, at a time
of extraordinary political engagements.

Politics is a mass obsession.

Progressive movements are growing
and resisting with tremendous courage.

And yet, we know from history
that “no” is not enough.

Now, there are some “yeses”
out there that are emerging.

And they’re actually getting
a lot bolder quickly.

Where climate activists
used to talk about changing light bulbs,

now we’re pushing
for 100 percent of our energy

to come from the sun, wind and waves,

and to do it fast.

Movements catalyzed
by police violence against black bodies

are calling for an end
to militarized police, mass incarceration

and even for reparations for slavery.

Students are not just
opposing tuition increases,

but from Chile to Canada to the UK,

they are calling for free tuition
and debt cancellation.

And yet, this still doesn’t add up

to the kind of holistic
and universalist vision

of a different world
than our predecessors had.

So why is that?

Well, very often
we think about political change

in defined compartments these days.

Environment in one box,
inequality in another,

racial and gender justice
in a couple of other boxes,

education over here, health over there.

And within each compartment,

there are thousands upon thousands
of different groups and NGOs,

each competing with one another
for credit, name recognition

and of course, resources.

In other words, we act
a lot like corporate brands.

Now, this is often referred to
as the problem of silos.

Now, silos are understandable.

They carve up our complex world
into manageable chunks.

They help us feel less overwhelmed.

But in the process,
they also train our brains to tune out

when somebody else’s issue comes up

and when somebody else’s issue
needs our help and support.

And they also keep us from seeing
glaring connections between our issues.

So for instance, the people fighting
poverty and inequality

rarely talk about climate change.

Even though we see time and again

that it’s the poorest of people

who are the most vulnerable
to extreme weather.

The climate change people
rarely talk about war and occupation.

Even though we know
that the thirst for fossil fuels

has been a major driver of conflict.

The environmental movement
has gotten better at pointing out

that the nations that are getting
hit hardest by climate change

are populated overwhelmingly
by black and brown people.

But when black lives
are treated as disposable

in prisons, in schools and on the streets,

these connections are too rarely made.

The walls between our silos

also means that our solutions,
when they emerge,

are also disconnected from each other.

So progressives now have this long list
of demands that I was mentioning earlier,

those “yeses.”

But what we’re still missing

is that coherent picture
of the world we’re fighting for.

What it looks like, what it feels like,
and most of all, what its core values are.

And that really matters.

Because when large-scale crises hit us

and we are confronted with the need
to leap somewhere safer,

there isn’t any agreement
on what that place is.

And leaping without a destination

looks a lot like jumping up and down.

(Laughter)

Fortunately, there are all kinds
of conversations and experiments going on

to try to overcome these divisions
that are holding us back.

And I want to finish
by talking about one of them.

A couple of years ago,
a group of us in Canada

decided that we were hitting the limits

of what we could accomplish
in our various silos.

So we locked ourselves
in a room for two days,

and we tried to figure out
what bound us together.

In that room were people
who rarely get face to face.

There were indigenous elders
with hipsters working on transit.

There was the head of Greenpeace

with a union leader
representing oil workers and loggers.

There were faith leaders
and feminist icons and many more.

And we gave ourselves
a pretty ambitious assignment:

agreeing on a short statement
describing the world after we win.

The world after we’ve already
made the transition to a clean economy

and a much fairer society.

In other words,

instead of trying to scare people
about what will happen if we don’t act,

we decided to try to inspire them
with what could happen if we did act.

Sensible people are always telling us

that change needs to come
in small increments.

That politics is the art of the possible

and that we can’t let the perfect
be the enemy of the good.

Well, we rejected all of that.

We wrote a manifesto,
and we called it “The Leap.”

I have to tell you
that agreeing on our common “yes”

across such diversity of experiences

and against a backdrop
of a lot of painful history

was not easy work.

But it was also pretty thrilling.

Because as soon as we gave ourselves
permission to dream,

those threads connecting
much of our work became self-evident.

We realized, for instance,

that the bottomless quest for profits

that is forcing so many people
to work more than 50 hours a week,

without security,

and that is fueling
this epidemic of despair

is the same quest for bottomless
profits and endless growth

that is at the heart
of our ecological crisis

and is destabilizing our planet.

It also became clear what we need to do.

We need to create
a culture of care-taking.

In which no one
and nowhere is thrown away.

In which the inherent value of all people
and every ecosystem is foundational.

So we came up with this people’s platform,

and don’t worry, I’m not going to read
the whole thing to you out loud –

if you’re interested,
you can read it at theleap.org.

But I will give you a taste
of what we came up with.

So we call for that 100 percent
renewable economy in a hurry,

but we went further.

Calls for new kinds of trade deals,

a robust debate
on a guaranteed annual income,

full rights for immigrant workers,

getting corporate money out of politics,

free universal day care,
electoral reform and more.

What we discovered
is that a great many of us

are looking for permission to act
less like brands and more like movements.

Because movements don’t care about credit.

They want good ideas
to spread far and wide.

What I love about The Leap

is that it rejects the idea
that there is this hierarchy of crisis,

and it doesn’t ask anyone
to prioritize one struggle over another

or wait their turn.

And though it was birthed in Canada,

we’ve discovered that it travels well.

Since we launched, The Leap
has been picked up around the world

with similar platforms,

being written from Nunavut to Australia,

to Norway to the UK and the US,

where it’s gaining a lot of traction
in cities like Los Angeles,

where it’s being localized.

And also in rural communities
that are traditionally very conservative,

but where politics is failing
the vast majority of people.

Here’s what I’ve learned from studying
shocks and disasters for two decades.

Crises test us.

We either fall apart or we grow up fast.

Finding new reserves of strength
and capacity that we never knew we had.

The shocking events
that fill us with dread today

can transform us, and they can
transform the world for the better.

But first we need to picture the world
that we’re fighting for.

And we have to dream it up together.

Right now, every alarm in our house
is going off simultaneously.

It’s time to listen.

It’s time to leap.

Thank you.

(Applause)

我成年后的大部分时间里,我一直在困惑和写下一个问题。

为什么一些大规模的危机

让我们清醒并激励
我们改变和发展,

而另一些危机可能让我们有点震惊,

但它又回到了沉睡?

现在,
我所说的那种冲击是巨大的

——灾难性的市场崩盘、
法西斯主义抬头、

大规模毒化的工业事故。

现在,像这样的事件
可以像一个集体警钟一样。

突然间,我们看到了威胁,
我们变得井井有条。

我们发现了
以前无法想象的力量和决心。

就好像我们不再是在
走路,而是在跳跃。

除了,我们的集体警报
似乎被打破了。

面对危机,
我们经常分崩离析、倒退

,这
成为反民主

力量推动社会倒退
、变得更加不平等和更加不稳定的窗口。

十年前,我写过
关于这个倒退过程的文章

,我称之为“休克主义”。

那么,是什么决定了
我们在危机中前进的道路呢?

我们是否快速成长
并找到这些优势,

或者我们是否会被击退。

我会说这是
一个紧迫的问题。

因为
那里的事情非常令人震惊。

破纪录的风暴,淹没城市,

破纪录的大火
威胁要吞噬他们,

成千上万的移民
消失在海浪下。

公开的至上主义运动正在兴起,

在我们许多国家
的街道上都有火炬。

现在不乏
发出警报的人。

但作为一个社会,
我认为我们不能诚实地说

,我们正在
以类似

这些重叠危机
对我们要求的紧迫性做出回应。

然而,我们从历史

中知道,危机有可能
催化一种进化飞跃。

这种渐进的危机力量最引人注目的例子之一

是 1929 年的大崩盘。

市场突然崩盘带来的冲击,

随之而来的是所有余震

,数以百万计的人失去了一切,
被扔到了救济线上。

许多人将此视为
系统本身已损坏的信息。

许多人倾听
并采取了行动。

在美国和其他地方,
政府开始编织安全网,

以便下次发生车祸时

会有
社会保障等计划来抓人。 在住房、电气化和交通方面

有大量创造就业机会的
公共投资

银行出现了
一波激进的

监管浪潮。

现在,这些改革远非完美。

在美国,非裔美国工人、
移民和妇女

在很大程度上被排除在外。

但大萧条时期,

以及二战期间
盟国和经济体的转型

向我们表明
,复杂社会有可能

在面临集体威胁时迅速转型。

现在,当我们
讲述这个关于 1929 年崩溃的故事时,

它通常遵循的公式
是——

发生了一次冲击
,它引发了警钟,

并产生了一个飞跃到一个更安全的地方。

现在,如果这真的是它所需要的,

那为什么它不再起作用了?

为什么今天不间断的冲击——

为什么不促使我们采取行动?

为什么他们不产生飞跃?

尤其是
在气候变化方面。

所以我今天想和你

谈谈我认为由令人震惊的事件催化
的深度转变的更完整的方法

我将重点
关注两个

通常被
历史书籍遗漏的关键成分。

一个与想象力有关
,另一个与组织有关。

因为它是在
两者之间的相互作用

中革命力量所在的地方。

所以让我们从想象开始。

新政的胜利
并不是因为突然间

所有人都明白
了自由放任的残酷性。

让我们记住,这是一个
意识形态剧烈发酵的时期,

当时
关于如何组织社会的许多不同想法

确实
在公共广场上相互争斗。

在这个人类敢于对不同种类的未来抱有远大梦想的时代

,他们中的许多人
沿着激进的平等主义路线组织起来。

现在,并非所有这些想法都是好的,

但这是一个
充满想象力的时代。

这意味着要求变革的运动

知道他们反对什么——
消除贫困,扩大不平等——

但同样重要的是,
他们知道他们的目的是什么。

他们有他们的“不”
,他们也有他们的“是”。

他们
的政治组织模式也

与我们今天大不相同。

几十年来,社会和劳工运动

一直在建立
他们的会员基础,

将他们的事业联系在一起
并增加他们的力量。

这意味着,
在崩盘发生时

,已经发生了一场
规模庞大且范围广泛

的运动,例如,举行
罢工不仅关闭了工厂,

而且关闭了整个城市。

新政的重大政策胜利
实际上是作为妥协提供的。

因为替代方案
似乎是革命。

所以,让我们调整之前的
那个等式。

令人震惊的事件加上乌托邦式的想象力

加上运动肌肉,

这就是我们获得真正飞跃的方式。

那么我们现在的时刻如何衡量呢?

我们再次生活在
一个非同寻常的政治参与的时代。

政治是大众的痴迷。

进步运动正在成长
并以巨大的勇气进行抵抗。

然而,我们从历史
中知道,“不”是不够的。

现在,有一些“是”
正在出现。

他们实际上正在
迅速变得更加大胆。

气候活动家
过去常常谈论更换灯泡,

现在我们正在推动我们
100% 的

能源来自太阳、风和海浪,

并且要快。

警察对黑人的暴力行为引发的运动

呼吁
结束军事化警察、大规模监禁

,甚至要求对奴隶制进行赔偿。

学生们不仅
反对提高学费,

而且从智利到加拿大再到英国,

他们都在呼吁免学费
和取消债务。

然而,这仍然不能与我们的

前辈所拥有的不同世界的整体
和普遍主义愿景

相提并论。

那为什么呢?

好吧,这些天我们经常
考虑

在特定的隔间内进行政治变革。

一个盒子里的环境,另一个盒子里的
不平等,另一个盒子里的

种族和性别公正

这里的教育,那里的健康。

在每个隔间内,

都有成千上万
个不同的团体和非政府组织,

每一个都在相互
竞争信誉、知名度

,当然还有资源。

换句话说,我们的
行为很像企业品牌。

现在,这通常被
称为孤岛问题。

现在,筒仓是可以理解的。

他们将我们复杂的世界
分割成可管理的块。

它们帮助我们减轻压力。

但在这个过程中,
他们也训练我们的大脑

在别人的问题出现时

以及当别人的问题
需要我们的帮助和支持时调和出来。

它们还使我们无法看到
我们的问题之间的明显联系。

例如,与
贫困和不平等作斗争的人们

很少谈论气候变化。

尽管我们一次又一次地

看到最贫穷的

人最容易
受到极端天气的影响。

气候变化的人们
很少谈论战争和占领。

尽管我们
知道对化石燃料的渴望

一直是冲突的主要驱动力。

环保
运动更好

地指出,
受气候变化影响最严重的国家

绝大多数
是黑人和棕色人种。

但是,当黑人的生活

在监狱、学校和街头被视为一次性用品时,

这些联系就太少了。

我们的孤岛之间的墙

也意味着我们的解决方案,
当它们出现时,

也彼此脱节。

所以进步主义者现在有
我之前提到的一长串要求,

那些“是的”。

但我们仍然缺少的


我们正在为之奋斗的世界的连贯画面。

它看起来像什么,感觉像什么
,最重要的是,它的核心价值是什么。

这真的很重要。

因为当大规模危机袭击我们

并且我们需要
跳到更安全的地方时,

对于
那个地方是什么没有任何共识。

没有目的地的跳跃

看起来很像上下跳跃。

(笑声)

幸运的是,有各种各样
的对话和实验正在进行

,试图克服
这些阻碍我们前进的分歧。

最后,我想
谈谈其中之一。

几年前,
我们在加拿大的一群人

决定,我们正在达到

我们在各种筒仓中所能完成的极限。

所以我们把自己锁
在一个房间里两天

,我们试图弄清楚是
什么将我们联系在一起。

在那间屋子里,是
很少见面的人。

有土著长老
和赶时髦的人一起工作。

绿色和平组织的负责人


代表石油工人和伐木者的工会领导人在一起。

有信仰领袖
和女权主义偶像等等。

我们给自己下
了一个非常雄心勃勃的任务:

在我们获胜后就描述世界的简短声明达成一致。

我们
已经过渡到清洁经济

和更加公平的社会之后的世界。

换句话说,与其

试图吓唬人们
如果我们不采取行动会发生什么,

我们决定尝试
用如果我们采取行动会发生什么来激励他们。

明智的人总是告诉我们

,改变需要
以小幅度进行。

政治是可能的艺术

,我们不能让完美
成为善的敌人。

好吧,我们拒绝了所有这些。

我们写了一份宣言
,我们称之为“飞跃”。

我必须告诉你

在如此多样化的经历


许多痛苦历史的背景下,就我们共同的“是”达成一致

并非易事。

但这也很令人兴奋。

因为一旦我们
允许自己做梦,

那些连接
我们大部分工作的线索就变得不言而喻了。

例如,我们意识到,

对利润的无止境追求

迫使这么多人
每周工作超过 50 小时,

没有安全保障

,这助长了
这种绝望的流行,

这与对
无止境利润和无止境增长的追求是一样的

,即
处于我们生态危机的核心

,正在破坏我们的星球。

我们需要做什么也变得很清楚。

我们需要营造
一种关怀的文化。

在其中没有人
也无处被扔掉。

其中所有人
和每个生态系统的内在价值都是基础。

所以我们想出了这个人民的平台

,别担心,我不会
把整件事大声朗读给你听——

如果你有兴趣,
你可以在theleap.org上阅读。

但我会让你
尝尝我们的想法。

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但我们走得更远。

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从政治中获取企业资金、

免费的普遍日托、
选举改革等进行激烈辩论。

我们
发现,我们中的很多人

都在寻求许可,让他们不
那么像品牌,而更像运动。

因为运动不关心信用。

他们希望好的想法
能够广泛传播。

我喜欢 The Leap 的地方

在于,它拒绝了
存在这种危机等级的想法,

并且它不要求任何人
将一场斗争置于另一场之上

或等待轮到他们。

虽然它出生在加拿大,

但我们发现它旅行得很好。

自从我们推出以来,The Leap
已经

通过类似的平台在世界各地得到推广,

从努纳武特到澳大利亚,

从挪威到英国和美国

,它在洛杉矶等城市获得了很大的吸引力

,它正在本地化 .


传统上非常保守的农村社区也是如此,

但那里的政治
让绝大多数人都失败了。

以下是我过去 20 年研究冲击和灾难所学到的东西

危机考验我们。

我们要么分崩离析,要么快速成长。

寻找
我们从未知道自己拥有的新的力量和能力储备。 今天让我们充满恐惧

的令人震惊的事件

可以改变我们,它们可以
使世界变得更美好。

但首先我们需要描绘
我们正在为之奋斗的世界。

我们必须一起梦想它。

现在,我们家的每个警报
都同时响起。

是时候倾听了。

是时候飞跃了。

谢谢你。

(掌声)