The Changes to the Aviation Industry
and uh ladies and gentlemen i consider
myself a frequent flyer
every year i fly at least 20 000 miles
by plane which earned me the silver
status for an airline however due to the
code crisis i have not flown at all this
year
in fact the total amount of passengers
screened by tsa
on april 7th fell below 100 000 people
for the first time
compared to previous years years of 95
there is a 95
decrease in passengers traveling by air
and this is certainly not a good outlook
for the airline industry
because with fewer passengers the
airlines make less money for
delta airlines alone they’ve lost 5.7
billion dollars
in the second quarter of 2020 keep in
mind that in the same quarter of last
year
they’ve earned a revenue of 12 billion
dollars reasonably
some airlines went bankrupt during the
pandemic a total of 23 airlines
including two miami two united
states-based miami
air international encompasses airlines
have filed for chapter 11 of bankruptcy
or ceased operations it is almost beyond
doubt that how we fly will be different
after the crisis
so when we think about future vision and
aviation we will see industry-wide
changes being made
to and understand what these mean for us
passengers
flight crew even air traffic controllers
some of the changes are the ones that we
can quote unquote
vision which impact regular travelers
like you and me
while some changes are more systematic
and behind the scenes that affect mostly
only airlines and
employees the most significant change i
imagine is
planes will be cleaner in the eyes of
public health planes are disasters
all of us here have read some articles
about how
dirty blankets get or how much bacteria
is on your turret table
well not anymore all major u.s airlines
have adopted a much stricter cleaning
procedure
as an example united airlines have
rolled out a new cleaning method named
clean plus
where various surfaces that can be
touched are thoroughly wiped and clean
with hydrate disinfectant
after each flight the plane will be
immediately taken out of service and
sent for full decontamination process if
a passenger onboard
exhibit coveted symptoms other airlines
use similar cleaning practices as
united the sanitation of all aircraft we
fly is ensured with these procedures in
place
another change which in my opinion a
very notable change as well
is the plane will be less crowded and
the passengers will have more
privacy think about this in a boeing 737
which
by the way is the most prevalent
passenger jet ever produced
150 people cramming to nearly a thousand
square feet of space
that averages to 7 square feet per
person in such crowded area
it is honorous to prevent virus or
disease diseases from spreading
the short-term solution is let fewer
people fly alaska
american and delta airlines have blocked
off all middle seats in their planes to
allow for better distancing
however the airlines cannot block off
seats forever a possible long-term
solution
is to redesign the seats completely just
in april
a cd manufacturer released a new design
the isle and window seats are facing
forward while the middle seat
is facing facing back with wrather and
clear
shield barriers separate the seats this
design name janus
blocks the propagation of the virus
while allowing the passages to have your
personal space
another seating company took a different
approach by expanding the seat width
and adding a virus blocking field in
between seats since this seating type
utilizes more space it is more likely to
be adopted than janus
it is so essential for travelers like
like us to understand
that in an enclosed space such as the
plane cabin we need to be careful
coming in contact with too many people
how passengers fly won’t be the only
thing that will change
since flight crews of most airlines are
based in a hierarchy system
some pilots are worried that if they
were forced to leave or transfer to
another airline
they would lose their seniority they had
or receive pay cuts
pilots are considered essential workers
by the cares act but
some are worried about getting laid off
after october
1st the pilots who fly for ups or fedex
isn’t facing as much trouble however
since the demand for international cargo
care kids testing kids and air mail has
dramatically increased
as well some pilots only fly for charter
or private jets
the demand for private aviation has
increased significantly
due to the fear for exposure or doctors
that need to travel urgently
airlines will reform as well three
months ago dallas
airlines retired the mcdonald douglas
and the 80 series fleet
as well as their boeing triple 7-200
qantas
royal dutch airways and british airways
three flag carrier airlines
from australia netherlands and england
respectively
retired their 747th fleet since the
production of the aircraft mentioned
above have ended
airlines will likely use to use fewer
variants of the aircraft
although this is ultimately a measure to
reduce cost
is a shame for me since i will not be
able to see more of the iconic classical
jetliners
one of the only reasons however that
companies reduce costs is they are not
making as much money
this goes for any industry including the
aviation industry
the service and revenue method of
airlines is a potential subject for
change
there are two major types of service
modes for airlines
and one is full service carrier or fsc
and low cost carrier lcc fsa is more
focused mostly on business flyers and
their in-flight experience
by providing different influent
amenities and high quality services
all three major united states flat
carriers are considered fscs
lcc on the other hand needs a
point-to-point network providing flights
with relatively low prices
for the other other passengers such as
travelers
offering more basic in-flight service
for example
spirit and southwest airlines are
examples of lcc in the united states
lccs have recovered faster than the most
fscs
a comparison of sage sold from july 2020
was july 2019 shows the spirit observing
a 15
decrease and southwest having a 30
percent decrease
for 2020 while major fps have a
reduction at an average 59
in the long run the post-pandemic
society gives lccs an excellent chance
for survival
an example after new year’s massive
profit
ryanair an lcc based in ireland with 4
billion euro in cash
was not strong by the pandemic at all
they are able to survive 18 months
without any
flights just with their money many fsc
airlines have also started offering
low-cost programs such as basic economy
class
in an additional difference between
airlines some airlines only service
short haul flights
using smaller 50 or less jets or turbo
props
these are called regional airlines in
the united states
regional airlines employs 13 of all
full-time airline employees
the majority of the regional airlines
sign contracts
with network airlines and flight planes
under their brand names
while some operate independently as well
amongst the airlines
regional carriers suffer the most due to
the pandemic trans state airlines flying
as united express already suspended
their operations in early april
express jet another ignite express
contractor just
announced that they would cease their uh
they would end their partnership with
the united airlines by the end of 2020.
they fly todo they fly a total of 97
embryo
aerj 145 a 50-seat regional jet for
united
this survival is in doubt since the sole
partnership with any
major network airline just ended many
independent regional airlines face a
similar fate
raven air alaska is wrecked largest
regional carrier that employs 1300
people
and services to more than a hundred
alaskan communities
suspended flights on all their 72
aircraft the majority of their planes
are 5 to 20 seat turbo props
ravennaire is an essential lifeline for
alaska
but the ceo of the airline mentioned
that they could only receive 5.2 million
dollars
of the 75 million federal stimulus
package
despite the unfortunate situation for
airlines there is a better outlook for
the future
up to 1500 pilots retired in 2019
and the number is continuously rising
although none of the airlines are hiring
pilots currently airlines will
undoubtedly need new
younger pilots to fill their retirement
gap statistics from the 2003
sars outbreak also show that after seven
to eight months after the epidemic
result
the number of travelers increased
rapidly up to 115
pre-crisis it is good news for
commercial pilots because the risk of
being laid off
is reduced overall the airline industry
will have a better future after the
crisis
despite being severely affected by the
pandemic the airline industry is still
one of the fastest growing industries in
the united states
eventually newer airlines will replace
collapsed airlines and employees will
laid off will be needed again
there is no doubt that with the changes
for a safer flight
airlines will recover and do even better
than before that is my vision for the
future of aviation
ladies and gentlemen i hope you enjoy
your ride on my talk and thank you