Dare to disagree Margaret Heffernan

in Oxford in the 1950s there was a

fantastic doctor who is very unusual

named Alice Stewart and Alice was

unusual partly because of course she was

a woman which was pretty rare in the

1950s and she was brilliant she was one

of eight at the time the youngest fellow

to be elected through our College of

Physicians she was unusual too because

she continued to work after she got

married after she had kids and even

after she got divorced and was a single

parent she continued her medical work

and she was unusual because she was

really interested in a new science the

emerging field of Epidemiology the study

of patterns in disease but like every

scientist she appreciated that to make

her mark where she needed to do was find

a hard problem and solve it the hard

problem that Alice chose was the rising

incidence of childhood cancers most

disease is correlated with poverty but

in the case of childhood cancers v

children who were dying seemed mostly to

come from affluent families so what she

wanted to know could explain this

anomaly now Alice had trouble getting

funding for her research in the end she

got just a thousand pounds from the lady

Tata Memorial Prize and that meant she

knew she only had one shot at collecting

her data now she had no idea what to

look for this really was a needle in a

haystack sort of search so she asked

everything she could think of had the

children eaten boiled sweets had they

consumed colored drinks to the eat fish

and chips

did they have indoor outdoor plumbing

what time of life had they started

school and when her carbon copied

questionnaire started to come back one

thing and one thing only jumped out with

a statistical clarity of a kind that

most scientists can only dream of by

rate of two to one the children who had

died had had mothers who had been

x-rayed when pregnant

now that finding flew in the face of

conventional wisdom conventional wisdom

held that everything was safe up to a

point a threshold it flew in the face of

conventional wisdom which was huge

enthusiasm for the cool Newton

technology of that age which was the

x-ray machine and it flew in the face of

doctors idea of themselves which was his

people who helped patients they didn’t

home them nevertheless Alice Stewart

rushed to publish her preliminary

findings in The Lancet in 1956 people

got very excited there was talk of the

Nobel Prize and Alice really was in a

big hurry to try to study all the cases

of childhood cancer she could find

before they disappeared in fact she need

not have hurried it was fully 25 years

before the British and Medical British

and American medical establishments

abandoned the practice of x-raying

pregnant women the data was out there it

was open it was freely available but

nobody wanted to know a child a week was

dying but nothing changed openness alone

can’t drive change so for 25 years Alice

Stewart had a very big fight on her

hands so how did she know that she was

right well she had a fantastic model for

thinking she worked with a statistician

named George Neill and George was pretty

much everything that Alice wasn’t so

Alice was very outgoing and sociable and

George was a recluse Alice was very warm

very empathetic with her patients George

frankly preferred numbers to people but

he said this fantastic thing about their

working relationship he said my job is

to prove dr. Stewart wrong he actively

sought discontent

Meishan different ways of looking at her

models at her statistics different ways

of crunching the data in order to

disprove her he saw his job as creating

conflict around her theories because it

was only by not being able to prove that

she was wrong that George could give

Alice the confidence she needed to know

that she was right it’s a fantastic

model of collaboration thinking partners

who aren’t echo chambers I wonder how

many of us have or dare to have such

collaborators Alice and George were very

good at conflict they saw it as thinking

so what is that kind of constructive

conflict to require well first of all it

requires that we find people who are

very different from ourselves that means

we have to resist the neurobiological

Drive which means that we really prefer

people mostly like ourselves and it

means we have to seek out people with

different backgrounds different

disciplines different ways of thinking

and different experience and find ways

to engage with them that requires a lot

of patience and a lot of energy and the

more I’ve thought about this the more I

think really that that’s a kind of love

because you simply won’t commit that

kind of energy and time if you don’t

really care and it also means that we

have to be prepared to change our minds

Alice’s daughter told me that every time

Alice went head-to-head with a fellow

scientist they made her think and think

and think again my mother she said my

mother didn’t enjoy a fight but she was

really good at them

so it’s one thing to do that in a

one-to-one relationship but it strikes

me that the biggest problems we face

many of the biggest disasters that we’ve

experienced mostly haven’t come from

individuals they’ve come from

organizations some of them bigger than

countries many of them capable of

affecting hundreds thousands even

millions of lives so how do

organizations think well for the most

part they don’t and that isn’t because

they don’t want to it’s really because

they can’t and they can’t because the

people inside of them are too afraid of

conflict in surveys of European and

American executives fully 85% of them

acknowledged that they had issues or

concerns at work that they were afraid

to raise afraid of the conflict that

that would provoke afraid to get

embroiled in arguments that they did not

know how to manage and felt that they

were bound to lose 85 percent is a

really big number it means that

organizations mostly can’t do what

George and Alice so triumphantly did

they can’t think together and it means

that people like many of us who have run

organizations and gone out of our way to

try to find the very best people we can

mostly fail to get the best out of them

so how do we develop the skills that we

need because it does take skill and

practice to if we aren’t going to be

afraid of conflict we have to see it as

thinking and then we have to get really

good at it

so recently I worked with a an executive

named Joe and Joe worked for a medical

device company and Joe was

在 1950 年代的牛津,有

一位非常不寻常的出色医生,

名叫爱丽丝·斯图尔特(Alice Stewart),而爱丽丝之所以

不寻常,部分原因当然是她是

一位在 1950 年代非常罕见的女性,

而且她才华横溢,当时她是

最年轻的八个人之一

她在他和他离婚后结婚后继续工作,甚至

在被离婚后仍然在结婚后继续工作,也是一个

父母,她继续上班,她仍然是一个父母,她仍然是她的医生学院。

对一门新科学感兴趣

流行病学的新兴领域

疾病模式的研究,但像每一位

科学家一样,她明白要

在她需要做的事情上找到

一个难题并解决它

,爱丽丝选择的难题是

发病率上升 儿童癌症的大多数

疾病与贫困有关,但

在儿童癌症的情况下,

垂死的儿童似乎大多

来自富裕家庭 所以她

想知道的可以解释这种

异常情况,现在爱丽丝很难

为她的研究获得资金,最后

她只从塔塔夫人纪念奖中获得了一千英镑

,这意味着她

知道她现在只有一次机会收集

她的数据 她不知道要找

什么,这真的是大海捞针,

所以她问

她能想到的一切如果

孩子们吃煮过的糖果他们

喝彩色饮料吃鱼

和薯条

他们有室内室外管道

他们是什么时候开始

上学的,她的复写

问卷什么时候开始回来的

死了 有过怀孕时做过

X 光检查的母亲

现在这一发现与

传统智慧背道而驰 传统智慧

认为一切都是安全

的 是的,它与

传统智慧背道而驰,传统智慧是

对那个时代很酷的牛顿

技术(即

X 光机)的巨大热情,

它也与医生的想法背道而驰

尽管如此,爱丽丝·斯图尔特还是

急于

在 1956 年的《柳叶刀》上发表她的初步发现,人们

非常兴奋,因为有人谈论

诺贝尔奖,而爱丽丝真的很

急于尝试研究

她能在他们发现之前发现的所有儿童癌症病例

消失了 事实上她

不必着急 整整 25 年

之后,英国和医学英国

和美国的医疗机构就

放弃了对孕妇进行 X 光检查的做法

一个星期的孩子

快死了,但没有任何改变 仅靠开放

无法推动改变,所以 25 年来,爱丽丝

·斯图尔特 (Alice Stewart) 经历了一场非常大的斗争,

所以她怎么知道她 e 是

对的,她有一个很棒的模型,

认为她与一位名叫乔治尼尔的统计学家一起工作

,乔治

几乎是爱丽丝所不具备的一切,所以

爱丽丝非常外向和善于交际,而

乔治是一个隐士爱丽丝非常热情,

非常善解人意 患者乔治

坦率地说,他们更喜欢数字,但

他说他们的

工作关系非常棒,他说我的工作

是证明医生。 斯图尔特错了,他积极

寻求不满

梅珊以不同的方式看待她的

模型在她的统计

数据中以不同的方式处理数据以

反驳她他认为他的工作会

围绕她的理论制造冲突,因为这

只是因为无法证明

她 错了乔治可以给

爱丽丝她需要

知道她是对的信心这是一个很棒

的合作伙伴思维模式合作

伙伴不是回声室我想知道

我们中有多少人拥有或敢于拥有这样的

合作者爱丽丝和乔治非常

好 在冲突中,他们认为这是一种思考,

那么首先需要什么是建设性的

冲突,它

要求我们找到

与我们非常不同的人,这意味着

我们必须抵制神经生物学

驱动,这意味着我们真的更喜欢

人 像我们自己,这

意味着我们必须寻找具有

不同背景、不同

学科、不同思维方式的人

不同的经历并找到

与他们互动的方法,这需要

很大的耐心和精力,

我想得越多,我就越

觉得那是一种爱,

因为你根本不会犯

那种 精力和时间,如果你

不在乎,这也意味着我们

必须准备好改变主意

爱丽丝的女儿告诉我,每次

爱丽丝与一位科学家同行时,

他们都会让她思考、思考

和思考 再说一次我妈妈,她说我

妈妈不喜欢打架,但她

真的很擅长打架,

所以在一对一的关系中这样做是一回事,

让我震惊的是,我们面临的最大问题是

许多最大的灾难 我们所

经历的大部分都不是来自

个人 他们来自

组织 其中一些比

国家更大 他们中的许多人能够

影响数十万甚至

数百万人的生活 那么

组织如何在大多数情况下思考得很好

他们没有 和

这不是因为他们不想,而是因为

他们不能也不能因为

他们内心的人太害怕

冲突在对欧美高管的调查中,有

85% 的人

承认他们有

工作中他们

害怕提出的问题或担忧 害怕会引发的冲突 害怕

卷入他们不

知道如何处理的争论 并认为

他们一定会失去 85% 这是一个

非常大的数字 这意味着

组织大多不能做

乔治和爱丽丝如此得意洋洋地做

他们不能一起思考的事情,这

意味着像我们中的许多人一样,他们经营过

组织并竭尽全力

试图找到我们能做到的最优秀的人

未能充分利用它们,

所以我们如何培养我们需要的技能,

因为它确实需要技能和

实践,如果我们不

害怕冲突,我们必须将其视为

思考,然后我们必须得到 真的

很好

最近我和一位名叫乔的高管

一起工作,乔在一家医疗

设备公司工作,乔是