Urban Resilience

[Music]

so

[Applause]

when you look back at 2020 in 10 years

five years even next year what will you

remember most

working from home desperately trying to

homeschool your kids on one laptop

computer

did you get sick will you think about

the job you lost or the pay cut you took

will you remember george floyd and the

protests his murder inspired

or maybe your own experience of racism

will create even sharper memories

or maybe the worst is yet to come

for you for all of us

after all we still need to make it

through hurricane

and wildfire season

it’s only july but 2020 has felt like a

lifetime

and it’s had more shocks than most

people see in a decade

a raging pandemic significant protests

driven by systemic racism and police

violence

and now we’re at the mercy of what is

likely to be one of the hottest summers

on record and what if i told you

that in five or ten years 2020 might not

seem so exceptional

that the only thing the coming years are

sure to bring

is more more disasters

more extreme weather events more failing

systems

more compounding shocks

the challenges we’re facing can feel

overwhelming too big to plan for or

grapple with

especially when layered on top of one

another the bad news is

each of these challenges conspired to

make the others worse

every shock pandemic heat wave flood

made worse and in turn exacerbating the

underlying stresses

of climate change racism poor public

health

and equity and all too often as covet 19

has put on full display

poor and vulnerable communities are most

impacted which leads

to further poverty and fragility and so

the cycle starts again

but here’s the big idea let’s not think

about these as separate things a

pandemic that requires pandemic

solutions

heat waves that require heat wave

solutions but rather

as a web of connected risks and

opportunities

there is good news linking these rather

than treating them

in isolation allows us an opportunity to

tackle them at once

and with efficiency over the past decade

a new field has emerged called

urban resilience its innovation is to

recognize

how these risks and communities face

can be and should be seen together and

by addressing them at once we can make

our communities

stronger and more resilient to whatever

the next thing comes their way

this is important for two reasons the

first of which

is that we do not do a good job of

predicting the next crisis

i was deputy commissioner of emergency

management in new york in the late 90s

and early 2000s

in the late 90s we thought the next big

thing was going to be a hurricane

hitting new york

then on 9 11 two planes flew into two

buildings

in the ensuing years we had anthrax

letters

a plane crash in queens great northeast

blackout of 2003

the financial crisis of 2008 and only in

2012

did we have superstorm sandy how can

communities make sense of and prepare

for

all of these events at the same time the

answer is by building strength across

their systems

meeting the basic needs of their most

vulnerable

developing good governance with strong

stakeholders at the table

promoting diverse and equitable

economies supporting cohesive

communities where neighbors check on

neighbors

all underpinned by sustainable

infrastructure that you is good for

multi-use

all of those capacities help cities

respond to

recover from and in fact grow in the

face of risk and adversity

this isn’t easy silos began to spring up

around particular disciplines in the

20th century

transportation economic development

social services

because it could seem more efficient for

experts to talk to

experts but we launched 100 resilient

cities

and later resilient cities catalysts to

help cities change the way they approach

their risks and opportunities

to do it in more integrated inclusive

and strategic ways let me give you three

examples of how this is playing out

at large and small scales i told you the

big idea was to see our challenges

as interconnected and to try to address

them together

this idea came out in part from medellin

colombia in the 1990s

today medellin is thriving in one of the

world’s most livable cities

but at the time it was rife with

violence and murder it was home to the

medellin cartel

and the infamous pablo escobar and it

was on the verge of

complete collapse to address this

violence

planners in colombia looked at the

causes of criminality

medellin is a mountain city as you can

see here its main economic center is in

the valley floor

and its poorest communities are perched

precariously on hillsides

it used to take up to three hours down a

windy mountain road on the back of a bus

or on a motorcycle to reach the good

jobs in the valley center

that left communities isolated hopeless

and criminalized what medellin did is

design a new transportation system

that helped connect those communities to

the economic opportunities

it started with bus rapid transit into

gondolas

and finally to escalators for many it

reduced commute times by over half

of course authorities did kill escobar

and they did dismantle the cartel

but in part because of improved life

chances for medellin’s poorest

murder and violence reduced by nearly 90

percent

over the ensuing decade and a half

the program had other benefits and

impacts as well that

helped make medellin stronger and more

resilient

it led to better air quality a reduction

in the city’s carbon footprint

improved economy and stronger

communities due to the reduced commute

times

that is what we call the resilience

dividend an intervention that starts

with one purpose

in this case to break the cycle of

violence by increased

economic opportunities and leads to

other benefits that reduce

fragility and improve resilience

let’s travel to paris to see what this

looks like closer to present day

in 2014 when i first met paris mayor ann

hildago she was very focused on climate

challenges

she wanted to talk about flooding urban

heat

and air pollution but then 2015 happened

two terrorist attacks and a refugee

crisis

i told you we don’t do a good job of

predicting what comes next

the opportunity for paris was to figure

out a way to address

both immigration refugees and

radicalization at the same time

as dealing with its climate challenges

to do that the city needed space

at 9.5 percent of its land paris has

some of the least amount of green space

for any world capital

paris officials led by chief resilience

officer sebastian mayer

started small in 2017 they chose three

schools in neighborhoods

that primarily serve immigrant and

low-income communities

with the help of students climate change

activists

school construction authority and

immigrant advocates the city

redesigned those spaces to include

light-colored building materials bushes

and trees

to address the heat permeable surfaces

to capture and hold rain water

and they opened the spaces on off hours

on the weekends of the community

so that the immigrants and refugees the

city’s newest members

had a place to meet mingle and to make

sense of their new home

again let’s notice the resilience

dividend an intervention that starts

with one purpose

in this case to break the urban heat

island through cool green spaces

and adds other benefits to make the

community stronger

and more resilient here paris improved

storm water management and community

access

to protect against floods and mitigate

radicalization caused by isolation

the project was wildly popular and now

paris has both

plans and budget to do all 561 schools

which account for more than 700 acres of

land

but these projects don’t have to be big

and they don’t have to be city-led

here’s a final example from re-powering

london a non-profit forum to help social

housing residents convert to solar power

although their core work is solar power

on rooftops

the team noticed vacant lots near rail

stations

the community-based organization worked

out a deal with the london transport

agency

to use these discarded parcels and the

energy garden was born

it began as another way to introduce

solar power into communities but thanks

to integrated design

by the group they discovered other

resilience dividends

there are now 34 energy gardens across

greater london and they account for

thousands of square meters

of repurposed trackside land just this

act alone cleaning and greening vacant

space can have a

major effect on the community

just to give you one data point a 2018

study in philadelphia looking at the

impact of simple

cheap greening of vacant lots found that

it had significant impact on mental

health of the community

it decreased feeling depressed by 42

percent

for those living near the lots as

opposed to the control group

in london the garden teams installed

solar panels and sold that power back to

the grid

this provides a revenue source and

demonstrates the benefits of small

renewable energy projects the teams also

had hundreds of volunteers and community

groups they engaged local authorities

they held public consultations

because they knew that part of this

effort was building cohesive communities

which ultimately leads

to a more resilient neighborhood and

city

finally the gardens are small examples

of what every city needs

healthy local food and biodiversity

community members they harvested a

variety of vegetables

and spring flower supported bees which

are critical to biodiversity

and so important on our cities and yet

the bee populations are declining in

london and cities

all around the world and

hops were used to make energy garden ale

which we all know is the official drink

of any crisis

like the paris school yards and the

medellin gondolas but on a smaller scale

each of these outcomes

builds strength and capacity across

multiple areas

strengthening the neighborhood in the

community so that it can respond recover

and grow in the face of all shocks

i’m going to leave you with one last

story before we finish up

earlier i mentioned that years ago i

worked at the new york city office of

emergency management

i’ve just completed a three months of

comment there to help the city through

the most acute phase of the covid

pandemic

i supported the city’s food czar and

helped

design and implement the emergency food

home delivery program

bringing meals to covet and food

vulnerable new yorkers

at its peak we’re delivering more than a

million meals a day

and that’s impressive and important work

and of that i am incredibly proud and

grateful

but it was a blunt tool at a citywide

scale we didn’t have the ability to

truly understand vulnerability

and deliver the appropriate meals

whether that was vegetarian halal

kosher prepared meals or pantry boxes

or culturally sensitive meals for the

vast immigrant populations we were

serving

our partnerships with community-based

organizations served us well but we

needed more

only at a community level working with

community leaders can we truly

understand

a neighborhood’s needs to do that to

really build resilience

we need to get down at that level and

strengthen the city and the

neighborhoods that we’re working at

as you start to think about what 2020

has in store for you

the rest of the way or what’s around the

corner in 2021 or 2025

you might possibly start to ask yourself

what you can do in the face of it all

as you emerge from lockdown what can we

do

differently so that we’re ready for the

next big thing

my advice to you is act small but act

now

join a local organization clean up a

vacant lot

get to know your neighbors this act

alone will make your city

your community your neighborhood more

resilient

and i suspect this is going to be

important in the years

and months to come thank you very much

[Music]

you

[音乐]

所以

[掌声]

当你回顾 2020 年 10 年

5 年 甚至 1 年 你会

记得最难忘

的在家工作 拼命想

在一台笔记本电脑上让孩子在家上学

你生病了吗 你会想

你的工作吗 失去或减薪

你会记得乔治·弗洛伊德和

他的谋杀引发的抗议,

或者你自己的种族主义经历

会创造更清晰的回忆,

或者对我们所有人来说,最糟糕的事情还没有到来

毕竟我们仍然需要

熬过飓风

和野火季节,

现在才 7 月,但 2020 年感觉就像是

一生

,它比大多数

人在十年中看到的冲击更大

什么

可能是有记录以来最热的夏天之一,

如果我告诉你

,在五年或十年内,2020 年可能

看起来不会那么特别

,未来几年唯一

肯定会带来的事情会怎样?

更多的灾难

更多的极端天气事件 更多失效的

系统

更复杂的冲击

我们面临的挑战可能会感到

压倒性的太大而无法计划或

应对,

尤其是当它们相互叠加时

坏消息

是这些挑战中的每一个都是合谋

造成的 其他情况更糟

每一次冲击性大流行性热浪洪水

都变得更糟,反过来又加剧

了气候变化

潜在压力 贫困和脆弱,

因此循环再次开始,

但这是一个重要的想法,让我们不要

将这些视为单独的

事物 需要流行病

解决方案的大流行 需要热浪解决方案的

热浪,而是需要热浪

解决方案

的风险和

机遇网络

有好消息链接 这些而

不是

孤立地对待它们使我们有机会

在过去的十年里,

一个新的领域出现了,称为

城市复原力,它的创新是

认识

到这些风险和社区面临的风险

可以而且应该一起看待,

通过立即解决这些问题,我们可以使

我们的社区

更强大,更有弹性

无论接下来发生的事情如何,

这很重要,原因有两个,

首先

是我们没有做好

预测下一次危机的工作,

在 90 年代末

和 2000 年代

初担任纽约应急管理副专员 90 年代末,我们认为下

一件大事是飓风

袭击纽约,

然后在 9 月 11 日,两架飞机飞入两座

建筑物

,在随后的几年里,我们收到了炭疽

信件,飞机在皇后区坠毁

,2003 年东北部大停电

,2008 年金融危机 只有在

2012 年

,我们才有了超级风暴桑迪,

社区如何才能理解并同时

所有这些事件做好准备?

答案是建立 str 在

他们的系统中

满足他们最弱势群体的基本需求

与强大的利益相关者一起发展良好的治理

促进多样化和公平的

经济 支持有凝聚力的

社区 邻居检查

邻居

所有这些都以可持续

基础设施为基础 你有利于

多用途

所有这些 能力帮助城市

从风险和逆境中恢复并在事实上成长

这并不容易

20 世纪

交通经济发展

社会服务的特定学科周围开始出现孤岛,

因为专家谈话似乎更有效率

专家,但我们推出了 100 个韧性

城市

和后来的韧性城市催化剂,以

帮助城市改变他们处理

风险和机会

的方式,以更综合的包容性

和战略性方式做到这一点让我举三个

例子来说明这如何在整个范围内发挥作用

小天平我告诉过你

大想法是 o 将我们的挑战

视为相互关联的,并尝试共同解决

这个想法部分来自

1990 年代的哥伦比亚麦德林,

今天麦德林在

世界上最宜居的城市之一蓬勃发展,

但当时它充斥着

暴力和谋杀

麦德林卡特尔

和臭名昭著的巴勃罗埃斯科巴的所在地,它

正处于完全崩溃的边缘,

以解决这种

暴力

问题 哥伦比亚的策划者研究

了犯罪的原因

麦德林是一座山城,正如你

在这里看到的那样,它的主要经济中心

位于山谷中 floor

及其最贫困的社区

岌岌可危地

栖息在

山坡上 麦德林所做的是

设计一个新的交通系统

,帮助这些社区连接到

快速公交开始的经济机会 进入贡多拉

,最后进入自动扶梯,对于许多人来说,它

减少了一半以上的通勤时间

,当然当局确实杀死了埃斯科巴

,他们确实解散了卡特尔,

但部分原因是

麦德林最贫穷的

谋杀和暴力事件的生存机会有所提高,随后发生的暴力事件减少了近 90

%

15 年

以来,该计划还带来了其他好处和

影响,

帮助麦德林变得更强大、更有

弹性

、改善了空气质量、减少

了城市的碳足迹、

改善了经济和更强大的

社区,因为通勤时间减少了

,这就是我们所说的 复原力

红利 一种干预措施,

在这种情况下以一个目的开始,

通过增加

经济机会来打破暴力循环,并

带来减少

脆弱性和提高复原力的其他好处

让我们前往巴黎,

看看在 2014 年更接近现在的情况

当我第一次见到巴黎市

长安·希尔达戈时,她非常关注气候问题

她想谈谈泛滥的城市

高温

和空气污染,但 2015 年发生了

两起恐怖袭击和一场难民

危机

应对气候挑战的同时解决移民难民和激进化问题,

以实现该城市

9.5% 的土地所需的空间 巴黎拥有

世界上任何首都城市中

由首席复原力官领导的绿色空间最少的部分

塞巴斯蒂安·迈耶 (sebastian mayer)

于 2017 年从小开始,他们

学生气候变化

活动家

学校建设当局和

移民倡导者的帮助下选择了主要为移民和低收入社区服务的社区中的三所学校,该市

重新设计了这些空间,包括

浅色建筑材料灌木

和树木

解决热渗透表面

以捕获和保持雨水

,他们打开了 e 在社区周末的非工作时间开放空间,

以便移民和难民在

城市的最新成员

有一个见面的地方,让

他们再次了解他们的新家

案例

通过凉爽的绿色空间打破城市热岛,

并增加其他好处,使

社区更强大

和更有弹性巴黎改进了

雨水管理和社区

准入,

以防止洪水和减轻

因隔离造成的激进化

该项目广受欢迎,现在是

巴黎 有

计划和预算来完成所有 561 所学校的建设

,这些学校占地超过 700 英亩,

但这些项目不必很大

,也不必由城市主导

这是伦敦重新供电的最后一个例子

帮助社会住房居民转换为太阳能的非营利性论坛,

尽管他们的核心工作是

屋顶太阳能

团队注意到附近的空地 r 火车站

这个社区组织

与伦敦交通局达成协议,

使用这些废弃的包裹,

能源花园诞生

复原力红利

现在在大伦敦有 34 个能源花园

,它们占据了

数千平方米

的重新利用的轨道旁土地,仅这一

行为就

可以

对社区产生重大影响,

只是为了给你一个 2018 年

研究的数据点 在费城,

研究简单

廉价绿化空地的影响,发现

它对社区的心理健康产生了重大影响,与伦敦的对照组

相比,居住在空地附近的人的抑郁情绪降低了 42%

太阳能电池板并将该电力卖

回电网,

这提供了收入来源和

展示小型

可再生能源项目的好处 团队

还有数百名志愿者和社区

团体 他们与地方当局接触

他们进行了公众咨询

因为他们知道这项

工作的一部分是建立有凝聚力的

社区 最终

导致更具弹性的社区和

城市

花园

是每个城市需要的小例子

健康的当地食物和生物多样性

社区成员收获了

各种蔬菜

和春花支持的蜜蜂,

这些蜜蜂对生物

多样性至关重要,对我们的城市非常重要,但

伦敦和城市

的蜜蜂数量正在下降 在世界各地,

啤酒花被用来制作能量花园啤酒

,我们都知道这是任何危机的官方饮品

比如巴黎校园和

麦德林缆车,但在较小的规模

上,这些成果中的每一个都

在多个领域建立了力量和能力,

加强了 社区中的邻里

所以 t 帽子它可以应对

所有的冲击恢复和成长

我要给你最后一个

故事在我们之前完成

之前我提到几年前我

在纽约市应急管理办公室工作

我刚刚完成 在那里发表了三个月的

评论,以帮助

纽约市度过新冠病毒

流行的最

严重

阶段 每天提供超过

100 万份餐食

,这是一项令人印象深刻且重要的工作

,对此我感到无比自豪和

感激,

但在全市范围内,这是一个生硬的工具,

我们没有能力

真正了解脆弱性

并提供适当的餐食

无论是为我们与 com 合作服务的广大移民群体

准备的清真犹太素食餐、食品储藏盒

还是文化敏感餐

以社区为基础的

组织为我们提供了很好的服务,但我们

需要更多的

只是在社区层面与

社区领袖合作,我们才能真正

了解社区的需求,从而

真正建立弹性,

我们需要在那个层面上下来并

加强城市和

社区 我们正在努力,

当您开始思考 2020 年

的剩余时间或

2021 年或 2025 年

即将发生的事情时,您可能会开始问自己

,面对这一切,您能做些什么,

因为 你从封锁中走出来,我们可以

做些什么

不同的事情,这样我们才能为

下一件大事

做好准备 城市

你的社区你的社区更有

弹性

,我怀疑这在未来

的几年

和几个月里会很重要非常感谢你

[音乐]