Fractals and the art of roughness Benoit Mandelbrot

[Music]

[Applause]

thank you very much please excuse me for

sitting I’m very old

well the topic I’m going to discuss is

one which is in a certain sense very

peculiar because it’s very old roughness

is part of human life forever and

forever and ancient authors have written

about it it was very much on

controllable and in a certain sense it

seemed to be the extreme of complexity

just a mess a mess a mess the many

different kinds of a mess now

in fact by complete fluke I got involved

many years ago in the study of this form

of complexity and to my utter amazement

I found traces very strong cases i’ma

say of order in that roughness and so

today I would like to present to you a

few of examples of what this represents

I prefer to the word roughness to the

word irregularity because irregularity -

somebody had had Latin in my long past

use means the country of regularity but

it is not so regularity is a country of

roughness because the basic aspect of

the world is very rough so let me show

you a few objects some of them

artificial other of them very real in a

certain sense and now this video is a

cauliflower now wider short cauliflower

a very ordinary an ancient vegetable

because all the ancient as maybe it’s

very complicated and it’s very simple

both the same time if you try to wait of

course is very easy to wait and I eat it

than the way it matters but suppose

suppose you try to measure its surface

well it’s very interesting if you’d cut

with short knife one of the florets

electron flower and look additi

separately you think

whole cauliflower was smaller and then

you cut again again again again again

again again again and still gets more

cauliflower so the experience of

humanity has always been that there are

some shapes which have this peculiar

property that each part is like the

whole but smaller now what did you want

to do with that very very little so what

I did actually stoom is to study the

this this problem and found something

quite quite surprising that one can

measure roughness by number number two

point three one point two and sometimes

much more when one day a friend of mine

to bug me he brought the pictures it

what is the roughness of this this curve

I said well just short of one point five

was 1.48 now it didn’t in any time I’ve

been looking at these things for so long

so these numbers are the numbers usually

denoted the roughness of the these

surfaces hasten to say that each surface

is completely artificial done on a

computer and the only input is a number

and that number is roughness and so on

the left

I took it the roughness copied from many

landscapes to the right

I took a higher roughness so the eye

after a while can distinguish these two

very well humanity had to learn about

measuring roughness this is very rough

and this is sort of smooth and is

perfectly smooth very few pieces are

very smooth so then he’ll try to to ask

questions how was surface a cauliflower

well you you measure a measure measure

each term look closer it gets bigger

down to very very small distances what’s

the length of coastline of the legs the

closer to measure the longer it is the

concept of length across line which

seems to be so natural because it’s

given in many places is in fact from

fallacy there’s no such thing you must

do it differently what good is that to

know these things well surprisingly

enough is good in many ways to begin

with especially landscapes which I

invented sort of are used in in cinema

all the time we see motifs in distance

they may be mountains but they may be

just formula just blanked on now it’s

very easy to do it was used to be very

time-consuming but now it’s nothing now

look at that

that’s real longer now along with

something very strange if you take this

thing you know very well it weighs very

little the volume of a long is very

small but what about the area of the

lung anatomist were arguing very much

about that some said that normal normal

males long has an area inside of a

basketball and the other said no five

basketballs enormous disagreements why

so because in fact the area of the lung

is something very ill-defined the the

bronchi branch from a tree branch and

the branch not because in the stop

branching not because of of any matter

of principle but because of physical

concept consideration democracy which is

in the longer so what happens is that

way we have much bigger long but if it’s

branches the branches down to distance

is about the same for well for man and

for a little rodent so now what good is

it to have that well surprisingly enough

amazingly enough the anatomist had a

very poor idea of the structure of the

long until very recently and I think

that my mathematics surprisingly enough

has been a great help to them to the

surgeons studying along illnesses and

also kidney illnesses all these

branching systems which were for which

Tourneau geometry so I found myself in

other words constructing a geometry a

geometry of things which had no geometry

and surprising as the

it is that very often the rules of this

geometry are extremely short you have

formulas that long any client it several

times sometimes repeatedly again again

again the same a petition and at the end

you get things like that this cloud is

completely 100% artificial well ninety

nine point nine and the only part which

is natural is a number the roughness of

the cloud which is taken from nature

something so complicated cloud so

unstable so varying should have a simple

rule behind it now the simple rule

doesn’t is not exponential cloud and the

sea of clouds had to take account of it

I don’t know how how it much had

advanced these pictures are the old I

was very much involved in it but then

turn my attention to other phenomena now

here is another thing which is rather

interesting one of the shattering events

in the history of mathematics which is

not appreciated by many people occurred

about ten thirty years ago around forty

five years ago mathematicians began to

create shapes that didn’t exist

mathematicians brought into into

self-praise an extent which was

absolutely amazing that man can invent

things that nature did not know in

particular it could invent things like a

curve which fills the plane curve the

curve a plane the plane and to won’t mix

well they do mix a man named piano did

define such curves and it became an

object of extraordinary interest it’s

very important but mostly interest

because a kind of break a separation

between the mathematics coming from

reality on the one hand a numismatist

coming from pure minds mind well I was

very sorry to point out that the pure my

man’s mind has in fact seen at long last

what had been seen for a long time and

so here I introduce something the set of

rivers of a plane

filling curve and well it’s a story unto

itself so it was in 1825 825 an

extraordinary period in which

mathematics prepares itself to break out

from the world and the objects which

were used as examples when I was a child

and an A student as examples of the

break between mathematics and visible

reality those objects I turned them

completely around I use them for

describing some of the aspects of the

complexity of nature when a man named

hausdorff in 1919 introduced a number

which was a just mathematical joke and I

found that this number was a good

measurement of roughness when I first

told my friends in mathematics I said oh

don’t don’t be silly it’s just something

well actually I was city gate painter

hawks I knew it very well

the things on the ground are algin he

did not know the mathematics it didn’t

exist and he was Japanese we didn’t have

no contact with the West but painting

for a long time had the flat side that

we speak of that for a long time the

Eiffel Tower has a fractal aspect and I

read the book that mr. Eiffel wrote

about his tower and indeed it was

astonishing how much he understood this

is a mess mess mess

Brian loop one day I decided halfway

through my career I was helped by so

many things in my work I decided to test

myself could I just look at something

which everybody had been looking at for

a long time and find something

geometrically new well as I looked at at

this at this same Cobra emotion just

goes around I made it I played with it

for a while that may return to the

origin then I was telling my assistant I

don’t see anything can you paint it so

he painted it which means that he put

inside everything so when this thing

came artist stop stop stop I see it in

Island and then amazing so Brian motion

which happens to have roughly so number

who goes around I measured it 1.33 again

again again long measurements big bowel

motions 1.33 mathematical problem how to

prove it

it took my friends 20 years three of

them were having incomplete proofs they

brought together and together had the

proof so they got a big metal

mathematics one of the three metals that

people received for proving things we

should have seen without being able to

prove them now everybody had asked at

one point another how did it all start

what brought you in that strange

business what brought you to be at the

same time a mechanical engineer

geographer a mathematician and so on a

physicist well actually I started

oddly enough studying stock market

prices and so here I had this table to

this theory and I wrote books about it

financial crises increments to the left

you see data over long periods with the

right on that on top you see a theory

which is very very fashionable it was

very easy you can write many books very

fast about it so the top traveling’s of

books on that now compare that with the

real price increments and when a real

price increments well these other lines

includes some real price increments and

some forgeries chart data so the idea

there was that one must be able to undo

to how to say a model price variation

and it went see me well fifty years ago

for 50 years people were sort of pulling

this because they would do it much much

much easier but I tell you at this point

people listen to me

this these two curves are averages

thunder and poor the blue one and the

red one is standard pour from which the

five biggest discontinuities are are

taken out now the spot annuities are a

nuisance so in all of many studies of

prices one push them aside

well Axelrod and you have little

nonsense which is left the Axelrod on

this picture as are five Axelrod are as

important and everything else in other

words it is not Axelrod that we should

put aside that is the meet

the problem if you master these you

master price and if you don’t master

this you can master the noise as well as

you can but it’s not important

well here are the curves for it now I

get the final thing which is the set of

which which my name attached them in

anyway it’s a story of my life my

adolescence was spent the German

occupation of France and since I thought

that I might may vanish within a day or

the week I had very big dreams and after

the war I saw an uncle again my own

clothes very prominent a magician he

told me look there’s a problem which I

could not solve twenty-five years ago

and which nobody had to solve this is

construction of man named Julia and

number two if you could if you could

find something new anything he will get

your career mail

very simple so I looked and like the

thousands of people are try before I

found nuttin but then the computer came

and I decided to apply computer not to

new problems mathematics like this legal

because that were new problem to old

problems and that went from what’s

called real numbers which two points

online to imagine complex numbers which

are points in the plane which is what

one should do there and this shape came

out this shape is of an extraordinary

complication the equation is sittin

there Z goes into the square plus C it’s

so simple so drive is so unint

sting now you turn the crank one twice

twice Marvel’s come out I mean this

comes out III don’t want to explain

these things this comes out this comes

out shapes which are of such

complication such harmony and such

beauty this comes out repeatedly again

again again and that was one of my major

discoveries to find that these islands

were the same as a whole big thing more

or less and then you get these extra

neighbor oak decoration all over the

place all that from this little formula

which have has whatever five symbols in

it and then this one the color was added

for two reasons first of all because

these shapes are so complicated that one

couldn’t make any sense of the numbers

and if you plot them you must choose

some system and so my principle has been

to always present the shapes with

different colorings because some

colorings emphasize that another has

data on that it’s so complicated

in 1990 I was in famous you came to see

a prize from the University and a few

days later a pilot was flying over the

landscape and found this thing so where

did it come from obviously from the

extra-terrestrial well so the newspaper

in Cambridge published an article about

that discovery and received the next day

5,000 letters from people saying but

that’s simply Mandelbrot set is very big

well let me finish this shape here just

came out of an exercise in pure

mathematics bottomless wonders spring

from simple rules which are repeated

without end thank you very much

[Applause]

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[Applause]

[Music]

[Applause]

[Music]

[音乐]

[鼓掌]

非常感谢请

原谅我老

了 我现在要讨论的话题

在某种意义上是非常

奇特的 因为它很古老 粗糙

永远是人类生活的一部分

永远和古代的作者都

写过它,它非常

可控,从某种意义上说,它

似乎是复杂性的极端,

只是一团糟,一团糟

,一团糟,现在有许多不同种类的一团糟

,实际上完全是侥幸。

多年前参与了对这种

复杂性形式的研究,令我惊讶的是,

我发现了非常有力的案例,我

说的是那种粗糙的秩序,所以

今天我想向你们展示

一些例子来说明这代表什么

我更喜欢粗糙这个词而不是

不规则这个词,因为不规则——

在我很久以前,有人用拉丁语

表示规则的国家,但

它并不是一个规则的国家,

因为世界的基本方面

是 很粗糙,所以让我给

你看一些物体,其中一些是

人造的,另一些在

某种意义上

非常真实

如果您尝试等待,那么两者都非常简单

当然很容易等待而且我吃它

的方式比它重要的方式但是

假设您尝试很好地测量它的表面

如果您用短刀切割它会非常有趣

小花的

电子花和分开看,

你认为

整个花椰菜更小,然后

你再切一次再切一次再切

一次,仍然得到更多的

花椰菜,所以人类的经验

一直是

有些形状具有这种特殊

性质 每个部分都像整体一样,

但现在更小了,你

想用这非常少的东西做什么,所以

我实际上做的是研究

这个这个问题和 f 发现一些

非常令人惊讶的东西,一个人可以

通过数字二

点三点二测量粗糙度,有时

甚至更多,当有一天我的一个

朋友打扰我时,他带来了照片它

这条曲线的粗糙度是多少

我说得很好只是 少一点五

是 1.48 现在它没有任何时候我

一直在看这些东西

所以这些数字是通常

表示这些表面的粗糙度的数字

赶紧说每个表面

都是完全人工完成的 在

电脑上,唯一的输入是一个数字

,这个数字是粗糙度,所以左边

我把它从许多风景中复制的粗糙度

到右边

我取了一个更高的粗糙度,所以

一段时间后眼睛可以很好地区分这两个

人类 必须学习

测量粗糙度 这是非常粗糙的

,这有点光滑,

非常光滑,很少有零件

非常光滑,所以他会尝试问

问题表面是如何形成的

降低你测量的程度 测量

每个术语 看起来更近 它会变大

到非常小的距离

腿的海岸线长度是多少

测量得越近 越长 它是

跨线长度的概念,这

似乎很自然,因为 它

在很多地方给出实际上是

出于谬误没有这样的事情你必须以

不同的方式做这件事有什么好处

知道这些事情令人惊讶

地在很多方面都很好

特别是我

发明的风景在电影中使用

我们一直在远处看到图案,

它们可能是山脉,但它们可能

只是公式,只是空白现在

它很容易做到,过去非常

耗时,但现在没什么了,

现在看起来真的更长了

很奇怪的东西如果你拿这个

东西你很清楚它的重量很

轻长的体积

很小但是

肺解剖学家争论不休的区域

呢 有人说正常的正常

男性长在一个篮球里面有一个区域

而另一个说没有五个

篮球巨大的分歧为什么会

这样,因为实际上肺的区域

是非常不明确的,

树枝上的支气管分支

和 分支不是因为停止

分支不是因为任何

原则问题而是因为物理

概念考虑民主这

是更长的所以发生的事情是

这样我们有更大的长度但是如果它是

分支分支到

距离大约是 对人类

和小啮齿动物来说都是一样的,所以现在有什么好处?

研究疾病

和肾脏疾病的

外科医生有

很大帮助 换句话说,我发现自己在

构建一个几何图形,一个

没有几何图形的事物的几何图形

,令人惊讶

的是,这种几何图形的规则

通常非常短,你有

公式可以让任何客户长它

几次,有时又重复一遍又

一遍相同 一个请愿书,最后

你会得到这样的东西,这个云

完全是 100% 人工井九十

九点九,唯一

自然的部分是一个数字

,云的粗糙度,它取自大自然

,如此复杂的云,如此

不稳定,所以 变化应该有一个简单的

规则现在这个简单的规则

不是不是指数云和

云海必须考虑到它

我不知道它有多

先进这些图片是旧的

我非常非常 参与其中,但随后

将注意力转向其他现象,

这是另一件相当

有趣的事情,这是数学史上令人震惊的事件

之一

被许多人赞赏的事情发生在

大约十三十年前 大约四

十五年前,数学家开始

创造不存在的形状

数学家自夸到了

一个

绝对惊人的程度,人类可以发明

自然界特别不知道的东西

它可以发明诸如

填充平面的曲线之类的东西 曲线

曲线 平面 平面并且不能

很好地混合 他们确实混合了一个名叫钢琴的人确实

定义了这样的曲线 它成为了一个

非常有趣的对象 它

非常重要但主要是兴趣

因为一方面打破

了数学与现实之间的分离,

一个钱币学家

来自纯粹的头脑,我

很遗憾地指出,我的

男人的头脑实际上终于

看到了所见的东西 很长一段时间,

所以在这里我介绍了一些

平面

填充曲线的河流,它本身就是一个故事,

所以它在 1825 825 是一个

非凡的

数学准备自己

从世界中脱颖而出的 iod 以及

我小时候

和学生时代用作示例的对象 作为

数学与可见现实之间断裂的示例

我将它们完全翻转的对象

我将它们用于

1919 年,一位名叫豪斯多夫的人介绍

了一个数学笑话,他描述了自然复杂

性的一些方面

别傻了,

其实我是城门画家

鹰派,我很清楚

地上的东西是海藻,他

不知道数学它不

存在,他是日本人,我们没有

没有接触过西方,但绘画

有很长一段时间我们所说的平坦的一面,

埃菲尔铁塔有分形的一面,我

读了先生的书。 埃菲尔写了

关于他的塔的文章,确实

令人惊讶的是,他多么理解这

是一团糟,一团糟,

布赖恩循环有一天我决定在

我的职业生涯中途我得到了

很多工作中的帮助我决定测试

自己我能不能看看

每个人都在看

很长时间的东西,并在几何上找到了一些

新的东西,就像我

在同样的眼镜蛇情绪中看到的那样,

我做了它我玩

了一段时间,可能会回到

原点,然后我是 告诉我的助手我

什么都没看到你能画吗所以

他画了这意味着他把

所有东西都放在里面所以当这东西

来的时候艺术家停止停止停止我在岛上看到它

然后很神奇所以布赖恩的

动作恰好有大致如此

走动的人数 我再次测量 1.33

再次测量 长时间测量 大

肠蠕动 1.33 数学问题 如何

证明

我的朋友花了 20 年时间

他们三个人的证据不完整 他们

带来 together and together 得到了

证明,所以他们得到了一个大的金属

数学,这是人们收到的三种金属之一,

用于证明我们

应该看到但无法

证明的

东西 在那个奇怪的

行业里,是什么让你同时成为了

一名机械工程师、

地理学家、数学家等等,

以及物理学家,实际上我开始

奇怪地研究股票市场

价格,所以在这里我有

这个理论的表格,我写了关于它的书

金融危机在左边

你看到了很长一段时间的数据,

右边在上面你看到一个

非常流行的理论

很容易你可以很快写很多

关于它的书所以现在顶级旅行的

书籍 将其与

实际价格增量进行比较,当实际

价格增量良好时,这些其他行

包括一些实际价格增量和

一些伪造图表数据,因此 ide

有一个人必须能够撤销

如何说模型价格变化

,它在 50 年前对我来说很好看

,50 年来人们有点拉

这个,因为他们这样做会

容易得多,但我告诉你 这点

人们听我说

这两条曲线是

雷声和差的平均值蓝色一条和

红色一条是标准倾倒,从中取出

五个最大的不连续性

现在现货年金是一个

麻烦所以在所有价格研究中

一个把它们推到一边,

Axelrod,你就没有什么

废话了,

这张照片上的 Axelrod 和五个 Axelrod 一样

重要,其他一切,

换句话说,我们不应该

把 Axelrod 放在一边,

如果你掌握,那就是解决问题 这些你

掌握价格,如果你不掌握

这个,你可以尽可能地掌握噪音,

但这并不重要,

这里是曲线现在我

得到最后的东西,这是

我的名字的集合 无论如何,我都附上了它们,

这是我一生的故事我的

青春期是在德国

占领法国度过的,因为我

认为我可能会在一天或一周内消失,

所以我有很大的梦想,

战后我再次见到了我的叔叔 自己的

衣服非常显眼一个魔术师他

告诉我看有一个问题我

在 25 年前

无法解决,没有人需要解决这个问题是

建造一个名叫 Julia 的人,

如果可以的话,如果你能

找到新的东西,那就是第二个他 会让

你的职业邮件变得

非常简单,所以我看起来和

成千上万的人在我找到 nuttin 之前都在尝试,

但后来电脑来了

,我决定用电脑而不是

像这样的法律数学这样的

新问题,因为那是旧

问题的新问题和 那从

所谓的实数

开始

异常

复杂 方程式就

在那里 Z 进入正方形加上 C 它是

如此简单所以驱动器是如此无

刺现在你将曲柄转动

两次 Marvel 出来我的意思是这

出来了 III 不想解释

这些事情这来了 出来的

形状如此

复杂,如此和谐,如此

美丽,

再次出现,这是我的主要发现之一,

发现这些岛屿

或多或少是一个整体

,然后你得到 这些额外的

邻居橡木装饰

到处都是这个小配方

,里面有五个

符号,然后这个颜色被添加

有两个原因首先是因为

这些形状太复杂以至于一个

人无法做出任何 数字的感觉

,如果你绘制它们,你必须选择

一些系统,所以我的原则

是总是用

不同的颜色呈现形状,因为有些

颜色强调 另一个有

数据表明它

在 1990 年非常复杂,我很有名,你

来看大学的奖品,

几天后,一名飞行员飞过

景观并发现了这个东西,那么

它显然是从哪里来的 -

因此

,剑桥的报纸发表了一篇关于

这一发现的文章,并在第二天收到了

5,000 封人们的来信,他们说

但这只是曼德布罗集非常大,

让我在这里完成这个形状刚刚

从纯数学的练习中出来

无尽的奇迹春天

从简单的规则

重复下去非常感谢

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