Where will you be able to live in 20 years Carol Farbotko and Ingrid Boas

Mohammadpur has always had
a unique relationship with the weather.

Located at the mouth of the Bay of Bengal,

this coastal village was built
on top of the Meghna River delta.

Deltas are a kind of landmass formed
when sediment carried by rivers

is deposited where that river meets
a larger body of water.

River deltas are incredibly fertile
ecosystems

capable of supporting abundant agriculture
and marine life.

However, their borders gradually change
as rivers bring more sediment in

and storms wash sediment away.

The residents of Mohammadpur are well
accustomed to managing

the ebbs and flows of this ever-shifting
landscape.

But lately, an abundance of intense
cyclones have caused frequent flooding

that impedes farming and fishing.

These floods also erode the coastline,

allowing later storms to wipe
away land altogether.

Since 2000, the Meghna River has overtaken
the coastline by 2.5 kilometers,

forcing many villagers to move inland
or to nearby cities.

Mohammadpur isn’t the only place
where erratic weather

is impacting people’s mobility.

Repeated typhoons in the Philippines have
displaced thousands from their homes.

In Fiji, the government is already moving
many coastal villages inland

to get ahead of predicted land loss.

And in the United States,

melting permafrost is causing chunks
of the Alaskan coastline to erode.

In some ways, this is nothing new.

Humanity has always adapted
to changing weather

and moved to regions that best support
cultural lifestyles and livelihoods.

However, scientists agree
that this rise in extreme weather

is a by-product of Earth’s
rapidly changing climate.

Global warming increases the frequency and
intensity of storms, flooding and drought,

while also melting polar ice caps
and raising sea levels.

These factors are changing the environment
much faster than they have in the past.

Even for communities with the resources
to take action,

the variable pace and nature of these
changes makes them difficult to adapt to.

And the vulnerable populations most
impacted by climate change

are often those least responsible.

Many facing climate mobility live
in farming and fishing communities

in countries that generate dramatically
fewer emissions

than their larger counterparts.

Bangladesh is one such country.

The nation has a unique combination
of low-lying geography

and heavily populated coastal regions.

Most of these vulnerable coastal families,
like those in Mohammadpur,

don’t want to abandon
their homes and livelihoods.

And for others, leaving Bangladesh
isn’t financially practical.

So to stay with their communities,

many have moved a few meters inland

and built more resilient homes
on higher ground or elevated stilts.

Others have tried to buy land on newly
emerging islands in the delta,

while some have sent family members
to find work in nearby cities.

A handful of individuals might even cross
international borders,

if they have family, friends, or work
connections on the other side.

But many of the residents who’ve left
are eager to return home.

Unfortunately, it’s unclear when
weather extremes will die down,

and the government has repeatedly delayed
projects to build concrete embankments

that would prevent further erosion.

In other parts of the world,

people couldn’t move inland
even if they wanted to.

The low-lying Pacific Island nations
of Kiribati and Tuvalu

are only 811 square kilometers
and 26 square kilometers, respectively;

so migration would mean moving
to a different country altogether.

Instead, their governments and citizens
have united

in physically, legally, and politically
fortifying their countries.

Island residents are planting
coastal mangrove forests,

and building up low-lying areas of land
with dredged sand

to shield themselves against storms
and rising sea levels.

And the islands’ governments have
repeatedly lobbied on the global stage

for countries with the highest emissions
to reduce pollution

and take responsibility
for climate change.

The challenges facing
each coastal community are unique,

and the diversity of the people’s
experiences can make climate mobility

a difficult phenomenon
to measure and define.

But as new communities are endangered
by extreme weather,

it’s more important than ever
to listen to those

on the front lines of this crisis.

穆罕默德布尔一直
与天气有着独特的关系。 这个沿海村庄

位于孟加拉湾口,


在梅格纳河三角洲的顶部。

三角洲是
当河流携带的沉积物

沉积在河流
与更大的水体相遇时形成的一种陆地。

河流三角洲是极其肥沃的
生态系统,

能够支持丰富的农业
和海洋生物。

然而,
随着河流带来更多的沉积物

和风暴冲走沉积物,它们的边界逐渐发生变化。

Mohammadpur 的居民非常
习惯于管理

这片不断变化的景观的潮起潮落

但最近,大量强烈的
气旋造成频繁的洪水

,阻碍了农业和渔业。

这些洪水还侵蚀了海岸线,

使后来的风暴完全摧毁
了土地。

自 2000 年以来,梅格纳河已
超过海岸线 2.5 公里,

迫使许多村民迁往内陆
或附近城市。

穆罕默德布尔并不是唯一一个
天气不稳定

影响人们出行的地方。

菲律宾屡次遭受台风袭击,导致
数千人流离失所。

在斐济,政府已经将
许多沿海村庄迁往内陆,

以赶在预计的土地流失之前。

在美国,

永久冻土融化正在导致
阿拉斯加海岸线的大片侵蚀。

在某些方面,这并不是什么新鲜事。

人类一直在适应
不断变化的天气,

并迁移到最能支持
文化生活方式和生计的地区。

然而,科学家们一致
认为,极端天气的这种上升

是地球
气候迅速变化的副产品。

全球变暖增加
了风暴、洪水和干旱的频率和强度,

同时也融化了极地冰盖
并提高了海平面。

这些因素正在以
比过去更快的速度改变环境。

即使对于有
资源采取行动的社区来说

,这些变化的多变速度和性质也
使他们难以适应。

受气候变化影响最大的弱势群体

往往是最不负责任的群体。

许多面临气候流动的国家生活
在农业和渔业社区

,这些国家
的排放量

远低于较大的同行。

孟加拉国就是这样一个国家。

该国拥有独特
的低洼地理环境

和人口稠密的沿海地区。

大多数脆弱的沿海家庭,
比如穆罕默德布尔的家庭,

都不想放弃
他们的家园和生计。

对于其他人来说,离开孟加拉国
在经济上并不现实。

因此,为了留在他们的社区,

许多人已经向内陆移动了几米,


在更高的地面或高架高跷上建造了更具弹性的房屋。

其他人试图
在三角洲新兴岛屿上购买土地,

而一些人则派家人
到附近城市找工作。

如果他们在另一边有家人、朋友或工作
关系,少数人甚至可能跨越国际边界。

但许多离开的居民
都渴望回家。

不幸的是,目前还不清楚
极端天气何时会平息

,政府一再推迟
建造混凝土

路堤以防止进一步侵蚀的项目。

在世界其他地方,

人们即使想也不能搬到内陆

地势低洼的太平洋
岛国基里巴斯和图瓦卢

分别只有811平方公里
和26平方公里;

所以移民意味着
完全搬到另一个国家。

相反,他们的政府和
公民团结起来,

在物质上、法律上和政治上
加强他们的国家。

岛上居民正在种植
沿海红树林,


用疏浚的

沙子建造低洼地区,以抵御风暴
和海平面上升。

群岛政府
多次在全球舞台上游说

排放量最高的国家
减少污染


为气候变化承担责任。

每个沿海社区面临的挑战都是独一无二的

,人们经历的多样性
可能使气候流动性

成为一个
难以衡量和定义的现象。

但随着新社区
受到极端天气的威胁,倾听这场危机前线的

人们的声音比以往任何时候都更加重要