An Unfortunate Truth

we all know that two plus two equals

four

we know this so well that if i came up

and told you it was actually five you

would think

he’s crazy what would it take to

convince you otherwise

perhaps a renowned physicist could

create a mathematical analysis that

proves two plus two equals five

if such an analysis were created then

broadcast by major news sources

you may begin to question your own sense

of what’s true you may begin to feel

like the crazy one

in psychology this is a phenomenon known

as gaslighting

the american psychological association

defines gaslighting as manipulation so

severe it makes one question their own

experiences and understanding of reality

while this term is most popular in pop

psychology i argue that we are currently

living in an era of gaslighting science

whether it is climate change denial

allegations of mass voter fraud or

covid skepticism the presence of

pseudoscience and irrational beliefs are

evident

and actively lead to unnecessary

suffering and

death in order to combat the further

spread of pseudoscience and distrust of

science in this country

it’s important to learn about its

historical roots we need to educate

ourselves about how it impacts us

personally

on a worldwide scale and finally we need

to learn for ourselves

the true nature of scientific thought

while several industries have played

their hands in public manipulation such

as

cigarette companies fighting surgeon

general’s warnings today let’s highlight

exxon and the larger stakes of unchecked

climate change

exxon actually funded several studies

indicating a relationship between

climate change and our widespread

burning of coal oil and gas

this these studies were obviously

threats to their existence as a company

and industry

so once they saw the scientific

consensus piling up they began to take

action the company’s goal was not to

disprove their own findings

rather to discredit scientific

information

exxon’s ceo at the time lee raymond said

at the 1997 world petroleum congress

the case for so-called global warming is

far from airtight

there’s a lot we really don’t know about

how climate will change in the 21st

century and beyond

so before we make choices about global

climate policies we need an open debate

on the science

and analysis of the risks and a careful

consideration of the costs and benefits

he then publicized this misinformation

even to politicians

suggesting there was no consensus among

researchers meanwhile a majority of the

studies his own company funded

from 1977 through 2014 lined up with the

rest of the research

that fossil fuels did contribute to

climate change

this statement was false raymond knew it

and so did the politicians funded by his

lobbyists

the tactics used by exxon and other

fossil fuel giants have been devastating

the combination of their public

statements and financial endorsements of

politicians

at up to over 5 billion dollars since

the year 2000

and have decreased public belief in

climate change a 2016 pew research poll

found that only 48

of the us population believes climate

change is due to our own actions

the fossil fuel industry successfully

used their money to mislead the public

us in order to maintain their own

profits while continuing to destroy the

environment

right under our noses there is some

light at the end of the tunnel

a 2020 pew poll found that now roughly

two-thirds of us in the u.s

see climate change as a major issue and

want the federal government to do more

to address it

the difficulty is scientists estimate

that the cost for damages of climate

change could be in the magnitude of

trillions of dollars

not to mention the amount of lives lost

due to heat waves rising sea levels or

forest fires ravaging california

it would also require switching

completely to renewable energy sources

as soon as possible however passing

crucial legislation through congress

at this point seems unlikely due to

fossil fuel companies continued use of

misinformation

and lobby money with politicians we

continue to be divided

on the facts the dangers of science

denial had become especially clear in

the midst of the pandemic

a 30 year old texas man attended a

coveted party and said to his nurse

i think i made a mistake i thought this

was a hoax but it’s not

he died days later the fact is we in the

united states have the greatest number

of confirmed coveted cases in the world

even over countries with three times our

population

this is no coincidence the constant

efforts to gaslight

science consciously used by corporations

and political leaders

have made truth something that can be

changed

and we now face nearly 510 000

dead americans a number that rises as i

speak to you today

there’s perhaps no better example of the

dangers of misinformation than the

attack on our capital on january 6th

this year you’ve all seen plenty of

images and videos

of the group of several thousand

breaking into our highest political

building

in an attempt to change the results of

our election

here’s just one these individuals were

moved to violence by conspiracy theories

fictions of voter fraud and ideas that

simply

are not true okay

how do we fix this at the root of the

issue

is we do not have a firm grasp on the

basics of science and so have been led

to distrust its findings

the astronomer the late carl sagan has

said science is more than just a body of

knowledge it is a way of thinking

at its core science is a way we can

discover the truth

through skepticism one major feature of

scientific analysis is that it is

self-correcting and we saw this feature

at the beginning of the pandemic

while it may have looked as if

scientists were constantly changing

their minds whether to wear a mask or

not or

how serious is coven 19 anyway in

reality their minds had not been made up

a consensus had not been agreed upon yet

this is the cutting edge of science the

point of the scientific process

each piece of information were from

individual studies

that data would be used in combination

with all the rest and discussed among

other researchers in order to create

better explanations

nowadays scientists agree about the

severity of coven 19

but only after those original studies

were peer-reviewed and analyzed by

multiple different independent

researchers can we really say scientists

have

made up their minds in the case of

climate change their minds are made up

currently 18 scientific associations

agree that climate change is caused by

our own behaviors and habits

while in science skepticism and

questioning are always welcome

it would require truly groundbreaking

evidence to uproot the existing

conclusions

formed from decades of research

the best part is we can use science in

our daily lives

from conspiracy theories to astrology

alternative medicines or

even ghosts we can be skeptics about

what we witness or believe

we can educate ourselves about our own

biases such as searching for information

that confirms our opinions

what we need to do is compare our

experiences with others

and brainstorm the many possible

explanations for what occurs in our

world

instead of accepting the first one that

comes to mind

and most importantly we can learn to be

patient realizing that science is not as

easy as we would like

it is a grueling process of testing

retesting and peer review

that takes time miscalculations and

corrections

but after all that its conclusions can

be trusted

we must accept that science’s findings

are not immediate

not stumbled upon by chance and not

accepted on a whim

and we owe it to ourselves as human

beings

what we saw on january 6th was only a

glimpse

of what we may yet become yet we are

still capable

of such magnitudes of love compassion

creativity and

ingenuity we don’t discuss smallpox

today even though it killed billions

we wiped it out in the 80s we’ve saved

billions more

through modern medicine vaccines

sophisticated surgeries and medications

of all kinds

the progress we have made through

science is astounding

and we can look out to a limitless

future but we need to start now

we are at a turning point for the human

race

we face either all of the possibilities

of science

or a new dark age of superstition and

suffering

as with covid this disease

is strangling the us we’ve seen

some of what climate change can do the

full force is just on the horizon

yet we can’t even agree that two plus

two

equals four

you

我们都知道二加二等于

我们非常清楚这一点,如果我

上前告诉你实际上是五,

你会认为他疯了,要如何

说服你否则

也许一位著名的物理学家可以

创建一个数学分析来

证明 二加二等于五

如果创建了这样的分析然后

由主要新闻来源广播

你可能会开始质疑你自己

对什么是真实的感觉 你可能会开始觉得自己

是心理学上的疯子 这是一种被称为

美国心理学协会的煤气灯现象

将煤气灯定义为如此

严重的操纵,这让人质疑他们自己的

经历和对现实的理解,

而这个词在流行心理学中最受欢迎

or

covid skepticism

伪科学和非理性信念的存在是

显而易见的,

并积极导致 unnece ssary

痛苦和

死亡 为了打击伪科学在这个国家的进一步

传播和对科学的不信任,

了解它的历史根源很重要,

我们需要自我教育

,了解它如何

在全球范围内影响我们个人,最后我们

需要学习 我们自己

是科学思想的真正本质,

而一些行业已经

在公众操纵中发挥了作用,例如

香烟公司今天与外科

医生的警告作斗争让我们强调

埃克森美孚和不受控制的气候变化的更大风险

埃克森美孚实际上资助了几项研究,

表明

气候变化与我们的

煤炭石油和天然气的广泛燃烧,

这些研究显然

对他们作为一个公司和行业的存在构成了威胁,

所以一旦他们看到科学

共识的堆积,他们就开始采取

行动,公司的目标不是

反驳他们自己的发现,

而是抹黑科学

信息

埃克森美孚首席执行官 李雷蒙德

在 1997 年世界石油大会上说,

所谓的全球变暖

远非无懈可击

,我们真的不知道

21 世纪及以后的气候将如何变化,

所以在我们对全球气候做出选择之前

气候政策 我们需要

就科学

和风险分析进行公开辩论,并仔细

考虑成本和收益

他随后甚至向政客公开了这种错误信息

暗示研究人员之间没有达成共识

同时

他自己的公司资助

的大多数研究 从 1977 年到 2014 年,与

其他

关于化石燃料确实导致

气候变化的研究一致,

这一说法是错误的,雷蒙德知道这

一点,由他的游说者资助的政客们也是

如此 他们的公开

声明和

政界人士的财务背书

高达超过 50 亿

美元 2000 年

并降低了公众对

气候变化的信心 2016 年皮尤研究调查

发现,只有 48

位美国人口认为气候

变化是由于我们自己的

行为 化石燃料行业成功地

利用他们的资金误导

公众,以维持他们的 自己的

利润,同时继续

在我们眼皮底下破坏环境

2020 年皮尤民意调查发现,隧道尽头

有一些

曙光 要采取更多

措施解决这个问题

,困难在于科学家

估计气候变化造成的损失

可能高达

数万亿美元

,更不用说

由于热浪、海平面上升或

森林大火肆虐加利福尼亚造成的生命损失

了 还需要尽快

完全转向可再生能源

,但此时

通过国会通过关键立法

见 ms 不太可能,因为

化石燃料公司继续使用

错误信息

和游说政客资金 我们

继续

对事实存在分歧 否认科学的危险

在大流行期间变得尤为明显

德克萨斯州一名 30 岁的男子参加了一个

令人垂涎的派对和 对他的护士说,

我想我弄错了,我认为这

是一个骗局,但并不是

他几天后就死了,事实上,我们美国

的确诊病例数量是世界上最多的,

甚至超过了人口三倍的国家

这并非巧合

,企业和政治领导人有意识地使用科学的持续努力

使真相成为可以

改变的东西

,我们现在面临近 510 000 名

死去的美国人,这个数字在我今天与你们交谈时还在上升,

也许没有比这更好的例子了 与今年

1 月 6 日首都袭击相比,错误信息的危险

你们都看过很多关于 g 的

图片和视频

数千人

闯入我们最高的政治

大楼

,试图改变我们的选举结果,

这只是其中一个人

被阴谋论驱使暴力

选民欺诈的虚构和

根本不真实的想法 好吧

我们如何解决这个问题 问题的根源

是我们没有牢牢掌握

科学的基础知识,因此

导致不信任其发现

已故的天文学家卡尔·萨根(carl sagan)曾

说过,科学不仅仅是一种

知识体系,它是一种思维方式

从本质上讲,科学是我们可以通过怀疑来

发现真相的一种方式

科学分析的一个主要特征是它是

自我纠正的,我们

在大流行开始时就看到了这一特征,

而看起来

科学家们似乎在不断地改变

他们的观点 是否戴口罩或

coven 19有多严重

实际上他们的想法尚未

达成共识尚未达成一致

但这是c utting edge of science

科学过程的重点

每条信息都来自

个别研究

,数据将

与所有其他研究结合使用,并在其他研究人员之间进行讨论,

以创造

更好的解释

现在科学家们同意

coven 19 的严重性,

但 只有在这些原始研究

经过多个不同独立研究人员的同行评审和分析之后,

我们才能真正说科学家

们在气候变化的情况下已经下定决心,

他们的下定决心

目前有 18 个科学协会

同意气候变化是由

我们自己造成的 行为和习惯,

而在科学中,怀疑和

质疑总是受欢迎的

,这需要真正具有开创性的

证据来根除

数十年研究形成的现有结论。

最好的部分是我们可以在日常生活中使用科学,

从阴谋论到占星术

替代药物

甚至鬼魂 我们可以怀疑

wha 我们是否目睹或相信

我们可以教育自己了解自己的

偏见,例如寻找

证实我们观点的信息

我们需要做的是将我们的

经历与他人进行比较,

并集思广益

对我们世界发生的事情的许多可能的解释,

而不是接受第一个

想到的

,最重要的是,我们可以学会

耐心地意识到科学并不

像我们希望的那样容易,

这是一个艰苦的测试

重新测试和同行评审的过程

,需要时间来计算错误和

纠正,

但毕竟它的结论可以

是 相信

我们必须接受,科学的发现

不是立竿见影的

,不是偶然发现的,也不

是一时兴起的

,作为人类,我们应该把它归功于我们自己,

我们在 1 月 6 日所看到

的只是我们可能成为的一瞥,但我们

仍然是

我们今天不讨论天花

,尽管它杀死了

我们消灭的数十亿 d 它在 80 年代

通过现代医学疫苗

节省了数十亿美元

我们通过科学取得的进展

令人震惊

,我们可以展望无限的

未来,但我们需要从

现在开始 人类的转折点,

我们要么面临

科学的所有可能性,

要么面临迷信和痛苦的新黑暗时代,

就像新冠病毒一样,这种疾病

正在扼杀我们,我们已经看到

了气候变化可以做的一些事情,

全力以赴只是 在地平线上

但我们甚至不能同意二加

等于四