Climate is a Common Heritage. Not just a Concern.

Transcriber: Norberto Amaral
Reviewer: Margarida Ferreira

According to the last
United Nations report

about the new nationally determined
contributions to meet the Paris Agreement,

it is predicted
that global emissions levels

will only decrease 0.5 percent by 2030,

while to meet the goal of limiting
global warming to 1.5 degrees,

emissions would have to drop
not only 0.5 percent,

but at least 45 percent by 2030.

And even if the Paris Agreement targets

of staying well below two degrees is met,

due to the internal dynamics
of the Earth system,

we cannot exclude the risk
of a global cascade of tipping points

which could push
the Earth system as a whole

into another state,
into a “Hothouse Earth”.

In a scenario like this,

no amount of economic
cost-benefit analysis is going to help us.

We are already in a
very dangerous zone

approaching a planetary threshold,
where there will be a point of no return.

But there is a possible
stewardship trajectory,

in which we are running
out of time to get on to,

but we still can,
if we are able to really act together.

Before anything else,

climate change is a problem defined
by the difficulty of collective action.

Therefore, the biggest challenge we face

is to create the conditions
to make it possible to act together.

A proper legal framework is the most basic
requirement for any human action.

This is why I am here
to talk about something

that although is not usually discussed

it underlies our inability
to tackle climate change.

I will talk about how the law views
the global climate system.

Think about this: to have any chance
of being successful,

we need not only to make
huge cuts on emissions,

but also to deliberately remove CO2
from the atmosphere

by completing a large scale
biosphere restoration.

These two efforts can, in theory,
recover a stable climate.

But how can this be done, if the
benefit of Nature that produces

a stable climate are intangible,
legally and economically invisible,

and do not stay within
the borders of any country?

To understand the problem that is at stake

let’s try first to understand
what a stable climate is.

A stable climate is
a visible manifestation

of a well functioning earth system,

which in turn relies on a resilient
and well functioning biosphere.

This stability is based
on a well-defined pattern

of atmospheric and ocean circulation.

A pattern of stable dynamics
of the functioning of the Earth system

can be compared
to the software of the planet,

like the software and the hardware.

This software is being damaged by human
activities that have been changing

the biochemical composition
of the atmosphere,

driving an increase in global temperature
which, among many other consequences,

is contributing to the melting
of the polar ice.

This changes the variation of
temperature between poles and tropics

and the stable pattern
of global thermodynamics.

Take a look at what
is happening in the North Pole

and the consequent destabilization of the
atmospheric circulation patterns,

as well as the slowing down
of the ocean circulation.

The tragedy of the Commons
is a problem in Economics

that occurs when individuals neglect
the well-being of society

in the pursuit of personal gain.

This is a truly tragedy of the Commons
in a planetary scale.

The way how matter moves
around the planet,

creating these stable circulation patterns
that correspond to a stable climate

can only be classified
as an intangible asset.

A planetary system with a stable,
correctly operating software,

although intangible, is our most
outstanding global Common.

It is the very foundation of everything.

It is the planetary system that
supports life on Earth,

the basis for all human civilization,
and our most valuable asset.

However, although climate change is
accepted as a tragedy of the commons,

in the world of law, a stable climate is
not recognized as a common good.

The great issue that is at stake

is that this correctly operating software
is not a material thing,

it is something global in Nature.

We cannot touch it or divide it
and it spans across national borders.

No claims of sovereignty can be made.

Because of this, the legal status
of climate is still not very clear.

Thus, when climate change
entered in the UN agenda,

a completely new question emerged.

What is a stable climate
from a legal standpoint?

In 1988, there was a proposal
to recognise a stable climate

as a common heritage of humankind.

But countries refused to accept
a common good that exists inside

and outside of borders,
and chose another approach.

Climate change was established
as a common concern of humankind,

which is still the legal framework
of the Paris Agreement.

A concern is a vague political concept,

meaning that we are worried
about something.

But in legal terms, until today,
nobody knows what the concern is.

We don’t know the rights and duties
of countries arising from that concern.

On the other hand,

the acceptance of the heritage concept
would mean that we accept

the existence of this truly common good
that belongs to everyone,

that exists inside and outside
all the jurisdictions of states.

I will try to explain why
this makes all the difference.

Let’s take a minute to think about
the consequences of the concern option.

Under the current concern paradigm,

each country commits
to produce less emissions,

but even if accomplished,

at the end of the day, the sum
of less damage is still a damage.

It is a negative sum game.

But the current paradigm also
adds another dimension.

You can sell the credits resulting
from making fewer emissions

to someone else
that will make these emissions.

Or you can sell the credits

resulting from the sequestration
of carbon in the forests

to neutralize the emissions of someone
else who has already made the emissions.

In this case, it is a zero sum game.

In either case, emissions must exist

in order to recognise the value
of removing said emissions.

In this paradigm, removing or “cleaning”
all the emissions for everyone’s benefit

has no value!

And why? Why does this happen?

This happens because
the concern approach does not consider

the existence of this common good

that belongs to everyone
and to all generations.

And therefore, removing CO2
from the atmosphere

for the benefit of all humanity is like
cleaning something that belongs to no one.

No one will compensate you
for the benefits spread across the planet

for the benefit of all.

This is like cleaning in a legal void,

and thus, today there are
no economic mechanisms

to compensate for the benefits
that someone creates for the common good.

Sadly, in the current
concern legal paradigm,

we only have mechanisms
to neutralize emissions,

and this way, we maintain the rule

that only through the destruction
of Nature we can create wealth.

In a scenario like this, it is impossible
to have what we really need:

a society able to restore
and maintain a stable climate

for the benefit of all humankind
and the next generations.

What should have more value for us humans?

The intangible biochemical work
performed by forests to stabilize climate

or cutting the trees to extract timber?

Unfortunately, our current economy
only values commodities

like timber, soy, cattle, and others.

But value is not a given thing!

It was always shaped and created
throughout the history of economics!

Today what is perceived as wealth creation
is to make less damage

and not to produce the natural intangibles
that support life on Earth.

And to make less damage
is only to avoid losses.

What creates real value for our societies

is the intangible benefit
of the work of Nature

that maintains a stable climate.

Our current economy
is valuing the wrong things

and ignoring or underestimating
the value of Nature.

This happens because
we are unable to legally recognize

this intangible global common good

and therefore the work of Nature
that supports life on Earth

is considered as an externality
by economists.

So, if you can say that there is
already a border perception

that what has more value
is the work of Nature

for introducing this value
into the economy,

there is a need for a legal innovation

capable of recognizing
this natural software

as our intangible common good.

This can be the legal basis that will
enable us to value what really matters

and to build a regenerative economy

with a permanent governance system
to maintain a stable climate.

Truly, a paradigm shift.

Today, economic sciences
have already designed the mechanisms

to avoid the fatality
of the tragedy of commons

and to allow for a collective action
to successfully manage the Commons.

Earth System Sciences have also
designed the planetary boundaries.

Thus, we have the conditions

not only to legally define
this well-functioning software,

but also to successfully manage it
as a common good.

And this is not a new concept.

Our contemporary society is already built
on top of intangible goods

like copyright,

the goodwill of enterprises,
or the value of brands!

In outer space law, we have even
recognised intangible goods in nature,

for example, orbits and frequency bands.

Why can’t we recognise
this pattern of stability

that corresponds to a stable climate

as an intangible common heritage
of humankind on Earth? Why..?

With this legal innovation,

it would be possible to give value
to the work of Nature

without destroying it,

and to account for its benefits
made for the climate

as our common heritage.

It would be possible to include
activities that restore and maintain

a stable climate
in the GDP of each country,

enabling each actor to be encouraged
not only to avoid damage,

but also to produce benefits
for the common good.

This is only possible
with a system of accountability

capable of giving economic visibility
to all the positive and negative impacts

that everyone produces in the common good.

With the Planetary Boundaries,

we can define the Safe Operating
Space for humankind

and the intangible global common
that will unite us all,

and around the common good,

to organize the system
of governance to manage its use.

Can you imagine the cascading effects
in terms of reduction of emissions,

regeneration of biosphere,
redistribution of income,

finance between peoples,
and hope for the next generations?

We must build a world

where the creation
of the natural intangibles

that support life on Earth

corresponds also
to the creation of wealth

for most societies.

It is really a game changer.

To rethink the legal status of climate
is not a theoretical discussion.

It is the possibility of overcoming
the biggest obstacle we face:

Our current inability
to take global collective action.

After the negotiations
on the Global Pact for the Environment,

the UN General Assembly decided
to postpone this process

for a High-Level Declaration
foreseen for 2022

at the commemorations of the 50 years

of the UN Environment Programme.

This is a unique opportunity
to address this system as a single whole

in which climate change,

biodiversity crisis and global pandemics
are all interconnected.

We need to recognise, restore and protect

our intangible indivisible planetary home.

We must create a beacon of hope
for our generation

and generations to come.

Thank you.

抄写员:Norberto Amaral
审稿人:Margarida Ferreira

根据
联合国上一份

关于新的国家自主
贡献以实现《巴黎协定》的报告

,预计
到 2030 年全球排放水平

将仅下降 0.5%,

同时实现限制全球排放的目标
升温到 1.5 度,

排放量不仅要下降
0.5%,

而且到 2030 年至少要下降 45%。

即使实现了《巴黎协定》

中保持远低于 2 度的目标,

由于
地球系统的内部动态,

我们 不能排除
全球级联临界点的风险,

这可能
会将地球系统作为一个整体

推向另一个状态,
即“温室地球”。

在这样的情况下,

再多的经济
成本效益分析也无济于事。

我们已经处于一个接近行星门槛的
非常危险的区域


那里将有一个不归路。

但是有一个可能的
管理轨迹

,我们没有
时间继续前进

,但
如果我们能够真正一起行动,我们仍然可以。

首先,

气候变化是一个
由集体行动的困难定义的问题。

因此,我们面临的最大挑战

是创造条件
,使共同行动成为可能。

适当的法律框架是
任何人类行为的最基本要求。

这就是为什么我在
这里谈论

一些虽然通常不被讨论的东西,但

它是我们无法
应对气候变化的基础。

我将谈谈法律如何
看待全球气候系统。

想一想:要想
有成功的机会,

我们不仅需要
大幅减少排放,

还需要

通过完成大规模的
生物圈恢复来有意去除大气中的二氧化碳。

从理论上讲,这两项努力可以
恢复稳定的气候。

但是,如果
产生稳定气候的大自然的好处

是无形的、在
法律上和经济上是无形的,

并且不存在于
任何国家的边界内,这怎么能做到呢?

要了解面临的问题,

让我们首先尝试了解
什么是稳定的气候。

稳定的气候是

运转良好的地球系统的明显表现,而地球系统

又依赖于弹性
和运转良好的生物圈。

这种稳定性
基于明确

的大气和海洋环流模式。

可以将
地球系统运行的稳定动态模式

与地球的软件(

如软件和硬件)进行比较。

该软件正受到人类活动的破坏,这些
活动一直在改变大气

的生化
成分,

导致全球气温
升高,除许多其他后果外,这

还导致
极地冰层融化。

这改变了
两极和热带之间的温度变化

以及
全球热力学的稳定模式。

看看
北极正在发生什么,

以及随之而来的
大气环流模式的不稳定,

以及
海洋环流的放缓。

公地悲剧
是经济学中的一个问题,

当个人在追求个人利益时忽视社会福祉时就会发生

这是全球范围内真正的公地悲剧

物质如何
在地球上移动,

形成这些
与稳定气候相对应的稳定循环模式

只能被归类
为无形资产。

一个拥有稳定、
正确运行软件的行星系统,

虽然是无形的,但却是我们最
杰出的全球共同点。

它是一切的基础。

它是
支撑地球生命的行星系统,

是所有人类文明的基础,
也是我们最宝贵的资产。

然而,尽管气候变化
被认为是公地悲剧,但

在法律世界中,稳定的气候
并不被视为共同利益。 面临

的重大问题

是,这种正确运行的软件
不是物质的东西,

它是自然界中全球性的东西。

我们不能触摸它或分裂它
,它跨越国界。

不能提出主权要求。

正因为如此,
气候的法律地位仍然不是很清楚。

因此,当气候变化
进入联合国议程时,

一个全新的问题出现了。

从法律的角度来看,什么是稳定的气候?

1988年,有人
提议承认稳定的气候

是人类的共同遗产。

但各国拒绝接受
存在于国界内外的共同利益,

而选择了另一种方法。

气候变化被确立
为人类共同关心的问题,

至今仍
是《巴黎协定》的法律框架。

担忧是一个模糊的政治概念,

意味着我们
担心某事。

但在法律方面,直到今天,
没有人知道问题是什么。

我们不知道
各国因这种担忧而产生的权利和义务。

另一方面

,接受遗产概念
意味着我们接受

这种真正的共同利益的存在,
它属于每个人,

存在于
国家所有管辖范围之内和之外。

我将尝试解释为什么
这会产生重大影响。

让我们花点时间考虑一下
关注选项的后果。

在当前的关注范式下,

每个国家都
承诺减少排放,

但即使实现了

,归根结底
,减少损害的总和仍然是损害。

这是一个负和游戏。

但当前的范式也
增加了另一个维度。

您可以将因减少排放而产生的积分出售


将产生这些排放的其他人。

或者,您可以出售森林中碳

封存所产生的信用额度,

以抵消已经排放的
其他人的排放量。

在这种情况下,这是一个零和游戏。

在任何一种情况下,排放都必须存在

,才能认识到
消除所述排放的价值。

在这种范式中,
为了每个人的利益而去除或“清洁”所有排放物是

没有价值的!

为什么? 为什么会这样?

发生这种情况是
因为关注方法没有考虑

这种属于每个
人和所有世代的共同利益的存在。

因此,

为了全人类的利益从大气中去除二氧化碳就像
清洁不属于任何人的东西。 为了所有人的利益,

没有人会补偿您
遍布全球

的利益。

这就像在法律空白中清理

,因此,今天
没有经济机制

来补偿
某人为共同利益创造的利益。

可悲的是,在当前
关注的法律范式中,

我们只有
中和排放的机制,通过

这种方式,我们维持

了只有通过
破坏自然才能创造财富的规则。

在这种情况下,
不可能拥有我们真正需要的东西:

一个能够恢复
和维持稳定气候

以造福全人类
和下一代的社会。

什么对我们人类更有价值?

森林为稳定气候

或砍伐树木以提取木材所做的无形生化工作?

不幸的是,我们目前的经济
只看重

木材、大豆、牛等商品。

但价值不是给定的东西!

它总是在整个经济学史上被塑造和创造

今天,人们认为创造财富的目的
是减少损害,

而不是生产
支持地球生命的自然无形资产。

而减少伤害
只是为了避免损失。

为我们的社会创造真正价值的

大自然维持稳定气候的工作所带来的无形利益。

我们当前的经济
正在重视错误的事物,

而忽视或低估
了自然的价值。

发生这种情况是因为
我们无法合法地承认

这种无形的全球共同利益

,因此
支持地球生命的大自然的工作

被经济学家视为外部性

因此,如果您可以说
已经存在一种边界看法

,即

大自然将这种价值
引入经济的工作具有更大的价值,

那么就需要一种

能够将
这种自然软件识别

为我们无形的共同利益的法律创新 .

这可以成为法律基础,
使我们能够重视真正重要的事情,

并建立一个

具有永久治理体系的再生经济,
以维持稳定的气候。

确实,范式转变。

今天,经济科学
已经设计

了避免
公地悲剧的致命性

并允许采取集体
行动成功管理公地的机制。

地球系统科学还
设计了行星边界。

因此,我们不仅有条件

合法地定义
这个运行良好的软件,

而且有条件成功地将它
作为一种公共物品进行管理。

这不是一个新概念。

我们的当代社会已经建立

版权

、企业商誉
、品牌价值等无形商品之上!

在外层空间法中,我们甚至
承认了自然界中的无形商品,

例如轨道和频段。

为什么我们不能承认
这种

与稳定气候相对应的稳定模式

是人类在地球上的无形共同遗产? 为什么..?

有了这项法律创新,

就有可能在

不破坏自然的情况下赋予其价值,

并将其对气候的好处

作为我们的共同遗产。

可以
将恢复和

维持稳定气候的活动
纳入每个国家的 GDP 中,

从而鼓励每个参与者
不仅避免损害,

而且为共同利益创造
利益。

这只有
通过一个

能够

让每个人在公共利益中产生的所有积极和消极影响在经济上可见的问责制度才有可能实现。

通过行星边界,

我们可以定义人类的安全操作
空间

和无形的全球公共空间
,它将把我们所有人团结起来

,围绕共同利益

,组织
治理系统来管理其使用。

你能想象在
减排、

生物圈再生
、收入再分配、

人民之间的金融
以及对下一代的希望方面的级联效应吗?

我们必须建立一个世界

,在这个世界中

,支持地球生命的自然无形资产

的创造也对应

于大多数社会的财富创造。

这真的是一个游戏规则的改变者。

重新思考气候的法律地位
不是理论上的讨论。

这是克服
我们面临的最大障碍的可能性:

我们目前
无法采取全球集体行动。


就《全球环境公约》进行谈判后

,联合国大会
决定推迟这一进程,

以便在
2022

年纪念联合国环境规划署成立 50 周年时

发表高级别宣言。

这是一个独特的机会,
可以

将气候变化、

生物多样性危机和全球流行病
相互关联的整个系统作为一个整体来解决。

我们需要认识、恢复和保护

我们无形、不可分割的星球家园。

我们必须
为我们这一代

和子孙后代创造希望的灯塔。

谢谢你。