How game theory will help to fight climate change

hello globe

good that we’re together i’m standing

for you here now pretty

pretty still it used to be different

when i was young

i was always walking and running around

making jokes and people were looking for

me my mother said where are you

so she put me on strings now and then

stay put

don’t make jokes all the time don’t talk

all the time

at school the same happened i was more

outside the classroom

because of insight because was making

jokes making noises

i had a lot of fun because i thought

school’s worth for that anyway many

rules at school and at home

many rules to break so do you know what

did i study

i studied law that’s kind of funny here

and god there are so many rules so many

rules to break but i found actually out

that rules can also help people

can empower people can give people

rights can give people space

in words so it’s good to know the

purpose about the rules

and how to make rules work for people

that’s why i try to study after my study

i worked on a legal aid office in the

netherlands

and giving advice to people who could

not afford a lawyer are giving rights to

people

empower them i did that six year and

then i worked for the environment

ministry

in the netherlands they were looking for

lawyers because they wanted to have a

good treaty

for climate change to agree globally a

law

to get the emissions to zero in the end

so it is a pretty tough rule right

so what we did in the kyoto protocol

that was a climate treaty we organized

it in a different way we gave more

flexibility to countries

instead of having one point year and a

target which they may fail

we organize to give them a budget you

have more space more flexibility to

actually meet the target

so that worked and that made me

interested in the game theory of

mechanism design

and game theory you try to study what

how people behave

if they play games how they play the

rules what incentives they need

and three researchers from the us they

got a nobel prize for a great idea it’s

called mechanism design

they said if you have a public goal for

example

environment health whatever they say you

need to have incentives for people that

you actually are engaged and willing and

happy to meet those targets that’s

mechanism design and a great example of

that

you can see that at least you could see

it in stockholm

that’s the place where they got the

nobel prizes there was a metro station

uh odin plan and the city council

thought let’s do more on health let’s

make our people more healthier

tackle obesity so what did they did is

they changed the

stairs into steps into a keyboard of a

piano

here you see it here and if you step the

stairs you hear music

and it actually worked people were

walking like hell every day

they got rid of the metro station now

because people were working all the time

all the day so no more basically no

that’s not really the reason but it

worked so if you give

the chance for people to have fun when

they walk the stairs instead of taking

the escalators

it helps so you see they’re a tough rule

health

and mechanism designed to help people to

meet the target

so how can we translate and use that for

climate change in europe

this example there are 10 000 companies

big polluters

they need to meet the co2 targets and of

course you can choose to give them all

the same

rules the same tough rules get to zero

there’s not much

flexibility and all companies are

different there are newer ones all the

ones

so they give this idea about a mechanism

design cap and trade

so you have this budget slowly

decreasing over time

you see the piano there so how does cap

and trade gives fun

and still meet the targets by allowing

companies

to they got part of those units of the

budget

and the cleaner companies they invest

earlier they recycle more they lose

renewables

they can sell their allowances and all

the companies that want to invest later

they need to purchase those allowances

so you see that this game of climate

the cleaner companies can win and the

dirtier they need to pay in the end the

climate wins

because the budget it just saw is

decreasing up to zero

and this is a good example of tough

rules and the mechanism design

incentives

to make this game really work another

example of uh

mechanism design is it helps to you all

i think you all like coffee and

chocolate right

did you drink coffee today i had some

great coffee here in wageningen good

nespresso and espresso great but

there’s a big problem with coffee and

chocolate

twenty percent of the global emissions

is because of deforestation

we lose a lot of trees every day because

of your coffee

so what you need to do is to look for

climate neutral coffee

how do we do this i know we in europe we

have our targets we need to get to zero

but the global emissions should also get

to zero so the mechanism design works as

follows

if you pay for this climate neutral

coffee

the governments of those countries there

are almost 50 first nations

they can invest the money in more

sustainable farming more productive

farming

so that they need to cut less trees

there’s some more shade trees over the

coffees

and it actually works so you can reduce

emissions but the reductions can be used

also by the europeans because we

pay for that coffee and reduce the

emissions there as well

so this is also a very good example of

mechanism design and the goal is clear

it’s pretty tough rule you know i didn’t

like rules in the beginning but if you

help people and governments and

companies to

to make them engaged and giving fun and

in rewards to meet the targets it can

actually work

so i say put the uh yeah put the strings

to the emissions but not to the people

because climate is a serious game

thank you

你好,地球

很好,我们在一起,我在

这里为你

站着,现在很漂亮,以前和

我年轻的时候不同,

我总是走来

走去开玩笑,人们都在找

我,我妈妈说你在

哪里 她时不时地把我放在一边,然后

呆在原地

不要一直开玩笑 不要

一直

在学校说话 发生同样的事情 我更多地

在教室外面,

因为有洞察力 因为

开玩笑会制造噪音

我有很多 很有趣,因为

无论如何我认为学校的价值

在学校和家里有

很多规则要打破很多规则你知道

我学了什么

实际上

发现规则也可以帮助人们

赋予人们权力可以赋予人们

权利可以给人们

文字空间所以很高兴知道

规则的目的

以及如何使规则为人们服务

这就是为什么我在学习后尝试学习的原因

在荷兰的一家法律援助办公室工作

,向无力请律师的人提供建议 赋予人们

权利

赋予他们权力 我做了那六年,

然后我在荷兰的环境部工作,

他们正在寻找

律师,因为他们 希望有一个

好的气候变化条约,在全球范围内达成一项

最终使排放量为零的法律,

所以这是一个非常严格的规则,

所以我们在京都议定书中所做的,

这是一个气候条约,我们

以不同的方式组织它 通过这种方式,我们为国家提供了更大的

灵活性,

而不是一年有一个积分和一个

他们可能会失败的目标,

我们组织给他们一个预算,你

有更多的空间更多的灵活性来

实际实现目标,

这样就行了,这让我

对博弈论感兴趣

机制设计

和博弈论的你试图研究人们

在玩游戏时的行为方式 他们如何玩

规则 他们需要什么激励措施

以及来自我们的三位研究人员 他们

获得诺贝尔奖的好主意

叫做机制设计

他们说如果你有一个公共目标,

例如

环境健康,不管他们说什么,你都

需要激励那些

你真正参与并愿意并

乐于实现这些目标的人,这就是

机制设计 一个很好的例子

你可以看到至少你可以

在斯德哥尔摩看到它是

他们获得诺贝尔奖的地方

有一个地铁站

呃奥丁计划和市议会

认为让我们在健康方面做更多让我们

让我们的人民更多 更健康地

解决肥胖问题所以他们做了什么

他们把

楼梯变成了钢琴的键盘在

这里你看到它如果你踏上

楼梯你会听到音乐

而且它实际上很有效人们

每天都像地狱一样走路

他们摆脱 现在地铁站,

因为人们整天都在工作,

所以基本上没有

,这不是真正的原因,但它确实

有效,所以如果你

给人们机会的话 e 在

他们走楼梯而不是

乘坐自动扶梯时获得乐趣

这有助于让您看到它们是一项严格的规则

健康

和机制旨在帮助人们

实现目标

那么我们如何将其转化并

用于欧洲的气候变化

例如,有 10 000 家大型污染企业,

他们需要达到二氧化碳排放目标,

当然你可以选择给他们

所有相同的

规则,同样严格的规则趋于零

,没有太大的

灵活性,所有公司都不

一样,都有更新的公司

所以他们给出了关于机制

设计上限和交易的想法,

所以

随着时间的推移,

你的预算会慢慢减少你看到那里的钢琴,那么上限

和交易如何带来乐趣

并且仍然通过允许

公司

获得这些单位的一部分来实现目标 预算

和他们更早投资的清洁公司

他们回收更多 他们失去

可再生能源

他们可以出售他们的配额以及

所有想要稍后投资的公司

他们需要 购买这些配额,

这样您就可以看到

清洁公司可以赢得这场气候游戏,而

他们最终需要支付的越脏,

气候就会获胜,

因为它刚刚看到的预算正在

减少到零

,这是严格规则的一个很好的例子,

并且 使这个游戏真正发挥作用的机制设计激励机制 机制设计的

另一个

例子

是它对你们所有人都有帮助吗?

我想你们都喜欢咖啡和

巧克力,对

吧,你今天喝咖啡了吗?我在瓦宁根喝了一些

很棒的咖啡,很好的

nespresso 和 espresso 很棒,但是

咖啡和巧克力存在一个大问题

全球排放量的 20%

是因为森林砍伐

我们每天都会因为你的咖啡而失去很多树木

所以你需要做的是寻找

气候中性咖啡

我们如何做到这一点 我知道 我们在欧洲,我们

有我们需要达到零的目标,

但全球排放量也应该

达到零,所以

如果你为这种气候付费,机制设计如下所示 中性

咖啡

这些国家的政府

有近 50 个第一民族

他们可以将钱投资于更

可持续的农业 更高产的

农业,

这样他们就需要砍伐更少的

树木 在咖啡上种植更多的遮荫树

,它确实有效,因此您可以减少

排放 但是欧洲人也可以使用减排量

,因为我们

支付了咖啡的费用并减少了

那里的排放量,

所以这也是机制设计的一个很好的例子

,目标很明确,

这是一个非常严格的规则,你知道我不

喜欢 一开始就有规则,但是如果你

帮助人们、政府和

公司让他们参与进来,并给予乐趣

和奖励以实现目标,它

实际上可以起作用,

所以我说,嗯,是的,把字符串

放在排放上,而不是对人民

因为气候是一场严肃的比赛

谢谢