John Marshall 3 strategies for effectively talking about climate change TED Countdown

Transcriber:

I often have this strange thought

that aliens come down to Earth
to check us out.

They beam up a hundred scientists
and they ask them,

“What’s going on on your planet?”

And the aliens quickly learn something:

that all of these scientists
have concluded

that pollution from our industrial
activity is irreversibly heating the earth

in a way that will make it very hard
for us to live here safely.

Then they do the same thing,

but this time they beam up
another 100 people,

and they’re not scientists,
they’re regular people like us.

They could count on one hand

how many of those people
would even mention climate change.

Two or three dozen of them
may never have even heard the term.

And among the Americans in the group,

only one in four would be highly
concerned about the issue.

The aliens, I think, would be shocked.

“Why don’t people know
what’s happening or how bad it is?

Someone should tell them!”

The absurdity of the situation
is so clear and so real.

What we have here
is a failure to communicate.

My job is to educate people
about climate change.

So I look at the concepts, the messages,
the images and the terms,

and I test them with millions of people.

I’d like to tell you what I’m learning.

For so many people,

climate change seems abstract,
distant, too big to imagine.

The words we often use to describe it –

emissions, CO2, methane,
net zero, anthropogenic –

are, simply put, confusing.

Not that many people wake up
in the morning and say,

“It’s a great day
for some decarbonisation.”

These words become obstacles
rather than gateways to understanding,

let alone caring.

The way to fix this failure to communicate

is to start not by talking
about the issue,

but to start with people,
to think first about individuals,

the people who have millions
of other things on their mind,

a million worries and challenges
and hopes and aspirations.

Climate change is one of the biggest
threats humanity has ever faced,

and we won’t face it,

not to the degree that’s necessary,

if people don’t care.

The people-first approach
to climate communications

demands three simple things.

The first one is plain,
obvious and universal language.

One thing for sure
people don’t readily get –

carbon emissions, net zero –

are most terms that can be found
in a science book.

And frankly, to the uninitiated,
much of it doesn’t really sound that bad.

“Two degrees warmer in 50 years,”

or it sounds so bad, you can’t even
get your head around it –

“1.2 trillion tons of ice.”

Confusion and hopelessness
are the enemies of understanding.

A good test for language is, what pops
into your head when you hear it.

If you hear a term like “climate change,”
what pops into your head?

Well, for most people,
the answer is “not much.”

The language isn’t vivid.

What we need is vivid language
that everyone gets.

It’s remarkable how many people
actually confuse climate change

with the ozone hole.

More than four in 10 Americans

think the ozone hole
actually causes global warming.

And so many of them remember
and understand

so much about ozone depletion.

Why is that?

Because it’s a hole, it’s a layer.

People can see it,
imagine it, relate to it.

It uses simple metaphor
that’s an instant get.

Here’s a little story
that gets a similar “aha”

for climate change.

Humans have been on Earth
for about 300,000 years,

but we’ve only started polluting like this
in about the last 60.

Our pollution stays in the air
for thousands of years,

creating a thickening blanket
that traps heat in the atmosphere.

That heat causes stronger hurricanes,

bigger fires, more frequent floods

and the extinction
of thousands of species.

But there’s good news.

To stop the pollution blanket,

we just have to stop polluting.

This “pollution blanket” framing
is one of the most effective we’ve tested

at getting people to understand the issue.

It’s visual, it’s vivid,

and when people hear the message,
they become significantly more engaged.

They get it.

There are so many other
regular speak words and concepts

that stick with people.

Instead of “warming,”

try “overheating.”

Instead of “climate,”
talk about “extreme weather.”

When mentioning “clean energy,”

you might say “cheap energy” as well,
as it’s rapidly becoming cheap.

The word “irreversible”
really gets people’s attention,

as the pollution certainly is.

And if you absolutely must talk
about temperature increases

and you live in the US,

heck, use Fahrenheit for goodness sake.

It doubles the severity.

“Nine degrees during your kid’s lifetime”
sounds pretty serious.

“One point five degrees Celsius to meet
the Paris Accord” is pretty ignorable.

This is about going beyond
arcane policy language

into language that we all intuitively get.

That’s the first step: understanding.

But understanding
without relevance is rudderless.

So the second key then

is to make climate feel like something
that matters to you,

to your life, individually and personally.

Nobody has an epiphany
about policy proposals.

Awakenings are personal.

They have local relevance.

They’re about your life and your concerns.

As an example, we presented two messages
to a few thousand people in Florida.

One asked them “to demand that we get
to zero emissions to stop climate change.”

Another simply said, “Stop my flooding.”

The latter message was over four times
more effective in getting their attention.

Local flooding was so much more
relevant than global warming.

What’s needed isn’t better
policy descriptions,

but rather deeper,
more personal connections.

Here’s another example.

We work with a team of remarkable
women climate scientists

to help elevate their voice
as messengers.

They’ve dedicated their careers
to studying the issue,

developing complex computational models
to understand the Arctic processes,

and climbing into planes
to measure nitrogen in wildfire smoke.

They could tell you everything
you need to know about the science,

but what we asked them about
was why they study it.

And they told us about their
daughters and their sons,

about wanting to keep the world
safe and healthy and vibrant

for their children.

And when we shared these personal
stories with other parents,

they started to care far more deeply
about climate change

than they did from staring at charts
of global temperatures.

People see a parent
who’s dedicated their life

to creating a better world
for their child.

Every parent can relate to that.

It matters to me.

The right messages are those that connect
climate change to personal identity.

Our life – not future lives,

not the world – our community,

not necessarily
environmentalism – our values,

and not just children – our child.

Finally, the third key
to the climate communications puzzle

to show that climate change
is an issue for people like me:

Humans are social animals,

and that’s true for how
we form our beliefs, too.

You can present the exact same
message to many people,

but when it comes from someone
with a similar accent or background,

we see double-digit increases
in message effectiveness.

Here’s an unexpected messenger
who really lands the point.

A guy we call Florida man.

He’s a resident of North Florida
who got into a little trouble with the law

after taking an alligator
into a convenience store

when he was on a beer run.

Not exactly the most obvious
climate change messenger

yet when he appeared in an internet ad
describing in his own way

how he’s worried about his way of life,

it significantly increased climate concern
among young conservative men in Florida.

Most people don’t see themselves
as “environmentalists” per se,

and they see climate change
as an “environmentalist issue.”

But messages that break away
from those narrow identity markers

make the issue relatable.

They give people a reason to care.

So the core idea is that instead
of explaining the issue at people,

it’s essential to bring
people into the issue,

so that they say, “I get it.

It matters to me.

It matters to people like me.”

Then and only then
are we primed to take action.

If the intelligent aliens in my story
were also intelligent at communications,

they would say to us,
“Hey, Earthlings, pay attention,

you’re building up a massive blanket
of pollution that’s overheating your home.

And it’s going to hurt the people
and the things that you love.

You did this and you can fix it.”

We simply have to let our fellow eight
billion inhabitants of our home know

what’s happening.

We have no choice.

And when we do,

we’ll achieve the public will necessary
to take on this colossal

but winnable fight for our future.

Thank you.

抄写员:

我经常有一个奇怪的想法

,外星人来到地球
来检查我们。

他们向一百名科学家发出信号
,然后问他们:

“你们的星球上发生了什么?”

外星人很快了解到一些事情

:所有这些科学家
都得出

结论,我们的工业活动造成的污染
正在以一种不可逆转的方式加热地球

,这将使
我们很难安全地生活在这里。

然后他们做同样的事情,

但这次他们又给
了 100 个人

,他们不是科学家,
他们是像我们一样的普通人。

他们一方面可以指望其中有

多少人
甚至会提到气候变化。

他们中的两三打
可能从未听说过这个词。

在该组的美国人中,

只有四分之一的人会高度
关注这个问题。

我想,外星人会感到震惊。

“为什么人们不
知道发生了什么事或情况有多糟糕?

应该有人告诉他们!”

情况的荒谬
是如此清晰,如此真实。

我们在这里
遇到的是沟通失败。

我的工作是教育人们
了解气候变化。

因此,我查看概念、信息
、图像和术语,

并与数百万人进行测试。

我想告诉你我正在学习什么。

对于很多人来说,

气候变化似乎是抽象的、
遥远的、大到无法想象的。

我们经常用来描述它的词——

排放、二氧化碳、甲烷、
净零、人为

——简单地说,是令人困惑的。

没有多少人
早上醒来说,

“这
是脱碳的好日子。”

这些话成为了障碍,
而不是理解的门户,

更不用说关心了。

解决这种沟通失败的方法

不是从
谈论问题

开始,而是从人开始,
首先考虑个人,

考虑数
百万其他事情的人,

一百万个担忧、挑战
、希望和 愿望。

气候变化是人类有史以来面临的最大
威胁之一,如果人们不关心

,我们将不会面对它,

不会达到必要的程度

以人为本的
气候通信方法

需要三个简单的东西。

第一个是简单、
明显和通用的语言。

可以肯定的是,
人们不容易得到的一件事——

碳排放量,净零——

是科学书籍中可以找到的大多数术语

坦率地说,对于外行来说,其中
大部分听起来并没有那么糟糕。

“50 年内气温升高了 2 度”,

或者听起来很糟糕,你甚至无法理解
——

“1.2 万亿吨冰”。

混乱和绝望
是理解的敌人。

对语言的一个很好的测试是,
当你听到它时,你会想到什么。

如果您听到诸如“气候变化”之类的术语,
您会想到什么?

嗯,对于大多数人来说
,答案是“不多”。

语言不生动。

我们需要的
是每个人都能得到的生动的语言。

令人惊讶的是,有多少人
实际上将气候变化

与臭氧洞混淆了。

超过十分之四的美国人

认为臭氧洞
实际上导致了全球变暖。

他们中的许多人都记得

非常了解臭氧消耗。

这是为什么?

因为它是一个洞,它是一层。

人们可以看到它,
想象它,与之相关。

它使用简单的比喻
,即刻得到。

这是一个关于气候变化
的类似“啊哈”的小故事

人类已经在地球上生活
了大约 300,000 年,

但我们
在过去 60 年左右才开始像这样进行

污染。我们的污染在空气中停留了
数千年,

形成了一层增厚的
毯子,将热量滞留在大气中。

这种高温会导致更强的飓风、

更大的火灾、更频繁的洪水

和数千种物种的灭绝。

但有好消息。

要停止污染覆盖,

我们只需要停止污染。

这种“污染毯”框架
是我们测试过的最有效的框架之一,可以

让人们了解这个问题。

它是视觉的,它是生动的

,当人们听到信息时,
他们会变得更加投入。

他们明白了。

还有很多其他的
经常说话的词和

概念与人们保持一致。 尝试“过热”

,而不是“变暖

”。

不要谈论“气候”,而是
谈论“极端天气”。

当提到“清洁能源”时,

您可能还会说“廉价能源”,
因为它正在迅速变得便宜。

“不可逆”这个词
确实引起了人们的注意,

因为污染确实如此。

如果你绝对必须
谈论温度升高

并且你住在美国,

见鬼,看在上帝的份上,使用华氏温度。

它使严重性加倍。

“孩子一生九度”
听起来很严肃。

“一点五摄氏度就
可以满足巴黎协议”是相当可忽略的。

这是关于超越
晦涩难懂的政策

语言,进入我们所有人都能直观理解的语言。

这是第一步:理解。

但是
没有相关性的理解是没有方向的。

所以第二个关键

是让气候感觉像是
对你、

对你的生活、个人和个人都很重要的东西。

没有人
对政策建议有顿悟。

觉醒是个人的。

它们具有本地相关性。

他们是关于你的生活和你的担忧。

例如,我们向
佛罗里达州的几千人展示了两条信息。

有人要求他们“要求我们
实现零排放以阻止气候变化”。

另一个简单地说,“停止我的洪水。”

后一条信息
在引起他们注意方面的效果要高出四倍多。

局部洪水
比全球变暖更重要。

需要的不是更好的
政策描述,

而是更深入、
更个人的联系。

这是另一个例子。

我们与一群杰出的
女性气候科学家

合作,帮助提升她们
作为信使的声音。

他们
致力于研究这个问题,

开发复杂的计算模型
以了解北极过程,

并爬上
飞机测量野火烟雾中的氮。

他们可以告诉你
你需要知道的关于这门科学的一切,

但我们问他们的
是他们为什么要研究它。

他们向我们讲述了他们的
女儿和儿子,以及

想要为他们的孩子保持世界
安全、健康和充满活力的事情

当我们
与其他父母分享这些个人故事时,

他们开始

比盯着
全球气温图表更关心气候变化。

人们看到了
一位致力于为

孩子创造更美好世界
的父母。

每个父母都可以对此产生共鸣。

这对我很重要。

正确的信息是将
气候变化与个人身份联系起来的信息。

我们的生活——不是未来的生活,

不是世界——我们的社区,

不一定是
环保主义——我们的价值观,

而不仅仅是孩子——我们的孩子。

最后,
气候交流难题的第三个关键是

表明气候变化
对像我这样的人来说是一个问题:

人类是社会动物,

我们如何形成信念也是如此。

您可以
向许多人展示完全相同的信息,

但是当它来自
具有相似口音或背景的人时,

我们会看到
信息有效性的两位数增长。

这是一位出人意料的信使
,他真正抓住了重点。

一个我们称之为佛罗里达人的人。

他是北佛罗里达州的一名居民,
他在跑啤酒

时将鳄鱼
带入便利店

,因此触犯了法律。

不完全是最明显的
气候变化

信使,当他出现在以
自己的方式描述他

如何担心自己的生活方式的互联网广告中时,

这大大增加
了佛罗里达州年轻保守派男性对气候的担忧。

大多数人本身并不认为自己
是“环保主义者”

,他们将气候变化
视为“环保主义者问题”。

但是
脱离那些狭窄身份标记的信息

使这个问题变得相关。

他们给人们一个关心的理由。

所以核心思想是
,与其向人们解释问题,

不如让
人们参与

进来,让他们说,“我明白了

。这对我

很重要。对像我这样的人很重要。”

只有到
那时,我们才准备采取行动。

如果我故事中的聪明的外星人
在通讯方面也很聪明,

他们会对我们说,
“嘿,地球人,注意,

你们正在积累大量
的污染,让你们的家过热

。它会伤害人类
和 你喜欢的东西。

你做了这个,你可以解决它。

我们只需要让我们家中的
80 亿同胞

知道发生了什么。

我们别无选择。

当我们这样做时,

我们将实现公众的意愿
,为我们的未来进行这场巨大

但可以取胜的斗争。

谢谢你。