Big data small farms and a tale of two tomatoes Erin Baumgartner

Transcriber: Leslie Gauthier
Reviewer: Krystian Aparta

So data and analytics are dramatically
changing our everyday lives.

Not just online,

not just in some distant future,

but in the physical world,

and in very real and tangible ways.

I spent the past 11 years
of my life as a geek at MIT,

working in big data labs

that seek to use data science
to study the physical world

and try to solve society’s great problems.

The field of big data seeks to analyze
massive pools of data

using computational tools
to find patterns and trends.

Data can be a really
extraordinary storyteller,

unveiling the hidden narratives
of things in our everyday lives

that we never would have seen.

I find the personal stories of inanimate
things brought to life

to be extraordinarily compelling.

I want to highlight, first,
two projects from my time at MIT

that I think highlight
this phenomenon really well.

The first is called Trash Track,

and in this project, we sought to better
understand the waste-management system,

to answer the question

“Where does your trash go
when you throw it away?”

Your old coffee cup or that flip phone

that you carried around
in the early 2000s,

or a bagel or this morning’s paper –

where do these things go?

This data didn’t exist,
so we had to create it.

We answered and then
visualized this question

by installing small sensors
into pieces of trash

and then throwing them
into the waste system.

And what you’re seeing here is the data.

Every line, every node that you see

is a single piece of trash
moving through the city of Seattle,

and then across the state,

and then across the country,

as weeks and months go by.

And it’s important to visualize this data,

because none of you
are, probably, sitting here thinking,

“Yeah, that looks right.”

(Laughter)

“That’s working like it should, right?”

Because, no –

(Laughter)

What the data shows us
is a highly inefficient system

whose inherent brokenness
I don’t think we really would have seen

had the sensors not done
the journalism for us.

A second project
that I’d have to highlight

has to do with creating robots
that dive into sewers

and sample wastewater.

I know that sewage kind of gets a bad rap,

but it’s actually kind of awesome,

because it can tell us
an incredible amount

about the health of our communities.

This technology was spun out
by a group call Biobot Analytics,

who’s creating a cutting-edge technology

to turn our sewers into modern-day
health observatories.

Their goal is to study opioids
within the sewage

to better understand
consumption in cities.

And this data is key,

because it really helps cities understand
where people are using,

how to allocate resources

and the effectiveness
of programming over time.

Once again, the technology
that’s built into this machine

is pulling back the curtain

and showing us something about our cities
that we never would have seen without it.

So it turns out, as we see,

that big data is really everywhere –

even in your toilet.

And so now that we’ve talked
about trash and sewage,

let’s move on …

to food.

(Laughter)

A year ago, I left MIT
to pursue a passion in food,

and in 2017,

started a company with my husband,
called Family Dinner.

The goal of our company
is to create community around local food

and the people who grow it.

To make this happen,
we’re using data analytics,

automation and technology

to build a distributed
network of local farms

and to make improvements
on the food system.

So what we see here

is that the broad techniques
and the mission of what we’re trying to do

is really not dissimilar
from the work at the MIT labs.

Which brings us to a critical question:

Why exactly would someone
leave a very promising career

at one of the top
urban science labs in the world

to drive carrots around
in her mom’s Acura?

(Laughter)

It’s a great car.

Because I believe
that the story of local food

needs to be understood, told and elevated,

and in many ways,

I think that nerds like us
are really uniquely poised to tell it.

So where are we starting?

What’s our starting point?

The current national food system
is optimized for one thing only,

and that’s corporate profit, right?

And think about that.

The most compelling reason
for food companies to exist

is not to feed hungry people,

it’s not to make delicious-tasting food.

It’s profit.

And that has detrimental effects
at all levels of our food system.

The antibiotics and pesticides
that are being put into our food

are detrimental to our health.

Price pressure is forcing
small farms out of business.

In fact, a lot of the things
that you think about farms

no longer exist.

Farms don’t look like farms,
they look like factories.

And at the end of the day,

the quality of the food
that we’re eating really suffers, too.

A factory-farm tomato
may kind of look like a regular tomato:

bright red exterior …

But when you bite into it,

the taste and texture
just leave you wanting.

And we know that perhaps
the greatest tragedy in all of this

is that between 30 and 40 percent
of this food is just wasted …

thrown away.

That is 1.6 billion tons.

I can’t even wrap my head
around that number.

1.6 billion tons.

That’s 1.2 trillion dollars a year

in wasted food.

That is the cost of on-demand eating

and convenience

and the broken food system.

Now, where’s this waste happening?

Where’s all this waste coming from?

Well, we know that it happens in the field

when you don’t pick
the sexiest-looking potatoes.

We know that it happens in transit,

at the warehouses,

in the grocery stores.

And finally, on our own kitchen counters,

when we determine that that spotty,
brown banana no longer looks so yummy.

All that waste, all that effort.

Food is planted,

grown, harvested, shipped,

and then just thrown away.

We think that there has to be
a better way.

And so how to we improve upon this?

How do we make a better system?

In order to do this,

we understand that we need
to eliminate waste

in the food supply chain.

We need to get data
in the hands of farmers,

so that they can make better predictions.

So they can, you know,
kind of compete with the big guy.

And then finally,

we need to prize, as a company,

quality and taste above everything,

so that people really value
the delicious food on their plates.

This, we believe, is the better system.

This is the better way.

And the path to that better way
is paved with data.

To highlight all of this,
I want to tell the tale of two tomatoes.

We’ll talk about them one by one.

A tomato in itself contains
a beautiful snapshot

of everything you might want to know
about the life cycle of that fruit:

where it was grown,
what it was treated with,

nutritional value,

miles traveled to get to your plate,

CO2 emissions along the way.

All of that information,

all those little chapters
in one small fruit.

It’s very exciting.

This is tomato number one.

This is the guy that you’ll find
in sub shops, supermarkets

and fast-food joints around the world.

It’s got a really long
and complicated backstory.

It’s been treated with a cocktail
of, like, a dozen pesticides

and it has traveled at least
1,600 miles to get to your house.

And the image here is green,

because these tomatoes are picked
when green and hard as a rock,

and then they are gassed along the way

so that when they arrive
at the destination,

they look bright and shiny
and red and ripe.

All of that effort,

all of that agricultural
innovation and technology

to create a product
that is entirely without taste.

And onto the second tomato in our tale.

This is the local version of the fruit.

Its story is much, much shorter.

This guy was grown by Luke Mahoney
and his family at Brookford Farm

in Canterbury, New Hampshire.

It’s got a pretty boring backstory.

It was planted,

sat in the sun

and then it was picked.

(Laughter)

That’s it.

Like, you wouldn’t want to –

yeah, there’s not much more to that.

And it traveled maybe 70 miles
to get your plate.

But the difference is dramatic.

I want you think about the last time
you ate a fresh, summer tomato.

And I know we’re all
covered in our jackets,

but think about it.

The last time you ate
a tomato from the garden.

It’s warm from the sun,

it’s richly red,

maybe it smells like dirt.

There’s something nostalgic
and almost magical in that experience.

The taste and the flavor are incomparable.

And we really don’t have to travel
super far to get it.

Now this story extends up the food chain,

from the fruits and the vegetables
that are on our plate

to the animals and the animal
products that we consume.

What goes into raising them,

and more importantly,
what doesn’t go into raising them,

is critically important.

Luke and his family have 60 cows.

They use traditional methods.

They do it the old way:

pasture-raised,

no hormones, no antibiotics,

hay for days.

And what they’re doing here
is just treating cows like they’re cows,

not like they’re in a science experiment.

He’s raising animals the way
that his grandfather

and his grandfather would have.

And at the end, it’s just better.

It’s better for the animals;

it’s better for the environment.

Luke is not optimizing
for profit or price,

but for taste and for humanity.

And what you’re thinking is,
“There’s already a solution to this.

It’s the farmer’s markets.”

The ones that many of you visit

and the ones that I really enjoy.

They are a wonderful, but,
in many ways, suboptimal solution.

For us as the consumers,
it’s kind of great, right?

You go,

there’s this beautiful bounty of food,

you get the warm and fuzzies
for supporting a local farm

and you get the experience of trying
something new and trying diverse products.

And inevitably, there’s some guy
playing the ukulele

somewhere in the background.

(Laughter)

But for the farmers,
this presents a lot of risk, right?

You wake up at four.

You pack your truck, you hire a team,

you get to your stall,

but you have no guarantees

that you’re going to move
your product that day.

There’s too many variables in New England.

For example, the weather,

which is just, like,
a little bit unpredictable here.

The weather is one of the many X factors

that determine whether or not
a market will be worth it for the farmers.

Every time, they roll the dice.

And there’s another option.

Here, we’re talking about CSAs:

community-supported agriculture.

In this model, customers pay up front,

bearing the financial risk for the farms.

Farmers grow what they can

and the customers enjoy that bounty.

This also has a couple issues.

It’s great for the farmer,

because they’re ensuring
that they’ll sell what they buy,

but for us,

we still have to go
and pick up that share,

and we know that a lot of farms
can’t grow a huge diversity of products,

so sometimes, you’re stuck with a mountain
of any one particular thing.

Maybe this has happened to some of you.

And what do you do with 25 pounds
of rutabaga in the dead of winter?

I still don’t know.

So back to the question.

How do we fix this?

What we’re hoping to do
and what we’re hoping to build

is just a better way to CSA.

And there are three core innovations
that make this thing hum.

The first of which

is a subscription-based
e-commerce platform,

which helps us create
a consistent demand for our farmers

throughout the year.

The subscription part here is key.

Orders process weekly,

customers opt out instead of opt in –

that means we’ve got kind of the same
number of orders week to week.

Second, this means
that if farmers can sell online,

they’re no longer limited to the geography
directly around their farm

or to the number of markets
that they can sell.

We’ve blown the doors
off of that for them.

Second: demand forecasting.

We’re using analytics to allow
ourselves to look into the future

and forecast demand.

This lets farmers know
how much to harvest in the near-term,

but also what to plant going forward.

If 200 orders process on Monday,

then we buy to meet that exact demand.

200 heads of broccoli,

200 pieces of salmon,
et cetera, et cetera.

This automation in ordering

means that here, we are eliminating
the waste in the food system

that bothers us all so much,

because we are ensuring that the supply
meets the exact demand.

It also allows us to look
into the future with the farmers

and do crop planning.

So if we can say to them,
in June of this year,

“I’m going to need 400 pounds of asparagus

and 500 pounds of berries every week,”

they can plant that accordingly,

knowing with confidence
that they will sell

everything that they have grown.

And finally, we use
a route-optimization software

to help us solve the problem
of the traveling salesman.

We get a fleet of workers to come in
and help us go the last mile,

bringing all these goodies
directly to your door.

Without data science

and a super-capable, wonderful team,

none of this would be possible.

So maybe you’ve seen

that we’ve got some sort of fiery,
passionate core beliefs.

Yes, we’re trying to build
a sustainable business,

but our eye is not only on profit,

it’s on building a better,
holistic system of food.

And here’s what we value.

People first.

We’re trying to build
community around food,

the people who love it
and the people who grow it.

We built this company
to support small farms.

Zero waste.

We all hate wasting food,
it just feels wrong –

even that weirdo banana

that’s been sitting around
on your coffee table for too long.

And lastly, taste.

If it doesn’t taste good,

if it’s not that, like,
perfect summer tomato,

why bother?

So what we’ve done
is worked with all these local farms

to bring their things in

and then to drop them
directly at your door,

so that we’re connecting you right to them

and making, again, a more holistic system.

This is our vision of the future.

To extend this model beyond Boston,
beyond New England

and across the country.

To create a nationwide
distributed network of local farms

and to connect all these farmers

with the people like you
who will love their food.

We believe, at the end of the day,

that really insisting on eating local food
is a revolutionary act.

And we invite you to join us.

And who knows?

You may even make
some friends along the way.

Thank you very much.

(Applause)

抄写员:Leslie Gauthier
审稿人:Krystian Aparta

所以数据和分析正在极大地
改变我们的日常生活。

不只是在线,

不只是在遥远的未来,

而是在现实世界中,

并且以非常真实和有形的方式。

在过去的 11 年
里,我在麻省理工学院担任极客,

在大数据实验室工作,这些实验室

寻求利用数据科学
来研究物理世界

并尝试解决社会的重大问题。

大数据领域寻求使用计算工具分析
大量数据,

以发现模式和趋势。

数据可以成为一个真正
非凡的故事讲述者,

揭示
我们日常生活

中我们从未见过的事物的隐藏叙述。

我发现生命中的无生命事物的个人故事

非常引人注目。

首先,我想强调
一下我在麻省理工学院期间的两个项目

,我认为它们
很好地突出了这一现象。

第一个叫做 Trash Track

,在这个项目中,我们试图更好地
了解废物管理系统,

以回答

“当你扔掉垃圾时,你的垃圾去哪里
了?”这个问题。

您的旧咖啡杯或


在 2000 年代初随身携带的翻盖手机、

百吉饼或今天早上的报纸——

这些东西都去哪儿了?

该数据不存在,
因此我们必须创建它。

我们

通过在垃圾中安装小型传感器

然后将它们
扔到垃圾系统中来回答并可视化这个问题。

你在这里看到的是数据。

你看到的每一行、每一个节点

都是一块垃圾
,它们穿过西雅图市

,然后穿过州,

然后穿过全国,

随着时间的流逝,数周和数月过去了。

将这些数据可视化很重要,

因为可能没有
人坐在这里想,

“是的,看起来不错。”

(笑声)

“这是应该的,对吧?”

因为,不——

(笑声

) 数据向我们展示的
是一个非常低效的系统


如果

没有传感器
为我们完成新闻工作,我认为我们不会真正看到它固有的缺陷。

我必须强调

的第二个项目与制造
潜入下水道

和废水采样的机器人有关。

我知道下水道的名声不好,

但它实际上有点棒,

因为它可以告诉我们

关于我们社区健康的难以置信的数量。

这项技术是
由一个名为 Biobot Analytics 的组织衍生出来的,该组织

正在创造一项尖端技术

,将我们的下水道变成现代
健康观察站。

他们的目标是研究
污水中的阿片类药物,

以更好地了解
城市的消费情况。

这些数据很关键,

因为它确实可以帮助城市了解
人们在哪里使用、

如何分配资源

以及
随着时间的推移规划的有效性。

再一次,
这台机器内置

的技术拉开了帷幕

,向我们展示了我们城市的一些东西
,如果没有它,我们永远不会看到。

所以事实证明,正如我们所看到的

,大数据真的无处不在——

甚至在你的厕所里。

既然我们已经
谈到了垃圾和污水,

让我们继续……

谈谈食物。

(笑声)

一年前,我离开麻省理工学院
,追求对食物的热情,

并在 2017 年

和我丈夫一起创办了一家公司,
叫做 Family Dinner。

我们公司的目标
是围绕当地食物

和种植食物的人创建社区。

为了实现这一目标,
我们正在使用数据分析、

自动化和技术

来建立一个
由当地农场组成的分布式网络,


改进食品系统。

所以我们在这里看到的

是,
我们正在尝试做的广泛的技术和使命

与麻省理工学院实验室的工作并没有什么不同。

这给我们带来了一个关键问题:

为什么有人会
离开世界顶级城市科学实验室之一的非常有前途的职业

开着她妈妈的讴歌兜风?

(笑声)

这是一辆很棒的车。

因为我
相信当地食物的故事

需要被理解、讲述和提升,

而且在很多方面,

我认为像我们这样
的书呆子真的很擅长讲述它。

那么我们从哪里开始呢?

我们的出发点是什么?

目前的国家食品
系统优化只有一件事

,那就是企业利润,对吧?

想想看。 食品公司存在

的最令人信服的原因

不是为了喂饱饥饿的人

,也不是为了制作美味的食物。

是利润。


对我们食品系统的各个层面都有不利影响。 食品中添加

的抗生素和杀虫剂

对我们的健康有害。

价格压力正迫使
小农场停业。

实际上
,您对农场的许多想法

已不复存在。

农场看起来不像农场,
它们看起来像工厂。

归根结底

,我们所吃食物的质量也确实受到影响。

工厂化种植的番茄
可能有点像普通番茄:

外观呈鲜红色……

但当你咬一口时

,味道和质地
会让你欲罢不能。

我们知道,
也许所有这一切中最大的悲剧

是 30% 到 40%
的食物被浪费了……

被扔掉了。

那是16亿吨。

我什
至无法理解这个数字。

16亿吨。

每年浪费的食物是 1.2 万亿美元

那是按需饮食

和便利

以及食品系统受损的成本。

现在,这种浪费发生在哪里?

哪里来的这么多垃圾?

好吧,我们知道

当你不挑选
最性感的土豆时,它会发生在田间。

我们知道它发生在运输过程中,

在仓库里,

在杂货店里。

最后,在我们自己的厨房柜台上,

当我们确定那个参差不齐的
棕色香蕉看起来不再那么好吃时。

所有的浪费,所有的努力。

食物被种植、

种植、收获、运输,

然后就被扔掉了。

我们认为必须
有更好的方法。

那么我们如何改进呢?

我们如何打造更好的系统?

为了做到这一点,

我们明白我们
需要消除

食品供应链中的浪费。

我们需要将数据
掌握在农民手中,

以便他们做出更好的预测。

所以他们可以,你知道
,与大个子竞争。

最后

,作为一家公司,我们需要将

质量和口味置于一切之上,

这样人们才能真正珍惜
盘子里的美味佳肴。

我们相信,这是更好的系统。

这是更好的方法。

通往更好方法的道路
是用数据铺就的。

为了突出这一切,
我想讲两个西红柿的故事。

我们将一一讨论。

番茄本身就包含

您可能想了解的
有关该水果生命周期的所有信息的美丽快照:

它在哪里种植、经过
什么处理、

营养价值、

到达您的盘子所需的里程数、

沿途的二氧化碳排放量 .

所有这些信息,

一个小果实中的所有这些小章节。

这是非常令人兴奋。

这是番茄一号。

这是您

在世界各地的分店、超市和快餐店都能找到的人。

它有一个非常漫长
而复杂的背景故事。

它已经用
了十几种杀虫剂的混合物进行了处理,

并且已经行驶了至少
1,600 英里才能到达您家。

而这里的图像是绿色的,

因为这些西红柿是
在绿色的时候被采摘的,坚硬如岩石,

然后在途中被毒气,

所以当它们
到达目的地时,

它们看起来又亮
又红,成熟了。

所有这些努力,

所有农业
创新和技术

都创造
了一种完全没有味道的产品。

还有我们故事中的第二个番茄。

这是水果的本地版本。

它的故事要短得多。

这家伙是卢克·马奥尼
和他的家人在

新罕布什尔州坎特伯雷的布鲁克福德农场长大的。

它有一个相当无聊的背景故事。

它被种植,

坐在阳光下

,然后被采摘。

(笑声)

就是这样。

就像,你不会想要 -

是的,没有更多的。

它走了大约 70 英里
才拿到你的盘子。

但差异是戏剧性的。

我想让你想想
你上次吃新鲜的夏季番茄是什么时候。

而且我知道我们
都穿着夹克,

但想想看。

上次你
从花园里吃番茄。

太阳晒得暖烘烘的,

红红的,

也许闻起来像泥土。

在那次经历中有一些怀旧和几乎神奇的东西。

味道和味道是无与伦比的。

我们真的不需要走
很远就能得到它。

现在这个故事延伸到食物链,

从我们盘子里的水果和蔬菜
到我们消费

的动物和动物
产品。

培养他们的东西

,更重要的是
,不培养他们的东西,

是至关重要的。

卢克和他的家人有 60 头奶牛。

他们使用传统方法。

他们用旧的方式来做:

放牧,

没有激素,没有抗生素,

干草好几天。

他们在这里所做
的只是把奶牛当作奶牛对待,

而不是像他们在科学实验中一样。


以他祖父

和祖父的方式饲养动物。

最后,它变得更好了。

对动物更好;

这对环境更好。

卢克不是
为了利润或价格而优化,

而是为了品味和人性。

而你在想的是,
“这个问题已经有了解决办法

。那就是农贸市场。”

你们中的许多人

访问的那些和我真正喜欢的那些。

它们是一个很棒的
解决方案,但在许多方面都不是最理想的解决方案。

对于作为消费者的我们来说,
这很好,对吧?

你去吧,

这里有丰富的食物,

你得到
支持当地农场的温暖

和模糊,你得到尝试
新事物和尝试不同产品的经验。

不可避免地,有一些人

在后台某处弹奏尤克里里。

(笑声)

但是对于农民来说,
这会带来很大的风险,对吧?

你四点起床。

你收拾好你的卡车,雇佣一个团队,

你到达你的摊位,

但你不能

保证你会在
那天移动你的产品。

新英格兰的变数太多了。

例如,这里的天气

有点不可预测。

天气

是决定
市场是否值得农民购买的众多 X 因素之一。

每次,他们掷骰子。

还有另一种选择。

在这里,我们谈论的是 CSA:

社区支持的农业。

在这种模式下,客户预先付款,

承担农场的财务风险。

农民尽其所能种植

,而客户则享受这种赏金。

这也有几个问题。

这对农民来说很好,

因为他们
确保他们会卖掉他们买的东西,

但对我们来说,

我们仍然必须
去拿那份,

而且我们知道很多农场
不能种植大量的多样性 产品,

所以有时候,你会被
任何一件特定的事情困住。

也许这发生在你们中的一些人身上。

在隆冬时节,你如何处理 25 磅
的芜菁甘蓝?

我还是不知道。

所以回到这个问题。

我们如何解决这个问题?

我们希望做的
和希望构建

的只是实现 CSA 的更好方法。

并且有三项核心创新
使这件事变得嗡嗡作响。

第一个

是基于订阅的
电子商务平台,

它帮助我们全年
为农民创造一致的需求

这里的订阅部分是关键。

订单每周处理一次,

客户选择退出而不是选择加入——

这意味着我们每周都有相同
数量的订单。

其次,这
意味着如果农民可以在线销售,

他们将不再局限于他们农场周围的地理区域


他们可以销售的市场数量。

我们
已经为他们打开了大门。

第二:需求预测。

我们正在使用分析来让
自己展望未来

并预测需求。

这让农民知道
近期可以收获多少,

也知道未来种植什么。

如果周一处理了 200 个订单,

那么我们会购买以满足确切的需求。

200 头西兰花,

200 条鲑鱼
,等等等等。

这种订购自动化

意味着在这里,我们正在消除
食品系统

中困扰我们所有人的浪费,

因为我们确保供应
满足确切的需求。

它还使我们能够
与农民一起展望未来

并进行作物计划。

因此,如果我们可以
在今年 6 月对他们说,

“我每周需要 400 磅芦笋

和 500 磅浆果”,

他们可以相应地种植,

因为他们有信心
将出售

所有他们想要的东西。 已经长大。

最后,我们
使用路线优化软件

来帮助我们
解决旅行商问题。

我们让一队工人
进来帮助我们走最后一英里,

把所有这些好东西
直接送到你家门口。

如果没有数据科学

和一支能力超群、出色的团队,

这一切都不可能实现。

所以也许你已经

看到我们有某种炽热、
充满激情的核心信念。

是的,我们正在努力建立
一个可持续发展的业务,

但我们的眼光不仅在于利润,

还在于建立一个更好、更
全面的食品系统。

这就是我们所重视的。

以人为本。

我们正在努力
围绕食物、热爱食物

和种植食物的人建立社区。

我们建立这家公司是
为了支持小型农场。

零浪费。

我们都讨厌浪费食物
,只是感觉不对——

即使是

在你的咖啡桌上放了太久的怪香蕉。

最后,品尝。

如果味道不好,

如果不是那样,就像
完美的夏季番茄,

何必呢?

所以我们所做的
就是与所有这些当地农场

合作,将他们的东西带进来

,然后将它们
直接送到您家门口,

这样我们就可以将您与他们联系

起来,并再次建立一个更全面的系统。

这是我们对未来的愿景。

将这种模式扩展到波士顿
以外、新英格兰以外

和全国。

创建一个
由当地农场组成的全国性分布式网络,

并将所有这些农民

与像您
一样热爱他们食物的人联系起来。

我们相信,归根结底

,真正坚持吃当地食物
是一种革命性的行为。

我们邀请您加入我们。

谁知道呢?

您甚至可以
在此过程中结交一些朋友。

非常感谢你。

(掌声)