The energy Africa needs to develop and fight climate change Rose M. Mutiso

Transcriber: TED Translators Admin
Reviewer: Mirjana Čutura

Think about this.

Californians use more electricity
playing video games

than the entire country
of Senegal uses overall.

Also, before gyms
were shut down due to COVID,

New Yorkers could work out
in a 10-degree-Celsius gym

because the cold apparently
burns more calories.

And yet only three percent of Nigerians
have air conditioners.

As you can see, there’s a mind-blowing gap

between the energy haves
and the energy have-nots.

And across the globe,
we have incredible energy inequality.

Billions of people simply lack
enough energy to build a better life:

affordable, abundant and reliable energy

to run their businesses
without daily blackouts,

to preserve their crops from rotting,

to power lifesaving medical equipment,

to work from home and do Zoom calls
with their colleagues,

to run trains and factories,

basically, to grow and to prosper

and to access both dignity
and opportunity.

Rich countries have that kind of energy,

whereas most countries in Africa,
and many elsewhere simply don’t.

And those billions of people

are falling further and further behind
the rest of the world.

In addition to taking
their energy abundance for granted,

the wealthy take
something else for granted:

that everyone should fight climate change
exactly the same way.

Tackling climate change

will require an accelerated transition
to low-carbon energy sources.

And yet, emissions continue
to climb year after year,

threatening to blow
our tight carbon budget.

That’s what I want to talk about today.

The carbon budget is an estimation
of the total emissions

that our planet’s atmosphere
can safely absorb.

Faced with an imperative
to not explode this carbon budget,

the world is looking at Africa
in a completely contradictory way.

On one side, it wants us to grow,

to emerge from abject poverty,

to build a middle class,

to own cars and air conditioners
and other modern amenities

because after all,
Africa is the next global market.

On the other side,

because they are anxious
to demonstrate action on climate change,

rich countries in the West

are increasingly restricting their funding
to only renewable energy sources,

effectively telling Africa
and other poor nations

to either develop with no carbon

or to limit their development
ambitions altogether.

Africa obviously needs to develop.

That’s non-negotiable.

And I want to make the case today
that Africa must be prioritized

when it comes to what’s left
in the carbon budget.

In other words,

Africa must be allowed to, yes, produce
more carbon in the short term

so we can grow,

while the rich world needs
to drastically cut their emissions.

Africans have a right to aspire

to the same prosperity
that everyone else enjoys.

And we deserve the same chance at a job,

at an education,

at dignity and opportunity.

We also understand very well

that the entire world
needs to get to a zero-carbon future.

This might sound contradictory,
but consider these three points.

First, Africa isn’t the culprit
of climate change.

It’s a victim.

Africa and its more
than one billion people

are among the most vulnerable
to climate change on the planet,

facing the worst impacts
of extreme weather, drought and heat.

And yet, if you look
at the carbon footprint

of the entire African continent,

48 African countries combined

are responsible for less than one percent
of accumulative carbon dioxide

in the atmosphere.

Even if every one of the one billion
people in sub-Saharan Africa

tripled their electricity
consumption overnight,

and if all of that new power
came from natural gas-fired plants,

we estimate that the additional CO2
that Africa would add

would equal to just one percent
of total global emissions.

Second, Africa needs more energy
to fight climate change, not less.

Because of its climate vulnerability,

Africa’s climate fight
is about adaptation and resilience,

and climate adaptation
is energy-intensive.

To respond to extreme weather,

Africans will need
more resilient infrastructure.

We’re talking seawalls, highways,
safe buildings and more.

To cope with drought,

Africans will need pumped irrigation
for their agriculture,

and many will need desalination
for fresh water.

And to survive soaring temperatures,

Africans will need cold storage and ACs

in hundreds of millions of homes,

offices, warehouses, factories,
data centers and the like.

These are all energy-intensive activities.

If we fail at mitigation,

the rich countries' plan B
for climate change is to simply adapt.

Africans need and deserve
that same capacity for adaptation.

Third,

imposing mitigation on the world’s poor
is widening economic inequality.

We’re creating energy apartheid.

Working in global energy and development,

I often hear people say,

“Because of climate, we just can’t afford
for everyone to live our lifestyles.”

That viewpoint is worse than patronizing.

It’s a form of racism,

and it’s creating a two-tier,
global energy system

with energy abundance for the rich

and tiny solar lamps for Africans.

The global market for natural gas
is a great example of this.

Large Western companies
are actively developing gas fields

in African countries

to run industry and generate electricity
in Asia or in Europe.

And yet, when these same African countries
want to build power plants at home

to use gas for their own people,

the Western development
and finance communities say,

“No, we won’t fund that.”

And here’s the irony.

Many poor countries
are already far ahead of the West

when it comes to transitioning
to a low-carbon energy system.

In Kenya, where I’m from, we generate
most of our electricity carbon-free.

Renewable sources
such as geothermal, hydro and wind

provide nearly 80 percent
of our electricity.

In the US, that figure is only 17 percent.

So let me repeat my points.

Everyone must get to a zero-carbon future.

In the transition,

Africa and other poor nations
deserve to get the balance

of what’s remaining
in the world’s carbon budget.

For economic competitiveness,

for climate adaptation,

for global stability

and for economic justice,

rich and high-emitting countries

must uphold their responsibility
to lead on decarbonization,

starting in their own economies.

We all have a collective responsibility
to turn the tide on climate change.

If we fail,

it won’t be because Senegal or Kenya
or Benin or Mali decided to build

a handful of natural gas power plants

to provide economic opportunity
for their people.

Thank you.

抄写员:TED Translators Admin
Reviewer:Mirjana Čutura

想想这个。

加利福尼亚人
玩电子游戏的用电

量比塞内加尔整个国家
的总用电量还多。

此外,在健身房
因 COVID 关闭之前,

纽约人可以
在 10 摄氏度的健身房锻炼,

因为寒冷显然会
燃烧更多的卡路里。

然而,只有 3% 的尼日利亚人
拥有空调。

正如你所看到的,有

能量的人和没有能量的人之间存在着惊人的
差距。

在全球范围内,
我们存在令人难以置信的能源不平等。

数十亿人只是缺乏
足够的能源来创造更美好的生活:

负担得起、充足和可靠的能源

来经营他们的企业
而不会每天停电

,保护庄稼不腐烂,

为救生医疗设备供电,

在家工作和
使用他们的 Zoom 通话 同事

,经营火车和工厂,

基本上是为了成长和繁荣,

并获得尊严
和机会。

富裕国家拥有这种能量,

而非洲的大多数国家
以及其他许多国家根本没有。

而这数十亿人

正越来越落后
于世界其他地区。

除了认为
他们的能源丰富是理所当然的之外

,富人还认为另一
件事是理所当然的

:每个人都应该以
完全相同的方式应对气候变化。

应对气候变化

需要加速
向低碳能源过渡。

然而,排放量
年复一年地继续攀升,

威胁着
我们紧张的碳预算。

这就是我今天要谈的。

碳预算

是对地球大气
可以安全吸收的总排放量的估计。

面对
必须不增加碳预算的必要性

,世界正
以一种完全矛盾的方式看待非洲。

一方面,它希望我们成长

,摆脱赤贫

,建立中产阶级

,拥有汽车、空调
和其他现代设施,

因为毕竟
非洲是下一个全球市场。

另一方面,

由于
急于展示应对气候变化的行动,

西方富裕国家

越来越多地将资金限制在
可再生能源上,

有效地告诉非洲
和其他贫穷

国家要么无碳发展,

要么限制其发展
雄心壮志。

非洲显然需要发展。

这是没有商量余地的。

今天我

想说明的是,在涉及碳预算剩余的问题时,必须优先考虑非洲

换句话说,

必须允许非洲,是的,
在短期内产生更多的碳,

这样我们才能发展,

而富裕世界
需要大幅减少排放。

非洲人有权渴望


其他人一样享有同样的繁荣。

我们应该有同样的工作

、教育

、尊严和机会的机会。

我们也非常了解

,整个世界都
需要实现零碳未来。

这听起来可能自相矛盾,
但请考虑这三点。

首先,非洲不是
气候变化的罪魁祸首。

这是一个受害者。

非洲及其
超过 10 亿人


地球上最容易受到气候变化影响的地区之一,

面临着
极端天气、干旱和高温的最严重影响。

然而,如果你看看

整个非洲大陆的碳足迹,

48 个非洲国家

加起来对大气
中累积二氧化碳的排放量不到百分之一

即使
撒哈拉以南非洲 10 亿人中的每一个人一夜之间用

电量增加了两倍

,如果所有这些新能源
都来自天然气发电厂,

我们
估计非洲将增加的二氧化碳

仅相当于 1
占全球总排放量的百分比。

其次,非洲需要更多的能源
来应对气候变化,而不是更少。

由于其气候脆弱性,

非洲的气候斗争
是关于适应和复原力的

,气候适应
是能源密集型的。

为了应对极端天气,

非洲人将需要
更具弹性的基础设施。

我们谈论的是海堤、高速公路、
安全建筑等等。

为了应对干旱,

非洲人的农业需要抽水灌溉

,许多人需要海水淡化
以获取淡水。

为了在不断飙升的气温中生存下来,

非洲人将需要

在数亿家庭、

办公室、仓库、工厂、
数据中心等中使用冷藏库和空调。

这些都是能源密集型活动。

如果我们在减缓方面失败

,富国
应对气候变化的 B 计划就是简单地适应。

非洲人需要也应该
拥有同样的适应能力。

第三,

对世界贫困人口实施缓解措施
正在扩大经济不平等。

我们正在制造能源种族隔离。

在全球能源与发展领域工作时,

我经常听到人们说,

“由于气候的原因,我们无法
让每个人都过上我们的生活方式。”

这种观点比光顾还要糟糕。

这是种族主义的一种形式

,它正在创建一个两层的
全球能源系统

为非洲人丰富的小型太阳能灯提供充足的能源。

全球天然气市场
就是一个很好的例子。

大型西方公司
正在非洲国家积极开发气田


在亚洲或欧洲经营工业和发电。

然而,当这些非洲国家
想在国内建造发电厂

为本国人民使用天然气时

,西方开发
和金融界却说,

“不,我们不会资助那个。”

讽刺的是。 在向低碳能源系统过渡方面,

许多贫穷
国家已经远远领先于西方

在我来自的肯尼亚,我们的
大部分电力都是无碳发电的。

地热、水力和风能等可再生能源

提供了我们近 80%
的电力。

在美国,这个数字只有 17%。

所以让我重复一下我的观点。

每个人都必须走向零碳未来。

在转型过程中,

非洲和其他贫穷国家
理应

获得世界碳预算剩余部分的平衡。

为了经济竞争力

、气候适应

、全球稳定

和经济正义,

富裕和高排放国家

必须承担
起引领脱碳的责任,

从本国经济开始。

我们都有共同的责任
来扭转气候变化的潮流。

如果我们失败了

,也不是因为塞内加尔、肯尼亚
、贝宁或马里决定

建造几座天然气发电厂


为他们的人民提供经济机会。

谢谢你。