The past present and future of nicotine addiction Mitch Zeller
I’m going to tell you a story.
I’m going to tell you a story
about how the deadliest
consumer product imaginable
came to be.
It’s the cigarette.
The cigarette is the only consumer product
that, when used as intended,
will kill half of all long-term users
prematurely, later in life.
But this is also a story
about the work that we’re doing
at the Food and Drug Administration,
and specifically,
the work that we’re doing
to create the cigarette of the future,
that is no longer capable
of creating or sustaining addiction.
A lot of people think that
the tobacco problem or the smoking problem
has been solved in the United States
because of the great progress
that’s been made
over the last 40, 50 years,
when it comes to both
consumption and prevalence.
And it’s true;
smoking rates are at historic lows.
It’s true for both adults and for kids.
And it’s true that those
who continue to smoke
are smoking far fewer cigarettes per day
than at any time in history.
But what if I told you
that tobacco use,
primarily because of firsthand
and secondhand exposure
to the smoke in cigarettes,
remains the leading cause of completely
preventable disease and death
in this country?
Well, that’s true.
And what if I told you
that it’s actually killing more people
than we thought
to be the case ever before?
That’s true, too.
Smoking kills more people each year
than alcohol, AIDS, car accidents,
illegal drugs, murders
and suicides combined.
Year in and year out.
In 2014,
Dr. Adams’s predecessor released
the 50th anniversary
Surgeon General’s report
on smoking and health.
And that report upped the annual
death toll from smoking,
because the list
of smoking-related illnesses
got bigger.
And so it is now conservatively estimated
that smoking kills
480,000 Americans every year.
These are completely preventable deaths.
How do we wrap our heads around
a statistic like this?
So much of what we’ve heard
at this conference
is about individual experiences
and personal experiences.
How do we deal with this
at a population level,
when there are 480,000 moms,
dads, sisters, brothers, aunts and uncles
dying unnecessary deaths
every year from tobacco?
And then what happens
when you think about this trajectory
for the future?
And just do the simple math:
from the time of the 50th anniversary
Surgeon General’s report five years ago,
when this horrible statistic was raised,
just through mid-century –
that’s more than 17 million
avoidable deaths in the United States
from tobacco use,
primarily because of cigarettes.
The Surgeon General concluded
that 5.6 million children
alive in the United States in 2014
will die prematurely later in life
because of cigarettes.
Five point six million children.
So this is an enormous
public health problem for all of us
but especially for us as regulators
at the Food and Drug Administration
and the Center for Tobacco Products.
What can we do about it?
What can we do to reverse this trajectory
of disease and death?
Well, we have an interesting guide
to help unravel issues
like: How did the cigarette
as we know it come to be?
What is the true nature
of the tobacco and cigarette business?
How did the industry behave
in the historically
unregulated marketplace?
And our guide
is previously secret internal documents
from the tobacco industry.
Come with me
in a tobacco industry
document time machine.
Nineteen sixty-three
was 25 years before the Surgeon General
was finally able to conclude
that the nicotine
and cigarettes was addictive.
That did not happen until
the Surgeon General’s report in 1998.
Nineteen sixty-three
was one year before the first-ever
Surgeon General’s report in 1964.
I remember 1964.
I don’t remember
the Surgeon General’s report,
but I remember 1964.
I was a kid growing up
in Brooklyn, New York.
This was at a time
when almost one in two adults
in the United States smoked.
Both of my parents
were heavy smokers at the time.
Tobacco use was so incredibly normalized
that – and this wasn’t North Carolina,
Virginia or Kentucky,
this was Brooklyn –
we made ashtrays for our parents
in arts and crafts class.
(Laughter)
The ashtrays I made were pretty awful,
but they were ashtrays.
(Laughter)
So normalized that I remember seeing
a bowl of loose cigarettes in the foyer
of our house and other houses
as a welcoming gesture
when friends came over for a visit.
OK, we’re back in 1963.
The top lawyer for Brown and Williamson,
which was then the third-largest
cigarette company in the United States,
wrote the following:
“Nicotine is addictive.
We are, then, in the business
of selling nicotine – an addictive drug.”
It’s a remarkable statement,
as much for what it doesn’t say
as for what it does say.
He didn’t say they were
in the cigarette business.
He didn’t say they were
in the tobacco business.
He said they were in the business
of selling nicotine.
Philip Morris in 1972:
“The cigarette isn’t a product,
it’s a package.
The product is nicotine.
The pack is a storage container
for a day’s supply of nicotine.
The cigarette, a dispenser
for a dose unit of nicotine.”
We’ll come back to this
dose unit notion later.
And R.J. Reynolds in 1972:
“In a sense, the tobacco industry
may be thought of as being a specialized,
highly ritualized and stylized segment
of the pharmaceutical industry.
Tobacco products uniquely
contain and deliver nicotine,
a potent drug with a variety
of physiological effects.”
At the time, and for many
decades, publicly,
the industry completely denied addiction
and completely denied causality.
But they knew the true nature
of their business.
And from time to time,
there have been health scares
made public about cigarettes,
going back many decades.
How did the industry respond?
And how did they respond
in this historically
unregulated marketplace?
Going back to the 1930s,
it was with advertising
that heavily featured imagery of doctors
and other health care professionals
sending messages of reassurance.
This is an ad for Lucky Strikes,
the popular cigarette
of the time in the ’30s:
[20,679 physicians
say “Luckies are less irritating.”
Your throat protection
against irritation, against cough.]
(Laughter)
We laugh,
but this was the kind of advertising
that was there to send
a health message of reassurance.
Fast-forward to 1950s, ’60s and ’70s.
And here, again,
in the absence of regulation,
what we’re going to see
is modifications to the product
and product design
to respond to the health
concerns of the day.
This is the Kent Micronite filter.
And here, the innovation, if you will,
was the filtered cigarette.
[Full smoking pleasure …
plus proof of the greatest
health protection ever.]
What the smoker
of this product didn’t know,
what their doctor didn’t know,
what the government didn’t know,
is that this was a filter
that was lined with asbestos –
(Gasps)
so that when smokers
were smoking this filtered cigarette
and still inhaling the chemicals and smoke
that we know are associated
with cancer and lung disease
and heart disease,
they were also sucking down
asbestos fibers.
(Gasps)
In the 1960s and the 1970s,
the so-called innovation
was the light cigarette.
This is a typical brand
of the day called True.
And this is after the Surgeon General’s
reports have started coming out.
And you see the look
of concern on her face.
[Considering all I’d heard,
I decided to either quit
or smoke True.
I smoke True.]
(Laughter)
[The low tar, low nicotine cigarette.]
And then it says, “Think about it.”
And then even below that
in the small print
are tar numbers and nicotine numbers.
What was a light cigarette?
How did it work?
This is an illustration
of the product modification
known as “filter ventilation.”
That’s not a real filter blown up.
That’s just a picture
so that you could see the rows
of laser-perforated ventilation holes
that were put on the filter.
When you look at a real cigarette,
it’s harder to see.
Every patent for this product shows
that the ventilation holes
should be 12 millimeters
from the lip end of the filter.
How did it work?
The cigarette got stuck into a machine.
The machine started
puffing away on the cigarette
and recording tar and nicotine levels.
As the machine smoked,
outside air came through
those ventilation holes
and diluted the amount of smoke
that was coming through the cigarette.
So as the machine smoked,
there really was less tar
and nicotine being delivered
compared to a regular cigarette.
What the tobacco industry knew
was that human beings
don’t smoke like machines.
How do human beings smoke this?
Where do the fingers go?
(Murmurs)
Where do the lips go?
I told you that the patent said
that the holes are 12 millimeters
from the lip end.
The smoker didn’t even know
they were there,
but between fingers and lips,
the holes get blocked.
And when the holes get blocked,
it’s no longer a light cigarette.
Turns out that there’s actually
basically as much nicotine
inside a light cigarette
as a regular cigarette.
The difference was what’s on the outside.
But once you block what’s on the outside,
it’s a regular cigarette.
Congress put FDA in the business
of regulating tobacco products
10 years ago this June.
So you heard the statistics
at the beginning
about the extraordinary contribution
to disease and death that cigarettes make.
We’ve also been paying a lot of attention
to how the cigarette works
as a drug-delivery device
and the remarkable efficiency
with which it delivers nicotine.
So let’s take a look.
When the smoker puffs on the cigarette,
the nicotine from that puff
gets up into the brain
in less than 10 seconds.
Less than 10 seconds.
Up in the brain,
there are these things
called “nicotinic receptors.”
They’re there …
waiting.
They’re waiting for, in the words
of that Philip Morris document,
the next “dose unit of nicotine.”
The smoker that you see outside,
huddled with other smokers,
in the cold,
in the wind,
in the rain,
is experiencing craving
and may be experiencing
the symptoms of withdrawal.
Those symptoms of withdrawal
are a chemical message
that these receptors
are sending to the body,
saying, “Feed me!”
And a product that can deliver the drug
in less than 10 seconds
turns out to be an incredibly efficient
and incredibly addictive product.
We’ve spoken to so many
addiction treatment experts
over the years.
And the story I hear is the same
over and over again:
“Long after I was able
to get somebody off of heroin
or cocaine or crack cocaine,
I can’t get them to quit cigarettes.”
A large part of the explanation
is the 10-second thing.
FDA has it within its regulatory reach
to use the tools of product regulation
to render cigarettes as we know them
minimally or nonaddictive.
We’re working on this.
And this could have a profound
impact at a population level
from this one policy.
We did dynamic population-level
modeling a year ago,
and we published the results
in “The New England Journal.”
And because of the generational
effect of this policy,
which I’ll explain in a minute,
here’s what we project out
through the end of the century:
more than 33 million people
who would otherwise have gone on
to become regular smokers won’t,
because the cigarette
that they’ll be experimenting with
can’t create or sustain addiction.
This would drive the adult smoking rate
down to less than one and a half percent.
And these two things combined
would result in the saving of more than
eight million cigarette-related deaths
that would otherwise have occurred
from the generational impact of this.
Now, why am I saying “generational”?
It’s about kids.
Ninety percent of adult smokers
started smoking when they were kids.
Half of them became regular smokers
before they were legally old enough
to buy a pack of cigarettes.
Half of them became regular smokers
before they were 18 years old.
Experimentation.
Regular smoking.
Addiction.
Decades of smoking.
And then the illness,
and that’s why we’re talking
about a product
that will kill half of all long-term users
prematurely later in life.
The generational impact
of this nicotine-reduction policy
is profound.
Those old industry documents
had a word for young people.
They were described as
“the replacement smokers.”
The replacement smokers
for addicted adult smokers
who died or quit.
Future generations of kids,
especially teens,
are going to engage in risky behavior.
We can’t stop that.
But what if the only cigarette
that they could get their hands on
could no longer create
or sustain addiction?
That’s the public health
return on investment
at a population level over time.
Haven’t said anything about e-cigarettes.
But I have to say something
about e-cigarettes.
(Laughter)
We are dealing with an epidemic
of kids' use of e-cigarettes.
And what troubles us the most,
in combination with the rising numbers
when it comes to prevalence,
is frequency.
Not only are more kids using e-cigarettes,
but more kids are using e-cigarettes
20 or more days in the past 30 days
than at any time since e-cigarettes
came onto the market.
And at FDA, we’re doing
everything that we can
using program and policy,
first to get the word out to kids
that this is not a harmless product
and to make sure that kids
aren’t initiating and experimenting
on any tobacco product,
whether combustion is present or not.
But think about e-cigarettes
in a properly regulated marketplace
as something that could be of benefit
to addicted adult cigarette smokers
who are trying to transition
away from cigarettes.
So, I’ll leave you with this vision:
imagine a world
where the only cigarette
that future generations of kids
could experiment with
could no longer create
or sustain addiction
because of a single policy.
Imagine a world
where health-concerned cigarette smokers,
especially if a policy goes into effect
that takes the nicotine levels down
to minimally or nonaddictive levels,
could transition to alternative
and less harmful forms
of nicotine delivery,
starting with FDA-approved
nicotine medications,
like the gum, patch and lozenge.
And finally,
imagine a world and a properly
regulated marketplace,
whether it’s e-cigarettes
or whatever the technology of the day,
it’s not the product developers
and the marketers
who decide which products come to market
and what claims get made for them,
it’s review scientists at FDA,
who look at applications
and decide, using the standard
that Congress has entrusted us
to implement and enforce,
whether a particular product
should come to market,
because the marketing of that product
and the words of our law
would be appropriate for the protection
of the public health.
These are the kinds
of powerful regulatory tools
that are within our reach
to deal with what remains
the leading cause of completely
preventable disease and death
in the country.
If we get this right,
that trajectory,
those 5.6 million kids,
is breakable.
Thank you.
(Applause)