[Music]
artificial intelligence
this term has been buzzwords these days
right
but what's on your mind when you heard
about this term digital intelligence
for me it's going to be like a super
highly intelligent
machine like wally
what is a what form of the robot that's
very smart
funny and also likes robot so i really
like alienware right
and if we are on the same generation our
childhood might be accompanied by
this robot it's a highly super
intelligent robot
robotic cat from the future doraemon yup
you heard the rhyme
if you think about it it's actually
super intelligent
robotics because it can
solve any kind of problems it can
communicate with the humans very well
it also has feelings so
it's one of the form that's a super
intelligent robot right
so to be honest when i was a childhood i
was
i dream of having a door i want by my
side yeah
and another thing about ai could be
jarvis
it's the ai that helps tony stark build
iron man right it also manages house
and another ai is also maybe if you
think
from another science fiction it's like
terminator the human killing machines
a network that they try uh try to kill
the whole humanities
is this kind of so what are the same
things between all of these robots
all of them are highly intelligent ai
right they have specific feelings
they are general uh overall they are
very smart
but what about our current state of ai
in the world
if i quote from john kuhn he's a
facebook ai director
and he's one of the uh one of from the
three
publishers of the deep learning the
godfather of deep learning together with
joseo bengio
and joffrey hinson he said that we're
very far from building truly intelligent
machines
and in fact these experts say that our
current ai
is not even as smart as a rat yup you
heard it right
not even a smart ass thread because the
current ai can only do very specific
things
let me give you one example right so
imagine that we already have a tons
of data of pictures right so here i have
pictures that label as airplane
automobile bird cat etc and i wanted to
build a neural network model
so it is one form of of ai
i wanted to build an image
classification so i trained this model
basically to understand what kind of
picture is it
right so from all of this model i fit
into this neural network
and i get a model trained and if i give
a new picture
to this neural network model it will try
to classify
what kind of picture it is okay it
predicts tracks
perfect right but what if i give it
another picture
a handwritten image picture can it still
detect what kind of vector is this no
because
we train this model using a truck data
card data
births etc but not a handwritten image
so this neural network cannot predict
something that they are not trained with
right
so back again our current
eyes can only do very specific thing
very specific thing that's first
and it's only as good as what kind of
data you fit it into
but given of this specifics ai actually
has saved us
a lot of time what i mean by a lot it's
really actually a lot
even if i have to accumulate it's like a
thousand years
i'm not excited let me tell you in uh
after a bit yep this
receives it saves us time a lot
okay let's take a look back at this
image classification model right
uh what about this classification model
uh now i try to train a toddler i would
like to
train him or her uh basically to
classify what kind of image is this
imagine how long that you uh you will
take to train this toddler
to basically to classify whether this is
a airplane automobile
car trucks could it take weeks
maybe depends on the age right could it
take months
could be or maybe even years but the ai
can train them in just a very snap just
very
very instantly let me give one one
another example
so another example of ai is this one
a machine learning model called alphago
it was built by deepmind
in 2016 and in 2016
this ai able to beat the human world
champion of go
lizido and are you curious how he can
train to beat the
human world champion basically it learns
about a hundred thousand human games of
gold
amazing right and so if we have
if the one average of the human game of
go
is played uh maybe 90 minutes 90 minutes
to what two hours
so it's about 22 years worth of
experience of playing go
can you imagine in 22 years i'm able to
complete my
elementary high school elementary school
i go to junior high school
senior high school i complete my
bachelor degree
i even able to complete my master's
degree in that time
and yes so uh but
imagine can you guess how long does it
take for this
ai to trend these 22 years
in just three weeks it's amazing right
the 22 years worth of experience of
playing go
can be learned by this ai just in three
weeks imagine that
uh so it's until it able to uh
it's able to be the human world champion
amazing right
let me give you one another example an
example that also built by this deepmind
is open ai5 it tried to learn dota 2
about 10 000 years of experience just in
10 months
and it has been tested that this open i5
it has a winning rate about 99.4 percent
against the professional player of dota
it's so amazing though this is the thing
that ai can
really be have a superhuman performance
if they are given a very specific task
if they're given a very good amount of
data
okay but ai is actually not just playing
games
it's actually everywhere around us even
in your pocket
me give an example instagram our daily
apps it's newspapers
actually tailored to the preferences how
can how
how does it do that right because
it knows what kind of pictures that you
like it knows what kind of post that you
commented on
it knows how long do you stare at this
kind of picture
oh yes it knows how long you start at
one picture if you look
into that puppy picture for one minute
it knows if you look into it
watch this video about uh a cat get
swimming or maybe
poppy swimming it knows how long that
you stare at this video
so all of these are tailored they built
an ai
basically to make you more engaged into
this app right
so it's it's amazing that's making you
more engaged on this app
so have you if you if you're like me
have you ever felt that you just plan to
scroll instagram before you sleep
initially you try to uh just scrolling
for like 15 minutes
and then turns out it's been hours and
sometimes maybe
it's already morning and then did you
just scrolling for instagram
right so you're not even aware that
you have been that engaged to this app
because their ai has
makes you uh really engaged with
your feed because it's been tailored to
your preferences
but not just instagram let me give give
you one another example
from one of the right healing app from a
company
from a country is going so in 2010
when when project first launched it's
very manual right
when there is a customer need to order a
booking
they have to call the customer agent
right hey
i need uh i need someone to pick me up
at that's a certain location
okay and then the customer agents reply
and say okay let me
allocate one of the driver for you and
yeah
then the the driver can come to you pick
you up
and done and in 2016 actually
change uh they launched the first mobile
app right
so at that time they changed from the
human agent
into a more automated and nx
they're using ai to allocate drivers to
customers
so imagine how how much time do they
save even this
let's say there are millions of bookings
every day and for each booking
it's handled about 20 to 30 minutes by a
human agent
right and so if you in total it takes
every day takes like 50 years if there's
only one person who manages all of the
spooky
yeah so imagine that there's a team of
50 agents it's going to take them
the whole year just to allocate the
booking on that day
you're getting it see so ai has saved us
50 years every day so imagine this it
just
lasts for 20 days it's been thousand
years it's amazing right
another one example is uh they use ai
to make the platform safe for everyone
so they use the data basically to
look into the human behavior one of the
examples is
the human movement so you collect from
the gps data points
there's about billions of data points
every day right
so let me give you an example does it
make sense if
one day there is a user in command and
then on the next minute
suddenly it jumped to anchor just in one
minute they jump about 20 kilometers
away
it doesn't make sense right uh
definitely it's not
uh honest it's not an honest user uh
they may be trying to try
to uh scam or they're trying to do bad
things to
uh or the users on the platform and
so here we have to tackle all of these
kind of things right
but imagine that this kind of data
points have to be eyeballed by
human validator one by one can you
imagine how many years will it take
right and with an ai it actually saves
us about
19 years every day to protect millions
of users
it's amazing right so if you combine it
with
how ai has allocated drivers
it saved about 70 years one day for one
single day
so it's amazing right i i actually saved
us
uh more times than you can ever imagine
actually and
and not just saving time it's also saved
lives
so recently there is a news from mit
that
they tried to collect about 70 000 of
audio recordings
these every audio recordings have the
audio of people caffeine yeah
your hair correctly so caffeine so from
the 70 000 recordings
actually there was about 200 thousands
of
caffeine sampled audio from this data
they tried to
create an ai that is able to predict
whether someone
is uh coffee positive or not
and guess what their ai is even able to
predict what 98.5
whether someone has coveted or not just
by the cough ideology
it's amazing right so imagine that
including asymptomatic
so it's not just a symptom as a guy that
already has shown symptoms but also this
asymptomatic
people so imagine that this kind of ai
has been implemented in your device
imagine how uh it can detect the covet
this earlier than than we possibly think
right
so if if someone can be detected much
earlier they can be
make a self-isolation hence uh they
don't need
they can prevent to spread the disease
uh
more wider so it's pretty amazing
another example is the heart attack uh
detection so one company
in copenhagen called corti they analyzed
about 161 thousand
of emergency calls so those are the
audio the call to the ambulance hey i'm
actually for ambulance
and based on that call they're able to
create an ai
and reduce about 42 percent of
undetected out of hospital
cardiac arrest it's so amazing right it
already saved thousands of lives
but given all of the achievement by ai
so what do you think that we should
really be aware of do you think that we
still need to worry about the human
killing machines
that still in our image that's actually
it's on in our imaginary
no if i can tell you one thing it should
be something like this
yep uh you look it correctly it's a
social media news feed
like what i said before on instagram
social media our social media nisbet
is actually telling your preference no
matter what
if it's a fun things like you like
puppies or not okay so maybe your
newsfeed
filled with puppies i like to scuba dive
so my newsfeed will be filled with
scuba diving pictures so it's it's
pretty awesome
but imagine that that is something
sensitive like
politics or something else
it's quite more sensitive and
if i look into the research in 2014 by
peer research center
we are actually today we are more
divided than ever than what happened in
the past
so this look let's take a look at this
chart right
uh in 2014 there is a graph about the
uh they surveyed about the democrats
supporters and also republican
supporters
and somehow compared to the 10 years ago
or 20 20 years ago
it's become more polarized so
we're more polarized on this kind of
views because
someone who supports democrat on their
newsfeed will be
they will see many things about the
democrats
and vice versa and another survey told
us that
these people uh these supporters in
democrat
uh many more people that think badly
about people that support republican
and and vice versa as well can you
imagine that
if uh if you do you remember that what
happens in
indonesia political situation a couple
of uh a couple of months couple of years
back
it's quite similar isn't it if you even
imagine that
someone who supports candidate a they
think very badly about
people who support candidate b and vice
versa
so let me ask you one thing
who whoever watched this that
has left the our chat group
of families or long friends because have
a different views of this
right can you imagine so actually where
today
is way more polarized than ever we're
divided more than ever
because because of our social media is
territory our preferences
if i support candidate a my newspaper
will be filled with
news from candidate a and i will think
that all supports from negative b is
very bad they're wrong right and vice
versa
that makes us uh more divided
and so my message to you is
if you look into your news feed in our
social media or in
any news you might want to want to think
or want to double check
hey is this correct does it does it
makes sense
so uh you cannot think that
your site is the one that is true you
have to think that
you could be wrong right or maybe the
other side couldn't be right
or vice versa so this kind of things
that uh
hopefully you can be more open-minded
that everything that you see in your
social media
is actually tailored by ai according to
your preferences
so please be careful please be
open-minded
about whatever you see on the social
media and
there is one thing that ai still don't
have we just miss them
lastly if i have to quote from stephen
hawking he said that
we all have potential to boost our
boundaries through technology
and to think big even we are now at a
very exciting times and place
because we see all of this kind of power
right
and actually our generation are the
future are the pioneers of that
technologies like what i mentioned
before the neural network
uh the system to detect uh
heart attack is them to predict a covet
everything is
a system that is able to
beat the human world champion it's all
made in our generation
it's so exciting right but there's one
thing if we see
our future our features actually are
raised between the growing power of this
technology
and the wisdom with which we use it
let us all hope that the wisdom wins in
this race
thank you very much
{{
[音乐]
人工智能
这个词最近一直是流行语,
但是当你听到这个词时,你在想
什么 对我来说,数字智能就像一个超级
智能
机器,像沃利
什么是机器人的什么形式?
聪明
有趣,也喜欢机器人,所以我真的很
喜欢外星人
,如果我们是同一代人,我们的
童年可能会伴随着
这个机器人,它是
来自未来哆啦A梦的高度超级智能的机器人机器猫是的
,
如果你仔细想想,你听到了押韵 它实际上是
超级智能
机器人,因为它可以
解决任何类型的问题,它可以
很好地与人类交流
它也有感觉,所以
它是超级智能机器人的一种形式,
所以说实话,当我小时候,我
是
我的梦想 我想要一扇门
是的
房子和另一个人工智能也可能如果你从另一个科幻小说中想到它就像终结者人类杀人机器他们尝试的网络呃试图杀死整个人文学科就是这样的那么所有这些机器人之间有什么相同的东西所有他们是非常聪明的人工智能,他们有特定的感受,他们很一般,嗯,总的来说,他们非常聪明,但是如果我引用约翰库恩的话,那么我们目前在世界上的人工智能状态呢?他是 Facebook 人工智能总监,他是来自深度学习的三位出版商深度学习的教父与 joseo bengio 和 joffrey hinson 他说我们离制造真正的智能机器还很远,事实上这些专家说我们现在的人工智能甚至不如老鼠聪明是的,你没听错,甚至不是一个自作聪明线程,因为当前的人工智能只能做非常具体的事情让我给你一个例子吧,想象一下我们已经有很多
正确的图片数据,所以这里我
有标签为飞机
汽车鸟猫等的图片,我想
建立一个神经网络模型,
所以它是 AI 的一种形式,
我想建立一个图像
分类,所以我训练这个模型
基本上是为了理解 什么样的
图片是
正确的,所以从所有这个模型中,我
适合这个神经网络
,我得到一个训练好的模型,如果我
给这个神经网络模型一个新的图片,它会
尝试分类
什么样的图片是好的
预测轨道
完美正确但是如果我给它
另一张
图片手写图像图片它仍然可以
检测到什么样的向量这是不,
因为
我们使用卡车数据
卡数据
出生等而不是手写图像训练这个模型
所以这个神经网络不能 预测
一些他们没有接受过正确训练的东西,
所以我们现在的
眼睛只能做非常具体的事情,
非常具体的事情,这是第一件事
,它只取决于你适合什么样的
数据
但是考虑到这个细节,人工智能实际上
为我们节省
了很多时间,我的意思是很多,
实际上实际上很多,
即使我必须积累它就像一
千年,
我并不兴奋,让我在 uh 之后告诉你
是的,这个
接收它为我们节省了很多时间,
好吧,让我们回顾一下这个
图像分类模型吧,
呃,这个分类模型怎么样,
呃,现在我试着训练一个蹒跚学步的孩子,我想
训练他或她,呃,基本上是为了
分类什么类型 图片是这个
想象一下,你,呃,你要花多长时间
来训练这个蹒跚学步的孩子
,基本上来分类这是否
是飞机,汽车,
汽车,卡车,可能需要几周,
可能取决于年龄,可能
需要几个月
,甚至几年,但是 人工智能
可以在很短的时间内训练它们 非常非常快速
让我
再举一个例子
所以另一个人工智能的例子是这个 一个
叫做 alphago 的机器学习模型
它是由 deepmind
在 2016 年和 2016 年建立
的 ai 能够击败 go lizido 的人类世界
冠军
,你是否好奇他如何
训练以击败
人类世界冠军基本上它了解了
大约十万人类游戏的
黄金
惊人的权利,所以如果我们有
一个人类的平均水平 下
围棋
呃 大概是 90 分钟 90 分钟
到 2 小时
左右 所以这大约是 22 年
的围棋经验
你能想象在 22 年内我能够
完成我的
小学 小学
我去初中
高中 我完成了我的
学士学位
我什至能够在那个时候完成我的硕士学位
,是的,但是
想象一下,你能猜到
这个
人工智能需要多长时间才能在短短三周内成为这 22 年的趋势,
这真是太棒
了 22
这个AI可以在三
周内
学会多年的围棋经验
举一个同样由这个 deepmind 构建的例子
是 open ai5 它试图在 10 个月内学习 dota 2
大约 10 000 年的经验
,
并且经过测试,这个 open i5
它对职业玩家的胜率约为 99.4%
dota 太神奇了,虽然这
就是人工智能
真的可以拥有超人的表现,
如果他们被赋予非常具体的任务,
如果他们得到大量的
数据,
好吧,但人工智能实际上不仅仅是玩
游戏
它实际上无处不在 我们甚至
在你的口袋里
我举个例子 instagram 我们的日常
应用 它是报纸
实际上是根据偏好量身定制的
它如何做到这一点 因为
它知道你喜欢什么样的图片
它知道你评论过什么样的帖子
知道你会盯着
这种照片
多久哦是的它知道你从一张照片开始看多长时间
如果你
看着那张小狗的照片一分钟
它知道你是否
看着它 一个关于猫
游泳或者
罂粟游泳的视频 它知道
你会盯着这个视频多久,
所以所有这些都是量身定制
的 参与了这个应用程序,
所以如果你像我一样,
你有没有觉得你只是打算
在睡觉前滚动 Instagram
最初你尝试呃只是
滚动 15 分钟
,然后结果是几个小时,
有时可能
现在已经是早上了,然后您是否
刚刚滚动浏览 Instagram,
所以您甚至不知道
您对这个应用程序的参与度很高,
因为他们的人工智能
让您真正参与到
您的提要中,因为它是根据您的喜好量身定制的,
但不仅仅是 instagram 让我
再举一个例子
,来自一个国家的一家公司的正确治疗应用程序之一,
所以在 2010 年
项目第一次启动时,它是
非常手动的,
当有 客户需要
预订,
他们必须打电话给客户代理,
嘿,
我需要,嗯,我需要有人在某个地点接我,
好的,然后客户代理
回复说好的,让我
为您分配一名司机
是的,
然后司机可以来接你
并完成,并且在
2016 年实际上发生
了变化 将司机分配给
客户,
所以想象一下,即使这样,他们也能节省多少时间,
假设每天有数百万个预订
,每个
预订由人工代理处理大约 20 到 30 分钟
,所以如果你总共需要
每天 如果
只有一个人管理所有
令人毛骨悚然的事情,大概需要 50 年,是的,所以想象一下,有一个由
50 名代理商组成的团队,他们将花费
一整年的时间来分配
预订那天
你看到的 所以人工智能每天为我们节省了
50 年,所以想象一下,它只
持续了 20 天,已经有几千年
了 人类行为
示例之一
是人类运动,因此您
从 gps 数据点收集
每天大约有数十亿个数据点,
所以让我给您举个例子,
如果
有一天有一个用户在指挥
然后继续,这是否有意义 下一分钟,
它突然跳到锚点,一
分钟后他们跳了大约 20
公里,
这没有任何意义,嗯,
绝对不是,
诚实,这不是一个诚实的用户
试图对
呃或平台上的用户做坏事,
所以在这里我们必须正确处理所有这些
事情,
但想象一下这种数据
点必须由
人工验证者一个一个地观察,你
能想象吗? 需要多少年才能
正确,而有了人工智能,它实际上
每天为我们节省大约 19 年的时间来保护数
百万用户,
这真是太棒了,所以如果你将它
与
人工智能如何分配驱动程序结合起来,
它一天节省了大约 70 年的
时间
所以这真是太棒了 ii 实际上拯救了
我们的
次数比你想象的要多
,
而且不仅仅是节省时间,它还拯救了
生命
所以最近有一个来自 mit 的消息
,
他们试图收集大约 70 000 个
录音
这些每一个录音 有
人们咖啡因的音频是的,
你的头发是正确的所以咖啡因所以
从 70 000 条录音中
实际上有大约 20 万
个
咖啡因采样音频从这些数据中
他们试图
创建一个能够预测某人是否是咖啡因的人工智能
猜猜他们的人工智能甚至能够
预测 98.5
是否有人垂涎
于咳嗽意识形态,
这太棒了,所以想象一下,
包括 asym ptomatic
所以这不仅仅是一个
已经表现出症状的人的症状,而且还有这种
无症状的
人所以想象一下这种人工智能
已经在你的设备中实现了
想象一下它如何能够
比我们可能认为的更早地检测到这种渴望
所以 如果可以更早地检测到某人,
他们可以
进行自我隔离,因此,他们
不需要,
他们可以防止将疾病传播
得更广泛,所以这非常令人惊讶
另一个例子是心脏病发作,呃
检测所以
哥本哈根的一家公司 打电话给 corti,他们分析了
大约 161,000
个紧急呼叫,所以这些是
呼叫救护车的音频,嘿,我
实际上是
在呼叫救护车,基于该呼叫,他们能够
创建一个人工智能,
并减少约 42%
未被发现出院的人
心脏骤停,这太神奇了,它
已经挽救了数千人的生命,
但考虑到人工智能的所有成就,
你认为我们应该
真正意识到什么,你认为
我们是 直到需要
担心仍然在我们的形象中的人类杀人机器实际上
它在我们的想象中
没有如果我可以告诉你一件事它
应该是这样的
是的,你看对了它是一个
社交媒体新闻提要,
就像我一样 之前在 instagram 社交媒体上说过,
我们的社交媒体
nisbet 实际上是在告诉你的偏好,
不管它是不是很有趣,比如你喜欢
小狗还是不好,所以也许你的
新闻源
充满了
小狗 潜水照片,所以它
非常棒,
但想象一下,这是
敏感的事情,比如
政治或其他事情,
它会更加敏感,
如果我研究 2014 年同行研究中心的研究,
我们实际上
比以往任何时候都更加分裂
过去
所以这个样子让我们看一下这张
图表吧
呃在 2014 年有一张关于
呃他们调查的关于民主党
支持者和代表的图表 ublican 的
支持者
,不知何故,与 10 年前
或 20 20 年前相比,
它变得更加两极分化,所以
我们对这种观点更加两极分化,
因为
在他们的新闻源上支持民主党的人
会看到很多关于
民主党
的事情 反之亦然,另一项调查告诉
我们,
这些人,嗯,这些民主党的支持者,
嗯,更多的人对支持共和党的人有不好的看法
,反之亦然,你
能想象,
如果你记得
在
印度尼西亚的政治局势中发生了什么
几个 呃 几个月 几年
前
很相似 不是吗 如果你甚至
想象
支持候选人 a 的
人对支持候选人 b 的人看法很差 反之亦然
所以让我问你一件事
谁 谁看了
这个离开了我们
的家庭或老朋友的聊天群,因为
对这个权利有不同的看法,
你能想象到哪里
今天
比以往任何时候都更加两极分化,我们比以往任何时候都
更加分裂,
因为因为我们的社交媒体是
我们的领地,
如果我支持候选人 a,我的报纸
将充满
来自候选人 a 的新闻,我
认为来自负面 b 的所有支持都是
非常糟糕,他们是对的,反之亦然
,这让我们更加分裂
,所以我给你的信息是,
如果你在我们的
社交媒体或
任何你可能想要思考
或想要仔细检查的新闻中查看你的新闻提要
嘿,这是正确的吗?它是否
有意义,
所以你不能认为
你的网站是真实的,你
必须认为
你可能是错的,或者
另一方不可能是对的
,反之亦然,所以这种
呃
希望你能更开放
的事情,你在
社交媒体
上看到的一切实际上都是由人工智能根据你的喜好量身定制的,
所以请小心,请
对你在社交媒体上看到的任何内容保持开放的态度
还有一件事,人工智能仍然
没有我们最后想念他们,
如果我不得不引用斯蒂芬
霍金的话,他说
我们都有潜力通过技术来扩大我们的
界限
,即使我们现在正处于一个
非常令人兴奋的时期 时间和地点,
因为我们正确地看到了所有这种力量
,实际上我们这一代人
是这些技术的先驱,
就像我
之前提到的神经网络,
呃,检测呃
心脏病发作的系统是他们预测一个觊觎的
一切都是
一个能够
击败人类世界冠军的系统,这一切
都是在我们这一代人创造
出来的,这太令人兴奋了
让我们都希望智慧在
这场比赛中获胜
非常感谢