How the West can save itself from selfdestruction

um

i am english so i will speak in english

i’m in zurich on a visit even though i

live in ireland and the uk

i’m on a visit for a number of reasons

to do with

dealing with the pandemic and public

policy following the pandemic

but also i’ve taken the opportunity to

visit

the site in this city where my

countrymen winston churchill

gave a very memorable and famous speech

in 1946 on the 19th of september 1946

74 years ago almost exactly

calling for a united states of europe

what he was addressing is something

similar to what we need to address today

in our own democracies he was addressing

the natural competitiveness of nations

the way in which that nationalism that

competitiveness had led to two world

wars during the 20th century

and to terrible extremes of politics and

of poverty

in many countries and he was calling for

a new approach an approach of

international collaboration

an approach at a global level that would

be led by the united nations

that he had had an important part in

designing along with his collaborators

franklin delano roosevelt

and later harry s truman in the united

states

but also at a european level through the

creation of

a european community

churchill was an old-fashioned british

imperialist

the british empire still existed we

hadn’t yet dismantled it

so he didn’t actually propose that

britain should be part of this united

states of europe

but it was directly implicit

in his speech that we should work

alongside it

that we should be one of the

interlocking circles of international

collaboration

setting up institutions setting up

treaties

and rules of conduct so that competition

would happen

between nations in a peaceful manner a

constructive manner

rather than a destructive manner

later when the british empire was

dismantled of course britain did join

the european union now very sadly from

my point of view

we’ve decided to leave it we are part of

the challenge to

the very memory the very legacy that

winston churchill

started the creation of in that speech

in 1946

but more broadly what we’re facing now

and the subject really of our discussion

uh

for tedx graceto is a destruction

a potential self-destruction of

democracy

of the west of the network of nations

that churchill was so instrumental in

helping

to create after the second world war in

1946

by the west i mean the liberal democracy

that has spread around the world not

just in the countries of western europe

or north america but also in japan in

taiwan in south korea

in chile and mexico in all sorts of

countries

all over the world but also

the connection between those liberal

democracies

sense that we share not just common

values but a set of common interests

that have made us interested in uh the

building up of international

institutions of international law

and of treaties that dictate the way in

which

uh competition between our countries um

is conducted particularly the world

trade organization the united nations

and its various institutions the world

health organization

and of course the bilateral security

treaties and multilateral ones

that the united states was instrumental

in setting up in the 1940s and 1950s

nato in europe the u.s japan security

treaty

in east asia the u.s south korea

security treaty in east asia

the intelligence sharing network between

america britain australia new zealand

and canada

we call the five eyes network

these are the fabric of the west

1946 when churchill was speaking here in

zurich

we’d seen the threat of destruction

played out through fascism through

war both in asia and in europe and

we were very conscious of what this had

wrought

today we are seeing a self-destruction

from within

a self-destruction of liberal democracy

an undermining of some of the

fundamentals of liberal democracy

but also a destruction of fragmentation

of the network of the west that we have

depended upon

this is happening in my view for three

big reasons

the first are the twin crises that we’ve

been

facing in the last decade 2008 global

financial crisis

this year between the pandemic the

coronavirus pandemic

neither of which our governments of the

west have responded to

very well by and large some better than

others but many of them

have left their own citizens

disillusioned

alienated in how well they’ve operated

but also crises that have led to a

fragmentation

of our collaboration with one another a

diminishing

of the perceived value of international

collaboration

relative to simply going it alone

related to that is the second big threat

a loss of confidence

and leadership from the most fundamental

country of the west the united states

itself under donald trump

reinforcing and accelerating

pre-existing trend but nevertheless

taking it to

absolutely new points

america has shown an enormous doubt

in the value of international

collaboration and shown a new view

that essentially not just trade

but also military alliances themselves

should be seen as essentially

transactional essentially uh

trade-offs which one country pays and

the other provides

one country considers itself a winner

and the other perhaps considers itself a

loser

and donald trump during his time in

office has considered allies

the european union japan south korea

as being equivalent to enemies

he has also considered china and russia

to be enemies in certain respects but

what’s been shocking has been his

treatment of allies

so that loss of confidence and

leadership in the united states has been

absolutely

critical the third factor is the rise of

china

the rise of china and other big emerging

economies to a new prominence in

economic and political affairs

to positions close to technological

leadership

do mean that the international

arrangements on which we depend

have to be reset and rethought to

accommodate

those new countries but also to deal

with any challenges that they

specifically make to

the rules and to the arrangements

that we’ve come to take for granted so

those three threats

have led to a fragmentation of the west

our failure to respond well to 2008 and

now to 2020

has led to a polarization in many of our

own societies

a loss of much of that sense of equality

of citizenship

that democracy is so good at building up

but that if it disappears undermines

faith in democracy

and a great loss in a belief in

international institutions and the value

of global collaboration

something of a shift back towards a

sense of a world in which

dog eats dog it’s a battle of all

against all

a sense of trying to triumph or perhaps

trying to isolate yourself

and become wholly independent in the

spirit

of american isolationism from the past

and perhaps arguably in a spirit of

a former nostalgic british imperial way

of thinking

that lies behind some of brexit the

self-destruction of the west

is in front of us but it is not

inevitable

we can i believe reverse this trend

we can i believe restore and resurrect

a sense of belief not just in the west

but also in the international

institutions that are so valuable to us

how do we do that i think first and

foremost

we have to work within our societies our

liberal democracies need

a new sense of investment in the years

after the pandemic

an investment in the sense of equality

of citizenship

through education through the

distribution of income

through equal treatment and justice

that equality of sense of citizenship of

opportunity of

regard is fundamental to the acceptance

by citizens

of the very democracy on which

they depend on which the stability of

our countries depend and we have

neglected that

equality over particularly the last 15

years

and let too much inequality rise

and start to rot away at the heart of

our societies

second we need a new investment in

international collaboration

we need new winston churchill’s to stand

up

and give great speeches at universities

on social media on television

wherever it can be done making the case

for international collaboration the case

that the pandemic really should have

reinforced because this is

absolutely quintessentially a crisis

where in which we

live together or fall together but which

has tragically

been a crisis in which while scientists

have collaborated

governments have essentially competed

and governments have moved further apart

from one another rather than closer

together

we need statesmen egged on by their

citizens by you

and by me to

renew again their belief in the fact

that

if we don’t collaborate we’ll be weaker

if we don’t collaborate

we will harm ourselves if we don’t

collaborate we will not solve

our problems the united states of europe

was

winston churchill’s call in 1946

not saying that we need a united states

of the world but what we do need

is a reset of international cooperation

a reset of international institutions

that bind us together

and particularly a reset of the

obligation

felt by country upon country to talk

first

and compete second rather than the other

way around

thank you very much for listening ladies

and gentlemen and i wish

tedx crossetto a great success

you

嗯,

我是英国人,所以我会说英语

我正在苏黎世访问,即使我

住在爱尔兰和英国,

我正在访问,原因有很多,

应对大流行病和

公共政策有关 大流行病,

但我也借此机会

参观

了这座城市的现场,我的

同胞温斯顿丘吉尔

在 1946 年 1946 年 9 月 19 日发表了非常令人难忘和著名的演讲,

74 年前几乎完全是在

呼吁建立欧洲的美国

他正在解决的问题

类似于我们今天

在我们自己的民主国家中需要解决的问题,他正在解决

国家的自然竞争力问题

,这种

竞争力导致

了 20 世纪两次世界大战的民族主义

以及政治和政治的可怕极端

许多国家的贫困,他呼吁采用

一种新的方法 一种

国际合作

的方法 一种

由他领导的联合国领导的全球层面的方法

与他的合作者

富兰克林·德拉诺·罗斯福

以及后来的哈里·杜鲁门在

美国以及通过创建欧洲共同体在欧洲层面上都发挥了重要作用

丘吉尔是一个老式的英

帝国主义

大英帝国仍然存在我们

没有 ‘还没有拆除它,

所以他实际上并没有提议

英国应该成为这个欧洲合众国的一部分,

他的演讲直接暗示我们应该

与它一起工作

,我们应该成为国际合作环境中的

环环相扣的圈子之一

建立建立

条约

和行为规则的机构,以便

国家之间以和平的方式进行竞争,这是一种

建设性的方式,

而不是

后来大英帝国

解体时的

破坏性方式 看

我们决定离开它我们是

挑战记忆的一部分

温斯顿·丘吉尔在 1946

年的演讲中开始创造的所有遗产,

但更广泛地说,我们现在面临的

以及我们讨论的主题,

呃,

对于 tedx graceto 来说

,是网络西部民主的潜在自我毁灭

丘吉尔

在 1946 年二战后帮助

西方建立的国家中,我指的是自由民主

,它

不仅在西欧

或北美国家,而且在日本和

台湾传播到世界各地 韩国

在智利和墨西哥在全世界各种

国家

,而且

这些自由民主国家之间的联系

感觉我们不仅有共同的

价值观,而且有一系列共同的利益

,这使我们对呃

建立国际

机构感兴趣 国际法

和条约规定了

我们国家

之间进行竞争的方式,尤其是世界

贸易组织 联合国

及其各种机构

世界卫生组织

,当然还有美国

在 1940 年代和 1950 年代

在欧洲建立的双边安全条约和多边条约 北约 美国 美国 日本

东亚安全条约 美国 韩国

东亚安全条约

美国 英国 澳大利亚 新西兰

和加拿大之间的情报共享网络

我们称之为五眼网络

这些是西方的结构

1946 年丘吉尔在苏黎世发表演讲时,

我们看到了毁灭的威胁

通过法西斯主义

在亚洲和欧洲的战争,

我们非常清楚今天所

造成的后果

,我们看到

自由民主的自我毁灭中的自我毁灭,对自由民主

的一些基本原则的破坏,

但也 破坏

我们赖以生存的西方网络的碎片

化正在发生 ng 在我看来有三个

主要原因,第一个是我们

在过去十年中面临的双重危机 2008 年全球

金融危机

今年在大流行和

冠状病毒大流行之间

,我们的

西方政府都没有

很好地应对 很多人比其他人更好,

但他们中的许多人

让他们自己的

公民对他们的运作方式感到失望,

但也有危机导致

我们彼此合作的碎片化,

相对于国际合作的感知价值下降

与此相关的单干是第二大威胁

,即

在唐纳德·特朗普领导下的西方最基本国家失去信心和领导力,

加强和加速

先前存在的趋势,但

仍将其带到

美国拥有的绝对新点 对国际合作的价值表示了极大的怀疑

并提出了一种新的观点

,即 基本上不仅仅是贸易,

而且军事联盟本身也

应该被视为本质上的

交易,本质上是呃

权衡,一个国家支付

,另一个提供

一个国家认为自己是赢家

而另一个国家可能认为自己是

失败者

和唐纳德特朗普在任期间

曾将

盟国、欧盟、日本、韩国

视为敌人,在某些方面

他也将中国和

俄罗斯视为敌人,

但令人震惊的是他

对待盟友的方式,

以至于对美国失去信心和

领导地位。

绝对

关键的第三个因素

是中国的

崛起 以

适应

那些新的国家,但也

应对任何 c 他们

专门

对规则和

我们认为理所当然的安排提出了挑战,因此

这三个

威胁导致了西方的分裂,

我们未能很好地应对 2008 年和

现在的 2020 年

,导致了两极分化 我们

自己的许多

社会失去

了民主如此擅长建立

但如果它消失会破坏

对民主

的信念

以及对国际机构和

全球合作价值的信念的巨大损失的公民平等意识

回归到一个

狗咬狗的世界的感觉,

这是一场所有人的战斗,

与所有

试图胜利或

试图孤立自己

本着美国孤立主义精神完全独立于过去的感觉的斗争

,也许可以说是 在某种

英国

退欧背后的怀旧英帝国思维方式的精神中,西方的

自我毁灭

就在我们面前,但我 这不是

不可避免的

我们可以相信扭转这种趋势

我们可以相信

不仅在西方

而且在

对我们如此宝贵的国际机构中恢复和复活一种信念

我们如何做到这一点 我认为

首先是

我们拥有 为了在我们的社会中工作,我们的

自由民主政体需要

在大流行之后的几年里有

一种新的投资意识

通过教育通过

收入分配

通过平等待遇和

正义投资于公民平等意识 公民平等意识和

机会

尊重是公民接受

他们所依赖的民主的基础,我们国家的稳定所依赖的民主

,我们

在过去 15 年里尤其忽视了这种平等

,让太多的不平等上升

并开始在内心腐烂

我们社会的

第二个 我们需要对国际合作进行新的投资

我们需要新的温斯顿丘吉尔

站起来

在电视上的社交媒体上的大学发表精彩演讲,

只要有可能,就可以

进行国际合作,

证明大流行确实应该得到

加强,因为这

绝对是一场危机

,我们

一起生活或跌倒,但

可悲的

是,这是一场危机,虽然科学家

们合作,但

政府基本上相互竞争

,政府之间的距离越来越远

,而不是更紧密地联系

在一起

如果我们不合作,我们就会变得更弱

如果我们不合作,

我们会伤害自己

一个

世界上的美国,但我们需要的

是重新设定国际合作 重新设定国际合作

将我们联系在一起的机构

,特别是重新设置各国之间的

义务

,首先交谈

,其次竞争,而不是相反

,非常感谢女士们

和先生们的倾听,我祝愿

tedx crossetto