Why curiosity is the key to science and medicine Kevin B. Jones

Translator: Joseph Geni
Reviewer: Joanna Pietrulewicz

Science.

The very word for many of you conjures
unhappy memories of boredom

in high school biology or physics class.

But let me assure that what you did there

had very little to do with science.

That was really the “what” of science.

It was the history
of what other people had discovered.

What I’m most interested in as a scientist

is the “how” of science.

Because science is knowledge in process.

We make an observation,
guess an explanation for that observation,

and then make a prediction
that we can test

with an experiment or other observation.

A couple of examples.

First of all, people noticed
that the Earth was below, the sky above,

and both the Sun and the Moon
seemed to go around them.

Their guessed explanation

was that the Earth must be
the center of the universe.

The prediction: everything
should circle around the Earth.

This was first really tested

when Galileo got his hands
on one of the first telescopes,

and as he gazed into the night sky,

what he found there was a planet, Jupiter,

with four moons circling around it.

He then used those moons
to follow the path of Jupiter

and found that Jupiter
also was not going around the Earth

but around the Sun.

So the prediction test failed.

And this led to
the discarding of the theory

that the Earth was the center
of the universe.

Another example: Sir Isaac Newton
noticed that things fall to the Earth.

The guessed explanation was gravity,

the prediction that everything
should fall to the Earth.

But of course, not everything
does fall to the Earth.

So did we discard gravity?

No. We revised the theory and said,
gravity pulls things to the Earth

unless there is an equal
and opposite force in the other direction.

This led us to learn something new.

We began to pay more attention
to the bird and the bird’s wings,

and just think of all the discoveries

that have flown
from that line of thinking.

So the test failures,
the exceptions, the outliers

teach us what we don’t know
and lead us to something new.

This is how science moves forward.
This is how science learns.

Sometimes in the media,
and even more rarely,

but sometimes even scientists will say

that something or other
has been scientifically proven.

But I hope that you understand
that science never proves anything

definitively forever.

Hopefully science remains curious enough

to look for

and humble enough to recognize

when we have found

the next outlier,

the next exception,

which, like Jupiter’s moons,

teaches us what we don’t actually know.

We’re going to change gears
here for a second.

The caduceus, or the symbol of medicine,

means a lot of different things
to different people,

but most of our
public discourse on medicine

really turns it into
an engineering problem.

We have the hallways of Congress,

and the boardrooms of insurance companies
that try to figure out how to pay for it.

The ethicists and epidemiologists

try to figure out
how best to distribute medicine,

and the hospitals and physicians
are absolutely obsessed

with their protocols and checklists,

trying to figure out
how best to safely apply medicine.

These are all good things.

However, they also all assume

at some level

that the textbook of medicine is closed.

We start to measure
the quality of our health care

by how quickly we can access it.

It doesn’t surprise me
that in this climate,

many of our institutions
for the provision of health care

start to look a heck of a lot
like Jiffy Lube.

(Laughter)

The only problem is that
when I graduated from medical school,

I didn’t get one of those
little doohickeys

that your mechanic
has to plug into your car

and find out exactly what’s wrong with it,

because the textbook of medicine

is not closed.

Medicine is science.

Medicine is knowledge in process.

We make an observation,

we guess an explanation
of that observation,

and then we make a prediction
that we can test.

Now, the testing ground
of most predictions in medicine

is populations.

And you may remember
from those boring days in biology class

that populations tend to distribute

around a mean

as a Gaussian or a normal curve.

Therefore, in medicine,

after we make a prediction
from a guessed explanation,

we test it in a population.

That means that what we know in medicine,

our knowledge and our know-how,

comes from populations

but extends only as far

as the next outlier,

the next exception,

which, like Jupiter’s moons,

will teach us what we don’t actually know.

Now, I am a surgeon

who looks after patients with sarcoma.

Sarcoma is a very rare form of cancer.

It’s the cancer of flesh and bones.

And I would tell you that every one
of my patients is an outlier,

is an exception.

There is no surgery I have ever performed
for a sarcoma patient

that has ever been guided
by a randomized controlled clinical trial,

what we consider the best kind
of population-based evidence in medicine.

People talk about thinking
outside the box,

but we don’t even have a box in sarcoma.

What we do have as we take
a bath in the uncertainty

and unknowns and exceptions
and outliers that surround us in sarcoma

is easy access to what I think
are those two most important values

for any science:

humility and curiosity.

Because if I am humble and curious,

when a patient asks me a question,

and I don’t know the answer,

I’ll ask a colleague

who may have a similar
albeit distinct patient with sarcoma.

We’ll even establish
international collaborations.

Those patients will start
to talk to each other through chat rooms

and support groups.

It’s through this kind
of humbly curious communication

that we begin to try and learn new things.

As an example, this is a patient of mine

who had a cancer near his knee.

Because of humbly curious communication

in international collaborations,

we have learned that we can repurpose
the ankle to serve as the knee

when we have to remove the knee
with the cancer.

He can then wear a prosthetic
and run and jump and play.

This opportunity was available to him

because of international collaborations.

It was desirable to him

because he had contacted other patients
who had experienced it.

And so exceptions and outliers in medicine

teach us what we don’t know,
but also lead us to new thinking.

Now, very importantly,

all the new thinking that outliers
and exceptions lead us to in medicine

does not only apply
to the outliers and exceptions.

It is not that we only learn
from sarcoma patients

ways to manage sarcoma patients.

Sometimes, the outliers

and the exceptions

teach us things that matter quite a lot
to the general population.

Like a tree standing outside a forest,

the outliers and the exceptions
draw our attention

and lead us into a much greater sense
of perhaps what a tree is.

We often talk about
losing the forests for the trees,

but one also loses a tree

within a forest.

But the tree that stands out by itself

makes those relationships
that define a tree,

the relationships between trunk
and roots and branches,

much more apparent.

Even if that tree is crooked

or even if that tree
has very unusual relationships

between trunk and roots and branches,

it nonetheless draws our attention

and allows us to make observations

that we can then test
in the general population.

I told you that sarcomas are rare.

They make up about one percent
of all cancers.

You also probably know that cancer
is considered a genetic disease.

By genetic disease we mean
that cancer is caused by oncogenes

that are turned on in cancer

and tumor suppressor genes
that are turned off to cause cancer.

You might think
that we learned about oncogenes

and tumor suppressor genes
from common cancers

like breast cancer and prostate cancer

and lung cancer,

but you’d be wrong.

We learned about oncogenes
and tumor suppressor genes

for the first time

in that itty-bitty little one percent
of cancers called sarcoma.

In 1966, Peyton Rous got the Nobel Prize

for realizing that chickens

had a transmissible form of sarcoma.

Thirty years later, Harold Varmus
and Mike Bishop discovered

what that transmissible element was.

It was a virus

carrying a gene,

the src oncogene.

Now, I will not tell you
that src is the most important oncogene.

I will not tell you

that src is the most frequently
turned on oncogene in all of cancer.

But it was the first oncogene.

The exception, the outlier

drew our attention and led us to something

that taught us very important things
about the rest of biology.

Now, TP53 is the most important
tumor suppressor gene.

It is the most frequently turned off
tumor suppressor gene

in almost every kind of cancer.

But we didn’t learn about it
from common cancers.

We learned about it
when doctors Li and Fraumeni

were looking at families,

and they realized that these families

had way too many sarcomas.

I told you that sarcoma is rare.

Remember that a one
in a million diagnosis,

if it happens twice in one family,

is way too common in that family.

The very fact that these are rare

draws our attention

and leads us to new kinds of thinking.

Now, many of you may say,

and may rightly say,

that yeah, Kevin, that’s great,

but you’re not talking
about a bird’s wing.

You’re not talking about moons
floating around some planet Jupiter.

This is a person.

This outlier, this exception,
may lead to the advancement of science,

but this is a person.

And all I can say

is that I know that all too well.

I have conversations with these patients
with rare and deadly diseases.

I write about these conversations.

These conversations are terribly fraught.

They’re fraught with horrible phrases

like “I have bad news”
or “There’s nothing more we can do.”

Sometimes these conversations
turn on a single word:

“terminal.”

Silence can also be rather uncomfortable.

Where the blanks are in medicine

can be just as important

as the words that we use
in these conversations.

What are the unknowns?

What are the experiments
that are being done?

Do this little exercise with me.

Up there on the screen,
you see this phrase, “no where.”

Notice where the blank is.

If we move that blank one space over

“no where”

becomes “now here,”

the exact opposite meaning,

just by shifting the blank one space over.

I’ll never forget the night

that I walked into
one of my patients' rooms.

I had been operating long that day

but I still wanted to come and see him.

He was a boy I had diagnosed
with a bone cancer a few days before.

He and his mother had been meeting
with the chemotherapy doctors

earlier that day,

and he had been admitted
to the hospital to begin chemotherapy.

It was almost midnight
when I got to his room.

He was asleep, but I found his mother

reading by flashlight

next to his bed.

She came out in the hall
to chat with me for a few minutes.

It turned out that
what she had been reading

was the protocol
that the chemotherapy doctors

had given her that day.

She had memorized it.

She said, “Dr. Jones, you told me

that we don’t always win

with this type of cancer,

but I’ve been studying this protocol,
and I think I can do it.

I think I can comply
with these very difficult treatments.

I’m going to quit my job.
I’m going to move in with my parents.

I’m going to keep my baby safe.”

I didn’t tell her.

I didn’t stop to correct her thinking.

She was trusting in a protocol

that even if complied with,

wouldn’t necessarily save her son.

I didn’t tell her.

I didn’t fill in that blank.

But a year and a half later

her boy nonetheless died of his cancer.

Should I have told her?

Now, many of you may say, “So what?

I don’t have sarcoma.

No one in my family has sarcoma.

And this is all fine and well,

but it probably doesn’t
matter in my life.”

And you’re probably right.

Sarcoma may not matter
a whole lot in your life.

But where the blanks are in medicine

does matter in your life.

I didn’t tell you one dirty little secret.

I told you that in medicine,
we test predictions in populations,

but I didn’t tell you,

and so often medicine never tells you

that every time an individual

encounters medicine,

even if that individual is firmly
embedded in the general population,

neither the individual
nor the physician knows

where in that population
the individual will land.

Therefore, every encounter with medicine

is an experiment.

You will be a subject

in an experiment.

And the outcome will be either
a better or a worse result for you.

As long as medicine works well,

we’re fine with fast service,

bravado, brimmingly
confident conversations.

But when things don’t work well,

sometimes we want something different.

A colleague of mine
removed a tumor from a patient’s limb.

He was concerned about this tumor.

In our physician conferences,
he talked about his concern

that this was a type of tumor

that had a high risk
for coming back in the same limb.

But his conversations with the patient

were exactly what a patient might want:

brimming with confidence.

He said, “I got it all
and you’re good to go.”

She and her husband were thrilled.

They went out, celebrated, fancy dinner,
opened a bottle of champagne.

The only problem was a few weeks later,

she started to notice
another nodule in the same area.

It turned out he hadn’t gotten it all,
and she wasn’t good to go.

But what happened at this juncture
absolutely fascinates me.

My colleague came to me and said,

“Kevin, would you mind
looking after this patient for me?”

I said, “Why, you know the right thing
to do as well as I do.

You haven’t done anything wrong.”

He said, “Please, just look
after this patient for me.”

He was embarrassed –

not by what he had done,

but by the conversation that he had had,

by the overconfidence.

So I performed
a much more invasive surgery

and had a very different conversation
with the patient afterwards.

I said, “Most likely I’ve gotten it all

and you’re most likely good to go,

but this is the experiment
that we’re doing.

This is what you’re going to watch for.

This is what I’m going to watch for.

And we’re going to work together
to find out if this surgery will work

to get rid of your cancer.”

I can guarantee you, she and her husband

did not crack another bottle of champagne
after talking to me.

But she was now a scientist,

not only a subject in her experiment.

And so I encourage you

to seek humility and curiosity

in your physicians.

Almost 20 billion times each year,

a person walks into a doctor’s office,

and that person becomes a patient.

You or someone you love
will be that patient sometime very soon.

How will you talk to your doctors?

What will you tell them?

What will they tell you?

They cannot tell you

what they do not know,

but they can tell you when they don’t know

if only you’ll ask.

So please, join the conversation.

Thank you.

(Applause)

译者:Joseph
Geni 审稿人:Joanna Pietrulewicz

Science。

对你们中的许多人来说,这个词让人想起

高中生物或物理课上无聊的不愉快回忆。

但让我保证,你在那里

所做的与科学无关。

那真的是科学的“什么”。


是其他人发现的历史。

作为一名科学家,我最感兴趣的

是科学的“如何”。

因为科学是过程中的知识。

我们进行观察,
猜测对该观察的解释,

然后
做出可以

通过实验或其他观察进行检验的预测。

几个例子。

首先,人们
注意到地球在下面,天空在上面,

太阳和月亮
似乎都在绕着他们转。

他们猜测的解释

是,地球一定
是宇宙的中心。

预测:一切都
应该绕着地球转。

当伽利略拿到
第一批望远镜之一时,第一次真正进行了测试

,当他凝视夜空时,

他发现有一颗行星木星,

周围有四个卫星。

然后他利用这些
卫星跟随木星的路径

,发现木星
也不是绕地球运行,

而是绕太阳运行。

所以预测测试失败了。

导致地球是宇宙中心
的理论被抛弃。

另一个例子:艾萨克·牛顿爵士
注意到有东西掉到了地球上。

猜测的解释是重力

,预测一切都
应该落到地球上。

但当然,并不是所有的东西都会
落到地球上。

那么我们放弃了重力吗?

不。我们修改了理论并说,

除非
在另一个方向上存在相等且相反的力,否则重力会将物体拉向地球。

这让我们学到了一些新东西。

我们开始更多地
关注鸟和鸟的翅膀

,想想所有

从那个思路飞来的发现。

因此,测试失败
、异常、异常值

教会了我们我们不知道的
东西,并引导我们找到新的东西。

这就是科学向前发展的方式。
这就是科学的学习方式。

有时在媒体上
,甚至更罕见,

但有时甚至科学家也会

说某事或其他事情
已被科学证明。

但我希望你明白
,科学永远不会永远明确地证明任何事情

希望科学保持足够的好奇心

去寻找

和谦虚地认识到

我们何时发现

了下一个异常值

,下一个例外

,就像木星的卫星一样,它

教会了我们我们实际上不知道的东西。

我们要在这里换个档次

杖,或医学的象征,对不同的人

意味着很多不同的东西

但我们大多数
关于医学的公共话语

真的把它变成
了一个工程问题。

我们有国会的走廊,

以及
试图弄清楚如何支付费用的保险公司的董事会。

伦理学家和流行病学家

试图弄清楚
如何最好地分配药物,

而医院和医生
则完全着迷

于他们的协议和清单,

试图找出
如何最好地安全地使用药物。

这些都是好事。

然而,他们也都

在某种程度上

假设医学教科书是封闭的。

我们开始

通过获得医疗服务的速度来衡量我们的医疗保健质量。

在这种环境下,

我们
提供医疗保健的许多机构

开始看起来
很像 Jiffy Lube,这并不让我感到惊讶。

(笑声

) 唯一的问题是,
当我从医学院毕业时,

我没有得到一个

你的机械师
必须插入你的车

并找出问题所在的小麻烦,

因为医学教科书

没有 关闭。

医学是科学。

医学是过程中的知识。

我们进行观察

,猜测
对该观察的解释,

然后
做出可以测试的预测。

现在,
医学中大多数预测的试验场

是人口。

你可能还记得
在生物课上那些无聊的日子里

,人口倾向于

以高斯或正态曲线的平均值分布。

因此,在医学上,

在我们根据
猜测的解释做出预测后,

我们会在人群中对其进行测试。

这意味着我们在医学上所知道的,

我们的知识和诀窍,

来自人群,

但只

延伸到下一个异常值

,下一个例外

,就像木星的卫星一样,

它将教会我们我们实际上不知道的东西 .

现在,我是

一名照顾肉瘤患者的外科医生。

肉瘤是一种非常罕见的癌症。

这是肉和骨头的癌症。

我会告诉你,
我的每个病人都是一个异常值,

是一个例外。

我从未
为肉瘤

患者做过任何手术,它是
由随机对照临床试验指导的,

我们认为这
是医学上最好的基于人群的证据。

人们谈论
跳出框框思考,

但我们甚至没有肉瘤的框框。


我们沐浴在肉瘤周围的不确定性

、未知性、例外
和异常值中时,我们所拥有的

是很容易获得我认为
对任何科学来说最重要的两个价值观

谦逊和好奇心。

因为如果我谦虚和好奇,

当患者问我一个问题,

而我不知道答案时,

我会问

一位可能有类似
但不同的肉瘤患者的同事。

我们甚至会建立
国际合作。

这些患者将开始
通过聊天室

和支持小组相互交谈。

正是通过
这种谦卑好奇的交流

,我们开始尝试和学习新事物。

例如,这是我的一位患者,

他的膝盖附近患有癌症。

由于在国际合作中的谦逊好奇的交流

我们了解到,当我们不得不移除患有癌症的膝盖时,我们可以
将脚踝重新用作膝盖

然后他可以戴上
假肢跑、跳、玩。 由于国际合作

,他获得了这个机会

这对他来说是可取的,

因为他已经联系了其他
经历过它的病人。

因此,医学中的例外和异常值

教会了我们我们不知道的东西,
但也引导我们产生了新的思维。

现在,非常重要的是

,异常值
和异常导致我们在医学

中产生的所有新思维不仅适用
于异常值和异常。

并不是说我们只
向肉瘤患者学习

管理肉瘤患者的方法。

有时,异常值

和例外会

教给我们一些对普通民众来说非常重要的事情

就像一棵树站在森林外面

,异常值和例外会
引起我们的注意,

并引导我们更深入
地了解一棵树可能是什么。

我们经常说
为树木而失去森林,

但也有人在森林中失去了一棵树

但是这棵树本身就突出了

那些定义一棵树

的关系,树干
与根和树枝之间的关系,

更加明显。

即使那棵树是弯曲的,

或者即使那棵树

在树干和根部和树枝之间有非常不寻常的关系,

它仍然会引起我们的注意

并让我们进行观察

,然后我们可以
在普通人群中进行测试。

我告诉过你肉瘤很少见。

它们约占
所有癌症的百分之一。

您可能也知道癌症
被认为是一种遗传疾病。

我们所说的遗传病是
指癌症是由

在癌症中开启的癌

基因和
关闭导致癌症的抑癌基因引起的。

你可能
认为我们从乳腺癌、前列腺癌和肺癌等常见癌症中了解了致癌基因

和肿瘤抑制基因

但你错了。

我们第一次了解了致癌基因
和肿瘤抑制

基因,这


被称为肉瘤的癌症中占了很小的百分之一。

1966 年,Peyton

Rous 因发现鸡

患有可传染的肉瘤而获得诺贝尔奖。

三十年后,Harold Varmus
和 Mike Bishop 发现

了可传播的元素是什么。

它是一种

携带基因的病毒,

即 src 致癌基因。

现在,我不会告诉
你 src 是最重要的癌基因。

我不会告诉

你 src
是所有癌症中最常开启的癌基因。

但它是第一个致癌基因。

例外的是,异常值

引起了我们的注意,并引导我们

了解了一些关于生物学其余部分的非常重要的知识。

现在,TP53是最重要的
抑癌基因。

它是几乎所有癌症中最常被关闭的
肿瘤抑制基因

但是我们没有
从常见的癌症中了解到它。

当李医生和弗拉梅尼医生

在看家庭时,我们了解到这一点

,他们意识到这些家庭

的肉瘤太多了。

我告诉过你肉瘤是罕见的。

请记住,
百万分之一的诊断,

如果它在一个家庭中发生两次,

在那个家庭中太常见了。

这些罕见的事实

引起了我们的注意

并引导我们进行新的思考。

现在,你们中的许多人可能会说,

而且可能正确地说,

是的,凯文,这很棒,

但你不是在
谈论鸟的翅膀。

你不是在谈论
漂浮在木星周围的卫星。

这是一个人。

这个异常值,这个例外,
可能会导致科学的进步,

但这是一个人。

我只能

说我太清楚了。

我与这些
患有罕见和致命疾病的患者进行了交谈。

我写了这些对话。

这些谈话非常令人担忧。

他们充满了可怕的短语,

例如“我有坏消息”
或“我们无能为力”。

有时这些对话
会打开一个词:

“终端”。

沉默也可能相当不舒服。

空白在医学中的位置

可能

与我们
在这些对话中使用的单词一样重要。

有哪些未知数?

正在进行哪些实验?

和我一起做这个小练习。

在屏幕上,
你会看到这句话,“no where”。

注意空白在哪里。

如果我们将那个空白移动一个空格到

“no where”

变成“now here”,

则完全相反的意思,

只需将空格移动一个空格。

我永远不会忘记

我走进
一间病房的那个晚上。

那天我做了很长时间的手术,

但我还是想来看他。

他是一个男孩,几天前我被诊断出
患有骨癌。 当天早些时候,

他和他的母亲一直在
与化疗医生会面

他已被
送入医院开始化疗。

当我到达他的房间时,已经快半夜了。

他睡着了,但我发现他妈妈

在他床边用手电筒看书。

她出来在大厅
里和我聊了几分钟。

原来
,她读到的,


那天化疗

医生给她的方案。

她已经记住了。

她说,“琼斯博士,你告诉我

,我们并不总是能

战胜这种癌症,

但我一直在研究这个方案
,我想我可以做到。

我想我可以
遵守这些非常困难的 “

我没有告诉她。

我没有停下来纠正她的想法。

相信即使遵守

,也不一定能救她儿子的协议。

我没有告诉她。

我没有填写那个空白。

但一年半后,

她的儿子还是死于癌症。

我应该告诉她吗?

现在,你们中的许多人可能会说,“那又怎样?

我没有肉瘤。

我家没有人有肉瘤

。这一切都很好,


在我的生活中可能无关紧要。”

你可能是对的。

肉瘤在你的生活中可能并不重要。

但是,医学中的空白在哪里

对你的生活很重要。

我没有告诉你一个肮脏的小秘密。

我告诉过你,在医学中,
我们在人群中测试预测,

但我没有告诉你

,所以医学通常不会告诉你

,每次一个人

遇到药物时,

即使那个人已经牢牢地
融入了一般人群,

个人
和医生都不

知道该个人将在该人群中的哪个位置
着陆。

因此,每一次接触医学

都是一次实验。

你将成为一个实验的对象

结果对你来说要么更好,要么更差。

只要药物运作良好,

我们就可以接受快速的服务、

虚张声势、充满
自信的对话。

但是当事情不顺利时,

有时我们想要一些不同的东西。

我的一位同事
从病人的肢体上切除了一个肿瘤。

他很担心这个肿瘤。

在我们的医师会议上,
他谈到了他的担忧

,即这是一种

在同一肢体复发的风险很高的肿瘤。

但他与患者的对话

正是患者可能想要的:

充满自信。

他说:“我明白了
,你可以走了。”

她和她的丈夫很兴奋。

他们出去了,庆祝,丰盛的晚餐,
打开一瓶香槟。

唯一的问题是几周后,

她开始注意到
同一区域的另一个结节。

原来他没有得到这一切
,她也不好去。

但是此时发生的事情
绝对让我着迷。

我的同事走过来对我说:

“凯文,你介意
帮我照顾这个病人吗?”

我说:“为什么,你
和我一样清楚该做的事。

你没有做错任何事。”

他说:“
求你了,帮我照顾一下这个病人。”

他很尴尬——

不是因为他做了什么,

而是因为他的谈话,因为他

的过度自信。

所以我做
了一个更具侵入性的手术

,之后与病人进行了非常不同的谈话

我说,“很可能我已经得到了一切

,你很可能很高兴,

但这
是我们正在做的实验。

这是你要注意的。

这就是我 会注意的

。我们
将共同努力,看看这项手术是否

能治愈你的癌症。

我可以向你保证,她和她的丈夫

在跟我谈话后没有再开一瓶香槟。

但她现在是一名科学家,

而不仅仅是她实验的对象。

所以我鼓励你在你的医生

身上寻求谦逊和好奇心

每年有近 200 亿次,

一个人走进医生办公室,

然后那个人变成了病人。

你或你爱的人
很快就会成为那个病人。

您将如何与您的医生交谈?

你会告诉他们什么?

他们会告诉你什么?

他们不能告诉

你他们不知道的事情,

但他们可以在他们不知道时告诉你,

只要你问。

所以,请加入对话。

谢谢你。

(掌声)