Change needs more than just your wellreasoned arguments

[Music]

everything we do

influences other people around us so

each and every one of us

is probably bigger than instagram now i

want to take you on a journey of the

surprising choices that people make

and we use behavioral insights to

understand those choices

and understand how we can turn some of

those choices around

now my journey on behavioral insights

started

when a surprise literally ran into me

i was dressed from head to toe in a

canary suit

that’s not the surprising choice i was

riding my bike

and a van ran into me at about 80

kilometers an hour

the driver of which had his dog

on his lap between him and the steering

wheel

that’s the surprising choice now i was

studying economics

and i decided that i could use my time

more productively

looking at the things that perhaps drove

risk for cyclists and pedestrians so i

started to plot everything and work out

what the associations were

and what i found was that as seat belt

wearing went up

from them being fitted in cars and

people gradually getting the idea and

then being

encouraged through advertising and then

made compulsory when

almost everybody started to wear them

that the rate of deaths and serious

injuries for cyclists

on those same roads followed that trend

so the surprising choice there is that

people consume

risk as we make things safer people do

more risky things

it’s okay if you’re the person with a

seatbelt in the dog in the car but it’s

not

okay if you’re on the other side the

idea i’d like to share

is that the hands lead the heart leads

the head

so that’s back to what we do is

important for us

and for others and for systems there’s a

lot of social research that tracks

trends and through our community and

what we find is that people

do what other people do businesses

follow behind in terms of time and

government follow way behind

because they’re really conservative and

they don’t want to lose the votes so

back to what we do

is the the start is the tap on this

system

now my contention is that we’ve been

slow in making progress on climate

change

because we’ve started from the head

we’re dealing with the facts

and people find that overwhelming so you

shut down

and sort of work out well if it’s too

overwhelming there’s nothing i can do

and you start to perhaps argue the

opposite or just avoid

and perhaps shut down the things that

you do so if we’re going to start from

the hands instead of starting from the

head we’re going to need some tools

to help people change and the three

tools with in three stories that i’d

like to offer you

are firstly framing if we can get people

to bring their best

selves into a situation they can they’re

more likely to get their best

outcome and the next is norming where if

there’s a set of choices

we really need to know that those

choices are safe

we’re going to be okay and not alone if

we do this thing that feels a little bit

different

and finally we need to have an ask

change won’t happen if it’s all

theoretical it needs to be direct

will you change this now which will you

choose now

so the first one on framing is a story

that’s been in a number of psychology

and popular

economics books it’s a real world story

of a child care center that had a

problem

parents turning up late to pick up their

kids and they did something that was a

very obvious solution

none of us want to pay more for

something and none of us want to pay a

fine

so they introduced a fine for turning up

late to pick up your kids

now the surprising choice response to

this was that

more parents turned up late to pick up

their kids after the introduction of the

fine

the problem needed solving at least get

back to where we started so they took

away the fine

and what the response was that the level

of parents turning up late stayed at a

higher level than where it had started

so what’s going on here um is that

we find that doing the right thing by

the person looking after your kids

so bringing your values with you is

really important and really powerful

but we can break that if we shift to a

transactional frame of thinking so we

shift from

values to transaction and then we can’t

put it back together

you know something has shifted in that

relationship that’s a clear example of

how changing the frame changes the

outcome

now i had one in a project i worked on

where there was a group of people

knocking on doors around a waterway

trying to ask households to let an

expert to come to their home

and help them find ways of using less

fertilizer having less impact on the

waterways

and they got about six people to accept

this free offer

and that was a problem so what we did to

solve that problem

was do a community survey and ask people

why do you live here what do you like

about it

are the waterways important do you care

about their future and overwhelmingly we

got yes to all of that the environmental

values are there they’re front and

center and yet people have been saying

no to this free service

to help so we reflected those findings

back in a letter to the community and

said hey this is what you think is a

community

so people could feel validated and not

alone in having their environmental

views

we then rang them up and said hey what

do you like about living here what do

you think about the water

waterwise are you concerned and

can we have somebody come to your house

take away your old fertilizers and find

an alternative for you

and we went from six signed up to 400

and we only stopped to 400 because we

ran out of budget to get the gardeners

in to have the discussion now the next

area is if we’ve got people to bring

their best selves

is to make the choices safe so this was

a

an academic experiment where they went

around the neighborhood and randomized

to randomly put different messages on

people’s doors

all of the messages we’re asking for the

same thing use your air conditioner less

intensively

um so we can reduce energy use um but

the messages that were randomized were

different so one household would get a

message that says

look you can reduce your energy use by

29 another would get hey

if you do this you can reduce your

energy bill by 50

the next house might get a message um

that says look you can do this

and reduce your carbon footprint by a

certain amount and another set of houses

and got a message saying look about

eight out of ten people in your

neighborhood

are modifying the way they use air

conditioners that was put out there and

then the research team went back

and they knocked on people’s doors and

said do you remember getting something

on your door and the recall for the

facts-based ones was

was high it was good that people did

respond to those messages which were

based in facts

and the recall of the message which i’m

calling norms is that what other people

are doing was weak

so this seems opposite to where i’ve

been going with this for the last few

minutes

the surprising outcome the surprising

choice was that the messages

that people remembered got no change

they didn’t reduce their energy use

the messages that people did not

remember got the change

now that doesn’t seem to make sense but

people internalize it

yeah so i’m following a norm that’s safe

i don’t need to think about it

and oh this is what i do it’s really

simple change

and one of the other takeaways from this

is if you’re designing a campaign

never ever believe a focus group because

they will pick those first three

they are big sexy messages they strike

home they say something they just happen

to not work

now that was a positive norm saying look

we can modify our conditional use very

few people are going to argue strongly

with that

you can flip that and things get even

more interesting so this was

a famous keep america beautiful campaign

run in the 1970s

um there was an indigenous person on

land surrounded by litter crying

and other people were seen littering

around it

everybody cried everybody responded to

this advert it was

had very high recall it won the town’s

international advertising award

but researchers years later started to

look at how people respond to seeing

being exposed to listed environments

and what they found was as a base level

of people littering if you show people a

littered environment

the amount of littering goes up about

three times if you show people a little

environment with somebody littering in

it

it goes up about four times so there’s a

strong possibility that this campaign

which wasn’t evaluated formally

had the opposite outcome so we can play

with norms

but they need to be positive ones if we

norm the problem

we get the problem so we’ve brought

people the best selves

in the frame to our discussion we’ve

offered them some self-choice

safer choices now we have to ask them to

change now what you ask

matters and i was working on a project

recently which was the

plastic bag ban for western australia

and the social research in the lead up

showed that there was only

a weak net positive support across the

community for the ban so it’s a big

slice of the community who’s saying

we don’t want the ban the brief was

go and convince them why we need the ban

okay so talk about the issues in the

marine environment and what gets choked

and how the micro particles

you know end up you know in the fish and

so on go and convince these people who

are opposed to the ban

why we need the ban then we looked at

the data

and we found there was no association

between people’s environmental views and

whether they did or didn’t support the

ban

whether they did or didn’t take their

own shopping bags with them already

so we started to talk to people who

opposed the ban

and what we found was they understood

and

agreed and supported all those

environmental concerns

they were concerned about how they’re

going to get their shopping home

that was what made them opposed to the

ban they could not see a way through it

so we flipped the campaign from why

to how so the campaign became

what’s your bag plan this is happening

and you can be a bagger you can take

your bag

if that fails which was the big pain

point for people you can be a boxer ask

the shop for a box

or you can go naked just put the things

in your trolley make a rush for the car

if you’ve driven the car there or you

can juggle it there’s a small amount of

stuff

so the solutions were available to

people

but what’s interesting about this is not

that we had to campaign

on the how is that the why what’s

interesting is that the support for the

ban

post campaign post ban went up by about

50 percent

of that net support measure so what

people do

changes what they think and what they

say and what they support

so it could change how they vote so the

hands are clearly leading the head

so if i’m trying to put this together

and execute a campaign perhaps to reduce

volumes of waste

we move away from this first picture of

a big pile of waste

because it’s saying hey the problem’s

bigger than us it’s bigger than you

there’s nothing you can do about it it’s

a big problem

we’d move through the second one which

is some solutions we can sort things out

and get

waste managed more appropriately and to

the last one where we see

people doing the waste sorting correctly

so we shift through

those ways of telling the story so

the idea i’d like to share if you’re

lucky enough to work in the space of

helping to change the behaviors of

people around you is that the hands

lead now we’ve seen from our stories

at the river it was the framing not

shaming that brought people to the party

bring your best self i’m not going to

judge you for what you’re doing to the

river

we can see from uh what was going on

with the littering that it’s the

solutions not the problem that get

people inspired

we could see what was going on with the

door hangers and a little bit with the

bags as well

that it’s the how and the who rather

than the why

that gets people to to make change and

when we offer them

an ask when we ask for change we have to

offer choice

because people can people love control

so perhaps another contention is we

should ban

environmental education because

the truth is just too inconvenient and

if you’re not lucky enough to work in

the space of changing others

then remember how powerfully the hands

lead that what you do other people see

and then they do and then other people

see them and they do as well

and you in doing what you do in living

an authentic life

living your values making environmental

choices you’re more important than

instagram

thank you

you

[音乐]

我们所做的一切都会

影响我们周围的其他人,所以我们

每个人

都可能比 instagram 更大,现在我

想带你踏上

人们做出令人惊讶的选择的旅程

,我们使用行为洞察力来

理解这些选择

并理解 我们如何扭转

这些选择

现在我的行为洞察之旅

开始了,

当一个惊喜突然出现在我身上时,

我从头到脚穿着

金丝雀套装

,这并不是一个令人惊讶的选择

时速大约 80

公里

时,司机把他的狗

放在他和方向盘之间的

腿上 对于骑自行车的人和行人,所以我

开始绘制所有内容并

弄清楚这些关联

是什么,我发现随着安全带的系

从他们开始 g 安装在汽车上,

人们逐渐了解这个想法,

然后

通过广告受到鼓励,然后

几乎每个人都开始佩戴它们

时强制执行,因为在同一条道路上骑自行车的人的死亡率和重伤率

遵循这一趋势,

所以令人惊讶的选择是

人们消费

风险,因为我们让事情变得更安全 人们会做

更多冒险的事情

如果你是

在车里的狗身上系安全带的人,那

没关系,但如果你站在另一边,

那就不行了 我想要的想法 分享

是手引导心

引导头,

所以回到我们所做的事情

对我们

、对他人和系统都很重要 有

很多社会研究跟踪

趋势并通过我们的社区,

我们发现人们

做了什么 其他人做生意

在时间上跟在后面,

政府跟在后面,

因为他们真的很保守,

他们不想失去选票,所以

回到我们所做的

是明星 现在是这个系统的水龙头

我的论点是,我们

在气候变化方面进展缓慢,

因为我们从头开始,

我们正在处理事实

,人们发现这势不可挡,所以你

关闭了

,有点 工作得很好,如果它太

压倒了,我无能为力

,你可能会开始争论

相反

的事情,或者只是避免甚至关闭你所做的事情,

如果我们要从手开始

而不是从头开始,

我们 ‘将需要一些工具

来帮助人们改变,

而我想为您提供的三个故事中的三个工具

首先是框架,如果我们能让人们

把最好的

自己带入他们

更有可能的情况 为了获得最好的

结果,接下来是规范如果

有一组选择,

我们真的需要知道这些

选择是安全的

,如果我们做这件事感觉有点不同,我们会没事的,而不是孤独的

,最后 我们需要有一个 n 问

改变不会发生,如果这都是

理论上的,它需要是直接的,

你现在会改变这个,你现在会选择哪个,

所以第一个关于框架的故事是一个故事

,已经出现在许多心理学

和流行

经济学书籍中,这是一个真实的世界

一个儿童保育中心的故事,

父母接孩子迟到

,他们做了一些

非常明显的解决方案

现在迟到接孩子会被罚款

对此令人惊讶的选择反应是,在引入罚款后,

更多的父母迟到接

孩子

需要解决的问题至少

回到我们开始的地方,所以他们

取消了罚款

,反应

是父母迟到的水平保持在

比开始时更高的水平,所以这里发生了

什么,嗯,

我们发现人们做正确

的事 关于照顾你的孩子,

所以把你的价值观带到你身边是

非常重要和非常强大的,

但是如果我们转向

交易性思维框架,我们可以打破这一点,所以我们

价值观转向交易,然后我们就无法

将它重新组合起来

在这种关系中发生了一些变化,

这是一个明显的例子,

说明改变框架如何改变

结果

现在我在我从事的一个项目

中有一个,那里有一群人

在水道周围敲门,

试图让家庭让

专家来 到他们

家帮助他们找到使用更少肥料对水道影响更小的方法

,他们让大约六个人接受了

这个免费的提议

,这是一个问题,所以我们

解决这个问题的方法

是进行社区调查并询问 人

你为什么住在这里 你

喜欢它

的什么 水道很重要 你

关心他们的未来吗 绝大多数我们

都同意 环境

价值是存在的 他们是前沿和

中心,但人们一直

拒绝这项免费服务

来提供帮助,所以我们

在给社区的一封信中反映了这些发现,并

说嘿,这就是你认为的

社区,

所以人们可以感到被认可而不是

孤单 在听取了他们的环保

意见后,

我们给他们打了电话,说嘿,

你喜欢住在这里吗?

你对水

有什么看法?你担心吗?

我们可以请人来你家

拿走你的旧肥料并找到

替代方案吗? 你

和我们从 6 个签约到 400 个

,我们只停到了 400 个,因为我们

没有预算让

园丁们参与讨论,现在下一个

领域是,如果我们让人们发挥

他们最好的一面,那

就是 选择是安全的,所以这是

一个学术实验,他们

在附近走来走去,随机

在人们的门上随机放置不同

的信息所有我们要求

相同的信息使用你的 ai r 空调不那么

密集

嗯,所以我们可以减少能源使用 嗯,但是

随机发送的消息是

不同的,所以一个家庭会收到一条

消息,说

你可以将能源使用减少

29 另一个会得到嘿,

如果你这样做,你可以减少你的

到 50 岁的能源账单

下一个房子可能会收到一条消息,嗯

,说你可以这样做

并减少一定数量的碳足迹

,另一组

房子收到一条消息,说

你附近十个人中有八个人

正在修改 他们使用

空调的方式放在那里,

然后研究小组

回去敲人们的门,

说你记得

在你的门上放过东西吗,

基于事实的召回

率很高,这很好 人们确实

对那些基于事实的信息做出了回应,

而我称之为规范的信息的回忆

是其他人

正在做的事情很弱,

所以这似乎与 wh 相反

在过去的几分钟里我一直在考虑这个

令人惊讶的结果 令人惊讶的

选择是人们记住的信息

没有改变

他们没有减少他们的能量使用

人们不

记得的信息

现在得到了改变 ‘似乎没有意义,但

人们将它内化,

是的,所以我遵循一个安全的规范,

我不需要考虑它

,哦,这就是我所做的,它真的很

简单的改变

,而其他的收获之一

是如果 你正在设计一个活动

永远不要相信焦点小组,因为

他们会选择前三个

他们是大性感的信息,他们击中

了他们说的东西他们只是碰巧

现在不起作用这是一个积极的规范,说看起来

我们可以修改我们的条件使用

很少有人会强烈反对

你可以翻转它,事情变得

更加有趣,所以这是

一个著名的保持美国美丽运动

在 1970 年代运行,

嗯,有一个土著人

被垃圾包围的土地在哭泣

,看到其他人在周围乱扔垃圾

每个人都哭了 每个人都对这个广告做出了回应

具有很高的回忆 它赢得了该镇的

国际广告奖,

但研究人员多年后开始

研究人们对看到

暴露于清单的反应

他们发现,

如果你向人们展示一个乱扔垃圾的环境,他们发现作为人们乱扔垃圾的基本水平,

如果你向人们展示一个

有人乱扔垃圾的小环境,乱扔垃圾的数量

会增加大约三倍,它会增加大约四倍,所以有一个

很有可能

这个未经正式评估的活动

有相反的结果,所以我们可以

使用规范,

但如果我们

规范问题,

我们就会遇到问题,所以我们已经为

人们带来了框架中最好的自我

,它们需要是积极的。 我们的讨论我们已经

为他们提供了一些自我选择

更安全的选择现在我们必须要求他们

现在改变你所要求的

问题,我是 我们最近正在开展一个项目

,即

澳大利亚西部的塑料袋禁令,

而前期的社会研究

表明

,整个社区对禁令的净积极支持很弱,

所以社区的很大一部分

人在说

我们 不想要禁令 简报是

去说服他们为什么我们需要禁令

好吧,所以谈谈

海洋环境中的问题,什么会窒息

,以及

你知道的微粒最终是如何在鱼里知道的,

等等。 并说服

这些反对禁令的人

为什么我们需要禁令然后我们

查看数据

,我们发现

人们的环境观点与

他们是否支持禁令之间没有关联,无论他们是否支持

已经带着他们自己的购物袋,

所以我们开始与反对禁令的人交谈

,我们发现他们理解

同意并支持他们关心的所有

环境问题。

将把他们的购物带回家

,这就是让他们反对

禁令的原因,他们看不到通过它的方法,

所以我们将活动从为什么翻转

到如何,所以活动变成

了你的包计划这是正在发生的

,你可以 一个装袋工,如果失败了,你可以拿走

你的包

,这对人们来说是个大痛

已经把车开到了那里,或者你

可以玩弄它,那里有少量的

东西,

所以解决方案可供人们使用,

但有趣的

不是我们必须

宣传如何,为什么

有趣的是支持

禁令

后竞选后禁令上升了大约

50%

的净支持措施,所以

人们所做的事情会

改变他们的想法、他们

所说的和他们支持的东西,

因此它可能会改变他们的投票方式,所以

手明显领先于头部,

所以如果我 我想 把这些放在一起

并开展一项运动,也许是为了

减少垃圾量

我们从第一张垃圾堆的照片中移开,

因为它在说,嘿,问题

比我们大,比你大,

你无能为力,这是

个大问题

我们将通过第二个

解决方案,这是一些我们可以解决问题

更适当地管理废物的解决方案,然后

到最后一个我们看到

人们正确地进行废物分类的解决方案,

因此我们转变了

这些讲述故事的方式,所以

这个想法 如果你

有幸在

帮助改变

你周围人的行为的领域工作,我想分享的是,

现在我们已经从我们在河边的故事中看到,

这是一种框架而不是

羞辱 带人参加聚会

带上你最好的

自己 受到启发,

我们可以看到

门衣架和

袋子发生了什么事情 改变我们必须

提供选择,

因为人们可以喜欢控制,

所以也许另一个争论是我们

应该禁止

环境教育,

因为事实实在是太不方便了,

如果你没有幸运地在

改变他人的空间中工作,

那么请记住环境教育是多么强大 双手

引导你做别人看到的

,然后他们做的,然后其他人

看到他们,他们也做

,你做你做的事情,

过真实的生活,

生活你的价值观,做出环境

选择,你比 Instagram 更重要

谢谢 你

你你