Fixing climate change means measuring what we care about

[Music]

ideas are fundamental to how we see the

world

but what if the core ideas were used to

navigate the world were fundamentally

flawed

ecosystem collapse and a rapidly

changing climate are symptoms of these

ideas

our current thinking imagines the

economy as completely separate from the

natural world where economic activity is

exempt from natural laws

in reality the economy is embedded

within and entirely dependent on the

natural world

and this slide shifted mindset can

change how we think about the future the

goals we set

how we measure progress

and what we value

we’ve inherited an unusually stable

planet providing

all the conditions for life to thrive

within a single lifetime we have

transformed the earth this has led to

technological breakthroughs a booming

population and an overall increase in

human well-being

however

this has come at a price

we value short-term financial wealth

over the planet’s natural wealth

discounted the future at the expense of

the present and demanded physically

impossible exponential growth this has

created an immense amount of ecological

debt that we now need to repay

and unlike banks

nature doesn’t offer refinancing

on our current trajectory climate change

ecosystem collapse and pollution

threaten to take us beyond the earth’s

capacity to sustain human life

now there is a safe path forward for

humanity but

how do we navigate it

well

the solutions aren’t purely

technological

but conceptual

imagine driving a car late at night down

a windy road with a dashboard that only

displays how fast you’re going

without a fuel gauge headlights rear

view mirror and a sense of direction

it probably won’t end too well

a lack of meaningful information in a

complex world can lead to systems

collapse or in the case of the car

a fatal crash

this is compounded by the fact that our

actions and their impacts are often

separated by time and space

for example actions taken today in

europe can impact the amazon rainforest

tomorrow which can further increase the

chances of extreme bushfires in

australia decades from now

our actions also impact people distant

from us

a recent study showed that the lifetime

emissions of you

you

myself and half of you

three and a half people living in high

emitting countries will cause the death

of someone in the world between now and

if this person was sitting next to you

you might be more concerned

but we are wired to focus on the here

and now

throughout most of human history

life was slow and simple

we had close contact with our

surroundings and shared an intimate

relationship with both the natural world

and our peers

we didn’t evolve to consider existential

risk so we fail to appreciate the full

long-term costs of our actions

we lack meaningful feedback on how our

actions today will impact our ability to

thrive on earth tomorrow

we’ve never had so much information at

our fingertips yet we are increasingly

disconnected from both the natural world

that sustains us and each other

we need a new approach one that is

guided by science-based targets and

brings together both human health

and planetary health a guide to act

locally while thinking at a planetary

scale

what you’re looking at here is our city

in the shape of a donut it’s one of the

many data-driven tools my colleagues and

i are developing as part of our mission

to build open source technology to

support long-term sustainability

this model conceived by kate rayworth

puts people at the center of economic

development while acknowledging the

planet’s physical limits

thanks to breakthrough in earth science

big data and machine learning we can now

bring this model to life

as confronting as it may seem at first

this data paints an accurate picture on

how our community’s collective actions

contribute to global impacts such as

climate change deforestation

biodiversity loss and pollution the

inner ring defines a social foundation

where going into the red

indicates a shortfall in providing the

basic human needs

in essence

green is good and the goal is simple

create a space where all can thrive

within planetary means

these tools can help us better

understand ourselves and the active role

we all play in protecting the planet

creating a shared understanding of the

current challenges and the opportunities

for positive change

it can fundamentally shift the way we

see the world challenging our priorities

how we value the long-term future

even our concept of growth

we believe this is the beginning of a

new era where open data and intelligent

systems

empower local communities

through meaningful information mass

collaboration radical transparency and

with the guidance of science-based

targets we can guide humanity to a safe

space

we all play a role in transforming our

systems

and i encourage you to take that

seriously

when we measure what is important

rather than simply what is easy

we change what we care about

our mindset

and how we see ourselves in the world

thank you

[Applause]

[Music]

you

[音乐]

理念是我们如何看待

世界的基础,

但如果用于驾驭世界的核心理念

存在根本缺陷,

生态系统崩溃和快速

变化的气候是这些

理念

的症状,我们目前的思维认为

经济与

自然世界 经济活动在现实中

不受自然法则

的约束 经济

嵌入并完全依赖于

自然

世界 这种幻灯片转变的思维方式可以

改变我们对未来的看法

我们设定的目标

我们如何衡量进步

以及我们重视

什么 “我们继承了一个异常稳定的

星球

,为生命在一生中茁壮成长提供了所有条件

看重短期金融财富

胜过地球自然财富

以牺牲未来为代价

目前和要求的物理上

不可能的指数增长,这已经

造成了

我们现在需要偿还的巨额生态债务

,与银行不同,

自然不会

在我们目前的轨迹上提供再融资气候变化

生态系统崩溃和污染

威胁着让我们超越 地球

维持人类生命的能力

现在人类有一条安全的前进道路,

我们如何才能

顺利导航解决方案不是纯粹的

技术

而是概念性的

想象在深夜驾驶汽车

在多风的道路上行驶,仪表板只

显示速度有多快 你

没有油量表头灯

后视镜和方向感

它可能不会很好地结束

复杂的世界中缺乏有意义的信息可能导致系统

崩溃或者在汽车的情况下

发生致命的

碰撞 更复杂的是,我们的

行动及其影响通常

被时间和空间分开

,例如今天在欧洲采取的行动

我可以 明天影响亚马逊雨林

,这可能会进一步增加

澳大利亚

几十年后发生极端

森林

大火的可能性 从现在到 2100 年,高

排放国家将

导致世界上某人死亡

如果这个人坐在你旁边,

你可能会更担心,

但我们注定要关注此时此地

在人类历史的大部分时间里,

生活都是缓慢而缓慢的 很简单,

我们与周围环境密切接触,

与自然界

和我们的同龄人建立

了亲密关系 我们

今天的行动将影响我们

明天在地球上茁壮成长的能力

我们从未有过如此多的

信息触手可及,但我们越来越多

与维持我们和彼此的自然世界脱节,

我们需要一种新的方法,它

以科学为基础的目标为指导,

将人类健康和地球健康结合在一起,在

当地采取行动,同时在全球

范围内思考

你是什么 看这里是我们

的甜甜圈形状的城市它是

我和我的同事正在开发的众多数据驱动工具之一,这

是我们

构建开源技术以

支持长期可持续性的使命的一部分

kate rayworth 提出的这个模型

人们处于经济发展的中心,

同时承认

地球的物理极限,

这要归功于地球科学

大数据和机器学习的突破,我们现在可以

将这个模型变为现实

,就像最初看起来一样,

这些数据准确地描绘

了我们社区的 集体行动

导致

气候变化、森林砍伐、

生物多样性丧失和污染等全球影响,

内环定义为 社会

基金会 红色

表示在提供

基本人类需求

方面存在不足 本质上

绿色是好的,目标很简单

创造一个所有人都可以在地球上茁壮成长的空间

意味着

这些工具可以帮助我们更好地

了解自己和我们所有人的积极作用

在保护地球方面发挥作用

创造对

当前挑战和

积极变革机会的共同理解

它可以从根本上改变我们

看待世界的方式 挑战我们的优先事项

我们如何重视长期未来

甚至我们的增长概念

我们相信这是 一个

新时代的开始,开放数据和智能

系统

通过有意义的信息大众协作为当地社区赋能,

彻底透明

,在基于科学的目标的指导下,

我们可以引导人类进入一个安全的

空间,

我们都在改变我们的系统中发挥作用

,我鼓励

当我们衡量什么是重要的

而不是简单地衡量什么时,你要认真对待 很容易,

我们改变了我们关心

的心态

以及我们如何看待自己在世界上的方式

谢谢

[掌声]

[音乐]

你们