How do we find dignity at work Roy Bahat and Bryn Freedman

Bryn Freedman: You’re a guy whose company
funds these AI programs and invests.

So why should we trust you
to not have a bias

and tell us something really useful
for the rest of us

about the future of work?

Roy Bahat: Yes, I am.

And when you wake up in the morning
and you read the newspaper

and it says, “The robots are coming,
they may take all our jobs,”

as a start-up investor
focused on the future of work,

our fund was the first one to say

artificial intelligence
should be a focus for us.

So I woke up one morning
and read that and said,

“Oh, my gosh, they’re talking about me.
That’s me who’s doing that.”

And then I thought: wait a minute.

If things continue,

then maybe not only will the start-ups
in which we invest struggle

because there won’t be people to have jobs

to pay for the things
that they make and buy them,

but our economy and society
might struggle, too.

And look, I should be the guy
who sits here and tells you,

“Everything is going to be fine.
It’s all going to work out great.

Hey, when they introduced the ATM machine,

years later, there’s more
tellers in banks.”

It’s true.

And yet, when I looked at it, I thought,
“This is going to accelerate.

And if it does accelerate,
there’s a chance the center doesn’t hold.”

But I figured somebody must know
the answer to this;

there are so many ideas out there.

And I read all the books,
and I went to the conferences,

and at one point, we counted more than
100 efforts to study the future of work.

And it was a frustrating experience,

because I’d hear the same back-and-forth
over and over again:

“The robots are coming!”

And then somebody else would say,

“Oh, don’t worry about that, they’ve
always said that and it turns out OK.”

Then somebody else would say,

“Well, it’s really about the meaning
of your job, anyway.”

And then everybody would shrug
and go off and have a drink.

And it felt like there was this
Kabuki theater of this discussion,

where nobody was talking to each other.

And many of the people that I knew
and worked with in the technology world

were not speaking to policy makers;

the policy makers
were not speaking to them.

And so we partnered with a nonpartisan
think tank NGO called New America

to study this issue.

And we brought together a group of people,

including an AI czar
at a technology company

and a video game designer

and a heartland conservative

and a Wall Street investor

and a socialist magazine editor –

literally, all in the same room;
it was occasionally awkward –

to try to figure out
what is it that will happen here.

The question we asked was simple.

It was: What is the effect of technology
on work going to be?

And we looked out 10 to 20 years,

because we wanted to look out far enough
that there could be real change,

but soon enough that we weren’t talking
about teleportation or anything like that.

And we recognized –

and I think every year
we’re reminded of this in the world –

that predicting what’s
going to happen is hard.

So instead of predicting,
there are other things you can do.

You can try to imagine
alternate possible futures,

which is what we did.

We did a scenario-planning exercise,

and we imagined cases
where no job is safe.

We imagined cases where every job is safe.

And we imagined every
distinct possibility we could.

And the result, which really surprised us,

was when you think through those futures
and you think what should we do,

the answers about what we should do
actually turn out to be the same,

no matter what happens.

And the irony of looking out
10 to 20 years into the future is,

you realize that the things
we want to act on

are actually already happening right now.

The automation is right now,
the future is right now.

BF: So what does that mean,
and what does that tell us?

If the future is now, what is it
that we should be doing,

and what should we be thinking about?

RB: We have to understand
the problem first.

And so the data are that as the economy
becomes more productive

and individual workers
become more productive,

their wages haven’t risen.

If you look at the proportion
of prime working-age men,

in the United States at least,

who work now versus in 1960,

we have three times
as many men not working.

And then you hear the stories.

I sat down with a group
of Walmart workers and said,

“What do you think about this cashier,
this futuristic self-checkout thing?”

They said, “That’s nice, but have
you heard about the cash recycler?

That’s a machine that’s being
installed right now,

and is eliminating two jobs
at every Walmart right now.”

And so we just thought, “Geez. We don’t
understand the problem.”

And so we looked at the voices
that were the ones that were excluded,

which is all of the people
affected by this change.

And we decided to listen to them,

sort of “automation and its discontents.”

And I’ve spent the last
couple of years doing that.

I’ve been to Flint, Michigan,
and Youngstown, Ohio,

talking about entrepreneurs,
trying to make it work

in a very different environment
from New York or San Francisco

or London or Tokyo.

I’ve been to prisons twice

to talk to inmates about
their jobs after they leave.

I’ve sat down with truck drivers
to ask them about the self-driving truck,

with people who, in addition
to their full-time job,

care for an aging relative.

And when you talk to people,

there were two themes
that came out loud and clear.

The first one was that people
are less looking for more money

or get out of the fear
of the robot taking their job,

and they just want something stable.

They want something predictable.

So if you survey people and ask them
what they want out of work,

for everybody who makes
less than 150,000 dollars a year,

they’ll take a more stable
and secure income, on average,

over earning more money.

And if you think about the fact that

not only for all of the people
across the earth who don’t earn a living,

but for those who do,

the vast majority earn a different
amount from month to month

and have an instability,

all of a sudden you realize,

“Wait a minute. We have
a real problem on our hands.”

And the second thing they say,
which took us a longer time to understand,

is they say they want dignity.

And that concept
of self-worth through work

emerged again and again and again
in our conversations.

BF: So, I certainly
appreciate this answer.

But you can’t eat dignity,

you can’t clothe your children
with self-esteem.

So, what is that, how do you reconcile –

what does dignity mean,

and what is the relationship
between dignity and stability?

RB: You can’t eat dignity.
You need stability first.

And the good news is,

many of the conversations
that are happening right now

are about how we solve that.

You know, I’m a proponent
of studying guaranteed income,

as one example,

conversations about how
health care gets provided

and other benefits.

Those conversations are happening,

and we’re at a time
where we must figure that out.

It is the crisis of our era.

And my point of view
after talking to people

is that we may do that,

and it still might not be enough.

Because what we need to do
from the beginning is understand

what is it about work
that gives people dignity,

so they can live the lives
that they want to live.

And so that concept of dignity is …

it’s difficult to get your hands around,

because when many people hear it –
especially, to be honest, rich people –

they hear “meaning.”

They hear “My work is important to me.”

And again, if you survey people
and you ask them,

“How important is it to you
that your work be important to you?”

only people who make
150,000 dollars a year or more

say that it is important to them
that their work be important.

BF: Meaning, meaningful?

RB: Just defined as,
“Is your work important to you?”

Whatever somebody took that to mean.

And yet, of course dignity is essential.

We talked to truck drivers who said,

“I saw my cousin drive, and I got
on the open road and it was amazing.

And I started making more money
than people who went to college.”

Then they’d get to the end
of their thought and say something like,

“People need their fruits
and vegetables in the morning,

and I’m the guy who gets it to them.”

We talked to somebody who, in addition
to his job, was caring for his aunt.

He was making plenty of money.

At one point we just asked,

“What is it about caring for your aunt?
Can’t you just pay somebody to do it?”

He said, “My aunt doesn’t want
somebody we pay for.

My aunt wants me.”

So there was this concept there
of being needed.

If you study the word
“dignity,” it’s fascinating.

It’s one of the oldest words
in the English language, from antiquity.

And it has two meanings:

one is self-worth,

and the other is that something
is suitable, it’s fitting,

meaning that you’re part
of something greater than yourself,

and it connects to some broader whole.

In other words, that you’re needed.

BF: So how do you answer this question,

this concept that we don’t pay teachers,

and we don’t pay eldercare workers,

and we don’t pay people
who really care for people

and are needed, enough?

RB: Well, the good news is,
people are finally asking the question.

So as AI investors,
we often get phone calls

from foundations or CEOs
and boardrooms saying,

“What do we do about this?”

And they used to be asking,

“What do we do about
introducing automation?”

And now they’re asking,
“What do we do about self-worth?”

And they know that the employees
who work for them

who have a spouse who cares for somebody,

that dignity is essential
to their ability to just do their job.

I think there’s two kinds of answers:

there’s the money side
of just making your life work.

That’s stability. You need to eat.

And then you think about
our culture more broadly,

and you ask: Who do we make into heroes?

And, you know, what I want
is to see the magazine cover

that is the person
who is the heroic caregiver.

Or the Netflix series
that dramatizes the person

who makes all of our other lives work
so we can do the things we do.

Let’s make heroes out of those people.

That’s the Netflix show
that I would binge.

And we’ve had chroniclers
of this before –

Studs Terkel,

the oral history of the working
experience in the United States.

And what we need is the experience
of needing one another

and being connected to each other.

Maybe that’s the answer
for how we all fit as a society.

And the thought exercise, to me, is:

if you were to go back 100 years
and have people –

my grandparents, great-grandparents,
a tailor, worked in a mine –

they look at what all of us do
for a living and say, “That’s not work.”

We sit there and type and talk,
and there’s no danger of getting hurt.

And my guess is that if you were
to imagine 100 years from now,

we’ll still be doing things
for each other.

We’ll still need one another.

And we just will think of it as work.

The entire thing I’m trying to say

is that dignity should not
just be about having a job.

Because if you say
you need a job to have dignity,

which many people say,

the second you say that,
you say to all the parents

and all the teachers
and all the caregivers

that all of a sudden,

because they’re not being paid
for what they’re doing,

it somehow lacks this
essential human quality.

To me, that’s the great
puzzle of our time:

Can we figure out how to provide
that stability throughout life,

and then can we figure out
how to create an inclusive,

not just racially, gender,
but multigenerationally inclusive –

I mean, every different
human experience included –

in this way of understanding
how we can be needed by one another.

BF: Thank you.
RB: Thank you.

BF: Thank you very much
for your participation.

(Applause)

Bryn Freedman:你的公司
资助这些人工智能项目并进行投资。

那么,我们为什么要相信
你没有偏见,

并告诉我们一些对我们其他人真正有用

关于未来工作的事情呢?

罗伊·巴哈特:是的,我是。

当你早上醒来
看到报纸

上写着“机器人来了,
它们可能会抢走我们所有的工作”,

作为一个
专注于未来工作的初创投资者,

我们的基金是第一个 说

人工智能
应该是我们关注的焦点。

所以一天早上我醒来
读到它说:

“哦,我的天哪,他们在谈论我。
这就是我做的。”

然后我想:等一下。

如果事情继续下去,

那么我们投资的初创企业可能不仅会陷入
困境,

因为没有人有工作

来支付
他们制造和购买的东西,

而且我们的经济和社会
也可能会陷入困境。

看,我应该
坐在这里告诉你,

“一切都会好起来的。
一切都会很好的。

嘿,当他们推出自动取款机时,

几年后,银行里有更多的
柜员。”

这是真的。

然而,当我看着它时,我想,
“这会加速

。如果它加速了,
中心就有可能不成立。”

但我想一定有人知道
这个问题的答案;

那里有很多想法。

我读了所有的书
,参加了会议,

有一次,我们统计了
100 多项研究工作未来的努力。

这是一次令人沮丧的经历,

因为我会一遍又一遍地听到同样的话

“机器人来了!”

然后其他人会说,

“哦,别担心,他们一直这么
说,结果没问题。”

然后其他人会说,

“好吧,无论如何,这真的是
关于你工作的意义。”

然后每个人都会
耸耸肩,然后去喝一杯。

感觉就像有
这个讨论的歌舞伎剧院

,没有人互相交谈。

我认识
并在科技界共事的许多人

都没有与政策制定者交谈。

政策制定
者没有与他们交谈。

因此,我们与一个
名为 New America 的无党派智库非政府组织

合作研究这个问题。

我们召集了一群人,

包括一家科技公司的人工智能沙皇

、一位视频游戏设计师

、一位腹地保守派

、一位华尔街投资者

和一位社会主义杂志编辑——

实际上,所有人都在同一个房间里;
有时会很尴尬——

试图
弄清楚这里会发生什么。

我们问的问题很简单。

它是:技术
对工作的影响是什么?

我们展望了 10 到 20 年,

因为我们想展望得足够远
,可能会发生真正的变化,

但很快我们就不会
谈论传送或类似的事情了。

我们认识到——

而且我认为世界上每年
都会提醒我们这一点——

预测
将要发生的事情是很困难的。

因此,除了预测之外,
您还可以做其他事情。

您可以尝试想象
其他可能的未来,

这就是我们所做的。

我们进行了情景规划练习,

并设想了
没有工作是安全的情况。

我们设想了每项工作都是安全的情况。

我们想象了我们所能想象的每一种
不同的可能性。

结果,真正让我们吃惊的

是,当你思考这些未来
并思考

我们应该做什么时,无论发生什么,关于我们应该做什么的答案
实际上都是一样的

具有讽刺意味的
是,展望未来 10 到 20 年,

您会意识到
我们想要采取行动的

事情实际上已经在发生。

自动化就是现在
,未来就是现在。

BF:那是什么意思
,这告诉我们什么?

如果未来就是现在
,我们应该做什么

,我们应该思考什么?

RB:我们必须
首先了解问题所在。

因此数据表明,随着经济
变得更有生产力

,个体工人的生产力也
变得更高,

他们的工资并没有上涨。

如果你看看至少在美国
工作的黄金年龄男性的比例,

现在与 1960 年相比,

我们有三倍
于不工作的男性。

然后你会听到这些故事。

我和
一群沃尔玛员工坐下来说:

“你觉得这个收银员怎么样,
这个未来派的自助结账工具怎么样?”

他们说:“这很好,但
你听说过现金回收机吗?

这是一台现在正在安装的机器,

现在每家沃尔玛都在减少两个工作岗位。”

所以我们只是想,“天哪。我们不
明白这个问题。”

因此,我们查看
了被排除在外的声音,

即所有
受此变化影响的人。

我们决定听他们的,

有点“自动化及其不满”。

在过去
的几年里,我一直在这样做。

我去过密歇根州的弗林特
和俄亥俄州的扬斯敦,

谈论企业家,
试图让它


与纽约、旧金山

、伦敦或东京截然不同的环境中工作。

我去过监狱两次

,与囚犯谈论
他们离开后的工作。

我曾与卡车司机坐下来,
向他们询问关于自动驾驶卡车的情况

,以及
除了全职工作之外还要

照顾年迈亲戚的人。

当你与人交谈时,

有两个
主题清晰而响亮。

第一个是
人们不再寻求更多的钱

或摆脱
对机器人抢走工作的恐惧

,他们只想要稳定的东西。

他们想要一些可预测的东西。

因此,如果您调查人们并
询问他们希望从工作中获得什么,

对于每个年
收入低于 150,000 美元的人,

他们将获得更稳定
和有保障的收入,平均而言,

超过赚更多的钱。

如果你想一想,

不仅对于全世界
所有不谋生的人,

而且对于那些谋生的人来说

,绝大多数人
每个月的收入都不同,

而且不稳定,

所有 突然你意识到,

“等一下。我们手上有
一个真正的问题。”

他们说的第二件事
让我们花了更长的时间才明白

,他们说他们想要尊严。

通过工作实现自我价值的概念

在我们的谈话中一次又一次地出现。

BF:所以,我当然
很欣赏这个答案。

但是你不能吃尊严,

你不能给孩子穿上
自尊。

那么,那是什么,你如何调和——

尊严是什么意思,尊严

和稳定之间的关系是什么

RB:你不能吃尊严。
你首先需要稳定。

好消息是,

现在

正在进行的许多对话都是关于我们如何解决这个问题。

你知道,我
支持研究有保障的收入,

例如,

关于如何
提供医疗保健

和其他福利的对话。

这些对话正在发生,

而我们正处于
必须弄清楚这一点的时候。

这是我们时代的危机。 在

与人们交谈后,我的观点

是我们可能会这样做

,但这可能还不够。

因为我们
从一开始

就需要了解什么是
工作赋予人们尊严,

这样他们才能过
上自己想过的生活。

所以尊严的概念是……

很难掌握,

因为当很多人听到它时——
尤其是老实说,有钱人——

他们听到的是“意义”。

他们听到“我的工作对我很重要”。

再一次,如果你调查人们
并问他们,


你的工作对你来说有多重要?”

只有年收入在
150,000 美元或以上的人才会


,他们的工作对他们来说很重要。

BF:有意义,有意义吗?

RB:刚刚定义为
“你的工作对你来说重要吗?”

不管有人认为这是什么意思。

然而,尊严当然是必不可少的。

我们与卡车司机交谈,他们说:

“我看到我表弟开车,我
上了开阔的道路,真是太棒了。

而且我开始
比上大学的人赚更多的钱。”

然后他们会
结束他们的想法并说出类似的话,

“人们早上需要他们的水果
和蔬菜,

而我就是那个给他们的人。”

我们采访了一个除了
工作之外还要照顾他阿姨的人。

他赚了很多钱。

有一次我们只是问:

“照顾你的阿姨有什么意义?
你不能花钱请人来做吗?”

他说:“我姨妈不想要
我们花钱买的人。

我姨妈想要我。”

所以就有
了需要这个概念。

如果你研究
“尊严”这个词,那会很有趣。

它是古代英语中最古老的词
之一。

它有两种含义:

一种是自我价值

,另一种
是适合的,适合的,这

意味着你是
比自己更伟大的事物的一部分

,它连接到更广泛的整体。

换句话说,你是需要的。

BF:那么你如何回答这个问题,

这个概念,我们不付钱给教师

,我们不付给老年护理人员

,我们不付给
真正关心

和需要的人,够了吗?

RB: 好消息是,
人们终于开始问这个问题了。

因此,作为 AI 投资者,
我们经常接到

来自基金会或 CEO
和董事会的电话,

询问“我们该怎么做?”

他们过去常常问,

“我们如何
引入自动化?”

现在他们在问,
“我们如何处理自我价值?”

他们知道
为他们工作的

员工有一个关心某人的配偶,

这种尊严
对于他们完成工作的能力至关重要。

我认为有两种答案:

让你的生活运转起来有钱的一面。

这就是稳定性。 你需要吃饭。

然后你
更广泛地思考我们的文化

,你问:我们把谁塑造成英雄?

而且,你知道,我
想要看到的杂志封面

是英勇的照顾者。

或者 Netflix
系列戏剧化了

使我们所有其他生活都工作的人,
因此我们可以做我们所做的事情。

让我们把这些人变成英雄。

那是我会狂欢的 Netflix 节目。

我们以前有过这方面的
编年史——

Studs Terkel,美国

工作经历的口述历史

我们需要的是彼此需要并相互联系的体验

也许这就是
我们如何适应一个社会的答案。

对我来说,思考练习是:

如果你回到 100 年前
,让人们——

我的祖父母
、曾祖父母、裁缝、在矿井工作——

他们看看我们
所有人的谋生方式 并说,“那行不通。”

我们坐在那里打字和交谈
,没有受伤的危险。

我的猜测是,如果
你想象 100 年后,

我们仍然会
为彼此做事。

我们仍然需要彼此。

我们只是将其视为工作。

我想说的

是,尊严不
应该只是一份工作。

因为如果你说
你需要一份工作才能拥有尊严

对于他们正在做的事情,

它在某种程度上缺乏这种
基本的人类品质。

对我来说,这
是我们这个时代的一大难题:

我们能否弄清楚如何在
整个生命中提供这种稳定性,

然后我们能否弄清楚
如何创造一种包容性,

不仅是种族、性别,
而且是多代人的包容性——

我的意思是,每个 包括不同的
人类经验——

以这种方式
理解我们如何被彼此需要。

BF:谢谢。
RB:谢谢。

BF:非常
感谢您的参与。

(掌声)