How Globalization and Urbanization Can Save the World

[Music]

every year

3.5 trillion dollars are dedicated

to solve global poverty let’s do some

quick division

that’s 500 for every person on earth

there’s no question about it global

poverty has been the head scratcher

of governments policy makers and

international organizations alike

nothing has gotten more resources more

aid

or more attention and rightfully so

i mean look at this poverty sucks

but poverty sucks for mainly one big

reason

because poverty is the catalyst for so

many other problems that cause

human suffering because you increase

incomes you solve global poverty

suddenly

life expectancy increases people have

access to education

people have access to health care a

simple vaccination for malaria

or an antibiotic to cure simple cold

higher incomes

increases access to education and basic

services

it also reduces societal discrimination

and exclusion

and perhaps most importantly eliminating

global poverty

means less conflict war and genocide

which has plagued the developing world

for far too long

so we get it right poverty sucks

it’s been the problem of the past and

unfortunately

the problem of the present but let’s

pause

and let’s look ahead towards the future

unfortunately the snowstorm we had last

month in madrid was no pure coincidence

it’s the very real and the very vivid

effects

of climate change in fact experts

predict

that global temperatures will rise by

1.5 degrees celsius

by 2050. what does this mean

let’s quantify it this is no simple

statistic

it affects us in every aspect rich and

poor

from our transportation infrastructure

to our food sources

to the clothes we wear and yes to the

air we breathe

co2 emissions and greenhouse gases kill

us

in fact it was responsible for one in

nine premature deaths

last year that’s 6.5 million people

or one madrid dead every single year

but as we begin to think rationally

let’s put things into perspective we

start to notice

a very big problem what happens when we

get richer

what do you and i do with higher incomes

we spend more

we consume more we have more stuff we

travel more

inevitably having more income

pollutes and the developing world is no

different

they need to pollute to survive

so what do we pick are both of these

problems

inversely proportional what would you do

do you use the tools at our disposal to

lift three billion people from poverty

whilst supposedly in the not so distant

future

condemning us all destroying the planet

we live on

or do you willingly condemn three

billion people

to perpetual poverty whilst

three billion people to perpetual

poverty while saving our environment

for the for the rest of us for the rich

of us to live

think about it we can’t make a decision

in fact it’s impossible it’s unethical

it’s wrong at this point you’re probably

thinking

you’ve been speaking for four minutes

and i’m pretty scared

but you really haven’t said much

and you’d be right so here’s the thing

what if there didn’t have to be a

compromise

what if with tools at our disposal we

could feasibly

solve both of these issues and within

our lifetime

one magic number makes it all possible

researchers from bonn germany determines

that once average household incomes

reach fifteen thousand dollars per year

per capita emissions

begin to decrease or at worst

level off therefore it is imperative

we get to this number

therefore what we must do is pursue

poverty reducing policies that don’t

wreck our environment in the meantime

but this creates the same problem

doesn’t it we have to pick

it’s easier said than done so

how do we get there the answer

has been lying right into our noses in

my opinion

the unique combination of urbanization

and globalization

will get us out of this and these are

not new concepts

in fact they’ve been subconsciously

implemented for the past 25 years

but we must rethink the way we approach

both of these concepts

adapt them to our new global challenges

because

urbanization will keep our environmental

footprint in check

whilst allowing the developing world to

prosper

and globalization the tools and the

world market

to make it possible in fact a recent

study by the international monetary fund

determined that the countries to benefit

the most from globalization

are precisely low to mid income

countries

those which i suffer the most from

poverty

and this has worked look at this

this is quite possibly my favorite graph

as hans rosling will tell us we should

be optimists in the past

20 years global poverty has

halved this is an incredible achievement

and we don’t see it anywhere the the

head scratcher or the past 25 years

75 years is within our grasp

we can and we will eliminate

global poverty within our lifetime

but if globalization is so good

and helps us all and all these beautiful

graphs

then why is it that when i go to brazil

to ethiopia or to india the countries

that will benefit the most

i come and i see this this

is misery trust me i’ve seen these

conditions firsthand i wouldn’t wish

anyone

to live here anyone with half a

consideration for other human beings

should be disgusted by these types of

conditions

but let me tell you this slums

some slums are a good thing before you

cancel me

let me tell you why slums and the

sweatshops

the sweatshop for your sneakers and your

t-shirts and your textile clothing are

made

are a good thing because urban growth

and development is the very best way

to kill rural poverty the worst

and perhaps most dangerous form of

poverty

because extreme poverty is relatively

rare in cities people have although

limited

and not where we want them to be access

to education

and healthcare and it’s much better

than the commonplace world poverty

because

poverty cities do not create poor people

they attract poor people cities and

sweatshops

are not the they’re not the same are not

the causes

but the symptoms of global poverty

and it will be cities not farms but

cities which save the developing world

your mumbai’s your mexico cities

and your sao paulo’s but

you might be surprised because we are

missing

one part of our magic equation we’ve

urbanized

but we’ve yet to globalize because

cities

without jobs and the opportunities

without the opportunities to move up the

socio-economic ladder

to learn skills they suck they lead

and they are the breeding ground for

crime and disease

or even worse

fish this is smoky mountain

in manila this 50 meter tall landfill

was once the largest in the world people

come here

and get trashed to sell for a misery

living

the toxic fumes created by this trash

killed them

in fact it was such an embarrassment for

the philippine government

they had to shut it down because it was

such a symbol

of poverty this is why globalization

is such an important part of this

equation because

compared to this this doesn’t look so

bad

this is ho chi minh city in vietnam the

sweatshop where your sneakers and your

textile clothes

are made and definitely not where we

want it to be

but this is an improvement it’s better

the

the immediate alternatives or gaining an

income from selling things

from smoky mountain and this is not

permanent

people use this this wrong as a ladder

to something better

to more opportunities people learn

skills here

and this income is tax governments can

later spend that

for public goods and services to give

back for the people

this is a virtuous cycle of prosperity

because yes this becomes this

yes south korea was once a sweatshop

a huge slum in the 1950s year sneakers

used to be made

in south korea it went from a smoky

mountain

to a producer of manufactured goods to

the high-tech

service powerhouse we know today the

best engineers

doctors innovators developers flock in

and out

and south korea this is what happens

when you globalize and urbanize

these are two stories a country that

remained

rural and closed off compared

to a country that urbanized and

globalized

opened its gates to the world market

south koreans

are three times as rich as their parents

ten times as rich as their grandparents

this is the power of slums of cities

of opportunities of globalization and

opening up

to world markets still don’t believe me

the south koreans are richer than we are

today

yes they are a first world country

and the great thing about the south

korean formula

is it has no prescription it can be

prescribed

to anybody there are no prerequisites

for this type of development

we just need to globalize and urbanize

and this is how

it will save the world at this point

you might be thinking but what about our

second problem

isn’t globalization bad for our

environment

and yes you’d be right but

not as much as you might think because

globalization

it’s all about efficiency people will

produce or it is more efficient

to do so and this is naturally

where it is more environmentally

efficient to do so and not only that

free trade

increases people’s awareness of

environmental issues in the developing

world

and environmental standards are quickly

rising in brazil

in mexico and in china but

what about all that moving around if for

a simple cd

player the plastic is made in the

philippines

the case in china the disc in japan

and later consumed in the usa

doesn’t this all pollute well here’s

this for a fact

a cd player on a truck on a on a content

container ship

from osaka to la pollutes less per

capita

than that same cd player on a truck from

la

to a shop in la once we reach

economies of scale the environmental

efficiency

is gained in the production not in the

delivery of goods

and let’s also think about it at least

today

the largest environmental problems are

caused by poverty

not wealth 8 out of 10 people in

sub-saharan africa

still cook cook their food and heat

their homes using wood burning stoves

this kills their respiratory system and

not only that

higher incomes increase access to clean

water because contaminated water

is one of the largest killers one of the

largest preventable killers

so these problems are mitigated by

having more money

but still many think and you would be

right

as your china’s your india’s and your

latin americas

grow rich they will pollute more

and yes until we reach that fifteen

thousand dollar turning point

these emissions will increase many might

say

that this is unsustainable and they

would be right

but their answer to this is that

the africans the indians and the chinese

must stay poor

that they cannot live like us

but the answer is not that they cannot

live like us

but that we cannot live the lifestyle we

currently do

because africa only accounts for three

percent of the world’s energy usage

while accounting for 12.5 percent of the

world’s population

the united states nineteen percent of

the world’s energy

four percent of the world’s population

because we

a nation of suv drivers cannot tell

people

on bikes they cannot buy a scooter

because it pollutes too much

what kind of logic is that subjecting

three billion people

to poverty is no solution to climate

change

let’s make that very clear

but when we talk about changes in

lifestyle

people get scared and rightfully so

after all our parents and so many

generations before them

have worked so so hard to achieve the

living standards we currently have

in europe in australia and in the usa

that’s why we must not attempt to be

environmentalists

but smart and urban environmentalists

because urbanizing

city living is the very best way to

reduce

our per capita co2 emissions without

significantly compromising

our quality of life this is a fact

because a person lives in manhattan

or hong kong pollutes less per capita

than the person living in a small

rudimentary town this is at the end

our solution

because when the developing world grows

rich

when the chinese indians and latin

americans grow rich

we must set an example lead by the power

of our examples

so that their cities look more like

singapore

and less like houston cities with

similar living standards

but people in houston pollute twice as

much

smart urban cities are the future this

is how we solve

our climate crisis cities with specified

congestion charging

efficient public transportation system

and homes which are more environmentally

efficient

cities that embrace the power of

renewables and yes

of nuclear because we cannot live

without it

and cities are not just good for the

environment

they also make us richer as we saw with

south korea

cities can also make us in the developed

world

richer because ideas are exchanged in

cities

these spontaneous interactions are will

bring about

progress development and innovation

so urbanizing is how we keep us in check

in the meantime before we get to fifteen

thousand dollars

this is what we must do while

globalization

works its magic while the developing

world

gets richer they also urbanize

and take advantage of those

opportunities but we urbanize

in order to allow them to grow rich

this is how we solve poverty and climate

change

this is how globalization can save

the world because both of these issues

require a change in mindset

that is how we solve them thank you

you

[音乐]

每年有

3.5 万亿美元

用于解决全球贫困问题让我们做一些

快速除法

,即地球上每个人 500 美元

毫无疑问,全球

贫困一直

是政府决策者和

国际组织的头疼问题,

没有什么比这更多了 资源 更多的

援助

或更多的关注,这是正确的,所以

我的意思是,看看这种贫困很糟糕,

但贫困主要有一个重要

原因,

因为贫困是

许多其他问题的催化剂,这些问题会导致

人类痛苦,因为你增加了

收入,你解决了全球贫困,

突然

预期寿命增加 人们

可以接受教育

人们可以获得医疗保健

简单的疟疾疫苗接种

或治疗简单感冒的抗生素

更高的收入

增加了获得教育和基本

服务的机会

它还减少了社会歧视

和排斥

,也许最重要的是消除

全球贫困

意味着减少冲突战争 和

种族灭绝 h 困扰发展中国家

太久了,

所以我们做对了 贫穷很糟糕

这是过去的问题,

不幸

的是现在的问题,但

让我们停下来,展望未来,

不幸的是,我们上个月在马德里遭遇了暴风雪

绝非巧合

这是气候变化的真实而生动的

影响

事实上专家

预测

,到 2050 年全球气温将上升

1.5 摄氏度

。这意味着什么

让我们量化它这不是一个简单的

统计数据,

它会影响我们的方方面面

从我们的交通基础设施

到我们的食物来源

到我们穿的衣服以及我们呼吸的空气是的,无论贫富,

二氧化碳排放和温室气体杀死了

我们事实上它是造成去年

九分之一过早死亡的原因

,即 650 万人

或一个马德里 每年都死了,

但是当我们开始理性思考时,

让我们把事情放在眼里,我们

开始注意到

一个非常大的问题是什么 当我们

变得更富

有时会发生 你我做什么 收入越高

我们消费更多

我们消费更多 我们拥有更多东西 我们

旅行更多

不可避免地有更多收入

污染和发展中国家也不例外

他们需要污染才能生存

所以我们选择什么 这两个

问题是否

成反比你会怎么

做你会做什么你使用我们掌握的工具

使30亿人摆脱贫困,

同时据说在不远的将来

谴责我们所有人破坏我们赖以

生存的星球,

或者你愿意谴责30

亿人吗? 人们

将永远贫困,而

30 亿人将永远

贫困,同时

为我们其他人拯救我们的环境 为了我们这些富人

的生活

想想看,我们无法做出决定

,事实上这是不可能的,这是不道德的,

这是错误的 你可能

认为

你已经说了四分钟

,我很害怕,

但你真的没有说太多

,你是对的,所以这是第

如果不必

妥协

怎么办 如果有了我们可以使用的工具,我们

可以切实可行地

解决这两个问题,并且在

我们有生之年,

一个神奇的数字让一切成为可能

德国波恩的研究人员确定

,一旦家庭平均收入

达到 15 千美元/年

人均排放量

开始减少,或者在最坏的情况

下趋于平稳

,因此我们必须达到这个数字,

因此我们必须做的是追求

减少贫困的政策,

同时不会破坏我们的环境,

但这会产生同样的问题

是不是我们必须选择

它说起来容易做起来难所以

我们如何到达那里在我看来答案

一直在我们的鼻子里

,城市化和全球化的独特结合

将使我们摆脱困境,这些

不是新概念

事实上

,在过去的 25 年里,它们一直在下意识地实施,

但我们必须重新思考我们处理

这两个概念的方式,

使它们适应我们的新概念 全球挑战,

因为

城市化将控制我们的环境

足迹,

同时允许发展中国家

繁荣

和全球化 工具和

世界

市场使事实上成为可能 国际货币基金组织最近的

一项研究

确定,

从全球化中受益最多的国家

正是中低收入

国家

那些我受贫困影响最严重的国家

看看这个

这很可能是我最喜欢的图表,

因为汉斯·罗斯林会告诉我们,我们应该

是乐观主义者 在过去的

20 年中,全球贫困

减少了一半 这是 令人难以置信的成就

,我们在任何地方都看不到它令人

头疼或过去的 25 年

75 年在我们的掌握之中,

我们可以,我们将

在有生之年消除全球贫困,

但如果全球化如此好,

并帮助我们所有人和所有这些 漂亮的

图表

那么为什么当我去巴西

、埃塞俄比亚或印度时,这些

国家将受益 大多数

我来了,我看到了这

很痛苦相信我,我亲眼目睹

了这些

情况

这个贫民窟

一些贫民窟是一件好事 在你取消之前

让我告诉你为什么贫民窟和

血汗工厂 生产运动鞋、

T 恤和纺织服装的血汗工厂

是一件好事,因为城市发展

和发展是最好的

消除农村贫困的方法

是最严重的,也许是最危险的贫困形式,

因为极端贫困

在城市中相对罕见

城市不会创造穷人

他们会吸引穷人 城市和

血汗

工厂不是 他们不一样

不是原因

而是症状 全球贫困

,拯救发展中国家

的将是城市而不是

农场 全球化,因为

没有工作的城市,

没有机会提升

社会经济阶梯

来学习他们领导的技能

,他们是犯罪和疾病的温床,

甚至更糟糕的

鱼这

是马尼拉的烟雾山,这座 50 米高 垃圾填埋场

曾经是世界上最大的垃圾填埋场人们

来到

这里被扔垃圾出售以过着痛苦的

生活

这些垃圾产生的有毒烟雾

杀死了

他们事实上这对菲律宾政府来说是如此尴尬

他们不得不关闭它因为它是

如此

贫穷的象征 这就是为什么全球化

是这个等式中如此重要的一部分

因为

与此相比这看起来还不错

这是胡志明 h city in vietnam

血汗工厂,你的运动鞋和

纺织服装

是在这里生产的

人们将此错误用作

通往更好事物的阶梯,

以获得更多机会 人们

在这里学习技能,

而这些收入是税收,政府

以后可以将其

用于公共产品和服务,以

回馈人民

这是繁荣的良性循环,

因为是的,这变成了 这个

是的,韩国曾经是血汗工厂

,1950 年代的一个巨大贫民窟,运动鞋

曾经是

在韩国制造的,它从一座烟雾缭绕的山脉

变成了制成品的生产商,

再到今天我们所知道的高科技服务中心,

最好的工程师,

医生,创新者 开发商涌入

和涌出韩国 这就是

当你全球化和城市化时会发生的事情

这是一个国家的两个故事 与一个城市化和全球化的国家相比,它

仍然是

农村和封闭的

它向世界市场敞开了大门

韩国人

的财富是他们父母的

三倍,是祖父母的十倍

这就是贫民窟城市的力量

全球化的机会

向世界市场开放仍然不相信

我,韩国人比我们今天更富有

这种类型的发展没有先决条件,

我们只需要全球化和城市化

,这就是

它将如何拯救世界在这一点上

你可能会想,但我们的

第二个问题

是全球化对我们的

环境不是有害的

吗?是的,你会 是的,但

没有你想象的那么多,因为

全球化是关于人们

生产效率的,或者这样做更有

效率,这自然是

这样做不仅对环境更有效率,而且

自由贸易不仅

提高了人们

对发展中国家环境问题的认识,

而且巴西、墨西哥和中国的环境标准也在迅速

提高,

而且

如果

只是一张简单的 cd

播放器 塑料是在

菲律宾制造

的 在中国的情况下 在日本的光盘

,后来在美国消费

这不是所有的污染都很好

这是事实

一个 CD 播放器在一辆卡车上

从大阪到集装箱船 la 的人均污染

比从 la 到 la 商店的卡车上的同一台 cd 播放器

要少 一旦我们达到

规模经济 环境

效率

是在生产中而不是在

货物交付中获得的

,至少今天我们也要考虑一下

最大的环境问题是

贫穷

而不是财富造成的 在撒哈拉以南非洲,每 10 个人中就有 8 个人

仍在做饭做饭,并

使用燃木炉为房屋取暖

t 他杀死了他们的呼吸系统,

不仅

更高的收入增加了获得清洁

水的机会,因为受污染的水

是最大的杀手之一,也是

最大的可预防杀手之一,

所以这些问题可以通过

拥有更多的钱来缓解,

但仍然有很多人认为,你会是

的 你们的中国是你们的印度,你们的

拉丁美洲

变得富有,他们会污染更多

,是的,直到我们达到那一

万五千美元的转折点,

这些排放量会增加许多人可能会

说这是不可持续的,

他们是对的,

但他们对此的回答

是非洲人 印度人和中国人

必须保持贫穷

,他们不能像我们一样生活,

但答案不是他们不能

像我们一样生活,

而是我们不能过现在的生活方式

因为非洲仅占

世界能源使用量的 3%,

世界人口

的 12.5% 美国

世界能源的 19% 百分之

四 世界人口的 nt,

因为我们

是一个 suv 司机的国家,不能告诉

骑自行车的人他们不能买踏板车,

因为它污染太多

30 亿人

陷入贫困并不能解决气候

变化的逻辑是什么

让我们说清楚

但是当我们谈论生活方式的改变时,

人们会感到害怕,这是理所当然的,

所以毕竟我们的父母和

他们之前的几代人

为了达到

我们目前

在欧洲、澳大利亚和美国的生活水平而努力工作

,这就是为什么我们不能 尝试成为

环保主义者,

但要成为聪明的城市环保主义者,

因为城市化

城市生活是

减少人均二氧化碳排放量而又不会

显着影响

我们的生活质量的最佳方式 这是事实,

因为居住在曼哈顿

或香港的人的人均污染

低于 住在一个简陋小镇的人

,这最终是

我们的解决方案,

因为当发展中的 wo

当华裔印度人和拉丁美洲人变得富有时,rld

变得富有

我们必须以身作则,以身作则,

让他们的城市看起来更像

新加坡,

而不像生活水平相似的休斯顿城市,

但休斯顿人的污染是聪明人的两倍

城市是未来 这

就是我们解决

气候危机的方法 城市有特定的

拥堵收费

高效的公共交通系统

和家庭 这些更环保的

城市拥有

可再生能源和

核能,因为我们不能

没有它

而城市不是 对环境有益

他们也让我们更富有 就像我们在韩国看到的

城市也可以让我们在发达国家

更富有 因为思想在城市中交流

这些自发的互动将

带来

进步和创新

所以城市化是我们留住我们的方式 在

我们拿到一万五千美元之前检查

一下 这是我们必须做的,而

全球化发挥其魔力,而发展中国家

变得更加富裕,他们也城市化

并利用这些

机会,但我们城市化

是为了让他们变得富有

这就是我们解决贫困和气候

变化的方式

这就是全球化可以如何

拯救世界,因为这两个问题

都需要改变思维方式

,这就是我们解决它们的方式,谢谢