Why taking the risk is important

[Music]

hi everyone

so today you can see the slide so i’m

going to talk about

i’m going to talk about you know things

that are holding us back in our life and

can we do something to change that

a lot of us most of us right we spend

almost all our lives just saying this

one phrase

i wish i wish i could do a startup i

wish

i could leave this job that i had i wish

i could do this i could do that and

the one question that i’ve always

thought is

if we wish why don’t we do

what is stopping us

it turns out this is stopping us

not my dog right his name is simba

he’s a very sweet dog and he he will not

come in your way

right now here

you see he is tied to this chair

now like any dog what does he want to do

he wants to run around he wants to jump

but he’s stuck he’s held back he’s bound

he’s bound by what he’s bound by

that chair a small light plastic chair

right how much does a chair weigh

so in reality right that chair will be

probably a kilogram

but in his mind that chair

weighs a mountain right now this is not

just his reality this is

this is what is happening and what

happens to

it happens to me it happens to you it

happens to all of us

we are held back by that one chair

we are not we are not held back because

we don’t have money what is holding us

back is not the family we are born in it

is not our surname it’s not our height

not our weight not our skin color it’s

not our passport

it’s not even your college degree voting

is holding what is holding us back

is that one kg chair that’s it

now you may ask the question okay it

kind of sounds good but then

you know this is real life in real life

there are constraints

so i don’t deny that i’m not saying that

money does not matter or luck does not

play any role those things are important

for sure i’m not even i’m not even

saying that

you know if you if you decide to do

something

the whole world will conspire to make it

happen right

this is something you must have seen

turns out

the world is really bad at conspiring

right so what do you see here

this is this is nonsense right

it’s not going to happen but

but the fact remains that

even though we cannot do everything we

want even it’s not true that and if you

decide to do something

you can do it it’s not true that and if

you want to be somebody you can just be

that guy

but but we can do

a lot more than what we think we can do

my dog if he decides to fly can he fly

no he cannot do that but he can do a lot

better than being bound to a 1kg chair

so here’s the question why why does he

not break free

that chair that this my dog is very

strong if he decides to give it a push

the chair will go rolling on the floor

and yet

he never pulls or never pushes a chair

why is that

because he assumes that it is it is very

very heavy

this is not just simba story this is the

story

of all of us and if you are not careful

one day this could be your story

we just assume that the things that are

that are weighing us down they are

infinitely heavy

now today i want to share some stories

with you from my life

to show you how that 1kg chair

is weighing all of us down

many years back i was in a wedding

and this one guy i just happened to meet

he walked by he was a guest

and then he asked me what do you do so i

said

i said i was an ips officer and now i

have resigned and i run a startup

so this guy happened to be an is officer

and

so when he heard that he said wow

like that’s so amazing so many times i

wanted to quit the is but somehow i just

could not gather the courage

now just think about it this guy is most

likely a very talented

a smart guy he’s exactly the kind of

person

who should not be scared who should not

be worried about uncertainty and yet

he is very very scared

what is weighing him down that one kg

chair

and it’s not just him i know lots of

civil servants ias ips officers and a

lot of them trust me a lot of them are

not happy with their jobs

they won’t do something different but

every single time the same question

comes up

right uncertainty risk what can i do

i was uh i was in

i was in new york for some time after my

mba and uh

i used to i would come across a lot of

these people who work in

investment banking firms who work in

consulting firms

and i’m talking about these guys who are

who have

business degrees and law degrees from

the world’s top

universities harvard chicago wharton

stanford mitchell

you name it and yet

we were all united by just one thing

fear of what might happen

right now the jobs these guys were doing

as an example being an innocent banker

in a wall street firm

i think it is one of the most

soul-sucking jobs that you can imagine

and these are guys probably the smartest

in this world

and i am pretty sure many of them hate

their job

every single day and yet

yet they cannot break free

that is what is pulling them back now

you could say

yeah sure but then there is real world i

agree

i’m not saying that you know real world

constraints don’t matter

i’m not saying money doesn’t matter all

those things do matter but

compared to all those constraints the

biggest constraint

is in our head

i’ll give one more example

um there was a there was a friend of

mine

a mutual friend um from iit

i was talking to him a couple of years

back and

we were we were chatting and he was

telling me that he loves teaching

science

he used to teach science to his kids and

he said

very longingly you know one day one day

i would like to

start my own company and and teach

science so then i asked

him like why not do it now he said

yeah i want to but you know just risk

what will happen

dead like that now the question is

why is he scared and what is he waiting

for he’s waiting for

he’s waiting for that one magical day

when

there’ll be no fear there’ll be no

uncertainty when everything will be

safe and predictable and that day

will come when will that come

this is that day right now studies have

proven that

when you die your ability to do things

kind of goes down but

not this guy right so we are all

a lot of us are waiting for for that

magical moment and then we will start

doing things

now we know that’s not going gonna

happen right now let me share my own

story

i was uh an ips officer for about eight

years

and um then i decided to quit and do an

mba

now the funny thing is this whomever i

would tell my friends my relatives

anybody that i’m going to leave

so they would say yeah he’s just

blabbering you know he’s frustrated you

know

let him vent he’ll be fine nobody would

take me seriously

then one day i had gone to orissa and

uh my in-laws place and there was some

family wedding going on

so in between the wedding festivities

whenever there was some gap i would

i would sit and i’d be reading those

gmat prep guides

that’s when my father-in-law he asked my

wife is he serious

she said yeah now you can imagine his

shock

right she must be thinking like this guy

first he marries my daughter now he’s

gone totally nuts you know doing all

this stuff

right and and obviously everyone

dissuaded me in fact for many years i

did not even tell them that i’m leaving

the ips or that i have left

right now the question is these people

they don’t mean harm they mean well for

me

yet yet they don’t want you to

they didn’t want me to leave this job

now why is that let me let me explain

something about the indian police

service

if you join as an ips officer this is

your career progression

in four years time you become an sp 14

years dig

18 years igp 25 years

additional director general of police

another three to four years

djp and then i would have retired

at 5 pm on 31st august

2032

please don’t back calculate my age don’t

be a pest okay

now imagine a career where you know

exactly what will happen

30 years later and he quit the job

and you don’t know what will happen the

next day right

now think about the difference in the

uncertainty and that is why

people do not want to take the chance

and they tell you no no don’t don’t

leave the job don’t do that

but then i could ask a counter question

that

risk is not a bad thing risk is meant to

keep you safe from danger it makes you

make sure you don’t do stupid things

so the question is is there a problem

i think there is a problem and the

problem is not with avoiding does the

problem is that

as human beings we inherently hate risk

and

our intuition is unable to quantify risk

properly

and i’m going to now do a live

experiment with you

this is based on the research done by

a professor called daniel kahneman who

was a

who is a nobel prize winning nobel

laureate right

so here’s an experiment

okay i want to take a bet with you guys

okay we will toss a coin 50 50 chance 50

yuan

percent you lose if you win

if you win you get two lakhs

from me right now cash

cash is allowed okay don’t worry now if

you lose

you have to give me one lakh rupees so

here’s a question for the audience

how many of you will take that bet raise

your hand

not too many but a couple right i

expected more because this is like bits

goa you guys were thinking like

what man one lakh to like take 10 lakhs

you know don’t bother me right

but

but if you if you propose this bed to

like you know people in general

a vast majority of people will

not take the bet right the question is

why

the odds make sense in fact i would

argue if you

if you do this if you do this take this

by 10 times the probability of your

being out of pocket

is very very low and yet we are

not willing to take the bet and the

reason is that

people hate losing things we have

something called loss aversion

right if so gaining is important but

losing

what we have causes a lot more anxiety a

lot more pain

now the question is as professionals i

mean for you guys right

does it really matter i think it matters

this is why

now so there are two guys right

the one on the left he is loaded with

all these degrees you know

bits and i t i am whatever right and the

guy on the right he is from some

no-name university now here’s the

question

if both these guys start looking for a

job who has a better

chance of finding a job come on left the

left guy the right guy

left guy come on it’s you you have a

better chance

yet if you have to take a risk or fear

takers

who will have a higher capacity to take

risk

from my experience the guy on the left

is somebody like you and me

why is that because because of your

degree because of professional

qualification

you have a lot to lose versus a guy who

was

was nothing he has nothing to lose and

the guy who has nothing to lose is a

dangerous man

right that is that’s exactly what’s

happening and this

is what is holding us down

um in summary

right i would i would like to share with

you that you know when i

when i left the ips right people think

that it was a

it was a crazy risky step to be honest

that was not

that was not the step which was risky

right what is risky was when i left my

last job

to to become an entrepreneur that was

risky and

i’ll be candid with you i’ve gone

through ups i’ve gone through downs

i’ve gone through a lot more downs than

ups and financially and many other ways

i’ve been better off doing a job

but then it’s a choice i made and i’m

happy with the choice

today i run the startup concept out and

i teach science here

and and finally in this conference

the theme is eureka to discover yourself

right now how to discover yourself you

don’t discover yourself by

sitting on a couch and watching tv right

columbus discovered america what did he

do

he got on a ship and he sailed now he

wanted to get to india

right but he got to america and that’s

fine

if you want to discover yourself get it

from your couch

get on a ship and sail

you may not get to india but i can

assure you

you will get somewhere thank you

you

[音乐]

大家

好,今天你们可以看到幻灯片,所以我

要谈谈

我要谈谈你们

知道阻碍我们生活的事情,

我们可以做些什么来改变

我们中的很多人 我们大多数人是对的,

我们几乎一生都在说

这句话

我希望我希望我能做一家初创公司 我

希望

我能离开这份工作

“我们一直在

想,

如果我们愿意,为什么

不做阻止我们的

事情,事实证明,这阻止了我们,

不是我的狗,对吧它的名字叫辛巴

,它是一只非常可爱的狗,它现在

不会妨碍你

你看他现在像任何狗一样被绑在这把椅子

上他想做什么

他想跑来跑去他想跳

但他被卡住了他被束缚

他被束缚他被那张椅子束缚的东西束缚了

一把小轻塑料椅子

对 一把椅子有多重吗

那把椅子

现在像一座山,这

不仅仅是他的现实,

这就是正在发生的事情

,发生在我身上的事情发生在你身上发生在我们身上

发生在我们所有人

身上我们被那把椅子挡住了

我们不是我们 不是因为

我们没有钱而阻碍我们阻碍我们

的不是我们出生的家庭

不是我们的姓不是我们的身高

不是我们的体重不是我们的肤色

不是我们的护照

甚至不是你的大学学历

投票让我们退缩的

是,一公斤椅子就是

这样 我不是说

金钱无关紧要或运气没有

任何作用这些事情

肯定很重要我什至不是我什至不是

你知道如果你决定

做某事全世界都会合谋 它

发生了,

这是你必须看到的

事实证明,

这个世界真的不擅长密谋,

所以你在这里看到了什么,

这是胡说八道,

它不会发生,

但事实仍然是,

即使我们不能做我们

想做的一切,即使这不是真的,如果你

决定做一些

你能做到的事情,这不是真的

不,他不能那样做,但他

比被绑在 1 公斤重的椅子上做得更好,

所以问题是为什么他

不挣脱

那把椅子,如果他决定推它,我的狗非常

强壮

,椅子会 在地板上打滚

,但

他从不拉或从不推椅子

为什么是

因为他认为它非常

非常重

这不仅仅是辛巴的

故事 这是我们所有人的故事,如果你不小心的

话 那天这可能是你的故事

我们只是假设那些事情 是

那些正在压倒我们吗?它们现在

无限重

今天我想

和你分享一些我生活中的故事,

向你展示多年前那把 1 公斤

重的椅子是如何压垮我们所有人的

碰巧遇到

他路过他是客人

,然后他问我你是做什么的,所以我

我说我是一名 ips 官员,现在

我辞职了,我开了一家初创公司,

所以这个人碰巧是一名 is 官员

所以 当他听到他说哇哇哇哇哇哇哇哇哇哇哇哇哇哇哇哇哇哇哇哇哇哇哇哇哇哇哇哇哇哇哇哇哇哇哇哇哇哇哇哇哇哇哇哇哇哇

不应该害怕的人不

应该担心不确定性,但

他非常非常害怕

是什么让他压在那把一公斤的

椅子

上,不仅仅是他我认识很多

公务员 ias ips 官员

,他们中的很多人都信任我 他们中的很多人

对t不满意 继承人的工作,

他们不会做不同的事情,但

每次出现相同的问题

时,

正确的不确定性风险我能做

什么 在

这些在

投资银行公司工作的人中,在咨询公司工作的人中

,我说的是这些

拥有世界顶级大学的

商业学位和法律学位的人,

哈佛芝加哥沃顿

斯坦福米切尔,

你能说出它,但

我们 所有人都

因为害怕现在可能发生的事情而团结在一起

这些人所做的工作

作为一个华尔街公司的无辜银行家的例子,

我认为这

是你能想象的最吸魂的工作之一

,这些 可能是这个世界上最聪明的人

,我敢肯定,他们中的许多人每天都讨厌

自己的工作

但他们却无法摆脱束缚

,这就是将他们拉回来的原因,现在

您可以说

是的,当然,但是 现实世界我

同意

我并不是说你知道现实世界的

限制无关紧要

我不是说金钱无关紧要所有

这些事情都很重要但

与所有这些限制相比

最大的

限制在我们的脑海中

我会 再举一个例子,

嗯,有一个我的一个朋友,

一个来自 iit 的共同朋友

,几年前我

和他说话,我们正在聊天,他

告诉我他喜欢教

他曾经教过的科学 科学给他的孩子,

非常渴望地说,你知道有一天

我想

开一家自己的公司,教授

科学,所以我问

他为什么不现在做,他说

是的,我想,但你知道冒

什么风险 会

像那样死去现在的问题

是他为什么害怕,他在等什么他在

他在等一个神奇的日子

那时没有恐惧,没有

不确定性,一切都将是

安全和可预测的, 那一天

何时到来

这就是那一天,现在研究

证明,

当你死后,你做事的能力

会下降,

但这个人不是对的,所以我们

很多人都在等待那个

神奇的时刻,然后我们将开始

现在我们知道这不会

发生的事情现在让我分享我自己的

故事

我是一名 ips 官员大约八年

,然后我决定辞职并做一个

mba

现在有趣的是无论我

会告诉我的朋友这是谁 我的亲戚

任何我要离开的

人都会说是的,他只是在

喋喋不休你知道他很沮丧你

知道

让他发泄他会没事的,没有人会

认真对待我

然后有一天我去了奥里萨邦,

呃我的- 法律的地方,有一些

家庭婚礼正在进行,

所以在婚礼庆祝活动之间,

只要有一些间隙,

我就会坐下来,我会阅读那些

gmat 准备指南

,那时我的岳父问我

妻子是他 认真的

她说是的,现在你可以了 想象他的

震惊是

对的,她一定是这样想的,

他先娶了我的女儿,现在他

完全疯了

离开 ips 或者我现在离开

了问题是这些人

他们并不意味着伤害他们对我来说是好的

但他们不想要你

他们现在不想让我离开这份

工作为什么让 我让我解释

一下印度警察局的情况

如果您以 ips 官员的身份加入 这是

在四年内的职业发展 您成为一名 sp 14

年 dig

18 年 igp 25 年

额外的警察总长

再过三到四年

djp 和 那么我将

在 2032 年 8 月 31 日下午 5 点退休,

请不要回算我的年龄,不要

成为害虫,好吧,

现在想象一个你

确切知道

30 年后会发生什么的职业,他辞掉了工作,

而你却没有 不知道会发生什么 他

第二天

现在想想不确定性的不同

,这就是为什么

人们不想抓住机会

,他们告诉你不不不不不要

离开工作不要那样做

但是我可以问一个 反问

风险不是坏事

避免

问题是,

作为人类,我们天生讨厌风险

我们的直觉无法正确量化风险

,我现在要和你做一个现场

实验,

这是基于

一位名叫丹尼尔卡尼曼的教授所做的研究,他

是 一个

谁是诺贝尔奖

获得者,

所以这是一个实验,

好吧,我想和你们打赌,

好吧,我们将掷硬币 50 50 机会 50

元,

如果你赢了,你输了,

如果你赢了,你会从我这里得到 20 万

现在

现金是允许的 现在不用担心,如果

你输了,

你必须给我 10 万卢比所以

这里有一个问题要问观众有

多少人会接受这个

赌注 你们在想

10 万喜欢什么人拿 100 万

你知道不会打扰我

但是如果你提出这张床

喜欢你知道一般人

绝大多数人

不会下注 问题

是为什么赔率是有意义的

原因是

人们讨厌失去东西我们有

一种叫做损失厌恶的东西,

如果如此获得很重要,但

失去

我们所拥有的东西会导致更多的焦虑和

更多的痛苦

现在问题是作为专业人士,我的

意思是对你们来说

,这真的很重要 我认为它垫

这就是为什么

现在有两个人

,左边的一个,他拥有

所有这些你知道的学位,它

是正确的,右边的

那个人,他来自一些

无名的大学现在这里的

问题是,

如果 这两个人都开始找工作 找

工作的

机会更大 左边的

人 右边的人 左边的

人 从我的经验中具有更高的承担

风险的能力

左边的那

个人是像你我

这样的人为什么因为你的

学位因为专业

资格

你有很多损失与一个

什么都不是他没有什么可比的人 输

了,没有什么可失去的人是一个

危险的人

,这正是正在发生的

事情,这

就是让我们失望的原因

,总结起来,

我想和

你分享你知道我

什么时候离开的 正确的 人们认为

这是一个疯狂的冒险步骤,老实说

这不是冒险的步骤,

当我离开

上一份

工作成为一个有风险的企业家时,有

风险的是,

我会 坦率地说,我经历

过起起伏伏 我对今天

的选择很满意

,我推出了创业概念,

在这里教授

科学,最后在这次会议

上,主题是立即发现

自己如何发现自己,你

不会

坐在沙发上发现自己, 看电视对

哥伦布发现了美国他做

了什么他上了一艘船他现在航行了他

想去

印度但他到了美国

如果你想发现自己没关系

从沙发上

得到它上船然后 航行

你可能到不了印度,但我

可以 当然,

你会得到某个地方谢谢你