Science is about the story not about the facts

hello

my name is soren adamatay i’m a

professor of communication at purdue

university

and i’m here to review the myth that

science and stories

need two different types of thinking the

belief that science is only about facts

and stories are

only about fiction relies on a false

distinction

in fact science is story ready all

scientists are

if not born at least made storytellers

let me back up my claim with a few good

stories

here goes the first one once upon a time

a king and queen lived a merry life in

their kingdom

but alas they had no children despite

their many prayers and the potions they

drank

they remained barren an old midwife

heard of their suffering and sent word

that she can help

the queen hastened to meet the woman who

gave her a charm

linden bow to put under the pillow

before going to bed

promising she would bear a child in no

time

the queen did so and promptly felt

pregnant it was a custom in the kingdom

that if a midwife helps to get a child

she should be lavishly awarded yet

the queen pretended she never heard of

the midwife

when asked to pay the reward then

let us stop here what you just heard

sounds like

and is the beginning of a story yet

is it a real story or simply a linear

series of events

this distinction depends on what follows

if the queen

ignores the request and the midwife

keeps quiet this

story is nothing more than a narration

nothing of consequence

really happened more importantly nothing

we know about queens or midwives changes

our expectations are neither challenged

nor changed

queens are noble-born and powerful

midwives are born in meager

circumstances and have little power

ordinary people are ignored in medieval

times

this is what common people have suffered

throughout history

the story i just told you if it ended

with the queen’s continued pride

would be a historical fact but not

compelling storytelling however

what if after being ignored the midwife

sent

let’s say a bad messenger to the queen

in the middle of the night suddenly what

we thought we knew about the queen and

the midwife changes

the midwife behaves like a supernatural

being she has magic powers

she’s no low-born woman in a word she

violates

our expectations as does her behavior

the bad episode may trigger new actions

what if the bat told the queen that she

wouldn’t be able to carry the pregnancy

to term unless she performs

three tasks now

this is a true story here’s the

difference

a story violates expectations and

proposes

a new understanding of how the world

works

now sometimes stories use extraordinary

effects to explain what just happened

however not all stories need to be

supernatural to be stories

stories may violate expectations in

trivial ways

but are stories nonetheless

let us imagine this new scenario a mail

carrier approaches a house

and rings the bell a dog barks inside

the house the mail carrier

woof barks back now is this a story

of course it is why the mail carrier

just violated your expectations about

her role

she’s not supposed to bark at dogs the

mail carrier is supposed to

put the letters in the letterbox or at

best to ask if anyone is at home

however since the letter carrier did

something unexpected the question that

you the audience

probably asked was what might have

reasonably led her to do that

the answers or alternative explanations

that we can propose are many

the mail carrier knows the dog is

returning to her home

or she’s not a mail carrier at all but a

burglar

trying to ingratiate herself with the

dog

together the point stories always need

a before and after that adds something

new to what we

already know thus the natural

connections between the before and the

after

a term known as causality need to be

violated

and replaced with new explanations

furthermore

by providing new explanations stories

teach

in brief for a story to be a story it

must surprise the audience with an

unexpected explanation for processes

that the audience

believes they already understood in

doing so

a story teaches all good

strong storytelling teaches and teaching

by storytelling

changes the world

thinking about storytelling this way

reveals something

important about knowledge in general

new knowledge is story ready because of

this

scientific discoveries are exceptional

stories since by definition

they violate assumptions and teach us

new things

here’s one fitting example of a great

scientific story

for millennia if you ask people what

does the sun do

they will tell you that it revolves

around the earth to provide warmth

thus according to the ancients the earth

was in the center of the universe

this explanation however was not a

figment of their imagination

it was rooted in empirical observation

it was enough to spend

a day in the sun to notice that it was

the sun

that moved around you not the other way

around

it took some time for humans to notice

that although the sun and the stars did

seem to move across the sky

some heavenly objects many quite bright

followed random paths

fittingly these objects were called

planets

a greek word that translate as wanderers

mars jupiter or venus moved strangely

across the horizon

at times with the sun at times against

its path

the ancients thought that the movement

of the planets was ordained by the gods

to signal their will

thus they attempted to read divine will

using

calculations called horoscopes

however after a while scholars like

copernicus or galileo

using data gathered by the previous

generations including for horoscopes

proposed that it might be in fact the

earth that moves around the sun

similarly the planets might not be

anything else but

earth-like bodies that also move around

our sun at speeds and trajectories that

are different from our own mathematical

calculations based on careful

observations show that

all the apparent vagaries of the

wanderers

were optical illusions the same was true

for the sun too

its movement was no more real than the

illusion we experienced when

waiting on a train we think we have

started moving

only to realize that it is the train

next to us that has in fact

left the station suddenly the old

explanation

earth is the center of the universe was

violated and more important

a new explanation for the puzzling

vagaries of planets was offered

two birds were hit with one stone the

history of science is brimming with such

events in fact by definition science

thrives

on originality and expectation

subversion

in turn science constantly violates

expectations and proposes

new explanations that move humanity

closer to knowing

more about the universe

scientific stories need however more

than insights

they demand data science is the rigorous

analysis of data to discern

new causal patterns for example

100 years ago heart attacks were seen as

either accidents or the product of old

age for many generations the

relationship between

eating right artery disease and heart

attacks was unknown

in fact being plumpy was a sign of

health in some cultures

it took many years of research to

realize that eating a lot of saturated

fat

such as that found in large cheese or

some meats

in general over-indulgence can thicken

and block

heart arteries this leads to heart

blockages

and death one researcher ansel

keys realized this by comparing the

diets of americans of northern european

descent and japanese people

although both sample populations were

laborers

the northern americans had much higher

heart attack rates

the cause the northern american diet was

too rich in cholesterol provided by fat

cancel keys insight was further

validated by the data

when he observed that the us-based

japanese population that switched

european

american diet developed heart disease

at higher rates the relationship between

science and stories however

is not a one-way street it is not only

that

good science makes good stories but good

stories can lead to scientific

progress let us take the story of

treating breast cancer due to

prudishness breast cancer was a taboo

subject

until a few decades ago furthermore as a

kind of cancer that an

excision can take out surgical

procedures were preferred

even if they did not cure the illness

thus

few talked about breast cancer and when

it was a topic of conversation

it was a very private matter of intimate

surgery

although easier to detect and treat than

other tumors breast cancer had a

relatively high fatality rate

as recently as the 1960s only one in

four women survived more than 10 years

after diagnosis

during the 1970s however something

changed

more and more women including highly

visible figures such as the actress

shirley temple black and first lady

betty ford

publicly discussed their struggles with

breast cancer

this spurred public interest in the lack

of attention given to breast cancer

furthermore the public story challenged

ignorance of the past

some proposed that more can be done

including therapy to increase the rate

of survival

and even cure for breast cancer this led

to more research

more funding and more scientific

progress

currently more than 80 percent of women

diagnosed with cancer

survived more than 10 years a research

project conducted by corbett and mori

showed that over 30 years 1960 to 1990

extended media coverage led to a

virtuous circle

generating more funding and research

which spawned

more media coverage we started with the

definition of storytelling that focused

on violating

expectations who would have thought that

stories are not

only intimately connected to science

but can also change the world we found

that new explanations

attract public attention and teach

unveiling the mechanism that turns

narratives into remarkable stories

then we discovered that moving the

mountains of

all beliefs with new findings is

specific to data analysis

in science in general the conclusion

should be simple

all scientists are natural storytellers

never tell anyone if you are a scientist

that all you care about

are the facts what you should really

care about

is the story

你好,

我的名字是索伦·阿达玛泰,我是

普渡大学的传播学教授

,我来这里是为了回顾

科学和故事

需要两种不同类型思维的神话

相信科学只关乎事实

,故事

只关乎小说依赖 在一个错误的

区别

上,事实上科学是准备好故事的所有

科学家

如果不是天生的,至少是讲故事的人

让我用一些好故事来支持我的主张,

这是第一个

从前国王和王后在他们的生活中过着快乐的

生活 王国

,可惜他们没有孩子,尽管

他们做了很多祈祷,喝了很多药水,

他们仍然不孕,一位老助产士

听说了他们的痛苦,并发出消息

说她可以

帮助女王赶紧去见那个

给她一个护身符

菩提弓的女人 睡前的枕头

承诺她很快就会生

孩子 女王这样做了,并立即感到

怀孕,这是王国的习俗

,如果助产士帮助生孩子

她应该得到丰厚的奖励,

但女王

在被要求支付奖励时假装她从未听说过助产士,那么

让我们停在这里你刚刚听到的

听起来

像是一个故事的开始,

但它是一个真实的故事还是只是一个线性

系列 事件

的区别取决于

如果女王

无视请求而助产士

保持沉默这个

故事只不过是一个叙述

没有

真正发生过更重要的是

我们对女王或助产士一无所知改变

我们的期望既没有受到挑战

也没有改变

女王 出身高贵,有权

有势的助产士出生在贫瘠的环境中,没有什么权力

普通人在中世纪被忽视

这是历史上普通人所遭受

的我刚刚告诉你的故事如果

以女王的持续骄傲而结束,那

将是一个历史性的故事 事实,但不是

引人入胜的故事,

但是如果在被忽略后,助产士

被派来,

我们说不好 半夜给王后的信使

突然

我们以为我们知道的关于王后

和助产士的

变化 助产士的行为就像一个超自然的

存在 她有魔法

她不是出身卑微的女人 一句话她

违反

了我们的期望

行为 糟糕的情节可能会引发新的

行动 如果蝙蝠告诉女王,

除非她执行

三项任务,否则她将无法怀孕到足月 现在

这是一个真实的故事 这是

一个故事违反预期并

提出

一个新的不同之处 了解当今世界如何

运作 有时故事会使用非凡的

效果来解释刚刚发生的事情,

但并非所有故事都需要

超自然才能成为故事

故事可能以微不足道的方式违反预期,

但仍然是故事,

让我们想象一下

邮递员接近的新场景 房子

和铃响 狗

在房子里

吠叫 邮递员汪汪现在回来了 这当然是一个

故事吗 s 为什么

邮递员违反了你对

她的角色的期望

她不应该对狗吠

叫 邮递员应该

把信放在信箱里,或者

最多询问是否有人在家

但是因为邮递员做了

一些意想不到的事情

听众

可能问的问题是什么

可能导致她这样做 我们可以提出

的答案或替代解释

很多 邮递员知道狗正在

回家,

或者她根本不是邮递员而是

窃贼

试图与狗一起讨好自己

重点故事总是需要

一个之前和之后 为我们已经知道的东西添加一些

新的东西

因此

之前和之后之间的自然联系

被称为因果关系的术语需要被

违反

并用新的解释代替

此外,

通过提供新的解释,故事

简短地教导一个故事成为一个故事,它

必须以一个未体验的方式让观众感到惊讶

对观众

认为他们已经理解的过程的有效解释 在

这样做的过程中

一个故事教所有好的

强有力的讲故事 讲故事的教学和教学

改变了 以

这种方式思考讲故事的世界

揭示

了一般

知识的重要内容 新知识是故事准备好的,因为

这种

科学 发现是特殊的

故事,因为从定义

上讲,它们违反了假设并教会了我们

新事物,

这是几千年来伟大科学故事的一个恰当例子,

如果你问人们

太阳做了什么,

他们会告诉你它

围绕地球旋转以提供温暖,

因此根据 对古人来说,

地球位于宇宙的中心,但

这个解释并不是

他们的想象,

它植根于经验观察

,在太阳下呆一天就足以注意到

是太阳

在你周围移动,而不是 相反

,人类需要一些时间才能

注意到 尽管太阳和星星似乎确实

在天空中移动了

一些天体,许多非常明亮的物体

沿着随机的路径移动,

这些物体被称为

行星

一个希腊词,翻译为流浪者

火星木星或金星有时奇怪地穿过

地平线,太阳在 与

它的

道路背道而驰的时候,古人认为行星的运动

是众神规定的,

以表明他们的意志,

因此他们试图使用称为占星术的计算来读取神圣的意志,

但过了一段时间,像哥白尼或伽利略这样的学者

使用前几代人收集的数据,

包括 因为占星术

提出实际上可能是

地球围绕太阳运行

观察表明,

流浪者的所有明显变幻莫测

都是 o 视觉错觉

对太阳也是

如此

突然间,旧的

解释

地球是宇宙的中心被

打破了,更重要的

是,对行星令人费解的变幻莫测提出了新的解释,

两只鸟被一块石头击中

,科学史上充满了这样的

事件,事实上,从定义

上讲

,科学蓬勃发展 原创性和期望

颠覆

反过来科学不断违反

期望并提出

新的解释,使人类

更接近于了解

更多关于宇宙的

科学故事需要的不仅仅是

洞察力数据科学是对数据的严格

分析以识别

新的因果模式,例如

100 年 以前心脏病发作被许多人

视为事故或

老年的产物 几代人不知道

吃右动脉疾病和

心脏病之间

的关系 事实上,

在某些文化

中,丰满是健康的标志 经过多年的研究才

意识到吃大量的饱和

脂肪,

例如大奶酪或

一些肉类中的饱和脂肪

一般来说,过度放纵会使心脏动脉变粗

和阻塞,

这会导致心脏

阻塞

和死亡,一位研究人员 ansel

keys 通过比较北欧裔美国人和日本人的饮食意识到了这一点,

尽管这两个样本人群都是

劳动者,

而北美人的心脏要高得多

发病率

北美饮食

中胆固醇含量过高的原因 脂肪

取消 关键

当他观察

到改变

欧美饮食的美国日本人患心脏病的几率

更高时,数据进一步验证了这一见解 科学与科学之间的关系

然而,故事

不是单行道,也不是

好科学才有好故事,好

故事才能带来科学的

进步,让我们把

治疗乳腺癌的故事说成是

谨慎,几十年前乳腺癌还是一个禁忌

话题

,而且是一种

切除就能取出的癌症。 外科

手术是首选,

即使它们不能治愈疾病,

因此

很少有人谈论乳腺癌,当

它成为话题时,

虽然比其他肿瘤更容易检测和治疗,但它是非常私密的手术,但

乳腺癌的发病率

相对较高

近在 1960 年代的死亡率在 1970 年代诊断后,只有

四分之一的女性在 10 多年后幸存下来

,然而

,越来越多的女性发生了一些变化,包括

女演员

雪莉·坦普尔·布莱克和第一夫人

贝蒂·福特等备受瞩目的人物,

公开讨论了她们与

乳腺癌

这引发了公众

对乳腺癌缺乏关注的兴趣

此外,公众故事挑战

了对过去的无知,

一些人提出可以做更多的事情,

包括提高生存率

甚至治愈乳腺癌的治疗,这

导致更多的研究、

更多的资金和更多的科学

进展,

目前超过 80% 的女性

被诊断患有乳腺癌 癌症

存活了 10 多年

corbett 和 mori 进行的一项研究项目

表明,从 1960 年到 1990 年的 30 多年中,

媒体报道的扩大导致了一个

良性循环,

产生了更多的资金和研究

,从而催生了

更多的媒体报道,我们从

讲故事的定义开始,专注

于 违反

预期 谁会认为

故事

不仅与科学密切相关,

而且还可以改变世界 我们

发现新的解释

吸引了公众的关注并教授

揭示了将

叙述变成非凡故事的机制

然后我们发现移动所有信仰的大

有新的发现是具体的

c

科学中的数据分析 一般而言,结论

应该很简单

所有科学家都是天生的讲故事的

人 如果您是科学家,请不要告诉任何人您只

关心事实您真正应该

关心的

是故事