The colossal consequences of supervolcanoes Alex Gendler

The year was 1816.

Europe and North America had just been through

a devastating series of wars,

and a slow recovery seemed to be underway,

but nature had other plans.

After two years of poor harvests,

the spring brought heavy rains and cold,

flooding the rivers and causing crop failures

from the British Isles to Switzerland.

While odd-colored snow fell in Italy and Hungary,

famine, food riots and disease epidemics ensued.

Meanwhile, New England was blanketed

by a strange fog

that would not disperse

as the ground remained frozen

well into June.

In what came to be known as “the Year Without a Summer,”

some thought the apocalypse had begun.

A mood captured in Lord Byron’s poem “Darkness”:

“I had a dream which was not all a dream.

The bright sun was extinguish’d,

and the stars did wander darkling in the eternal space,

rayless, and pathless,

and the icy Earth swung blind and blackening

in the moonless air;

morn came and went – and came, and brought no day.”

They had no way of knowing

that the real source of their misfortunes

had occurred a year ago thousands of miles away.

The 1815 eruption of Mount Tambora

on the Indonesian island of Sumbawa

was what is known as a supervolcano,

characterized by a volume of erupted material,

many times greater than that of ordinary volcanoes.

And while the popular image of volcanic destruction

is molten rock engulfing the surrounding land,

far greater devastation is caused

by what remains in the air.

Volcanic ash, dispersed by wind,

can blanket the sky for days,

while toxic gases, such as sulfur dioxide,

react in the stratosphere,

blocking out solar radiation

and drastically cooling the atmosphere below.

The resulting volcanic winter,

along with other effects such as acid rain,

can effect multiple continents,

disrupting natural cycles

and annihilating the plant life on which other organisms,

including humans, depend.

Releasing nearly 160 cubic kilometers

of rock, ash and gas,

the Mount Tambora eruption

was the largest in recorded history,

causing as many as 90,000 deaths.

But previous eruptions have been even more deadly.

The 1600 eruption of Peru’s Huaynaputina

is likely to have triggered the Russian famine,

that killed nearly two million,

while more ancient eruptions have been blamed for major world events,

such as the fall of the Chinese Xia Dynasty,

the disappearance of the Minoan civilization,

and even a genetic bottleneck in human evolution

that may have resulted from all but a few thousand human beings

being wiped out 70,000 years ago.

One of the most dangerous types of supervolcano

is an explosive caldera,

formed when a volcanic mountain collapses

after an eruption so large

that the now-empty magma chamber

can no longer support its weight.

But though the above-ground volcano is gone,

the underground volcanic activity continues.

With no method of release,

magma and volcanic gases continue

to accumulate and expand underground,

building up pressure until a massive and violent explosion

becomes inevitable.

And one of the largest active volcanic calderas

lies right under Yellowstone National Park.

The last time it erupted, 650,000 years ago,

it covered much of North America

in nearly two meters of ash and rock.

Scientists are currently monitoring

the world’s active volcanoes,

and procedures for predicting eruptions,

conducting evacuations and diverting lava flows

have improved over the years.

But the massive scale and global reach

of a supervolcano

means that for many people there would be nowhere to run.

Fortunately, the current data shows no evidence

of such an eruption occurring in the next few thousand years.

But the idea of a sudden and unavoidable

civilization-destroying apocalypse

caused by events half a globe away

will remain a powerful and terrifying vision.

Less fictional than we would like to believe.

“The winds were withered in the stagnant air,

and the clouds perish’d;

darkness had no need of aid from them –

she was the universe.” - Lord Byron

那一年是 1816 年。

欧洲和北美刚刚经历

了一系列毁灭性的战争

,缓慢的复苏似乎正在进行中,

但大自然另有计划。

经过两年的歉收

,春天带来了大雨和寒冷,

淹没了河流,导致

从不列颠群岛到瑞士的农作物歉收。

当意大利和匈牙利出现奇色雪花时,

饥荒、食物暴动和疾病流行接踵而至。

与此同时,新英格兰笼罩

在一层奇怪的雾气

中,

由于地面一直

冻结到六月,这种雾气不会散去。

在后来被称为“没有夏天的一年”,

一些人认为世界末日已经开始。

拜伦勋爵的诗“黑暗”中捕捉到的一种情绪:

“我做了一个不全是梦的梦

。明亮的太阳熄灭了

,星星在永恒的空间里黑暗地游荡,没有

光线,没有路径

,冰冷的 大地

在没有月亮的空气中摇晃着,一片漆黑;

黎明来了又去——又来了,却没有白昼。”

他们根本不知道

,他们不幸的真正根源是在

一年前发生在千里之外。

1815

年印度尼西亚松巴哇岛上

的坦博拉火山喷发被称为超级火山,

其特点是喷发的物质体积

比普通火山大很多倍。

虽然火山破坏的流行形象

是熔岩吞没了周围的土地,

但空气中残留的物质造成了更大的破坏。

被风吹散的火山灰

可以覆盖天空数天

,而二氧化硫等有毒气

体会在平流层中发生反应,

阻挡太阳辐射

并大幅冷却下方的大气。

由此产生的火山冬季

以及酸雨等其他影响

会影响多个大陆,

破坏自然循环

并消灭包括人类在内的其他生物所依赖的植物生命

。 坦博拉火山喷发

释放了近 160 立方公里

的岩石、灰烬和气体,

是有记录以来最大的一次,

造成多达 90,000 人死亡。

但之前的火山爆发更加致命。

1600 年秘鲁的瓦伊纳普蒂纳火山爆发

很可能引发了俄罗斯饥荒

,造成近 200 万人死亡,

而更古老的火山爆发被归咎于世界重大事件,

例如中国夏朝的灭亡、

米诺斯文明的消失、

甚至是人类进化中的基因瓶颈,

这可能是由于 70,000 年前除几千人之外的所有人

被消灭造成的。

最危险的超级火山类型之一

是爆炸性火山口,

它是在火山喷发后坍塌时形成的,火山

喷发的规模如此之大

,以至于现在空无一人的岩浆房

再也无法支撑它的重量。

但尽管地上火山已经消失

,地下火山活动仍在继续。

由于没有释放方法,

岩浆和火山气体

继续在地下积聚和膨胀,

积累压力,直到不可避免的大规模猛烈爆炸

最大的活火山口之一

位于黄石国家公园下方。

上一次喷发是在 65 万年前,

它覆盖了北美大部分地区

,覆盖了近 2 米厚的火山灰和岩石。

科学家们目前正在

监测世界上的活火山

,多年来预测火山喷发、

疏散和转移熔岩流的程序

已经有所改进。

但超级火山的巨大规模和全球

影响力

意味着对许多人来说无处可逃。

幸运的是,目前的数据显示没有证据表明

未来几千年内会发生这种喷发。

但是,由半个地球以外的事件引起的突然和不可避免

的毁灭文明的世界末日的想法

将仍然是一个强大而可怕的愿景。

没有我们想相信的那么虚构。

“风在死气沉沉的空气中枯萎

,乌云消逝;

黑暗不需要它们的帮助——

她就是宇宙。” - 拜伦勋爵