How Emerging Technologies will Change Work and Society

[Music]

so in the last two years as a result of

the pandemic many of us have spent lots

of time working or studying from home

which we would not otherwise have done

now imagine if we had this pandemic in

2010 the average internet speed was

enough for about one hd video stream and

not much else

office technology typically consisted of

landline calls and emails and the data

and information for organizations to run

was typically held in servers on premise

which meant the only way to do your job

was to go to the office

fast forward to today

and the average internet speed is 20

times faster most organizations use

cloud providers which means information

can be accessed instantly

and remotely

so looking back 10 20 years ago for me

and many others

working from home would not have been

productive or even possible

in the us amongst people who could work

from home in 2020 71 of people did so

could they have done 15 years ago

i don’t think so

without technological innovation to hit

the global economy would have been far

worse

than the 4.4 contraction we suffered in

2020 which was the worst since the great

depression of the 1930s

so what enabled us to rapidly shift to

work from home

what fast connectivity virtual working

and cloud infrastructure

so all of these men we could access what

we needed and interact remotely

these technological advances have made

human life more resilient and

sustainable

even in the face of a major global

pandemic

so now let’s look at further into the

future

and think about what this idea of the

changing workplace really means

what’s the impact of other emerging

technologies on where we work

live and what are the other impacts for

society

so

increasing internet connection speeds

has enabled many of us to work

productively from home

but it’s the availability and location

of that connectivity that dictates where

you work and therefore live

so currently you’re probably restricted

to

living and working in locations where

you have good wired broadband internet

connectivity

so but what if you could get great

connectivity anywhere

so 5g now means that we can get high

speed over over the internet

average cellular speeds have increased

with each generation with 5g we can now

get speeds of over 100 megabits per

second

that’s enough for multiple 4k video

streams it’s comparable to most

broadband internet providers

so there is a catch however with 5g

typically has a shorter range which

means we need a large number of ground

stations to actually

put it to use

so what can fill this connectivity gap

and give us access to the internet even

harder to reach locations

so this is where space technology comes

in

so a number of organizations are now

building satellite constellations in

space that can give us access to

high-speed internet

all you need to connect is a satellite

dish and to point it at the sky

the best known of these is starling from

spacex which has put 42 000 satellites

into low earth orbit

this has the potential to be to produce

speeds of up to one gigabit per second

so this can connect

hard to reach rural locations in

communities where it’s too expensive and

time consuming to lay down fiber cable

or put up 5g base stations

so today 47 of the world’s population

doesn’t have access to the internet

in the us alone 60 million people

don’t have access to broadband internet

speeds

satellite internet can connect many of

these people

you could be in a remote mountain hub or

a boat in the middle of the ocean and

still access high-speed internet

so as we’ve seen during the pandemic

it’s hard to replicate in-person human

interaction presence collaboration

so the metaverse has the power to change

that you might have heard of this as the

latest buzzword in technology

a lot of the big technology firms are

now investing huge amounts in the

metaverse

it’s been described as the next

generation of the internet or web 3.0

but what does it mean

so the metaverse is the convergence of

social platforms augmented in virtual

reality and blockchain technology

it’s a virtual space that allows people

to interact

in a more immersive way where the

physical and virtual worlds converge

for example it could be a virtual

environment where you have an avatar

representing yourself

so one great example of the metaverse is

gaming games such as fortnite and robot

roblox

fortnite has

integrated social events players can

attend concerts live with their with

their avatars

in these interactive worlds you can buy

and sell land digital merchandise hang

out with friends customize your look

much the same way as you can in the

physical world

so what this means for work is that we

can create virtual collaborative

environments that allowed us allow us to

interact in immersive ways

using virtual reality and to feel a

sense of being physically physically

present in a space

this is ideal for

meetings learning networking and

collaboration

so could the office of the future be

entirely virtual

well our children of today the office

workers of the future are growing up

with part of these virtual experiences

so not only is the technology advances

but as these new generations enter the

workforce will see increased adoption of

the metal verse for work

so what does it mean for where you live

you don’t have to go to an office

so say today like me you work at london

bridge

this map

shows the

90-minute commute time from where you

need to get to work

so now let’s change our assumptions

now with these new technologies let’s

assume you can connect anywhere in the

world and you can work within three

hours by time zone

that means you can work anywhere in

europe africa most of the middle east

even parts of south america

that’s one third of the land mass of the

world and a bunch of ocean as well

anywhere you have power you can now

connect and work

so what does that mean for the cost of

living

well the biggest expenditure is

typically accommodation

so you don’t have to work and live

anymore in expensive locations like

san francisco new york and london

what about cape town lisbon or milan

those locations are 50 to 80

cheaper

what if it doesn’t matter when you get

work done what about auckland and new

zealand

so when thinking about work virtual

working we’re no longer tied to certain

locations or even cities

you can choose to live in a cheaper

location by reducing your cost of living

have a better quality of life

so these converging technologies will

further enable remote working allowing

you to work and live anywhere

but what does this mean for job

opportunities

so you’re no longer confined to working

for organizations with offices where you

can physically commute to

you can work and be connected anywhere

in the world

you can have rich collaborative

experiences

virtually with colleagues which are only

going to get better over time

so not only can you work from anywhere

but any job can also come to you

you can work for organizations based

anywhere in the world

you can access new and interesting

opportunities that you couldn’t

previously

and for organizations they can now

access global talent pools where

previously they could only employ people

either within a commutable radius or

willing to relocate

so a german car company that needs to

hire more software developers but can’t

find enough in germany

they can now employ people remotely in

new zealand

or a technology firm in silicon valley

that can’t attract talent because the

cost of living is too high

now they can employ people in remote

minnesota

so why will all organizations shift to

adopting remote and virtual working

because what we’re seeing now is

employees are demanding it which means

the best employees will go to the

organizations that provide it

so other organizations will have to

follow

so what are the other positive impacts

for society of this work from anywhere

future

let’s think about your personal health

and well-being

so commuting is physically bad for you

you sit down a lot can be stressful

you’re less active

can give rise to obesity and back

problems

but freeing up that time every day it

can be spent with family

perhaps on childcare or exercise keeping

fit taking care of your mental

well-being

you can now live closer to nature and

areas of natural beauty which has been

shown to have a large positive impact on

mental wellbeing

so and one challenge for many people

starting their careers perhaps like you

guys here

is that

the cost of buying a property can now be

many multiples of income

the ability to live anywhere can

dramatically increase the financial

well-being for this kind of demographic

now let’s think about diversity and

inclusion

now in many countries the burden of

early early years child care falls

disproportionately on young women

others may have disabilities that makes

travel or relocation more difficult

or perhaps people need to look after

sick or elderly relatives this is where

a virtual working world can promote a

more equal society

if we can remove the dependency of both

working time

and place

then people can access more

opportunities with more organizations in

more locations

any buyers based on an individual’s

personal

commitment

lifestyle are removed

not only is diversity good because it’s

a good thing for society

companies with diverse management teams

on average have 20 percent higher

revenues

they just perform better

so lastly what does it mean for climate

change in the environment in the world

of remote working in the virtual office

the commute is not needed at all

virtual remind environments reduce the

need for travel altogether long-haul

business travel in particular has a

large negative impact on the environment

effective and collaborative remote

working can massively reduce carbon

emissions as we’ve less need to move our

physical cells and instead can teleport

our virtual selves anywhere in the world

so what industries are likely to be

disrupted by the shift of virtual

working in the

well with retail we saw a shift in value

from traditional retailers in the high

street to online marketplaces like

amazon and ebay

the value of corporate real estate

globally is 33 trillion dollars

so for just a small portion of this

value to transfer to the technology

companies building the metaverse it’s

likely to be the biggest company in the

world

so the same is true for other industries

like higher energy education

learning in higher education can be

transferred to entirely virtual worlds

delivering new kinds of learning

experiences

not restricted by physical space and

capacity much cheaper than today

therefore also making it more accessible

so i think this future is exciting for a

long time our health well-being cost of

living equality in the environment are

all tied to when how

and where we work

the convergence of technologies

5g

satellite internet the metaverse cloud

computing all these taken together

meaning we’re heading for a virtual

workplace

it may not be fully virtual today and in

the interim hybrid where a combination

of office and home

are used depending on the type of work

that needs to get done

but the direction of travel seems clear

and if that’s towards a better more

equal healthy and environmentally

conscious world

then that’s a good

[Applause]

you

[音乐]

所以在过去的两年中,

由于大流行,我们中的许多人都花了

很多时间在家工作或学习,

否则我们不会这样做

现在想象一下,如果我们在 2010 年发生这种大流行,

平均互联网速度就

足够了 大约只有一个高清视频流,

其他不多

办公技术通常由

固定电话和电子邮件组成,

组织运行的数据和信息

通常保存在本地服务器中,

这意味着完成工作的唯一方法

就是去办公室

快进到今天

,平均互联网速度快 20

倍大多数组织使用

云提供商,这意味着

可以即时

和远程访问信息,

所以回顾 20 年前的 10 年,对于我

和许多其他

在家工作的人来说,这将是没有

生产力的,甚至是不可能的

在美国

,2020 年可以在家工作的人中有 71 人这样做了

,他们 15 年前可以这样做

吗?

如果没有技术创新,我不这么认为

对全球经济的冲击将远远

超过我们在 2020 年遭受的 4.4 次收缩,

这是自 1930 年代大萧条以来最严重的一次,

所以是什么让我们能够迅速

在家工作,

快速连接的虚拟工作

和云基础设施,

所以 所有这些人,我们都可以访问

我们需要的东西并进行远程交互

这些技术进步使

人类的生活

即使在全球大流行病面前也更具弹性和可持续性,

所以现在让我们进一步

展望未来

,想想这个想法是什么

改变工作场所确实意味着

其他新兴

技术对我们工作的地方

的影响以及对社会的其他影响

因此

提高互联网连接

速度使我们中的许多人能够

在家中高效地工作,

但这种连接的可用性和

位置决定了

你工作和生活的地方,

所以目前你可能仅限

生活和 在

您拥有良好有线宽带互联网

连接的地方工作,

但是如果您可以

在任何地方获得良好的连接,

那么现在 5g 意味着我们可以

通过互联网获得高速

平均蜂窝速度

随着 5g 的每一代而增加,我们现在

可以获得速度 每秒超过 100 兆比特

,足以支持多个 4k 视频

流它与大多数

宽带互联网提供商相当,

因此有一个问题,但是 5g

通常具有较短的范围,这

意味着我们需要大量的地面站

才能实际使用它

所以 什么可以填补这个连接空白

,让我们能够访问

更难到达的

位置的互联网,这就是太空技术的用武之地

所以许多组织现在

正在太空中建造卫星星座,

让我们所有人都能访问

高速

互联网 需要连接的是一个卫星

天线并将其指向

天空,其中最著名的是来自

spacex 的八哥 s 将 42,000 颗卫星

送入近地轨道,

这有可能产生

高达每秒 1 吉比特的速度,

因此这可以连接

难以到达的

社区中的农村地区,因为

铺设光缆或铺设光纤电缆过于昂贵且耗时

增加 5g 基站,

因此今天

仅在美国就有 47

人无法上网 枢纽或

海洋中的船,

仍然可以访问高速互联网,

因此正如我们在大流行期间看到

的那样,很难复制面对面的人机

交互存在协作,

因此元宇宙具有

改变您可能听说过的能力 作为

最新的科技流行语,

许多大型科技公司现在都

在元宇宙上投入巨资,

它被描述为

下一代互联网或 w eb 3.0

但这意味着什么,

所以元宇宙是

在虚拟

现实和区块链技术中增强的社交平台的融合,

它是一个虚拟空间,允许人们

以更身临其境的方式进行交互,其中

物理世界和虚拟世界融合

,例如,它可能是一个 虚拟

环境,您有一个代表自己的化身,

因此元宇宙的一个很好的例子是

游戏游戏,例如堡垒之夜和机器人

roblox 堡垒之夜

集成了社交活动,玩家可以

在这些互动世界中与他们的化身一起参加音乐会,您可以

买卖土地

与朋友一起出去玩的数字商品

以与现实世界中相同的方式定制您的外观,

因此这对工作而言意味着我们

可以创建虚拟协作

环境,使我们能够

使用虚拟现实以身临其境的方式进行交互并感受 一种

实际

存在于空间中的感觉,

这是

聚会的理想选择 gs learning 网络和

协作 未来的办公室能否

完全虚拟

化 我们今天的孩子 未来的办公室

工作人员正在

与这些虚拟体验的一部分一起成长

所以不仅技术进步,

而且随着这些新一代进入

劳动力市场 会看到越来越多的人

在工作中采用金属诗,

所以这对你住的地方意味着什么

你不必去办公室

所以说今天像我一样你在伦敦桥工作

这张地图

显示了

从哪里开始的 90 分钟通勤时间 你

需要开始工作,

所以现在让我们

用这些新技术改变我们的假设让我们

假设你可以在世界任何地方连接,

并且可以在三个

小时内按时区

工作,这意味着你可以在

欧洲、非洲、中东大部分地区的任何地方工作

甚至

是占世界陆地面积三分之一的南美洲的部分地区,

还有一大片海洋,以及

任何你现在可以连接和工作的有电力的地方,那这有

什么用呢? 考虑到

生活

成本,最大的支出

通常是住宿,

这样您就不必

再在旧金山和纽约和伦敦等昂贵的地方工作和生活了,

里斯本开普敦或米兰呢?

这些地方便宜 50 到 80

美元

,如果 什么时候完成工作并不重要,

奥克兰和新西兰怎么样,

所以在考虑工作虚拟

工作时,我们不再局限于某些

地点甚至城市,

您可以通过降低生活成本来选择住在更便宜的

地方

拥有更好的生活质量,

因此这些融合技术将

进一步实现远程工作,让

您可以在任何地方工作和生活,

但这对工作机会意味着什么,

因此您不再局限于

为拥有办公室的组织工作,在那里您

可以亲自上

下班 可以在世界任何地方工作和联系

您可以

与只会下注的同事虚拟

地获得丰富的协作体验 随着时间的

推移,您不仅可以在任何地方工作,

而且任何工作都可以来找您

您可以为

位于世界任何地方的组织工作

您可以获得以前无法获得的新的和有趣的

机会,

并且对于他们现在可以

访问全球的组织 人才库,

以前他们只能

在通勤范围内或

愿意搬迁的地方雇用人员,

因此德国汽车公司需要

雇用更多的软件开发人员但

在德国找不到足够的人,

他们现在可以在

新西兰

或技术上远程雇用人员 硅谷的公司,

因为

生活成本

太高而无法吸引人才

意味着最好的员工将去

提供它的组织,

因此其他组织将不得不

效仿,

那么其他 p 是什么?

这项工作对社会的积极影响 未来任何地方

让我们考虑一下您的个人健康

和福祉

所以通勤对您的身体不好

每天到那个时候,它

可以和家人一起度过,

也许是在照顾孩子或锻炼

身体,照顾你的心理

健康,

你现在可以生活在更接近大自然

和自然美景的地方,这已被

证明对心理有很大的积极影响

对于许多人

开始他们的职业生涯来说,一个挑战可能就像

你们在这里

一样,

现在购买房产的成本可能

是收入

的许多倍,在任何地方生活的能力可以

极大

地提高这种人口的财务状况。

让我们考虑一下

现在许多国家的多样性和包容性

早期儿童保育的负担

不成比例地落在年轻女性身上

其他人可能会 使

旅行或搬迁更加困难的残疾,

或者人们可能需要照顾

生病或年迈的亲戚 这

是虚拟工作世界可以促进

更平等的社会的地方,

如果我们可以消除对

工作时间

和地点的依赖,

那么人们就可以访问更多

在更多地点拥有更多组织的机会

任何基于个人

承诺

生活方式的买家都被移除

不仅多元化是好事,因为这

对社会是

好事 这意味着

环境中的气候变化

虚拟办公室中的远程工作

根本不需要通勤

虚拟提醒环境 减少

旅行的需求 长途

商务旅行尤其

对环境有很大的负面影响

有效 协作远程

工作可以大量减少碳水化合物 在

排放方面,因为我们不需要移动我们的

物理细胞,而是可以将

我们的虚拟自我传送到世界任何地方,

因此哪些行业可能会

因零售业的虚拟工作转变而受到破坏,

我们看到了价值的转变

大街上的传统零售商到

亚马逊和

ebay 等在线市场 全球企业房地产价值

为 33 万亿美元,

因此仅将其中一小

部分转移给

构建元宇宙的科技公司,它

很可能成为全球最大的公司

其他行业也是如此,

比如高等教育 高等教育中的

学习可以

转移到完全虚拟的世界,

提供

不受物理空间和容量限制的新型学习体验,

比现在便宜得多,

因此也更容易获得,

所以我 认为这个未来是令人兴奋的很

长一段时间我们的健康幸福

生活成本平等在 en 环境都

与我们工作

的时间和地点有关 技术的融合

5g

卫星互联网 元界云

计算 所有这些都

意味着我们正在走向一个虚拟的

工作场所

它今天可能不是完全虚拟的,而在

混合的过渡时期

办公室和家庭

的使用取决于需要完成的工作类型,

但行进的方向似乎很明确

,如果这是朝着一个更好更

平等的健康和环保

意识的世界,

那就太好了

[掌声]