AI Superpowers for Sustainability

if

i were to ask you do you care

about the environment about

sustainability

most of you would probably agree

however if i did pose the question

is artificial intelligence ai

falls for good many of you might not be

so sure while it’s been

a hype subject for some time

some aspects of it are quite

controversial

many people believe that humans would be

replaced by by robots that they would

take

over our jobs make our life on this

planet more difficult

and reduce the chances

for survival of mankind

so what is true let’s find

out i invite you to

join me on a journey to see

the the details underneath to go beyond

some of the mysteries and misconceptions

and look at the data like we often do in

data science

so let’s take a start

when i was a young boy growing up

in munich one thing that i was

fascinated by

was the tv series night rider with the

ai enabled car kit

kit was able to reason make his own

decisions

and chase the bad guys and eventually

turbo boost

out of any tricky situations that would

arise

for me it’s always been a

goal of mine to create solutions that

help mankind

make life easier more sustainable

little did i know that eventually i

would realize my dream

of building such solutions in my

professional career

that took me around the globe today

i’m a ai thought leader and director for

ai

and fintech at pwc and i have the

pleasure of

working on solutions like that with

clients in asia

u.s and europe and it’s

from that angle that i kind of brief ai

on a daily basis

so it comes very natural to me but i

understand that

i should define the term for the rest

let’s start with the artificial part

that one is quite easy to understand the

more tricky one

is defining intelligence many have tried

and when we look up in merriam-webster

we can find

five different definitions including

logical

mathematical kinesthetic linguistic and

so on

but let’s start with the first one the

ability

to learn or understand or to deal with a

new

or trying situations such as climate

change

and sustainability

so not many of you

might agree that data is the new oil

but it can’t be ignored that artificial

intelligence

will fundamentally change the way that

the world does business

to quote my favorite author on the

subject kaifu lee who said

that pwc estimates ai

deployment will add 15.7

billion dollars to global gdp by 2030.

of course you might not believe these

big numbers

but you would still understand the scale

of change that is about to happen here

and it’s exactly those

powerful tools and powerful methods that

ai

has that kind of fascinated me for a

long time

to kind of see how those could be used

to speed up our work in sustainability

and do something good for the planet

when it comes to the sustainable

development goals that many of you know

it’s

kind of been around for for

some time and it’s for

my time in a silicon valley

company in 2014 where

my extended team had the honor of

contributing to the early drafts to them

that i kind of started being fascinated

by the work of the u.n

in in this in addition it was my parents

who from an early age instilled

the care for the environment the

recycling

the kind of awareness of what happens

around us

something that i took with me on my

journeys and my work around the globe on

five different continents that i would

always look out for

the environment but also how people

recycle locally and what they do

to protect when you look closely you

will

find out that only free namely

13 to 15 of those goals are related

directly to the environment

so the climate action the life

underwater and the life on land

but when you take others into account

you realize that

all of these goals are interlinked in

for example

looking at a person having

enough clean water enough

food on the table enough

job security enough income

only that kind of person can really care

and make enough

effort to protect the environment and in

that way

we next look at what impact ai

might have on those goals

so on the first instance ai

might have a detrimental effect to

sustainability into the carbon footprint

when you think about some of the big

data centers and also training ai models

when we look at this graph in particular

we see that taking a flight

from new york to san francisco is only

a small impact on the carbon footprint

but training a ai model would be 300

times as much

now for me having trained many

ai models with my team this is really

comparing apples and oranges

what you see in this kind of ai model is

probably something

that thousands of people worked on

together in a corporate setup

that is a one-off language model on a

vast scale and that cannot be compared

to

a individual taking a flight however

when we take this into account we kind

of have to recognize that the public out

there

still has a fear of ai like we mentioned

earlier

and that there are many misconceptions

that we need to

really fully understand and then debunk

and with that we move on to more recent

research

earth.org and spring in nature

mapped out the 17 sustainable

development goals

into three different categories in terms

of the environment

that we heard earlier economy and

society

what is quite telling here is that while

ai might have a detrimental effect on

some

the potential or

the ability to enhance the chances of

achieving those goals

is much more powerful so when you look

at it

there’s three to two to three times

um the chance of having a positive

effect with the eye

than there is to to reduce or making

these targets more

more difficult to achieve

and with that let’s look into some of

the research that

my colleagues in the international

network have done throughout the

lockdown last year

when you look at sustainability graphs

and climate change you typically see

a increasing curve namely looking at

the temperature going up by certain

degrees of celsius

and you look at modeling in terms of

what that might mean and at which point

it might be irreversible now what we’re

seeing here in

in contrast is ai

helping all the regions around the globe

to reduce their greenhouse gases and

average by

four percent which is quite phenomenal

some regions even going down to six

percent so we can say

that there there will be a tremendous

impact that

if my colleagues that model that are

correct and they modeled it in quite a

detailed

manner so let’s look in terms of

what other impacts are there one thing

that we see

and i’ve been debating this over the

last 10 years pretty much

is the impact of ai on jobs so

the debates are typically will ai

replace

or create jobs one thing that i realized

by debating this all over the place is

that it

very much dependent on the industry

the the sector and the country that a

person is based in to see

whether there would be an impact a

replacement

so while it is true that some lower key

jobs will be becoming obsolete it’s also

true that other jobs will be created

such as mine in terms of being somebody

who’s explaining ai

but equally other people would be

maintaining and creating those models

and other people would benefit from the

fact that certain industries are

pushed by this now to kind of

close the data piece off let’s look into

what are the four key industries that

are benefiting from the use of ai

starting with with energy we

measured the the impact here in terms of

smart grids and controlling system

to really particularly for renewable

energy to predict

usage patterns then also looking into

transport where

ai can help to enable

supply chains as well as autonomous

driving

and in fact reducing some of the biggest

traffic jams around the world

by controlling those systems but then

also to move on to

agriculture where with the help of smart

sensors

alternative data satellites and a

ai system we can predict weather

patterns we

can look into reducing pesticides we can

look into reducing use of water

which brings us to the last point in

terms of the water industry

here ai can help by

spotting pollution early on by

predicting rainfall by

kind of making sure that the the water

is used in the most efficient way

so overall what we have here is a system

where

without the new insights that ai

generates

it’s very difficult to make those

changes without it

in some ways when we want to follow

these sustainable development goals

we don’t know which path to take so we

really need those insights

to come full circle we

seen some of these changes that are

possible also the details behind the use

cases

but when we go back to merriam-webster

the second definition of intelligence is

the ability to apply knowledge the

things that we just heard of and

kind of learned to manipulate or to

improve

our environment such as that we take on

the things that we’ve

just experienced and try to change for

the better

and with that we are thinking in terms

of what can we do

at the local level to

connect sustainability and ai

so whose responsibility is it really to

connect those two forces it is those

people that

build the models like me and my team and

many many others

but also the people that are using the

system in terms of flagging up

inconsistencies biases restrictions

things that are restricting the use to a

certain

people group to make sure that it’s used

in the right way

so firstly when we call to action at the

local level

it’s for us to collaborate

to link academia to link the corporates

the public

all together to create a better and

holistic understanding

how ai can really help sustainability

for me personally kind of led

a lot of engagement in this and coming

more from a

technical business side one thing that

really helped me to

get a better understanding of the

ethical and environmental

effects that ai can have for some of my

discussions over the last few years with

the former dean of london business

school

sir andrew lickerman it was his wisdom

and experience for many many decades but

also his works

on ai and judgment that really opened my

eyes to

see where do we need to go with this so

kind of to share the ethical and

environmental concerns and then finally

particularly in germany we have a long

long history

of sustainability when i think about the

recycling that i talked to you about

earlier

from the 80s but also in terms of

research

and we are still a technical powerhouse

so one thing that shouldn’t happen

is that this is all theory and research

and become

a leading research nation that is all

great but it’s

what really will make a difference if we

build companies and products

and we need to do some more of it so to

be

really a leading voice in this we need

to sit at the table we

want to contribute we want to go out

there and have our voice heard

and with that i leave you

with a spark the beautiful colors of

sunrise

at tirameta beach by

tan wills a fellow

and photographer it is for the beauty of

this place

and many others that we must remember

that while the world is your oyster

it’s up to you to find the pearls

go forth and protect

thank you

如果

我要问你是否

关心可持续发展的环境

,你们中的大多数人可能会同意,

但是如果我确实提出了这个问题

,那么你们中的许多人可能

不太确定,因为它一直

是一些人的炒作主题 时间

它的某些方面颇具

争议

许多人认为人类将

被机器人取代他们将

接管我们的工作使我们在这个星球上的生活

更加困难

并减少

人类生存的机会

所以让我们找出真相

邀请您

加入我的旅程,看看

下面的细节,超越

一些奥秘和误解

,像我们在数据科学中经常做的那样查看

数据,

所以让我们

从我在慕尼黑长大的小男孩开始

我着迷的一件事

是电视连续剧夜间骑手与

启用了人工智能的车载套件

套件能够推理做出自己的

决定

并追逐坏人并最终

涡轮增压

在我遇到任何棘手的情况

,我的目标一直是

创造解决方案,

帮助人类

让生活更轻松,更可持续

今天在全球范围内,

我是普华永道的人工智能思想领袖和

人工智能

和金融科技总监,我

很高兴

与亚洲、美国和欧洲的客户一起研究类似的解决方案

,正是

从这个角度,我简要介绍了

人工智能 每天,

所以这对我来说很自然,但我

知道

我应该为其余部分定义术语

让我们从人为的部分开始

,一个很容易理解,

更棘手的

是定义许多人尝试过的智能

,当我们查找时 merriam-webster

我们可以找到

五种不同的定义,包括

逻辑

数学动觉语言

等等,

但让我们从第一个

开始学习或理解的能力 或应对

气候变化和可持续发展等新的或艰难的情况,

所以你们中可能没有多少人

同意数据是新的石油,

但不可忽视的是,人工智能

将从根本上

改变世界做生意的

方式 我最喜欢的

作者李开复说

,普华永道估计

到 2030 年,人工智能部署将为全球 GDP 增加 157 亿美元。

当然你可能不相信这些

大数字,

但你仍然会

理解这里即将发生的变化规模

正是那些

强大的工具和强大的方法让

我着迷了

很长一段时间,

想看看它们如何

用于加快我们在可持续发展方面的工作,并在可持续发展方面

为地球做一些有益的事情

你们中的许多人都知道的发展目标

已经存在了

一段时间,这是

在 2014 年在硅谷公司的时候,

我的扩展团队在那里 有幸

为他们的早期草稿做出贡献

,我开始

对联合国

在这方面的工作着迷,此外,是我的

父母从小就灌输

了对环境的关心和

循环利用

的意识

我们周围

发生的事情 我在

旅途中和我在五大洲的全球工作中随身

携带

东西

发现只有免费的,即其中

13 到 15 个目标

与环境直接相关,

因此气候对

水下生命和陆地生命的影响,

但是当你考虑到其他目标时,你会

意识到

所有这些目标都是相互关联的

,例如

寻找 在一个人有

足够干净的水足够

的餐桌上足够的食物足够的

工作保障足够的收入

只有这样的人才能真正关心

并付出足够的

努力来保护 影响环境

,然后

我们接下来看看人工智能可能对这些目标产生什么影响,

所以

当你考虑一些大

数据中心和培训人工智能时,首先人工智能可能会对碳足迹的可持续性产生不利影响 模型

当我们特别看这张图时,

我们发现

从纽约飞往旧金山

对碳足迹的影响很小,

但是现在训练一个人工智能模型对我来说是 300

倍,

因为我已经训练了许多

人工智能模型 我的团队这真的是在

比较苹果和橘子

你在这种人工智能模型中看到的

可能

是成千上万人

在公司环境中一起工作的东西,

这是一种大规模的一次性语言模型

,无法与之相比

一个乘坐飞机的人,但是

当我们考虑到这一点时,

我们不得不承认,外面的公众

仍然像我们之前提到的那样对人工智能有恐惧,

并且有

任何我们需要

真正完全理解然后揭穿的误解,

然后我们继续进行最近的

研究,

earth.org 和 spring in nature

将 17 个可持续

发展目标

根据我们之前听到的环境划分为三个不同的类别

经济 和

社会在这里很能说明问题的是,虽然

人工智能可能对

某些潜力

或能力产生不利影响,但增强

实现这些目标

的机会的能力要强大得多,所以当你

看它时,嗯,它

是三到两到三倍

与减少或使

这些目标

更难实现相比

,对眼睛产生积极影响的机会,让我们来看看

我的国际网络同事在去年

整个封锁期间所做的一些研究,

当你 查看可持续性图表

和气候变化,您通常会看到

一条增加的曲线,即

查看温度上升 一定

摄氏度

,你会根据

这可能意味着什么来看待建模,在

什么时候它可能是不可逆转的

4%,这是相当惊人的,

有些地区甚至下降到 6

%,所以我们可以

说,

如果我的同事的模型是

正确的并且他们以非常详细的方式对其进行建模,

那么我们可以看一下

在其他影响中

,我们看到的一件事

,我在过去 10 年中一直在争论这一点,

几乎

是人工智能对就业的影响,

所以辩论通常是人工智能会

取代

或创造就业机会,这是我

通过辩论意识到的一件事 到处都是

,它在

很大程度上取决于

行业、行业和一个

人所在的国家,看看

是否会有替代品的影响,

所以当它 确实,一些较低的关键

工作将变得过时

,其他工作也将被创造出来,

例如我

的解释人工智能的人,

但同样其他人将

维护和创建这些模型

,其他人将从这一

事实中受益 某些行业

现在被这种情况推动以

关闭数据让我们

看看有哪些

从使用人工智能中受益的关键行业

从能源开始我们

测量了

智能电网和控制方面的影响 系统

尤其适用于可再生

能源来预测

使用模式,然后还研究

交通运输,

人工智能可以帮助实现

供应链和自动

驾驶

,实际上通过控制这些系统来减少世界上一些最大的

交通拥堵

,然后

还可以 转向

农业,在智能传感器的帮助下,

我们可以预测替代数据卫星和人工智能系统 天气

模式 我们

可以研究减少杀虫剂 我们可以

研究减少水的使用

这将我们带到

了水行业

的最后一点 人工智能可以通过早期发现污染来提供帮助,方法

通过确保水

以最有效的方式使用,

所以总的来说,我们在这里拥有的是一个系统

,如果

没有人工智能产生的新见解,

当我们想要遵循这些我们不知道的可持续发展目标时,如果没有它,就很难在某些方面做出这些改变

走哪条路,所以我们

真的需要这些见解

来完整循环我们

看到了其中一些可能的变化,

也可能是用例背后的细节,

但是当我们回到韦氏词典时

,智能的第二个定义是

应用知识的能力

我们刚刚听说的事情,

并且学会了操纵或

改善

我们的环境,例如我们承担

我们

刚刚经历的事情和 尝试

变得更好

,我们正在

考虑我们可以

在地方层面做些什么来

连接可持续性和人工智能

所以真正

连接这两种力量的责任是那些

像我这样建立模型的人 我的团队和

许多其他

人,还有

在标记不一致方面使用该系统的人

偏见 限制

限制特定人群使用的东西,

以确保它

以正确的方式使用,

所以首先当我们打电话给 在

地方

层面采取行动,我们需要合作

,将学术界联系起来,将

企业和公众联系

在一起,以更好、更

全面地

理解人工智能如何真正帮助

我个人的可持续发展,这导致

了很多参与,

更多来自

技术业务方面

真正帮助我

更好地了解

人工智能可能对我的某些人产生的道德和环境影响的一件事

在过去几年

与伦敦商学院前院长

安德鲁·利克曼爵士的讨论中,这是他

几十年来的智慧和经验,

以及他

在人工智能和判断方面的工作,真正让我大

开眼界,

看看我们需要去哪里

非常愿意分享道德和

环境问题,最后

特别是在德国

,当我想到

我在 80 年代早些时候与您谈到的回收利用

以及研究方面的问题时

,我们在可持续发展方面有着悠久的历史,我们仍然 一个技术强国,

所以不应该发生的一件事

是,这都是理论和研究

,成为

一个领先的研究国家,这一切都

很棒,但

如果我们

建立公司和产品

,这真的会有所作为,我们需要做更多的事情 因此,要

真正成为这方面的主导声音,我们

需要坐在桌旁,我们

想要做出贡献,我们想要走出

去,让我们的声音被听到

,然后我离开你

提拉梅塔海滩日出的美丽色彩,

tan wills 一位研究员

兼摄影师拍摄,为了

这个地方

和许多其他地方的美丽,我们必须记住

,虽然世界是你的牡蛎,

但你要自己去寻找

珍珠 并保护

谢谢