How technology can help people affected by Dementia

[Music]

dementia

is a near degenerative condition in

which

the brain cells die on the

on the right hand side you can see a

healthy brain tissue

and on on the left hand side you can see

a brain

tissue affected by dementia

currently there aren’t any

pharmaceutical or medical intervention

to cure or stop dementia

struggling to remember the current

events and

memory loss are the most common symptoms

of dementia other symptoms include

changing mood behavior and

being lost in familiar places

there are around 50 million people

around the world

affected with dementia it’s estimated by

2050 we will have over 130 million

people

with dementia in fact in the next

15 minutes over 200 people around the

globe will be

diagnosed with dementia that’s in

average something around

one every four seconds the

hospital admissions in people with

dementia is also

often higher in the uk for example

at any given time one in four

hospital beds are taken with by

someone with dementia

the alzheimer’s society in the uk did a

study and they reported

close to 20 of these hospital admissions

are due to preventable causes the most

common

uh reasons of people with dementia being

admitted to hospitals

are falls hip fractures

breathing problems stroke and urinary

tract infections

providing care for dementia is also a

very

resource intensive task my own

grandmother had dementia

and i’ve i’ve seen and noticed the

family members

usually shoulder a large part of this

burden

there are also disparities in how people

access to care depending on where they

live

in this map you see parts of the united

kingdom

and the darker shades of blue

shows more people had their care being

with dementia

had their care been reviewed over the

past 12 months the lighter you see the

shades are

less people their care had been reviewed

over the past 12 months

you can see in parts of the country

there were close to

50 percent of the of people affected

with dementia uh their care having been

reviewed uh over the past 12 months

often when people get diagnosed with

dementia they did they get

a diagnosis they meet the doctor and

they are sent home

and they may occasionally visit they see

their doctor

but often they the case is that

something happens they

decay their health deteriorates and

sometimes becomes serious and they’re

admitted to hospital or they need to go

and see their gp

also there is this assumption dementia

is a condition which affects people in

industrial countries but that’s not

necessarily true

actually there has been an increased

number of people being diagnosed with

dementia in lower income

countries as well especially in south

asia

and parts of the pacific

three years ago my colleagues in our

national

health services in the nhs and a group

of

clinicians we’re working with our

technical team we started a project

called

tim for dementia the idea was can we use

low-cost and connected technologies

these are devices which provide

environmental monitoring physiological

monitoring can be used as technology

and power of ai and machine learning to

provide

better care and support to people

affected with

dementia devices we work with several

companies and the devices we use

are in two categories devices that

monitor

environmental data like movement around

the house

if you open a fridge door cabinet tour

people go a number of times people go to

bathroom

sleep and use of home appliances like in

the uk people usually wake up and switch

on a kettle make a cup of tea probably

here they make a

coffee and the second category of

devices uh are

technologies which they use uh to

monitor

they basically use them to monitor

physiological symptoms like

uh heart rate blood pressure body

temperature

weight and hydration the

idea is if you use connected devices

user devices which are off the shelf

available and you can integrate if you

can integrate all this data you will

have more continuous information about

people and their day-to-day activities

first we needed to create a system to

which is

safe and secure because we are

collecting highly personalized

information we work with different

groups we have created a system which

allows to integrate

data from those devices and then we use

machine learning and ai

to analyze this information most of this

data are

numerical measurements they on the

single pieces of data information

usually they don’t make much sense

unless you combine them with other

information and you analyze them

over time one of the algorithms we have

analyzes people’s day-to-day activities

and their routine in this graph

the x-axis shows days of the week and

the y-axis shows time of the day and

each colored block shows one type of

activity for example you can imagine

uh red black shoes the sleeve green

shoes

having breakfast let’s say blue is

watching tv

and often if it’s someone it does the

same thing every day

the same time obviously you can see i’ve

made up that figure

uh on the right the horizontal line the

colors will look the same but

in reality no one will do the exactly

the same activity

exactly the same time of the day there

will be some randomness in people’s

activities

and you can see the other figures shows

a picture from a real

home of someone affected with dementia

but what we would

wanted to do uh we wanted to see how

much randomness is in this activities at

whether

within this randomness we can find some

patterns we have created an algorithm

which looks at the activities and looks

at the transitional probabilities

between them for example

if i wake up in the morning and i go and

make my cup of tea what is the

likelihood

i go and back to the bedroom i go and

sit on a chair

or go and watch tv we let the machines

to observe these activities and they’ll

learn this probabilities for example

let’s say if i make my cup of tea

eighty percent of the time i go back to

the bedroom ten percent i go and sit on

the sofa

ten percent of the time i go and switch

on the tv but

it’s highly unlikely i leave the house

now we let the machines to look at this

data over two months machines can

are good if you program them to learn

from experience then for two weeks we

let the machines to look at how much

people deviate from these activities

once we have learned that now we have a

personalized

model of each person’s activity routines

and what we are interested in

is level of surprise for example if one

day i woke up

had my cup of tea and i left the house

that’s something machine hadn’t seen

before

this level of surprise will increase and

what we do basically we measure this

level of surprise per day

and if we notice this passes over the

threshold we create

for example an alert that could be

related to someone’s health

declining they become less active they

become socially isolated depressed

or can be related to hyperactivity which

sometimes is related to mood changes

agitation and irritability one of the

other top reasons in people

with dementia being admitted to

hospitals is urinary tract infection and

urinary tract infection a bacteria gets

into the

bladder and that if that get detected

early

is very treatable you can treat them

with antibiotics

but in people with dementia because this

some of the symptoms gets also mixed up

with symptoms of dementia

it’s very difficult to sometimes to

detect that and if you don’t detect it

then can

the infection can spread in the blood

can become a really a serious health

problem

and often people are admitted to

hospital

uh the standard test the the medical

test is is using a dip test or blood

tests which happen

in the clinic but you do that only if

you know someone has a higher risk of

uti without that information how can we

actually start looking for the risk

factors

we worked with our clinical team and we

have created an algorithm it turns out

if someone has uti the number of times

they go to bathroom will increase

we put sensors and we count number of

times they go to bathroom

and what we are interested in the

increase someone having infection

could be possibly have a slight

temperature we ask people to

measure their body temperature twice uh

the sleep patterns change their movement

pattern change

because uti can combat like delirium and

then we have created a machine learning

model which has learned from examples we

have given

and basically detects the risk of uti

once we detect the risk

now the important part is how do we

communicate this information to

clinical teams we didn’t want to remove

human

from the clinical interactions we wanted

to help our clinicians to have better

information

to make more informed and efficient

decisions and a prioritized late task

to do that we have created a system

which we call it integrated view each

home will appear like a card

and these cards are dynamic depending on

the priority of the events we have if

something

serious happens they move always on top

left hand side of your screen you will

have the

highest priorities related to the cases

now our clinical team when they see a

system generates

the system generates an alert for

example say someone has

uti or hypertension they will click

and they will see a screen like this

this screen now will give them

uh all the information which we have

been collected for example

uh uh all the information we have been

collecting

uh for example they can click and see

the all the blood pressure for the past

two

two months plus two weeks depending on

the what they want they can look at all

the environmental information

but in reality what we want to do we

want to help machines to simplify this

task of decision making and make it much

more efficient

what happens is the machines when they

for example they detect someone has a

uti

or someone has hypertension they also

will give some explanation

like an algorithm will tell our

clinicians why i think this is a case of

uti and in that case they will have a

basically we have worked with our

clinicians to design clinical pass

pathways how to respond to these alerts

and in those cases sometimes a clinician

might need to

go and look at the the basically

background data the provenance

information to make uh

decisions when we started this project

uh most of the our work was like looking

for

identifying patterns and detecting the

cases but

more and more information we collect we

can now become more protective

because over time we have created

algorithms which we have seen the cases

before we are collecting more data

and we can train new ai and machine

learning models to extract his patterns

and to learn from the experiences

and examples we had before

also we can start personalizing this

model the model of activity detection

was an example that showed how you can

use

machines to learn something and

personalize it to

an individual we have for example models

looking at people’s vital signals

and then they learned what are the

people what are the

norms for an individual for example i

can be an upper boundary of blood

pressure

someone can be an uh a lower boundary uh

my doctor might think where i am is it

seems okay now for me

what we are interested in are changes if

my blood pressure

keeps changing enough from where i am

these are type of patterns we are

interested

in and training machines to be able to

pick up

part of the workouts that we have done

now we are creating a daily wellness

score because we are monitoring people’s

activities we are monitoring people’s

vital signals

if we create combine all this

information we can create like a daily

wellness

score and what happens is if you have

someone’s daily wellness

score over time you can now create also

models can become

protective you can see whether that that

trend is going towards

decline or towards improvement

uh in the next short video clip uh some

of my colleagues who

from our national health service have

been involved in designing and leading

this research they will talk about

their experience and my colleagues from

our technical team

and some of our user groups they will

speak about their

experience about this project it’s been

a fantastic opportunity it just

demonstrates

what can be achieved when sectors come

together in partnership

i think we will see a fully digitally

enabled nhs in the future

not only will it help us to understand

patients but it will move us towards

earlier diagnosis

and precision medicine techniques my

grandparents have dementia

although my my grandpa and father is not

involved in this project in a way i’m

thinking

and maybe what i do right now as a

research in future come up as a solution

that would also

help him it would be very nice to think

that this

is the norm for the future this is how

people

will be looked after in their own home

for as long as and for as much

time as possible

thank you

you

[音乐]

痴呆症

是一种近乎退行性的疾病,

其中脑细胞在右侧死亡,

您可以看到

健康的脑组织

,在左侧,您可以看到

受痴呆症影响的脑组织,

目前还没有 任何

治疗或阻止痴呆症的药物或医疗干预措施

难以记住当前

事件和

记忆力减退是痴呆症最常见的症状

其他症状包括

情绪行为改变和

在熟悉的地方迷路

全世界约有 5000 万人

患有痴呆症 据估计,到

2050 年,我们将有超过 1.3 亿

患有痴呆症 事实上,在接下来的

15 分钟内,全球将有超过 200 人

诊断出患有痴呆症,

平均

每四秒就有 1

人患有痴呆症

例如,在英国更高,

在任何特定时间,四分之一的

病床被

患有痴呆症的人占用

英国阿尔茨海默氏症协会进行了一项

研究,他们报告说,其中

近 20 人入院

是由于可预防的原因

痴呆症患者入院的最常见原因

是跌倒 髋部骨折

呼吸问题 中风和

尿路感染

照顾痴呆症也是一项

非常

耗费资源的任务 我自己的

祖母患有痴呆症

,我已经看到并注意到

家庭成员

通常承担着很大一部分

负担

,人们在获得护理方面也存在差异,

这取决于他们在哪里

生活

在这张地图中,您会看到英国的部分地区,深

蓝色

表示更多人接受

过痴呆症

的护理 在

过去 12 个月内是否对

他们的护理进行过检查

在过去的 12 个月中,

您可以看到在该国部分地区,

有近

50% 的人

患有痴呆症 呃,他们的护理

在过去 12 个月中被审查过,呃,

当人们被诊断出患有

痴呆症时,他们做

了诊断,他们去看医生,

然后被送回家

,他们可能偶尔会

去看医生,

但通常情况是

发生某些事情 他们会

衰退 他们的健康状况会恶化,

有时会变得严重,他们会被

送进医院或者他们需要去看他们的全科医生

还有这种假设痴呆症

是一种影响工业国家人们的疾病,

但实际上并不

一定是

真的 三年前,

在低收入

国家,尤其是在南亚

和太平洋部分地区,被诊断

患有痴呆症的人数有所增加

技术团队我们启动了一个

名为

tim for 痴呆症的项目,我们的想法是我们可以使用

低成本和连接的技术

吗? 这些是提供

环境监测的设备 生理

监测可以用作

人工智能和机器学习的技术和力量,

为痴呆症

患者提供更好的护理和支持

我们与多家

公司合作的设备,我们使用的设备

分为两类设备

环境数据,

如打开冰箱门时在房子周围移动 橱柜参观

人们去很多次 人们去

洗手间

睡觉和使用家用电器,比如

在英国,人们通常会醒来并

打开水壶 泡杯茶 可能

他们在这里

煮咖啡,第二类

设备是

他们用来监控的技术,

他们基本上是用它们来监控

生理症状,比如

呃心率血压体温

体重和水

合作用如果你使用连接的设备

用户设备 是现成

可用的,如果您

可以整合所有这些数据,您就可以整合

拥有更多关于

人员及其日常活动的连续信息

首先,我们需要创建一个安全可靠的系统,

因为我们正在

收集高度个性化的

信息 我们与不同的

群体合作 我们创建了一个

允许整合

来自的数据的系统 这些设备,然后我们使用

机器学习和人工智能

来分析这些信息这些数据大部分是

数值测量它们在

单个数据信息上

通常没有多大意义,

除非你将它们与其他信息结合起来

随着时间的推移分析它们 我们的算法之一在此图中

分析人们的日常活动

和他们的日常活动

x 轴显示一周中的几天,

y 轴显示一天中的时间,

每个彩色块显示一种类型的

活动,例如 你可以想象

呃 红色 黑色 鞋子 袖子 绿色

鞋子

吃早餐 比如说蓝色正在

看电视

,如果是某人,它通常会做

同样的事情 y day

the same time 显然你可以看到我已经

在右边的水平线上做了那个图

颜色看起来一样,

但实际上没有人会

在一天中的同一时间做完全相同的活动

在人们的活动中存在一些随机性

,你可以看到其他图显示

了来自

患有痴呆症的人的真实家中的照片,

但是我们

想要做什么,呃,我们想看看

这个活动中有多少随机性,

我们是否在这个随机性中 可以找到一些

模式,我们创建了一个算法

,该算法查看活动并查看

它们之间的过渡概率,例如,

如果我早上醒来,我去

泡茶,

我去然后回到 卧室 我去

坐在椅子上

或去看电视 我们让

机器观察这些活动,它们会

学习这些概率,例如,

假设我泡茶的

百分之八十 我

回到卧室的时间百分之十我去

坐在沙发上

百分之十的时间我去

打开电视但

我不太可能离开家

现在我们让机器在两个月内查看这些

数据

如果您对它们进行编程以

从经验中学习会很好然后两周我们

让机器查看有多少

人偏离这些活动

一旦我们了解到现在我们有

每个人的活动例程

和我们感兴趣的个性化模型

例如,如果有

一天我醒来

喝了杯茶,然后我离开了房子

,这是机器在这种惊喜水平之前从未见过的东西

我们所做的基本上

是每天测量这种水平的惊喜

如果我们注意到这超过了

阈值,我们会创建

一个警报,例如可能

与某人的健康状况

下降有关 他们变得不那么活跃 他们

变得社交孤立 抑郁

或可能与过度健康有关

有时与情绪变化有关的活动

激动和易怒

痴呆症患者

入院的另一个主要原因之一是尿路感染和

尿路感染,细菌进入

膀胱,如果

及早发现

是可以治疗的 可以

用抗生素治疗它们,

但在患有痴呆症的人中,因为这

一些症状也会与痴呆症的症状混合

在一起,

有时很难

检测到,如果你没有检测到,

那么感染会在血液中传播

成为一个非常严重的健康

问题

,通常人们被送进

医院

呃标准测试医学

测试是使用在诊所发生的浸测试或血液

测试,

但只有在

你知道某人有更高风险的情况下你才会这样做

uti 如果没有这些信息,我们如何才能

真正开始寻找

与临床团队合作的风险因素,并且我们

已经创建了一个算法 事实证明,

如果有人患有尿毒症,

他们去洗手间的次数会增加

我们放置传感器,我们计算

他们去洗手间的次数

,以及我们对

增加感染感兴趣的人

可能有轻微的

温度我们 要求人们

测量他们的体温两次

uh 睡眠模式会改变他们的运动

模式变化,

因为 uti 可以像谵妄一样对抗

然后我们创建了一个机器学习

模型,该模型从我们给出的示例中学习,

并且一旦我们检测到基本上检测到 uti 的风险

现在的风险是重要的部分是我们如何

将这些信息传达给

临床团队我们不想将

人类

从临床互动中移除我们

希望帮助我们的临床医生获得更好的

信息

以做出更明智和有效的

决策以及优先处理的后期任务

为了做到这一点,我们创建了一个系统

,我们称之为集成视图每个

家庭都会像一张卡片

和这些汽车 ds 是动态的,取决于

我们所拥有的事件的优先级 如果

发生严重事件,它们总是在

屏幕的左上角移动 您将

拥有

与病例相关的最高优先级

现在我们的临床团队看到

系统

生成 系统生成 例如,警报

说有人患有

尿路感染或高血压,他们会点击

,他们会看到这样的屏幕,

这个屏幕现在会给他们

呃我们

收集的所有信息,例如,呃呃我们一直在收集的

所有信息,

呃,例如 他们可以点击

查看过去两个月加上两周的所有血压,这

取决于他们想要什么他们可以查看

所有环境信息,

但实际上我们想要做的是我们

希望帮助机器简化这项

任务 决策制定并使其

更有效率

发生的是机器

,例如,当他们检测到某人患有

尿路感染

或某人患有高血压时 他们

还会给出一些解释,

比如算法会告诉我们的

临床医生为什么我认为这是一个

尿路感染病例,在这种情况下,他们将有一个

基本上我们已经与我们的

临床医生合作设计临床通行

路径如何响应这些警报

和 这些案例有时临床医生

可能需要

查看基本

背景数据和出处

信息,以便

在我们开始这个项目时做出决定,我们的

大部分工作就像寻找

识别模式和检测

案例,但

越来越多的信息 我们收集我们

现在可以变得更具保护性,

因为随着时间的推移,我们已经创建了

算法,

我们在收集更多数据之前已经看到了案例

,我们可以训练新的人工智能和机器

学习模型来提取他的模式

并从我们的经验

和示例中学习 以前

我们也可以开始个性化这个

模型活动检测模型

是一个例子,展示了如何

使用

马赫 无法学习某些东西并将其

个性化

给个人,例如模型

查看人们的生命信号

,然后他们了解

人是什么人的

标准是什么例如我

可以成为血压的上限

某人可以成为 呃,一个较低的界限,呃,

我的医生可能会认为我现在在哪里,

现在对我

来说似乎还可以 能够

获取我们现在完成的部分锻炼

我们正在创建每日健康

评分,因为我们正在监测人们的

活动 我们正在监测人们的

生命信号

如果我们创建结合

我们可以创建的所有这些信息,例如每日

健康

评分和什么 发生的情况是,如果您随着时间的推移获得

某人的每日健康

评分,您现在可以创建

模型也可以成为

保护性模型,您可以看到这种

趋势是否会发生

走向下降或改善

呃在下一个短片中 呃

我的一些

来自我们国家卫生服务部门

的同事参与了这项研究的设计和领导,

他们将谈论

他们的经验以及

我们技术团队的同事和我们的

一些 用户组 他们将

谈论他们

对这个项目的体验 这是

一个绝妙的机会 它只是

展示

了当各部门合作时可以取得什么

患者,但这将使我们朝着

更早的诊断

和精准医疗

技术迈进 作为一种对他

也有帮助的解决方案,如果

认为

这是未来的常态,那就太好了

人们

将在自己的家

中得到尽可能长时间的照顾,

谢谢