Technologys epic story Kevin Kelly

and I want to talk about my

investigations into what technology

means in our lives not just our

immediate life but in the cosmic sense

in a kind of a long history of the world

and and our place in the world what is

this stuff what what is the significance

and so I want to kind of go through my

little story of what I found out and one

of the first things I started to

investigate was the history of the name

of technology and in the United States

there’s a State of the Union address

given by every presidents that since

1790 and each one of those is really

kind of summing up the most important

things for the United States at that

time if you search for the word

technology it was not used until 1952 so

technology was sort of absent from

everybody thinking until 1952 which

happened to be the year of my birth and

obviously technology had existed before

then but we weren’t aware of it and so

it was sort of awakening of this force

in our life I actually did research to

fire at the first use of the word

technology that was in 1829 and it was

invented by a guy who was starting a

curriculum a course that bring together

all the kinds of arts and crafts and

industry and he called it technology and

that’s the very first use of the word so

what is this stuff that we’re all

consumed by and bothered by Allen K

calls that technology is anything that

was invented after you were born which

is sort of the idea that we normally

have about what technology is it’s all

that’s new stuff it’s not roads or

penicillin or factory tires it’s it’s

the new stuff my friend Danny Hillis has

a kind of a similar one this

technologies anything doesn’t work yet

which is again a sense that it’s all new

but we know that it’s just not new it’s

it actually goes way back and what I

want to suggest is it goes long way back

so another way to think about technology

what it means is to imagine a world

without technology if we were to

eliminate everyone

a single bit of technology in the world

today and I mean everything from blades

to scrapers to cloth we as a species

would not live very long we would die by

the billions and very quickly the Wolves

would get us we would be defenseless we

would be unable to grow enough food or

find enough food

even the hunter-gatherers use some

elementary tools and so with the minimal

technology but they have some technology

and those if we study those

hunter-gatherer tribes and lean and D

and earth all which are very similar to

early man we find out a very curious

thing about this world without

technology and this is a kind of a curve

of their average age there are no

Neanderthal fossils that are older than

40 years old that we’ve ever found so

and the average age of most of these

hunter-gatherer tribes is 20 to 30 there

are very few young infants because they

die a high mortality rate and there’s

very few old people so the profile of

Servier your average San Francisco

neighborhood a lot of young people if

you go there you say hey everybody’s

really healthy that’s because they’re

all young the same thing is with the

hunter-gatherer tribes and early manners

is is that you didn’t live beyond the

age of 30 so it was a world without

grandparents and grandparents are very

important because they are the

transmitter of cultural evolution and

information imagine a world and

basically everybody was 20 to 30 years

old how much learning can you do you

can’t do very much learning in your own

life it’s so short and there’s nobody to

pass on what you do learn so that’s one

aspect it was a very short life but the

same time anthropologists know that most

hunter-gatherer tribes of the world

without very little technology actually

did not spend very long time gathering

the food that they needed three to six

hours a day some anthropologists calls

that the original affluent society

because they’d banker hours basically so

it was possible to to to get enough food

but when the scarcity came when the

highs and lows and the droughts came

then people went into starvation and

that’s why they didn’t live very long

so what technology brought through the

very simple tools like these stone tools

here Eve

something as small as this the early

bands of humans were actually able to

eliminate to extinction about 250

megafauna animals in North America when

they first arrived ten thousand years

ago so long before Industrial Age we’ve

been affecting the planet on a global

scale with just a small amount of

technology the other thing that the

early man then it was fire and fire was

used to clear out and again it affected

the ecology of grass and whole

continents and was used in cooking it

enabled us to actually eat all kinds of

things it was sort of in a certain sense

and McLuhan sense an external stomach in

a sense that it was cooking food that we

could not eat otherwise and if we don’t

have fire we actually could not live our

bites have adapted to these new diets

our bites have changed in the last

10,000 years so what’s that little bit

of technology humans went from a small

band of 10,000 or so the same numbers

and Neanderthals everywhere and we

suddenly exploded the invention of

language around 50,000 years ago the

number of humans exploded and very

quickly became the dominant species on

the planet and they migrated into the

rest of the world at two kilometers per

year until within several tens of

thousands of years we occupied every

single watershed on the planet and

became the most dominant species with a

very small amount of technology and even

at that time with the introduction of

Agriculture 8,000 10,000 years ago we

start to see climate change so climate

change is not a new thing what’s new is

just the degree it was even during the

agricultural age there was climate

change and so already small amounts of

technology were transforming the world

and what this means and where I’m going

is is that technology has become the

most powerful force in the world all the

things that we see today that are

changing our lives we can always trace

back to the introduction of some new

technology so it’s a force that is the

most powerful force that has been

unleashed on this planet and it’s such a

degree that I think that it’s become our

what who we are in fact our humanity and

everything that we think about ourselves

is something that we’ve invented so

we’ve invented ourselves of all the

animals that we

domesticated the most important animal

we’ve domesticated has been us

okay so humanity is our greatest

invention but of course we’re not done

yet we’re still inventing and this is

what technology is allowing us to do

it’s a continually to reinvent ourselves

it’s a very very strong force I call

this entire thing us humans as our

technology everything that we’ve made

gadgets in our lives we call that the

Technium that’s this world ID networking

definition of technologies anything that

useful that a human mind makes it’s not

just hammers and gadgets like laptops

but it’s also law and of course cities

are ways to make things more useful to

us while it’s something that comes from

our mind it’s also has his roots deeply

into the cosmos it goes back the origins

and roots of technology go back to the

Big Bang in this way in that they are

part of this self-organizing thread that

starts at the Big Bang and goes through

galaxies and stars into life and to us

and the three major phases of the early

universe was energy when the dominant

force was energy then it became the

dominant force as it cooled became

matter and then with vention of life

four billion years ago the dominant

force in our neighborhood became

information that’s what life is this

information process that was

restructuring and making new order so

those energy matter einstein showed were

equivalent and now the new sciences of

quantum computing show that entropy and

information and matter and energy are

all interrelated so it’s one long

continuum you put energy into of the

right kind of system and outcomes wasted

heat entropy and extra troubie which is

order it’s it’s the increasing order so

where does this order come from its

roots go way back we actually don’t know

but we do know that this

self-organization trend throughout the

universe is long and it began with

things like galaxies they maintained

their order for billions of years

SARS are basically nuclear fission

machines that self organize and self

sustain themselves for billions of years

this order against the extra P of the

world and flowers and plants are the

same thing

extended and technology is basically an

extension of life so one trend that we

notice in all those things is that the

amount of energy per gram per second

that flows to this is actually

increasing the amount of energy is

increasing through this little sequence

and that the amount of energy per gram

per second that flows through life is

actually greater than a star because of

the star’s long length a long lifespan

the energy density in life is actually

higher than a star and the energy

density that we’ve seen the greatest if

anywhere in the universe is actually in

a PC chip there’s more energy flowing

through per gram per second than

anything that we have any other

experience with and so what I would

suggest is that if you want to see where

technology is going we continue that

trajectory and we say that what’s going

to become more energy dense that’s where

it’s going and so what I’ve done is I’ve

taken the same kinds of things and

looked at other aspects of evolutionary

life and say what are the general trends

in evolutionary life and there are

things moving towards greater complexity

moving towards greater diversity moving

towards greater specialization set

tudents

ubiquity and most important evolvability

those very same things are also present

in technology that’s where technology is

going in fact technology is accelerating

all the aspects of life we can see that

happening just as there’s diversity in

life there’s more diversity in things we

make things in life start off being

general cell and they become specialized

of tissue cells your muscle brain cells

and same thing happens with say hammer

which is general first and becomes more

specific so I would like to say that

while there’s six kingdoms of life we

can think of technology basically as a

seventh kingdom of life it’s the

granting off from the human form but

technology has its own agenda like

anything like life itself for instance

right now three-quarters of the energy

that we use is actually used to feed the

Technium itself in transportation it’s

not to move us is to move the stuff that

we make or buy I use the word want

technology once this is a robot that

wants to plug itself in to get more

power your cat wants more food

a bacterium which has no consciousness

at all wants to move towards light if

urge and technology has an urge at the

same time he wants to give us things and

what it gives us is basically progress

you can take all kinds of curves and

they’re all pointing up there’s really

no dispute about progress if we discount

the cost of that and that’s the thing

that bothers most people is that

progress is really real but we wonder in

question whether the environmental cost

of it I did a survey the number of

species of artifacts in my house and

there’s 6,000 other people have come up

with 10,000 when King Henry of England

died he had 18,000 things in his house

but that was entire wealth of England so

and with that entire wealth of England

King Henry could not buy any antibiotics

he could not buy refrigeration he could

not buy a trip of a thousand miles

whereas this rickshaw wallah in India

could save up and buy antibiotics and he

could buy refrigeration he could buy

things that King Henry in his all’s well

that’s what progress is about so

technology’s selfish technology’s

generous that conflict that tension will

be with us forever that sometimes he

wants to do what it wants to do and

sometimes it going to do things for us

we have confusion about what we should

think about a new technology right now

the default position about when a new

technology comes along as we people talk

about the precautionary principle which

is very common in Europe which says

basically don’t do anything when you

mean a new technology stop until it can

be proven that does no harm I think that

is really leads nowhere but a better way

is to what I call proaction Airi

principle which is you engage with

technology you try it out you obviously

do with the proaction area precautionary

principles suggest you try to anticipate

it but after anticipating it you

constantly assess it not just once but

eternally and when it diverts from what

you want we prioritize risk we evaluate

not just the new stuff but the old stuff

we fix it but most importantly we

relocated and what I mean by that is

that we find a new job for it nuclear

energy fission is really bad idea

bombs but it may be a pretty good idea

relocated into sustainable nuclear

energy for electricity instead of

burning coal when we have a bad idea the

response to a bad idea is not no ideas

it’s not to stop thinking the response

to a bad idea

I say tungsten light bulb is a better

idea

okay so better ideas is really always

the response to technology that we don’t

like is basically take better technology

and actually in a certain sense

technology is a kind of a a method for

generating better ideas if you can think

about it that way so maybe spraying DDT

on crops is a really bad idea but DDT

sprayed on local homes there’s nothing

better to eliminate malaria

besides insect DDT impregnated mosquito

nets

but that’s a really good idea that’s a

good job for technology so our job as

humans is her parent are our mind

children to find them good friends to

find them a good job and so every

technology is sort of a creative force

looking for the right job that’s

actually my son right here there are no

bad technologies just like there’s no

bad children children we don’t say

children are neutral children are

positive we just have to find them the

right place and so what technology gives

us over the long term over this sort of

extended evolution from the beginning of

time through the mention of of plants

and animals and evolution of life

evolution of brains what that is

constantly giving us is increasing

differences its increasing diversity its

increasing options its increasing

choices opportunities possibilities and

freedoms that’s what we get from

technology all the time that’s why

people leave villages and go into cities

because they are always gravitating

towards increased choices and

possibilities and they are and we are

aware of the price we pay a price for

that but we are aware of it and

generally we will pay the price for

increased freedoms choices and

opportunities even technology wants

clean water it’s technology

diametrically opposed to nature because

technology is an extension of life it’s

parallel and aligned with the same

things that life wants so that I think

technology loves biology if we allow it

to great movement that is starting

billions of years ago it’s moving

through us and it continues to go and

our choice so to speak

in technology is really to align

ourselves with this force much greater

than ourselves so technology is more

than just a stuff in your pocket it’s

more than just gadgets it’s more than

just things that people invent it’s

actually part of a very long story

a great story that began billions of

years ago it’s moving through us is

self-organization and we’re extending

and accelerating it and we can be part

of it by lining the technology that we

make with it and I really appreciate

your attention today thank you

我想谈谈我

技术在我们生活中的意义的调查,不仅是我们的

直接生活,而且在宇宙的意义上

,在一种漫长的世界历史

和我们在世界上的位置,

这是什么东西? 意义

,所以我想

回顾一下我发现的小故事,

我开始调查的第一件事

是技术名称的历史

,在美国

有一个国情咨文

地址 自 1790 年以来的每一位总统,每一位总统

都在总结当时对美国最重要的

事情,

如果你搜索技术这个词,

它直到 1952 年才被使用,所以

技术在

每个人的思考中都没有出现,直到 1952 年

恰好是我出生的那一年,

显然在那之前技术已经存在,

但我们没有意识到这一点,所以

这是我们生活中这种力量的一种觉醒,

我实际上做了研究

在 1829 年第一次使用技术这个词时,它是

由一个正在开设课程的人发明的

这个词是

什么所以我们都

被艾伦 K 所消耗和困扰的这些东西

是什么 东西不是道路、

青霉素或工厂轮胎,

而是新东西,我的朋友丹尼·希利斯(Danny Hillis)有

一种类似的

东西,这种技术任何东西都不起作用

,这再次让人感觉它是全新的,

但我们知道它并不新鲜

它实际上可以追溯到很久以前,我

想建议的是它可以追溯到很久以前,

所以另一种思考技术的

方式是想象一个

没有技术的世界,如果我们要

消灭

每个人 今天世界上的技术

,我的意思是从刀片

到刮刀再到布料的一切我们作为一个物种

不会活很长时间我们会死去

数十亿并且很快狼

会抓住我们我们将毫无防备我们

将无法成长 足够的食物或

找到足够的食物,

即使是狩猎采集者也使用一些

基本的工具,因此使用最少的

技术,但他们有一些技术

,如果我们研究那些

狩猎采集部落和精益、D

和地球,所有这些都与

早期人类非常相似 我们在

没有技术的情况下发现了关于这个世界的一件非常奇怪的事情

,这

是他们平均年龄的一种曲线

我们从未发现过超过 40 岁的尼安德特人化石,

而且大多数人的平均年龄 这些

狩猎采集部落的年龄在 20 到 30

岁之间,婴儿很少,因为他们

的死亡率很高,而且

老年人很少,所以 Servier 的概况是

旧金山社区的平均水平

很多年轻人,如果

你去那里,你会说,嘿,每个人

都很健康,那是因为他们都很

年轻 一个没有

祖父母和祖父母的世界非常

重要,因为他们是

文化进化和信息的传递者

这么短,没有人可以

传授你所学到的东西,所以

一方面这是一个非常短暂的生命,但

同时人类学家知道,

世界上大多数没有很少技术的狩猎采集部落

实际上

并没有花很长时间

收集 他们每天需要三到六个

小时的食物 一些人类学家

称之为原始富裕社会,

因为他们基本上是银行家的时间,

所以有可能获得足够的食物 d

但是当稀缺来临时,

高潮和低谷以及干旱来临时,

人们就会挨饿,

这就是为什么他们没有活多久

所以什么技术带来了这些

非常简单的工具,比如

这里的石器,夏娃

这么小的东西 早在工业时代之前很久,早期

人类群体实际上已经能够将

北美大约 250

只巨型动物灭绝,而

在工业时代之前,我们只用少量的技术就

已经在全球范围内影响着地球

早期人类的另一件事是火,火被

用来清除,它再次影响

了草和整个大陆的生态

,并被用于烹饪,它

使我们能够真正吃到各种各样的

东西。 某种意义上

,麦克卢汉感觉到一个外部的胃,

在某种意义上它正在烹饪我们

不能吃的食物,如果我们

没有火,我们实际上无法忍受我们的

叮咬 我们已经适应了这些新的饮食方式,

我们的饮食在过去 10,000 年中发生了变化,

那么

人类从

10,000 人左右的小群体中获得的那一点点技术是什么

,尼安德特人无处不在,我们

突然在大约 50,000 年前爆发了语言的发明

人类数量激增并

很快成为地球上的主要物种

,他们

以每年两公里的速度迁移到世界其他地方,

直到在

几万年内我们占领

了地球上的每一个分水岭并

成为最主要的物种

技术含量很少的物种,甚至

在当时引入

农业的 8,000 10,000 年前,我们

开始看到气候变化,因此气候

变化不是新鲜事物,新事物只是

农业时代的程度 是气候

变化,所以已经有少量

技术正在改变世界

,这意味着什么,我要去哪里

是技术已经成为世界上

最强大的力量

我们今天看到的所有正在

改变我们生活的事物我们总是可以

追溯到一些新技术的引入

所以它是一种力量是

最强大的力量

在这个星球上释放出来,它的

程度如此之高,以至于我认为它已经成为

我们的样子

驯化了我们驯化过的最重要的动物

一直是我们,

所以人类是我们最伟大的

发明,但当然我们还没有完成,

但我们仍在发明,这

就是技术让我们能够做到的事情

它是一个不断地重塑自己

它是 一股非常非常强大的力量我

把这一切都称为我们人类作为我们的

技术我们

在生活中制造的所有小玩意我们称之为

Technium 这就是这个世界 ID 网络

定义 o f 技术

人类大脑制造的任何有用的东西 它不仅

是锤子和笔记本电脑等小工具,

而且还是法律,当然,城市

是使事物对我们更有用的方法,

而它是来自

我们的思想的东西,它也深深扎根

于 宇宙它可以追溯到宇宙技术的起源

和根源

以这种方式回到大爆炸,因为它们

是这个自组织线程的一部分,

从大爆炸开始,穿过

星系和恒星进入生命,到达我们

和 早期宇宙的三个主要阶段

是能量,当时主导

力量是能量,然后它成为

主导力量,因为它冷却变成

物质,然后随着 40 亿年前生命的出现

,我们附近的主导力量变成了

信息,这就是生命是什么

信息

重组和建立新秩序的过程,因此

爱因斯坦展示的那些能量物质是

等价的,现在量子计算的新科学

表明,熵 py和

信息、物质和能量

都是相互关联的,所以这是一个长期的

连续体,你把能量投入到

正确的系统中,结果浪费了

热熵和额外的麻烦,这是

顺序,它是递增的顺序,

所以这个顺序

从哪里来 追溯到我们实际上不知道,

但我们确实知道,

整个宇宙的这种自组织趋势

是长期的,它始于

像星系这样的东西,它们维持

了数十亿年的秩序

SARS 基本上是核裂变

机器,可以自我组织和自我

维持自己数十亿年

这个秩序反对世界上额外的 P

,花卉和植物是

同样的东西

,技术基本上

是生命的延伸,所以我们

在所有这些事情中注意到的一个趋势是

每克能量的数量

每秒流向这里

的能量实际上在

增加,通过这个小序列

,能量的数量也在增加,并且能量的数量

流经生命的每克每秒

实际上比恒星大,

因为恒星的长度很长,寿命很长,

生命中的能量密度实际上

比恒星还高

实际上

在 PC 芯片中,

每克每秒流过的能量

比我们有任何其他经验的任何东西都多

,所以我的

建议是,如果你想看看

技术的发展方向,我们会继续这条

轨迹,我们说那是什么

会变得更加能量密集,这就是

它要去的地方,所以我所做的是我

采取了同样的事情,

研究了进化生命的其他方面,

并说出进化生命的总体趋势

是什么,有些

事情正在发生变化 走向更大的复杂性

走向更大的多样性

走向更大的专业化

在技术中,这就是技术的

发展方向 事实上,技术正在加速

生活的

方方面面 你的肌肉脑细胞

和同样的事情发生在说锤子

上,首先是一般性的,然后变得更

具体,所以我想说,

虽然有六个生命王国,但我们

基本上可以将技术视为

第七个生命王国,它是

从 人类形态,但

技术有自己的议程,

就像生命本身一样,例如

现在我们使用的四分之三的能量

实际上用于

在运输中为 Technium 本身提供

食物,不是为了移动我们,而是为了移动

我们制造或 购买我使用“想要

技术”这个词,一旦这是一个

想要插入自身以获得更多

电力的机器人,你的猫想要更多的食物

一种细菌 完全没有

意识 想要走向光明 如果

冲动和技术同时有冲动

他想给我们

东西 它给我们的基本上是进步

你可以采取各种曲线

他们都指向那里

如果我们不考虑成本,那么对于进步真的没有争议

,而这

是困扰大多数人的事情是

进步确实是真实的,但我们想知道

它的环境成本是否我做了一个调查

,我家里的文物种类的数量

还有 6,000 人想出

了 10,000 人,当英格兰国王亨利

去世时,他的房子里有 18,000 件东西,

但那是英格兰的全部财富,因此

,以英格兰国王的全部财富,

亨利无法购买任何抗生素,

他也无法购买冰箱 他

买不起一千英里的旅行,

而印度的这个人力车大佬

可以存钱买抗生素,他

可以买冰箱,他可以买

亨利国王的东西 他一切都好

这就是进步的意义 所以

技术的自私 技术的

慷慨 冲突 紧张将

永远伴随着

我们 关于现在的新技术 关于新技术

何时出现的默认立场

,因为我们人们谈论

在欧洲非常普遍的预防原则,即

当你的意思是新技术停止时,基本上不要做任何事情,

直到它可以

被证明 这并没有什么害处,我认为

这确实无济于事,但更好的方法

是我所说的主动

Airi 原则,即您使用

技术您尝试一下您

显然使用主动区域预防

原则建议您尝试预测

它,但之后 预测它,您会

不断地评估它,不仅是一次,而且是

永久的,当它偏离您想要的东西时,

我们优先考虑风险,我们评估

不是 j 使用新的东西,但我们修复了旧的东西

,但最重要的是我们

搬迁了,我的意思

是我们为它找到了一份新工作

核能裂变真的是个坏主意

炸弹但它可能是一个相当不错的主意

搬迁到可持续

当我们有一个坏主意时,核能发电而不是烧煤

对一个坏主意的反应不是没有

想法 不是停止思考

对一个坏主意的反应

我说钨丝灯泡是一个更好的

主意

好的 所以更好的主意真的 总是

对我们不喜欢的技术的反应

基本上是采用更好的

技术实际上在某种意义上

技术是一种

产生更好想法的方法,如果你可以这样想

的话,所以也许

在农作物上喷洒 DDT 真的是 坏主意,但 DDT

喷洒在当地家庭 除了昆虫 DDT 浸渍蚊帐外,没有什么

比消除疟疾更好的方法了,

但这是一个非常好的主意,对技术来说是一项

好工作,所以我们作为人类的工作

是 她的父母是我们心目中的

孩子 找到他们的好朋友 为

他们找到一份好工作 所以每项

技术都是一种创造力

我们不是说

孩子是中立的孩子是

积极的我们只需要为他们找到

合适的地方所以

从长远来看,

时间开始到提到植物

和动物和 生命的

进化 大脑的进化

不断给我们带来的是越来越多的

差异 它越来越多的多样性 它

越来越多的选择 它越来越多的

选择机会 可能性和

自由 这就是我们一直从

技术中得到的 这就是为什么

人们离开村庄并进入城市的

原因,因为他们总是

倾向于增加选择和

可能性,它们是,我们

知道我们付出的代价 冰为此

,但我们意识到这一点,

通常我们会为

增加的自由选择和

机会付出代价,即使技术想要

干净的水,它的技术

与自然截然相反,因为

技术是生命的延伸,它与生命是

平行的并与相同的事物保持一致

想要让我认为

技术热爱生物学,如果我们允许它发生

在数十亿年前开始的伟大运动,

它正在

穿过我们并继续前进,

我们

在技术中的选择可以说是让

我们自己与这股力量保持一致,远远

大于 我们自己 所以技术

不仅仅是你口袋里的东西 它

不仅仅是小工具 它

不仅仅是人们发明的东西 它

实际上是一个很长的故事

的一部分 一个伟大的故事始于数十亿

年前 它正在通过我们

自我组织 我们正在扩展

和加速它,我们可以通过

衬托我们用它制造的技术成为它的一部分,我真的很感激 今天吃了

你的注意力谢谢