Designing the Future Through the Little Things

[Music]

when i was in college

i watched this movie the butterfly

effect it’s a science fiction thriller

that constantly keeps you at the edge

and the ending is left to viewers

interpretation the movie is based on a

very popular hypothetical situation

called the butterfly effect which

illustrates how an initial

small difference can result in massive

consequences in the future

it comes from the analogy that even the

feeble flap of the wings of a butterfly

at one place

can trigger a series of atmospheric

events which in turn

may lead into a tornado in a place far

away

interesting isn’t it it’s actually part

of a much broader concept in mathematics

called the chaos theory which has

tons of research papers written on it

but that’s not what i’m going to talk

about today

what amuses me more are those little

things

you know those little triggers like the

flap of that

wing of a butterfly which has the

potential to drive

massive results over time when the

concept was presented to me as a movie

i found it new and mind-blowing i

enjoyed every bit of it

but later when i gave it a little more

thought i realized that

the world is full of such examples

history is

full of such examples and in fact our

daily lives are

are full of such examples

you know the little things that you do

the the tiny habits that you form

the small decisions that you take can

have massive results on our lives

given a choice we all would want to play

the small things in the best possible

way

so as to reap the maximum benefits for

the future

right but often we do not realize

which of these would be a trigger for

the future

but at times we even know what they are

and at times

we may hit the spot just by sheer dint

of luck

it can be about instant gains as well

for instance

i started mentoring people on a daily

basis a few months back you know when

the covet lockdown had started

i use a scheduler tool where people can

browse

the empty slots on my calendar click and

directly book a call with me

so the first one or two months are very

smooth i would get on a call speak to

them and all been nice

but after that i observed a pattern

i saw that every week there would be at

least two or three cases

where the mentee wouldn’t turn up for

the call even though it is scheduled on

their calendar

a little bit of retrospection led me

into knowing that

the tool that i was using the scheduler

it has by default let the users

book slots on my calendar for a duration

of two months in advance

and since the slots were really getting

filled fast

when anyone came to that scheduler page

they would at best find a vacant slot

which was two months away

so which means by the time their date

arrived of the date of the appointment

the very reason why they wanted to get

on a call with me

probably would not be valid anymore and

hence

the no shows were happening once i

figured this out

the solution was simple i went to the

settings and i changed it

so that people could book a slot with me

only up to one month in advance and not

to

after that the number of no shows has

considerably reduced

of course there are a few genuine cases

but it’s certainly not a pattern anymore

now it may seem like a very small and

trivial thing but imagine this happening

every week

it does affect you and by doing that

small thing to fix it

save me a lot of mental space at times

this impact can be seen over a large

number of people say the population of

an entry

entire country as well a few years back

there was a widespread nutritional

deficiency in cambodia where more than

50

of the people were affected with certain

kind of anemia

the pregnant woman especially living in

the rural areas were the worst hit

there were increased number of cases of

premature labor

with newborn babies born with

underdeveloped brains

now this was a big problem and all these

even led

to a gdp loss of over 70 billion dollars

every year

the authorities found out that it was

happening due to the deficiency of iron

in their diet

and one simple yet effective solution

was to use cast iron utensils

cookware made of cast iron when food was

cooked on these

the utensils would release a certain

amount of iron into the food which would

take care of a significant part of the

recommended iron

an individual would need but here was

the problem

the solution was not very feasible

because changing all the cookware

at somebody’s house is an expensive

affair especially for people living in

the rural areas

so the authorities figured out a cheaper

alternative they instructed everyone

to drop a small piece of cast iron into

the vessel while cooking their food

you know a small cast iron disk or

something like that

now this would have the same effect as

cooking food and cast iron utensils

simple right smart

but the only problem was nobody did it

because no one really understood the

significance of the seemingly unwanted

step

into their cooking process so they

conveniently ignored it

now this brought the authorities back to

their drawing boards

because it was a big problem and they

had to solve it

and this time they again came back with

a suggestion

another piece of cast iron but this time

the shape of it was that of a fish

instead of a disk and they also gave it

a name the lucky iron fish

guess what it became so popular

overnight that

everyone wanted to have the lucky iron

fish with them

i mean come on who wouldn’t want a bit

of luck into every meal that they eat

so was there anything lucky about that

fish not really

yet it worked like a charm by convincing

everyone to introduce a seemingly

unwanted step

into their process of cooking later it

was discovered that iron deficiency was

not the primary cause of the anemia that

was

rampant in cambodia and our lucky iron

fish could only supplement the dietary

iron

so it didn’t quite it didn’t completely

wipe out anemia

but yet it’s amazing how that small idea

could change the behavior of a large

number of population

just like that speaking of behavior

there are also instances in the history

where people have gone above and beyond

to build a behavior

after world war two many western

companies were flourishing in japan

everyone

wanted to introduce their products in

japan and they were truly doing really

well

but nestle as a company was struggling

with its flagship product

coffee they seemingly built a wonderful

product

price did well and did everything else

right that was needed

yet the sales were simply not picking up

no amount of promotions or marketing or

advertisement

helped because people were still not

buying coffee

that’s when nestle as a company decided

to do a stimulus experiment with the

people of japan

the result of the experiment revealed

that the japanese people

didn’t have any association or memory or

emotions associated with the coffee

drink

why because japan is a country prefers

to have tea and they have been doing it

for thousands of years

coffee is a recent foreign phenomenon

and not everyone is quite acquainted

with that

so no matter how much they tried they

were not able to build an association

with coffee

also it had a burning smell and taste

which didn’t really invoke

a positive feeling in their minds so

here’s what nestle did

they planted a very small seed into the

minds of an entire generation

as a long-term strategy they started

manufacturing coffee flavored

candies yeah candies and they started

marketing them to the children in japan

so that the children already get

acquainted to the taste of coffee

because they were having those candies

and also associate pleasant memories

with it so that when they grow up and

start consuming beverages

coffee would be a natural choice for

them and guess what

it worked today the japanese love their

coffee as much as they love their tea

and it wouldn’t have been possible if

that small seed wasn’t planted

into the minds of one of the generations

it’s a perfect example of catch them

while they are still young

it amazes me and amazes me even more as

a designer because that’s what i do

i build behaviors with the experiences

that i design and at times things can

happen in the most unexpected but

pleasant way

well speaking of design i’m sure you

must have heard of stories which says

that by

changing the color of a button on your

website you can increase the sales

by multi-fold or something like that

i’ve heard them too but honestly i do

not know how true they are

but i personally have experienced

similar instances in my career as well

i work for a foodtech company we have an

app using which people can order food

from restaurants nearby

hyperlocal services essentially a few

months back we observed a pattern

a problem actually there were many

requests of orders for cancellations

because people had placed order at wrong

locations at wrong addresses

by mistake and needless to say

cancellation of orders cost us money as

an organization

for any hyperlocal services the delivery

address is one of the most important

thing

because that decides a lot of other

things like

what are the restaurants that you will

see when you open because not every

restaurant is serviceable everywhere

it depends on the delivery address that

you choose and that is why

even in our ui the delivery address is

right there at the top of the page in a

very prominent spot

so that the user sees it the first when

they land into the page

but that’s not how the users think

when users come to our app they’re

usually hungry and the thing that they

have in their mind is

food and not address and rightly so

hence they were not seeing the address

even though it was in one of the most

prominent places right at the top

because

they never bothered thinking about that

while gps does a good job at finding the

location but it’s still not perfect

especially in indoor conditions

and most of our users would be using the

app while they’re indoors

so maybe all the cancellation requests

that we were receiving

were probably cases where the gps

couldn’t find the location of the user

possible we do have an algorithm which

predicts the location of the user

in case there are no signals from gps

but let’s admit it

no matter how good an algorithm is it

can never completely understand what is

in the minds of the user

so the problem narrowed down to how do

we direct the tension of the user

towards the address even if it’s for a

very short time so that they can go and

correct it in case it’s wrong

here’s where we have introduced a very

small thing

small thing we started showing the

address

right in the splash screen that is the

moment you tap on the app icon

and after that we have an animation a

follow me animation

that would guide the eyes of the user

towards where the address finally goes

and sits

at the top so that in case they want to

they can always tap and go and change it

in case

the address that is automatically

fetched is wrong

we are yet to know the results of the

feature that we have

shipped but the initial results are very

promising

we often reach a stage where life gives

us choices choices which seem

equally good i was in that position six

years back

i was a student in an engineering

college and i had

job offers and two companies in hand two

very different companies but equally

promising

offers i was sitting in front of the

placement portal

i was just one click away from

triggering the future that i am in today

i looked at them said my prayers and

accepted one

at times i still sit to think what would

have happened if i had clicked the other

button

or if i had you know accepted the other

company

maybe i would never know what working

for a large multinational company means

maybe i would never realize that working

at the indian back office of an american

company

isn’t really my cup of tea

maybe i would never meet the lady who’s

my wife today

or maybe i would never gather the

courage

to switch my career to design and that

too at a startup

or maybe i wouldn’t be speaking in front

of you guys today

in this platform small things are

powerful

extremely powerful so next time in your

life when you encounter a situation that

makes you feel that this could be a

trigger

think of this talk maybe thank you

everyone

[音乐]

当我在大学的时候,

我看了这部电影蝴蝶

效应,这是一部科幻惊悚片

,不断让你处于边缘

,结局留给观众

解释这部电影是基于一个

非常流行的假设情况,

叫做蝴蝶效应

说明了最初的

微小差异如何在未来导致巨大的

后果

它来自一个类比,即使

蝴蝶翅膀在一个地方微弱的拍打

也会引发一系列大气

事件,这些事件反过来

可能导致龙卷风 遥远的地方很

有趣不是吗它实际上是

数学中一个更广泛的概念的一部分,

称为混沌理论,其中有

大量的研究论文写在上面,

但这不是我今天要谈论的

内容更让我开心的是那些小东西

你知道的那些小触发器,比如

蝴蝶翅膀的拍动,

当这个概念随着时间的推移有可能带来巨大的结果

以电影的形式呈现给我,

我发现它很新颖,令人兴奋,我

喜欢它的每一点,

但后来当我仔细考虑它时,

意识到世界充满了这样的例子,

历史

充满了这样的例子,事实上 我们的

日常生活充满了这样的例子,

你知道你做的小事,你

养成的小习惯

,你做出的小决定

会对我们的生活产生巨大

的影响 最好的

方法,

以便为未来获得最大利益,

但我们通常没有意识到

其中哪些会成为未来的触发因素

但有时我们甚至知道它们是什么

,有时

我们可能只是通过 纯粹

的运气,

它也可能是即时收益

,例如

几个月前我开始每天指导人们你知道什么

时候开始渴望锁定

我使用调度工具,人们可以

浏览

我的 c 上的空插槽 alendar 单击并

直接与我预约电话,

因此前一两个月非常

顺利,我会接电话与

他们交谈,一切都很好,

但之后我观察到一种模式,

我发现每周

至少会有两个 或三种

情况,

即使在他们的日历上安排了通话,即使是在

他们的日历

上安排了通话,我也

不会出现这种情况

我的日历

提前两个月

,因为

当任何人来到该调度程序页面时,插槽真的很快被填满,

他们充其量只能找到两个月后的空置插槽

这意味着当他们的日期

到达时 约会日期

他们想

和我通电话的真正原因

可能不再有效,

因此一旦我

弄清楚这一点,

就没有节目发生了 解决方案很简单,我去了

设置 我改变了它,

以便人们最多可以提前一个月向我预订一个位置,

而不是

在那之后没有演出的数量

大大减少

了当然有一些真正的案例,

但现在它肯定不再是一种模式了

可能看起来是一件非常小而

微不足道的事情,但想象一下这种情况每周都会发生,

它确实会影响你,并且通过做那

件小事来修复它

,有时可以为我节省很多心理空间,

这种影响可以在

很多人身上看到

整个国家的人口以及几年前

柬埔寨普遍存在营养缺乏症,超过

50人患有

某种贫血症

,尤其是生活

在农村地区的孕妇受到的影响最大

脑部发育不全的新生儿早产的数量

现在这是一个大问题,所有这些

甚至导致

每年GDP损失超过700亿美元

当年当局发现这是

由于他们的饮食中缺乏铁而发生的

,一个简单而有效的解决方案

是使用铸铁餐具

烹饪食物时用铸铁制成

的炊具会释放一定

量的铁 放入

可以处理个人需要的大部分

推荐铁

的食物中,但问题

是解决方案不是很可行,

因为更换

某人家中的所有炊具是一件昂贵的

事情,特别是对于生活

在农村地区的人来说

所以当局想出了一个更便宜的

替代方案,他们指示每个人

在烹饪食物时

将一小块铸铁放入容器中,你知道一个小的铸铁盘或

类似的东西,

现在这与

烹饪食物和铸铁的效果相同 用具

简单正确,

但唯一的问题是没有人这样做,

因为没有人真正理解

看似的意义

在他们的烹饪过程中非常不受欢迎的步骤,所以他们

现在很方便地忽略了它,这让当局回到了

他们的绘图板上,

因为这是一个大问题,他们

必须解决它

,这一次他们再次提出

另一块铸铁的建议,但是 这次

它的形状是鱼

而不是圆盘,他们还给它起

了个名字幸运铁鱼

猜猜它是什么一夜之间变得如此流行

以至于

每个人都想和他们一起拥有幸运铁

我的意思是来吧谁会 不

希望他们吃的每顿饭都有一点好运

所以那条鱼有什么幸运的吗

不是柬埔寨猖獗的贫血的主要原因

,我们幸运的铁

鱼只能补充膳食

铁,

所以它并没有完全

消除它 贫血,

但令人惊讶的是,这个小想法

如何改变大量人口的行为,

就像谈到行为一样,

历史上也有一些例子

,人们在二

战后建立了一种行为

,两家许多西方

公司 在日本蓬勃发展,

每个人

都想在日本介绍他们的产品

,他们确实做得

很好,

但是雀巢作为一家公司在

其旗舰产品

咖啡上苦苦挣扎,他们似乎建立了一个很好的

产品

价格,做得很好,并且做得很好,但是

需要 销售根本没有得到

任何促销或营销或

广告

帮助,因为人们仍然不

购买

咖啡当雀巢公司决定

日本人进行

刺激实验时,实验结果

表明日本人

没有 没有任何

与咖啡饮料相关的联想、记忆或情绪,

为什么 b 因为日本是一个喜欢喝茶的国家

,他们已经喝

了几千年了

咖啡是最近才出现的外国现象

,并不是每个人都非常

熟悉,

所以无论他们如何尝试,他们

都无法与咖啡建立联系

而且它有一种燃烧的气味和味道

,这并没有真正

在他们的脑海中唤起积极的感觉,所以

这就是雀巢

他们在整整一代人的头脑中种下一颗很小的种子

作为他们开始

制造咖啡味

糖果的长期战略 是的,糖果,他们开始

向日本的孩子们推销它们,

这样孩子们就已经

熟悉了咖啡的味道,

因为他们吃了这些糖果

,并将美好的回忆

与之联系起来,这样当他们长大并

开始喝

咖啡时,咖啡就会成为 对他们来说是一个自然的选择

猜猜它今天的作用 日本人喜欢他们的

咖啡,就像他们喜欢他们的茶一样

,它不会有 如果

那颗小种子没有

在一代人的脑海中种下,这是可能的,

这是一个完美的例子,可以

在他们还年轻的

时候抓住他们

根据

我设计的经验,有时事情可能

会以最意想不到但最

愉快的

方式发生

多倍销售或类似的销售

我也听说过,但老实说,我

不知道它们的真实性,

但我个人

在我的职业生涯中也经历过类似的情况,

我在一家食品技术公司工作,我们有一个

应用程序,人们使用它 基本上几个月前可以

从附近的

超本地服务餐厅订购食物

我们观察到

一个问题实际上有很多

取消订单的请求,

因为人们已经在 wro 下订单

错误的

地址错误,不用说

取消订单会花费我们

作为任何超本地化服务的组织的钱,送货

地址是最重要的事情之一,

因为它决定了很多其他

事情,比如

你会去哪家餐馆

看看你什么时候开门,因为不是每

家餐厅都可以在任何地方提供服务,

这取决于你选择的送货地址

,这就是为什么

即使在我们的用户界面中,送货地址

就在页面顶部

非常显眼的位置,

以便用户看到 这是当

他们登陆页面时的第一个,

但这不是用户的想法,

当用户来到我们的应用程序时,他们

通常很饿,

他们脑海中的东西是

食物而不是地址,

因此他们没有看到 地址,

即使它

位于顶部最显眼的地方之一,

因为

他们从不考虑这个问题,

而 gps 在查找

位置方面做得很好 但它仍然不完美,

尤其是在室内条件下

,我们的大多数用户会在室内使用该

应用程序,

所以也许我们收到的所有取消请求

都可能是 GPS

无法找到用户位置的

情况 我们确实有一个算法可以

在没有来自 gps 的信号的情况下预测用户的位置,

但是让我们承认,

不管算法有多好,它

永远无法完全理解

用户的想法,

所以问题缩小到

即使

时间很短,我们如何将用户的

紧张情绪引导到

地址上 启动屏幕,即

您点击应用程序图标

的那一刻,然后我们有一个动画,一个

跟随我的动画

,它将引导用户的眼睛

最终指向地址 g oes

并位于

顶部,以便如果他们愿意,

他们可以随时点击并更改它

,以防

自动

获取的地址错误

我们尚不知道我们已发布的功能的结果,

但初始结果 非常

有希望

我们经常到达这样一个阶段,生活给了

我们选择看起来

同样好的选择我在那个职位六

年前

我是一所工程学院的学生

,我有

工作机会和两个公司在手两个

非常不同的公司,但同样

有希望的

报价 我坐在

安置门户前

我只需点击一下就可以

触发我今天所处的未来

我看着他们 说我的祈祷并

接受了

一个有时 我仍然坐着想

如果我有会发生什么 点击了另一个

按钮,

或者如果我知道你接受了另一

家公司,

也许我永远不会知道

为大型跨国公司工作意味着什么,

也许我永远不会意识到

在 ind 工作 一家美国

公司

的后勤办公室并不是我真正喜欢的那杯茶,

也许我永远不会遇到今天是我妻子的那位女士,

或者我永远不会

鼓起勇气将我的职业转向设计

,在初创公司也是如此,

或者我不会 今天

不在这个平台上在你们面前说话 小东西很

强大

很强大 所以下次在你的

生活中当你遇到一个

让你觉得这可能是

触发的情况

想想这个谈话也许谢谢

大家