Monica Araya The billiondollar campaign to electrify transport TED Countdown

Chris Anderson: A year go at global
Countdown’s virtual launch,

Monica Araya, who,
among many other things,

is a distinguished fellow
at the ClimateWorks Foundation,

she shared news of a campaign

to take on the massive emissions

from the world’s cars,
trucks and buses, etc.

And we have an exciting update
that we want to share with you.

Monica, welcome here
to the Countdown stage.

Monica Araya: Thank you.

It’s so great to be here,
and so great to see you in person.

(Applause)

CA: So look, you’re up
against a vast industry.

I mean, there are more than a billion
polluting vehicles out there.

How on Earth can you attempt
system change at that scale?

MA: Well, that is the point that,
because of the scale

and because of the speed

that we need to inject
into this transformation,

we have to work with all the levers
of change simultaneously.

That’s the key point.

So, cities, we have to engage with cities.

That’s great.

Not enough.

We have to engage with politicians.

We have to engage
with the companies themselves.

We have to create business coalitions.

And we also have to empower citizens
so that they play their act.

Ultimately, we know
that we have to create political space

for stricter regulations for policy.

So that is something
we are doing right now.

CA: In a sense, these
aren’t separate initiatives.

They all build on each other?

MA: Exactly.

So think about an automaker.

Maybe we have some in the room.

So you’re not going to give up
your profits just like this.

But.

If you hear that so many
cities start saying

no more petrol and diesel cars
are going to circulate in our streets;

and you hear the politicians saying

that life is going to get
more difficult for fossil fuels;

and you turn on the TV
and you see millions of people saying,

you know, we’re angry
about the products that you’re making;

and you look at the demand

and you look at companies that are saying,

“You know what? We’re switching.

It’s working. We’re saving money.”

Then you have to act.

CA: But how could you take on
all these agendas at once?

MA: That’s the point.

You can’t do just one thing,

or you can’t just expect
one single organization to do this.

So this is the exciting news.

A group of over 70 – seven, zero –
organizations are coming together,

creating a coalition, a global campaign,

we call it Drive Electric,
and it’s already shaking things up.

CA: How so?

MA: Well, the best thing would be
to give you one example from this year.

So partners of this coalition

have done an amazing job
persuading the European Commission

to propose that after 2035,

there will be no more sales
of petrol and diesel cars.

And this alone was
unthinkable two years ago.

And even though I mentioned in Europe,

the progress is happening from China
to California, everything in between,

including the small countries.

CA: So Monica, what’s the overall goal
of the Drive Electric campaign?

MA: Well, we have to persuade the world
to do exactly what I just mentioned,

and actually in some cities
and some countries,

you can actually go faster.

And the point is that we need
to set these timelines,

make it normal, you know.

Say, after this year, say, 2035,

we’re not going to sell
more petrol and diesel cars.

And now our campaign works
with all segments.

So we say, buses 2030, trucks 2040.

And if we want to get there,

if we say we have to be here by 2035,

then the next five years are so critical.

So that is what we have to achieve.

You know, we have to get
to these mark and tipping point.

CA: But just to play
devil’s advocate there.

MA: I know you like to do that.

CA: Well, you know.
MA: It’s OK.

CA: Wouldn’t some people say

that actually were kind of already
at that tipping point?

And that in a sense,

the move to electrification
is already inevitable?

MA: Thank you,

because that’s a very important question.

You know, it reflects
that we’re making progress,

and that’s a good thing.

So somebody could say, well, you know,

let’s take Tesla, you know,
super pioneering,

deserves a lot of credit.

And yet if we look at our partners,

early on, they advocated the very policies

to promote early adoption
of electric vehicles.

So timing is everything.

We cannot waste any time.

So if you look at the progress
we’re making, yes, it’s there,

and yet, only one percent
of the global stock of cars and trucks

is electric right now.

So we have to keep that in mind
and also, you know,

coming from a developing country myself,
Costa Rica, as you know,

I would not say that in the global South,
this is already inevitable.

In fact, when you look
at some industry projections,

you still find that at least
some companies see

a lot of fossil fuel cars
in their future up to 2050.

CA: OK, so if that’s still happening
in 2050, we’re screwed.

So the goal of the campaign is basically
to accelerate that by how much?

MA: So here’s the point.

The campaign in the next year

is going to accelerate this 20 years,

Twenty years, make it happen faster.

And we calculate that –

I know you like the numbers –

(CA laughs)

So we calculate that doing that faster
will save the planet

160 gigatons of CO2 equivalent.

CA: Wow. 160 billion tons of CO2.

On my maths,

that’s more than three years' worth
of humanity’s entire emissions,

excess emissions.

So that’s a huge, huge number.

But, look, you’re up against

industries that are, you know,

getting trillions of dollars
of revenue annually.

How can your coalition
possibly take that on?

MA: Well, there is opposition,
and the more progress we make,

the more the opposition gets activated.

So that’s why we’re saying Drive Electric
is the most ambitious coalition

and campaign in our space ever undertaken.

And what we need to make sure
is that we grow it,

we grow the partners and we secure
funding for what they do

because they are playing a key role

in their geographies,
playing all these levers.

So we have to make sure they get
the resources to work on the ground.

CA: So you’re raising money,
not just for ClimateWorks

but for all of these partners.

MA: Yes.

CA: How much is it going to take?

MA: For the next five years,
roughly one billion dollars.

CA: I mean, Monica, as you know,

when I when first heard that number,

I said, “No way.”

I mean, you’re looking for this
from philanthropists.

There’s no precedent for that.

And yet this is kind of where
the exciting news comes in,

because …

Drive Electric and TED and Countdown

and a coalition of visionary donors
called the Audacious Project

have been working together on this,

and just a few weeks ago,
something kind of amazing happened.

We were able to secure a commitment
from them for how much?

MA: 300 million dollars.

(Applause)

CA: This was really exciting,

and it builds on a couple hundred million

already committed by the founding
donors of Drive Electric,

so that we’re already over halfway
to your billion-dollar goal, right?

So how is this? How does this feel?

Where are you now?

MA: It’s electrifying.

(Laughter)

But I mean, I know
there partners are here,

I can see where they are sitting,

from foundations,

I’m sure Anthony’s somewhere here.

We are so excited
because we have come to a point

where we know this campaign
is unstoppable.

And in short, you know,

we are going to make sure
that all of this gets translated

into all these strategies
that we have to deploy

in the key geographies.

And, think about the fact
that this is happening

just as we move to COP.

So that is also very good news.

CA: And everyone in this room
can actually play a part.

Or indeed, if you’re watching online.

If you live in a city,

please advocate to create
and expand a green zone

where only electric vehicles are welcome.

If you work in government,

raise your level of ambition.

Ignore the fossilized lobbyists.

This is a winning political issue for you.

MA: If you are a citizen,

consider not buying
an internal-combustion car.

And why not share it?

Share it with friends,

share it in your social media.

If you are a creative,

if you are an influencer,
if you’re an artist, help us.

We need to find new and better ways
of telling the story.

CA: And finally, if you work for a company

that makes or uses cars, trucks,

motorized vehicles of any kind,

do what you can to urge them
to get on the right side of history.

I mean, Monica, what do you think,
can we actually do this?

MA: Yes, we have to work
together, go faster.

And let me finish by saying this.

This campaign is about
changing transportation,

with all the benefits that that brings
to people and the planet.

And yet,

it is also about showing how
systems change works in practice

and making sure it happens
everywhere else.

So let’s do it.

CA: Thank you, Monica.

Thank you, everyone.

(Applause)

克里斯·安德森(Chris Anderson):一年过去了,全球
倒计时的虚拟发布会上,

莫妮卡·阿拉亚(Monica Araya)


气候工作基金会(ClimateWorks Foundation)的杰出研究员,

她分享了一项

旨在应对

全球汽车、
卡车和 公共汽车

等。我们有一个激动人心的更新
,我们想与您分享。

莫妮卡,欢迎
来到倒计时阶段。

莫妮卡阿拉亚:谢谢。

很高兴来到这里
,很高兴见到你本人。

(掌声)

CA:你看,你
面对的是一个庞大的行业。

我的意思是,那里有超过十亿
辆污染车辆。

你到底怎么能
尝试这种规模的系统变化?

MA:嗯,这就是
因为我们需要注入这种转变的规模

和速度

,所以

我们必须同时使用所有
的变革杠杆。

这是关键点。

所以,城市,我们必须与城市互动。

那太棒了。

不够。

我们必须与政客接触。

我们必须
与公司本身接触。

我们必须建立商业联盟。

我们还必须赋予公民权力,
让他们发挥自己的作用。

最终,我们
知道我们必须

为更严格的政策法规创造政治空间。

这就是
我们现在正在做的事情。

CA:从某种意义上说,这些
不是单独的举措。

他们都建立在彼此的基础上?

马:没错。

所以想想汽车制造商。

也许我们房间里有一些。

所以你不会
像这样放弃你的利润。

但。

如果你听到这么多
城市开始说

不再有汽油和柴油车
在我们的街道上流通;

你听到政客们说

化石燃料的生活将变得更加困难;

你打开电视
,你会看到数百万人说,

你知道,我们对
你制造的产品感到愤怒;

你看看需求

,你看看公司说,

“你知道吗?我们正在转换。

它正在工作。我们正在省钱。”

然后你必须采取行动。

CA:但是你怎么能同时处理
所有这些议程呢?

马:这就是重点。

你不能只做一件事,

或者你不能只指望
一个组织来做这件事。

所以这是令人兴奋的消息。

一个由 70 多个 - 七个,零个 -
组织组成的小组正在聚集在一起,

创建一个联盟,一场全球运动,

我们称之为 Drive Electric
,它已经在动摇一切。

CA:怎么会?

MA:嗯,最好
给你举一个今年的例子。

因此,这个联盟的合作伙伴在

说服欧盟

委员会提议 2035 年

后不再
销售汽油和柴油汽车方面做得非常出色。

仅这一点在
两年前是不可想象的。

尽管我提到了欧洲,

但从中国
到加利福尼亚,一切都在进步,

包括小国。

CA:那么 Monica,
Drive Electric 活动的总体目标是什么?

MA:嗯,我们必须说服
世界完全按照我刚才提到的那样去做

,实际上在一些城市
和一些国家,

你实际上可以走得更快。

关键是我们
需要设定这些时间表,

让它正常化,你知道的。

比如说,在今年之后,比如说 2035 年,

我们不会销售
更多的汽油和柴油汽车。

现在我们的活动适用
于所有细分市场。

所以我们说,公共汽车 2030 年,卡车 2040 年

。如果我们想到达那里,

如果我们说我们必须在 2035 年之前到达那里,

那么接下来的五年是如此关键。

这就是我们必须实现的目标。

你知道,我们必须
达到这些标记和临界点。

CA:但只是为了在
那里扮演魔鬼的拥护者。

MA:我知道你喜欢这样做。

CA:嗯,你知道的。
马:没关系。

CA:难道有些人不会

说实际上已经
到了那个临界点吗?

从某种意义上说,

电气化已经是不可避免的了?

MA:谢谢,

因为这是一个非常重要的问题。

你知道,这反映
了我们正在取得进展

,这是一件好事。

所以有人会说,嗯,你知道,

让我们以特斯拉为例,你知道,
超级开创性,

值得称赞。

然而,如果我们看看我们的合作伙伴

,他们很早就倡导

了促进早期
采用电动汽车的政策。

所以时机就是一切。

我们不能浪费任何时间。

因此,如果你看看
我们正在取得的进展,是的,它就在那里

,然而,目前
全球汽车和卡车库存中只有 1%

是电动的。

所以我们必须牢记这一点
,而且,你知道,

我自己来自一个发展中国家
哥斯达黎加,正如你所知,

我不会说在全球南方,
这已经是不可避免的。

事实上,当你
查看一些行业预测时,

你仍然会发现至少有
一些公司在 2050 年之前看到

了很多化石燃料
汽车的未来

。CA:好的,所以如果这种情况
在 2050 年仍然发生,我们就完蛋了。

因此,该活动的目标基本上是
将其加速多少?

MA:所以这就是重点。

明年的运动

将加速这 20 年,

20 年,让它更快地发生。

我们计算出——

我知道你喜欢这些数字——

(CA 笑)

所以我们计算出更快的速度
将为地球节省

160 千兆吨的二氧化碳当量。

CA:哇。 1600亿吨二氧化碳。

根据我的数学,

这相当于人类三年多
的全部排放量,

超额排放量。

所以这是一个巨大的数字。

但是,你看,你所面对的

行业,你知道,每年

获得数万亿美元
的收入。

你的联盟怎么
可能接受呢?

MA:嗯,有反对意见
,我们取得的进展

越多,反对意见就越活跃。

所以这就是为什么我们说 Drive Electric

是我们这个领域有史以来最雄心勃勃的联盟和运动。

我们需要确保
的是我们发展它,

我们发展合作伙伴,我们
为他们的工作获得资金,

因为他们在他们的地区发挥着关键作用


发挥着所有这些杠杆作用。

因此,我们必须确保他们获得
在实地工作的资源。

CA:所以你正在筹集资金,
不仅仅是为了气候工作,

而是为了所有这些合作伙伴。

马:是的。

CA:需要多少钱?

MA:在接下来的五年里,
大约是 10 亿美元。

CA:我的意思是,莫妮卡,正如你所知,

当我第一次听到这个数字时,

我说,“不可能。”

我的意思是,你正在
从慈善家那里寻找这个。

这没有先例。

然而这正是
令人兴奋的消息出现的地方,

因为……

Drive Electric 和 TED 和 Countdown

以及一个名为 Audacious Project 的有远见的捐助者联盟

一直在共同努力

,就在几周前,
某种东西 发生了惊人的事情。

我们能够
从他们那里获得多少承诺?

马:3亿美元。

(掌声)

CA:这真的很令人兴奋,

而且它建立在 Drive Electric 的创始捐助者已经承诺的几亿美元的基础上

所以我们已经完成了
你十亿美元目标的一半,对吧?

那么这是怎么回事? 这感觉如何?

你现在在哪里?

MA:这很激动人心。

(笑声)

但我的意思是,我知道
有合作伙伴在这里,

我可以看到他们坐在哪里,

从基金会来看,

我确信安东尼在这里的某个地方。

我们非常兴奋,
因为我们已经到了

我们知道这场
运动势不可挡的地步。

简而言之,您知道,

我们将
确保所有这些都

转化为
我们必须在关键地区部署的所有这些策略

并且,考虑一下在

我们转移到 COP 时这种情况正在发生的事实。

所以这也是非常好的消息。

CA:这个房间里的每个人
实际上都可以发挥作用。

或者确实,如果您正在在线观看。

如果你住在城市,

请倡导创建
和扩大一个

只欢迎电动汽车的绿地。

如果你在政府工作,

提高你的野心水平。

忽略僵化的说客。

这对你来说是一个成功的政治问题。

MA:如果您是公民,请

考虑不要
购买内燃机车。

为什么不分享呢?

与朋友

分享,在您的社交媒体上分享。

如果您是创意人士,

如果您是有影响力的人,
如果您是艺术家,请帮助我们。

我们需要找到新的更好的方式
来讲述这个故事。

CA:最后,如果你为

一家制造或使用汽车、卡车、

任何类型的机动车辆的公司工作,

请尽你所能敦促
他们站在历史正确的一边。

我的意思是,莫妮卡,你怎么看,
我们真的可以这样做吗?

MA:是的,我们必须
共同努力,走得更快。

让我说完这句话。

这场运动是关于
改变交通方式,

以及
给人类和地球带来的所有好处。

然而,

它还展示了
系统变化在实践中是如何运作的,

并确保它发生
在其他任何地方。

所以让我们去做吧。

CA:谢谢你,莫妮卡。

谢谢大家。

(掌声)