Trust Building Economics and the Darknet

[Applause]

what type

of environments push human beings to

their limit

where we get to experience human

greatness to the utmost

extent where human limitations are

questioned

and conquered the olympics are one such

environment they enable and incentivize

human athletes to compete at the most

excellent level

through athletic competition as an

economist

i study incentives and what kind of

outcomes

result from certain types of incentives

and i was thinking about different

mechanisms that are essential to human

beings and

how we exchange and i would like to

or i was thinking about pushing one of

these human mechanisms

to its upmost limit and that mechanism

is trust what does trust have to do with

an economy

well it is a really important component

of social capital that’s essential

and central to almost every single human

action

that we engage in from personal to

global

trust is what allows us and an economy

to grow it enables human beings

to adapt adopt and invent

new technologies trust

is what allows us to walk down to a taco

shop grab a burrito and be confident

that the ingredients in the burrito are

healthy

well maybe not that healthy but they’re

at least

safe to eat research shows

us that trust when it is high

economic growth and prosperity are high

and when trust is is or excuse me

when trust is high we have prosperity

being high

and crime and corruption are low

yet there are a lot of economies in the

world that suffer from a lack of trust

only 19 of millennials here in the

united states

believe that most people can be trusted

and this is down from 31 percent of the

previous

generation only three percent of

filipinos and four percent of colombians

think that most people can be trusted

research on trust

generation shows that it’s extremely

difficult to

generate trust

and social solutions and policy

solutions for trust generation

have mixed results at best

therefore i as a researcher was on a

quest

a mission if you will an intellectual

mission

to find an environment that not only

fosters but potentially

generates trust now

the reason i wanted to do this was to

overcome human disconnectedness

and trust is easy in an environment that

has a lot of rules and regulations so i

had to look

outside of that into a community without

a lot of rules and regulations

and what i stumbled upon was an

environment in the most

unlikely place this environment

challenges humans conceptions of

autonomy and governance

this environment probably more than any

other in the world relies on trust

the most and i to look no further

than drug dealers well not my drug

dealer of course absolutely not heavens

no

but drug dealers you see

the world of drug dealing has become

technologically sophisticated

in the past decade and most of it has

moved online

now this is because of technology like

blockchain

and cryptocurrency and proxy networks

millions if not

billions of dollars worth of

cryptocurrency has been exchanged for

illicit goods and services in these type

of marketplaces

you can kind of think of it as amazon’s

evil twin

here is a screenshot from a darknet site

called

empire market and there are various

listings among them

are cannabis cocaine and adderall

here is another snapshot of that same

marketplace

enterprise market that looks at listings

of credit card information

you may have got a notification from

your bank that they are combing the dark

net to make sure that your credit card

information

has not been stolen and is not being

sold this is exactly

what they’re talking about now the dark

net is a place that is completely

unregulated

and untaxed it is a place a perfect

natural experiment for me as an

economist to observe

human interaction and exchange without

intervention it’s a place that allows me

to really dive deep into what really

makes people tick without

third party enforcement and the dark net

does not have access

to traditional mechanisms of

communication

and exchange enforcement so it has to

come up with its own

two of the main components it lacks are

third party enforcement from a legal

source and also

face-to-face reputation building let’s

take the first

which is lack of third-party enforcement

traditional black markets also do not

have access to third-party enforcement

and this is why drug dealing is

typically associated with violence

if your drug deal goes bad you cannot

just call up the cops and have them come

settle the dispute

you have to bring your own muscle

similarly

the dark net does not have this third

party enforcement mechanism to turn

to if something goes awry therefore they

have to settle

everything themselves and they do this

in a variety of different ways

one way they do it is that the platform

provides the platforms provide

codified rules and regulations to

monitor

both buyer and seller behavior with

regards to the exchanges

that they are engaged in oftentimes

platforms

will no longer sell or promote any type

of good or service that they deem to be

too dangerous or harmful like firearms

or other weapons

they also settle disputes all in-house

there are monitors

looking at all the exchanges between

buyers and sellers

and they settle disputes and oftentimes

require a party to compensate the

damaged party

with cryptocurrency you can also be

kicked off a platform if you’re found to

have violated too many rules

or regulations this second mechanism

that the dark net does not have access

to with regards to moderating behavior

is face to face reputation building

i want you to think back to that taco

shop you go in you buy tacos and

burritos they see you

you see them you build a rapport and

presumably that taco shop would like to

continue doing business with you and

your friends so it’s incumbent upon them

to give you a good experience

you may leave the taco shop tell your

friends and family about it

write a yelp review about it and this is

how the shop builds their reputation

and you as a customer want to be invited

back you don’t want to

act too crazy not to be invited back so

both of you

are building a reputation that together

solidifies the exchange that you are

making

on the dark net people don’t have access

to a face-to-face interaction that’s

kind of the whole point they’re

anonymous to each other

and it’s very difficult to build trust

with people you don’t

know therefore these platforms have to

come

up with different mechanisms for their

users to get to know each other

and they do this in a variety of

different ways one of the ways that they

do it

is they allow usernames to be linked to

reputation for both buyers

and sellers buyers can write

reviews and leave a star rating on

vendors that sell them different

products

either good or bad much like uber

many of these sites are referral only so

you have to have a certain level of

reputation

to be able to even exchange at all and

you have to be verified

that you are a trustworthy participant

in this type of marketplace many

platforms provide

forums for you to communicate on and say

hey this is a really good experience

this wasn’t a good experience

many buyers go so far as to chemically

test

the products that they buy on the

darknet and post the results

on the forums to either verify or call

somebody out for selling them that they

selling them something that they didn’t

particularly order

so there are these different mechanisms

where it seems that people are kind of

looking out for each other

another way that these groups of people

differentiate themselves the vendors in

particular

is that you’ll come across products that

boast that they are fair trade certified

conflict-free or organic i came across

this vendor

that said that if you buy opium from

them you are supporting

local guatemalan farmers and not violent

drug cartels

interesting advertising mechanism that

apparently works

another way that these vendors

differentiate themselves is by offering

free samples

they also engage in what’s called

operational security and they can do

this in a variety of different ways

one of them is through technological

encryption and in other ways as basic

as packaging your specific product in

something that is relatively stealthy

an innocuous item like a book for

example i was talking to a buyer

recently and he was telling me about all

this different

stealth that he had seen and he said you

know what the most crazy stealth that

i’ve ever seen when i bought some

products off the dark net

was a pair of snowshoes he was like wow

this vendor went above

and beyond to really make this stealthy

product here and so

he’s all excited he proceeds to

completely tear these snowshoes apart

in search of the products that he

purchased turns out his aunt just sent

him snowshoes

which were now completely destroyed

unfortunately

so what does this all mean for us

the dark net is a crazy marketplace and

by no means it’s perfect i mean for

goodness sakes they’re selling

extremely harmful dangerous and illegal

goods and services

on this marketplace not only that

they’re subject to hacking from within

and also being shut down from law

enforcement from without

but what’s important is to look at the

relationship

and the transaction between both buyers

and sellers and what can we learn from

it in this otherwise hostile

environment the dark net could be a very

important key to the puzzle of trust

generation i mean

they’ve come up with solutions to the

craziest things

these people live in completely

different countries speak completely

different languages

they come from different cultures and

creeds they’re anonymous to one another

they don’t even have access to third

party enforcement and yet

they have been able to create an

environment

of trust enough to buy these extremely

dangerous products from someone you

don’t even know across

the world the black market

the dark net in particular tells us that

trust

can be generated in some of the most

challenging

places and me as a researcher

i would like to utilize that knowledge

to build

more trust in communities and do good

with it

so imagine what we could do with this

knowledge if we harnessed it to build

trusting

and committed communities relationships

and businesses if we harness the power

and the mechanisms

of private governance in-house

monitoring

and community accountability to build an

economy

that promotes human flourishing to the

utmost

extent now the olympics

push individuals to their physical best

and i would like to use this knowledge

that we’ve gleaned from the dark net

to push individuals to their best on

margins of intellectual capacity

cooperative capacity and community

building capacity

and then perhaps we might not feel so

disconnected

after all thank you

you

[掌声]

什么样

的环境将人类

推向极限

,我们可以最大限度地体验人类的

伟大

,人类的局限性受到

质疑

和征服,奥运会就是这样一种

环境,它们能够激励

人类运动员以最

优秀的水平竞争

作为一名经济学家,通过体育比赛,

我研究了激励措施

以及某些类型的激励措施会产生什么样的结果

,我正在考虑

对人类至关重要的不同机制

以及

我们如何交流,我想

或者我正在考虑推动一种

这些人类机制发挥

到了极致,而这种机制

就是信任 信任与经济有什么关系?

它是社会资本的一个非常重要的组成

部分,

它对我们从个人信任到

全球

信任的几乎每一项人类行为都至关重要和核心 是什么使我们和经济

得以增长 它使人类

能够适应 采用和 发明

新技术 信任

是让我们走到墨西哥卷

饼店的原因

经济增长和繁荣是否很高

,当信任很高时,或者对不起,

当信任很高时,我们的

繁荣很高

,犯罪和腐败程度很低,

但世界上只有很多经济

体缺乏信任

19 的美国千禧一代

认为大多数人是可以信任的

,这比上一代人的 31% 下降了

只有 3% 的

菲律宾人和 4% 的哥伦比亚人

认为大多数人可以信任

关于信任

产生的研究表明

难以

产生信任和产生信任的

社会解决方案和政策

解决方案

充其量只是结果好坏参半,

因此我作为一名研究人员正在

寻求

如果你有一个智力

任务

来寻找一个不仅可以

培养而且

现在可能产生信任的环境

我想这样做的原因是为了

克服人类的脱节

和信任在一个

有很多规则和规定的环境中很容易所以我

有 在这个

之外看一个

没有很多规则和规定的社区

,我偶然发现的是一个

在最

不可能的地方的环境这个环境

挑战人类

自治和治理的概念

这个环境可能比

世界上任何其他地方都更依赖信任

最和我看的不过是

毒贩,不是我的

毒贩,当然绝对不是天堂,

不是毒贩,你看到

毒品交易的世界

在过去十年中已经变得技术先进,而且大部分已经

转移到网上,

现在这是 由于

区块链

和加密货币以及代理网络等技术

,价值数百万甚至数十亿美元

在这些类型的市场中,加密货币已被交换为非法商品和服务,

您可以将其视为亚马逊的

邪恶双胞胎,

这是来自名为帝国市场的暗网网站的屏幕截图

,其中有各种

清单

是大麻可卡因和

adderall 同一

市场

企业市场的另一个快照,查看

信用卡信息列表,

您可能从银行收到通知

,他们正在梳理暗

网以确保您的信用卡

信息

没有被盗并且没有被

出售

正是他们现在谈论的内容 暗

网是一个完全

不受监管

和免税的地方 它是一个完美的

自然实验,作为经济学家,我可以在

没有干预的情况下观察人类互动和交流

它是一个让

我真正能够 深入研究在

没有

第三方执法和暗网

无法访问的情况下真正让人们打勾的原因

与传统的

通信

和交换执行机制相比,它必须

提出自己的

两个主要组成部分,它缺乏的两个主要组成部分是

来自合法

来源的第三方执行以及

面对面的声誉建设让我们

采取第一个

,它缺乏第三方 - 第三方执法

传统的黑市也无法

获得第三方执法

,这就是为什么毒品交易

通常与暴力有关,

如果您的毒品交易失败,您不能

只是打电话给警察并让他们来

解决

您必须解决的争议 同样带上你自己的力量

,如果出现问题,暗网没有这种第三方执行机制可以求助,因此他们

必须自己解决

所有问题,他们

以各种不同的方式

做到这一点,他们这样做的一种方式是平台

提供 这些平台提供了

成文的规则和法规,以

监控

买卖双方

在他们参与的

交易所方面的行为 ed 通常,

平台

将不再销售或推广

他们认为

过于危险或有害的任何类型的商品或服务,例如枪支

或其他武器,

他们还会在内部解决纠纷,

有监控器

查看买卖双方之间的所有交流

他们解决纠纷,通常

要求一方用加密货币补偿

受损方

如果发现

你违反了太多规则

或规定,你也可能被踢出平台

,这是暗网无法

访问的第二种机制 关于节制行为

是面对面的声誉建设

您和

您的朋友,因此他们有

责任为您提供良好的体验

您可以离开炸玉米饼店 告诉您的

朋友和

家人 ea yelp 对此进行评论,这

就是商店建立声誉的方式

,作为客户,您希望被邀请

回来,您不想

表现得太疯狂而不被邀请回来,所以

你们俩

都在建立声誉,共同

巩固 您

在暗网上进行的交流 人们无法

进行面对面的互动,

这就是他们彼此匿名的全部意义,

并且很难

与您不

认识的人建立信任 因此,这些平台必须

为他们的用户提供不同的机制

来相互了解,

并且他们以各种

不同的方式做到这一点,他们这样做的方式之一

是他们允许用户名与买家的声誉相关联,

并且 卖家 买家可以写

评论并对

向他们出售不同产品的供应商进行评价,

无论好坏,就像优步一样

,这些网站中的许多只是推荐,所以

你必须有一定的

声誉

才能成为 abl e 甚至完全交换,并且

您必须

验证您是此类市场中值得信赖的参与者

许多

平台提供

论坛供您交流并说

嘿,这是一次非常好的体验

这不是很多买家的好体验

甚至对

他们在暗网上购买的产品进行化学测试,

并将结果

发布在论坛上,以验证或打电话给

某人出售他们,他们

向他们出售了他们没有

特别订购的东西,

所以有这些不同的机制

人们似乎在

寻找彼此的

另一种方式

来区分这些人群

这个供应

商说,如果你从他们那里购买鸦片,

你就是在支持

当地的危地马拉农民,而不是暴力

贩毒集团

有趣的广告机 显然

,这些供应商

与众不同的另一种方式是提供

免费样品,

他们还参与所谓的

操作安全性,他们可以

通过各种不同的方式做到这

一点,其中一种是通过技术

加密和其他基本方式,

如包装 你的特定产品在

相对隐蔽的东西中是

无害的物品,例如一本书,

例如我最近和一位买家交谈

,他告诉我他所见过的所有

这些不同的

隐身,他说你

知道我最疯狂的隐身是什么

当我从暗网购买一些产品时,我曾见过

一双雪鞋,他就像哇,

这个供应商

超越了真正在这里制造这种隐形

产品,所以

他非常兴奋,他继续将

这些雪鞋完全撕开

以进行搜索 在他购买的产品中,

他的阿姨刚刚寄给

他雪鞋

不幸的是

,这些雪鞋现在完全被毁了,那又怎样 这是否意味着对我们来说

,暗网是一个疯狂的市场,

它绝不是完美的,我的意思是看在

上帝的份上,他们在这个市场上销售

极其有害的危险和非法

商品和服务

,不仅因为

他们受到内部黑客攻击

并且从外部被执法部门关闭,

但重要的是查看买卖双方之间的

关系

和交易,

以及

在这个原本充满敌意的

环境中我们可以从中学到什么,暗网可能是一个非常

重要的关键 信任

产生之谜 我的意思是

他们已经为最疯狂的事情想出了解决方案

这些人生活在完全

不同的国家 说着完全

不同的语言

他们来自不同的文化和

信条 他们彼此匿名

他们甚至无法接触

第三方执法,但

他们已经能够创造一个

足够信任的环境来购买这些极其

危险的产品 om 一个你

在世界各地都不认识的人

黑市 特别是暗网告诉我们,

在一些最具

挑战性的

地方可以产生信任,而我作为一名研究人员,

我想利用这些知识

来建立

更多的信任

如果我们利用这些知识来建立

信任

和承诺的社区关系

和业务,如果我们

利用私人治理内部

监督

和社区问责制的权力和机制来建立

经济,那么想象一下我们可以利用这些知识做些什么

最大限度地促进人类繁荣现在奥运会

推动个人达到最佳状态

,我想利用

我们从暗网上收集到的知识

来推动个人在

智力能力

合作能力和社区

建设的边缘达到最佳状态 容量

,然后也许我们可能不会感到如此

脱节

,谢谢你