Why civilians suffer more once a war is over Margaret Bourdeaux

So have you ever wondered
what it would be like

to live in a place with no rules?

That sounds pretty cool.

(Laughter)

You wake up one morning, however,

and you discover that the reason
there are no rules

is because there’s no government,
and there are no laws.

In fact, all social institutions
have disappeared.

So there’s no schools,

there’s no hospitals,

there’s no police,

there’s no banks,

there’s no athletic clubs,

there’s no utilities.

Well, I know a little bit
about what this is like,

because when I was
a medical student in 1999,

I worked in a refugee camp
in the Balkans during the Kosovo War.

When the war was over,

I got permission – unbelievably –
from my medical school

to take some time off

and follow some of the families
that I had befriended in the camp

back to their village in Kosovo,

and understand how they navigated
life in this postwar setting.

Postwar Kosovo
was a very interesting place

because NATO troops were there,

mostly to make sure
the war didn’t break out again.

But other than that,
it was actually a lawless place,

and almost every social institution,
both public and private,

had been destroyed.

So I can tell you

that when you go into one
of these situations and settings,

it is absolutely thrilling …

for about 30 minutes,

because that’s about how long it takes
before you run into a situation

where you realize
how incredibly vulnerable you are.

For me, that moment came
when I had to cross the first checkpoint,

and I realized as I drove up

that I would be negotiating passage
through this checkpoint

with a heavily armed individual

who, if he decided to shoot me
right then and there,

actually wouldn’t be doing
anything illegal.

But the sense of vulnerability that I had
was absolutely nothing

in comparison to the vulnerability
of the families that I got to know

over that year.

You see, life in a society
where there are no social institutions

is riddled with danger and uncertainty,

and simple questions like,
“What are we going to eat tonight?”

are very complicated to answer.

Questions about security,
when you don’t have any security systems,

are terrifying.

Is that altercation I had
with the neighbor down the block

going to turn into a violent episode
that will end my life

or my family’s life?

Health concerns
when there is no health system

are also terrifying.

I listened as many families
had to sort through questions like,

“My infant has a fever.
What am I going to do?”

“My sister, who is pregnant,
is bleeding. What should I do?

Who should I turn to?”

“Where are the doctors,
where are the nurses?

If I could find one, are they trustworthy?

How will I pay them?
In what currency will I pay them?”

“If I need medications,
where will I find them?

If I take those medications,
are they actually counterfeits?”

And on and on.

So for life in these settings,

the dominant theme,
the dominant feature of life,

is the incredible vulnerability
that people have to manage

day in and day out,

because of the lack of social systems.

And it actually turns out

that this feature of life
is incredibly difficult to explain

and be understood by people
who are living outside of it.

I discovered this when I left Kosovo.

I came back to Boston,
I became a physician,

I became a global public
health policy researcher.

I joined the Harvard Medical School

and Brigham and Women’s Hospital
Division of Global Health.

And I, as a researcher,

really wanted to get started
on this problem right away.

I was like, “How do we reduce
the crushing vulnerability

of people living in these types
of fragile settings?

Is there any way
we can start to think about

how to protect and quickly recover

the institutions
that are critical to survival,

like the health system?”

And I have to say,
I had amazing colleagues.

But one interesting thing about it was,

this was sort of an unusual
question for them.

They were kind of like,
“Oh, if you work in war,

doesn’t that mean
you work on refugee camps,

and you work on documenting
mass atrocities?” –

which is, by the way, very,
very, very important.

So it took me a while to explain
why I was so passionate about this issue,

until about six years ago.

That’s when this landmark study

that looked at and described
the public health consequences of war

was published.

They came to an incredible,
provocative conclusion.

These researchers concluded

that the vast majority of death
and disability from war

happens after the cessation of conflict.

So the most dangerous time to be a person
living in a conflict-affected state

is after the cessation of hostilities;

it’s after the peace deal has been signed.

It’s when that political solution
has been achieved.

That seems so puzzling,
but of course it’s not,

because war kills people
by robbing them of their clinics,

of their hospitals,

of their supply chains.

Their doctors are targeted, are killed;
they’re on the run.

And more invisible
and yet more deadly is the destruction

of the health governance institutions
and their finances.

So this is really not
surprising at all to me.

But what is surprising
and somewhat dismaying,

is how little impact this insight has had,

in terms of how we think
about human suffering and war.

Let me give you a couple examples.

Last year, you may remember,

Ebola hit the West African
country of Liberia.

There was a lot of reporting
about this group, Doctors Without Borders,

sounding the alarm
and calling for aid and assistance.

But not a lot of that reporting
answered the question:

Why is Doctors Without Borders
even in Liberia?

Doctors Without Borders
is an amazing organization,

dedicated and designed to provide
emergency care in war zones.

Liberia’s civil war had ended in 2003 –

that was 11 years
before Ebola even struck.

When Ebola struck Liberia,

there were less than 50 doctors
in the entire country

of 4.5 million people.

Doctors Without Borders is in Liberia

because Liberia still doesn’t really have
a functioning health system,

11 years later.

When the earthquake hit Haiti in 2010,

the outpouring of international
aid was phenomenal.

But did you know that only
two percent of that funding

went to rebuild
Haitian public institutions,

including its health sector?

From that perspective,

Haitians continue to die
from the earthquake even today.

I recently met this gentleman.

This is Dr. Nezar Ismet.

He’s the Minister of Health
in the northern autonomous region of Iraq,

in Kurdistan.

Here he is announcing
that in the last nine months,

his country, his region, has increased
from four million people

to five million people.

That’s a 25 percent increase.

Thousands of these new arrivals
have experienced incredible trauma.

His doctors are working
16-hour days without pay.

His budget has not increased
by 25 percent;

it has decreased by 20 percent,

as funding has flowed to security concerns
and to short-term relief efforts.

When his health sector fails –

and if history is any guide, it will –

how do you think that’s going to influence

the decision making
of the five million people in his region

as they think about
whether they should flee

that type of vulnerable living situation?

So as you can see,
this is a frustrating topic for me,

and I really try to understand:

Why the reluctance to protect and support

indigenous health systems
and security systems?

I usually tier two concerns,
two arguments.

The first concern is about corruption,

and the concern that people
in these settings are corrupt

and they are untrustworthy.

And I will admit that I have met
unsavory characters

working in health sectors
in these situations.

But I will tell you that the opposite
is absolutely true

in every case I have worked on,

from Afghanistan to Libya, to Kosovo,
to Haiti, to Liberia –

I have met inspiring people,

who, when the chips were down
for their country,

they risked everything
to save their health institutions.

The trick for the outsider
who wants to help

is identifying who those individuals are,

and building a pathway for them to lead.

That is exactly what happened
in Afghanistan.

One of the unsung and untold
success stories

of our nation-building effort
in Afghanistan

involved the World Bank in 2002
investing heavily

in identifying, training and promoting
Afghani health sector leaders.

These health sector leaders
have pulled off an incredible feat

in Afghanistan.

They have aggressively increased
access to health care

for the majority of the population.

They are rapidly improving
the health status

of the Afghan population,

which used to be the worst in the world.

In fact, the Afghan Ministry
of Health does things

that I wish we would do in America.

They use things like data to make policy.

It’s incredible.

(Laughter)

The other concern I hear a lot about is:

“We just can’t afford it,
we just don’t have the money.

It’s just unsustainable.”

I would submit to you
that the current situation

and the current system we have

is the most expensive, inefficient system
we could possibly conceive of.

The current situation
is that when governments like the US –

or, let’s say, the collection
of governments

that make up the European Commission –

every year, they spend 15 billion dollars

on just humanitarian and emergency
and disaster relief worldwide.

That’s nothing about foreign aid,
that’s just disaster relief.

Ninety-five percent of it
goes to international relief agencies,

that then have to import resources
into these areas,

and knit together some type
of temporary health system, let’s say,

which they then dismantle and send away
when they run out of money.

So our job, it turns out, is very clear.

We, as the global health
community policy experts,

our first job is to become experts
in how to monitor

the strengths and vulnerabilities
of health systems

in threatened situations.

And that’s when we see doctors fleeing,

when we see health resources drying up,

when we see institutions crumbling –

that’s the emergency.

That’s when we need to sound the alarm
and wave our arms.

OK?

Not now.

Everyone can see that’s an emergency,
they don’t need us to tell them that.

Number two:

places like where I work at Harvard
need to take their cue

from the World Bank experience
in Afghanistan,

and we need to – and we will –

build robust platforms to support
health sector leaders like these.

These people risk their lives.

I think we can match their courage
with some support.

Number three:

we need to reach out
and make new partnerships.

At our global health center,

we have launched a new initiative
with NATO and other security policy makers

to explore with them what they can do
to protect health system institutions

during deployments.

We want them to see

that protecting health systems
and other critical social institutions

is an integral part of their mission.

It’s not just about avoiding
collateral damage;

it’s about winning the peace.

But the most important partner
we need to engage is you,

the American public,
and indeed, the world public.

Because unless you understand
the value of social institutions,

like health systems
in these fragile settings,

you won’t support efforts to save them.

You won’t click on that article

that talks about “Hey, all those
doctors are on the run in country X.

I wonder what that means.

I wonder what that means

for that health system’s ability
to, let’s say, detect influenza.”

“Hmm, it’s probably not good.”
That’s what I’d tell you.

Up on the screen,

I’ve put up my three favorite American
institution defenders and builders.

Over here is George C. Marshall,

he was the guy that proposed
the Marshall Plan

to save all of Europe’s economic
institutions after World War II.

And this Eleanor Roosevelt.

Her work on human rights
really serves as the foundation

for all of our international
human rights organizations.

Then my big favorite is Ben Franklin,

who did many things
in terms of creating institutions,

but was the midwife of our constitution.

And I would say to you

that these are folks who, when our
country was threatened,

or our world was threatened,

they didn’t retreat.

They didn’t talk about building walls.

They talked about building institutions
to protect human security,

for their generation and also for ours.

And I think our generation
should do the same.

Thank you.

(Applause)

那么你有没有想过

住在一个没有规则的地方会是什么样子?

这听起来很酷。

(笑声)

然而,你一天早上醒来

,你发现没有规则的原因

是因为没有政府
,没有法律。

事实上,所有的社会制度
都消失了。

所以没有学校,

没有医院,

没有警察,

没有银行,

没有体育俱乐部,

没有公用事业。

嗯,我
对这是什么样子有点了解,

因为当我
1999 年还是一名医科学生时,

我在
科索沃战争期间在巴尔干半岛的一个难民营工作。

战争结束后,

我得到了医学院的许可——难以置信
——我

可以休假一段时间

,跟随
我在营地里结识的一些家庭

回到他们在科索沃的村庄

,了解他们如何在科索沃
生活 这种战后环境。

战后科索沃
是一个非常有趣的地方,

因为北约部队在那里,

主要是为了
确保战争不会再次爆发。

但除此之外,
它实际上是一个无法无天的地方

,几乎所有的社会机构,
无论是公共的还是私人的,

都被摧毁了。

所以我可以告诉你

,当你进入其中一种
情况和设置时,

这绝对是令人兴奋的

……大约 30 分钟,

因为这大约需要多长时间才能

让你意识到
自己是多么脆弱 .

对我来说,
当我必须通过第一个检查站时

,我意识到当我开车时

,我将

与一个全副武装的

人谈判通过这个检查站,如果他决定当场向
我开枪,

实际上 不会做
任何违法的事情。

但与我在那一年认识的家庭的脆弱相比,我所拥有的脆弱感
绝对算不上什么

你看,在一个
没有社会制度

的社会里,生活充满了危险和不确定性,

还有一些简单的问题,比如
“我们今晚要吃什么?”

回答起来很复杂。

当你没有任何安全系统时,关于安全的问题

是可怕的。


和街区里的邻居发生的争吵

会变成一场暴力事件
,结束我

或我家人的生命吗?

没有卫生系统时的健康问题也很

可怕。

我听了许多家庭
必须解决诸如

“我的婴儿发烧了。
我该怎么办?”之类的问题。

“我姐姐怀孕了
,流血了,怎么

办?找谁?”

“医生
在哪里,护士在哪里?

如果我能找到一个,他们是否值得信赖?

我将如何支付他们?
我将用什么货币支付他们?”

“如果我需要药物,
我在哪里可以找到它们?

如果我服用那些药物,
它们真的是假药吗?”

不断地。

因此,对于在这些环境中

的生活来说,生活的主要主题、主要特征

是由于缺乏社会制度,人们不得不日复一日地应对令人难以置信的脆弱性

事实

证明,生活的这种
特征很难

被生活在它之外的人解释和理解。

我在离开科索沃时发现了这一点。

我回到波士顿,
成为一名医生

,成为一名全球
公共卫生政策研究员。

我加入了哈佛医学院

和布莱根妇女医院
全球健康部。

而我,作为一名研究人员,

真的很想
马上着手解决这个问题。

我当时想,“我们如何减少

生活在这些脆弱环境中的人们的极度脆弱性

?我们有什么
办法可以开始思考

如何保护和快速恢复

对生存至关重要的机构,

比如卫生系统 ?”

我不得不说,
我有很棒的同事。

但有趣的是,

这对他们来说是一个不寻常的
问题。

他们有点像,
“哦,如果你在战争中工作,

那是不是意味着
你在难民营

工作,你在记录
大规模暴行?” ——

顺便说一句,这非常、
非常、非常重要。

所以我花了一段时间来解释
为什么我对这个问题如此热情,

直到大约六年前。

就在那时,

这项研究并描述
了战争的公共卫生后果的具有里程碑意义的研究

发表了。

他们得出了一个令人难以置信的
挑衅性结论。

这些研究人员得出的

结论是,战争造成的绝大多数死亡
和残疾

发生在冲突停止之后。

因此,对于一个生活在受冲突影响国家的人来说,最危险的时期

是在敌对行动停止之后;

这是在和平协议签署之后。

到那时,政治解决方案
已经实现。

这看起来很令人费解,
但当然不是,

因为战争会
夺走人们的诊所

、医院

和供应链,从而杀死他们。

他们的医生被盯上,被杀;
他们在逃。


无形但更致命的是

对卫生治理机构
及其财务的破坏。

所以这对我来说真的一点也不
奇怪。

但令人惊讶
和有些沮丧的

是,就我们如何看待人类苦难和战争而言,这种洞察力所产生的影响是如此之小

让我举几个例子。

去年,你可能还记得,

埃博拉病毒袭击了西非
国家利比里亚。

有很多
关于这个组织的报道,无国界医生,

拉响警报
并呼吁援助和援助。

但没有多少报道
回答了这个问题:

为什么无国界医生组织
甚至在利比里亚?

无国界医生
是一个了不起的组织,

致力于
在战区提供紧急护理。

利比里亚的内战于 2003 年结束——

那是
埃博拉病毒爆发前 11 年。

当埃博拉病毒袭击利比里亚时,全国 450 万人口中

只有不到 50 名医生

无国界医生组织之所以在利比里亚,

是因为 11 年后,利比里亚仍然没有真正
拥有运作良好的卫生系统

2010 年海地发生地震时

,国际援助的大量涌现
是惊人的。

但您知道吗,只有
2% 的

资金用于重建
海地公共机构,

包括其卫生部门?

从这个角度来看,即使在今天,

海地人仍在继续
死于地震。

我最近遇到了这位先生。

这是 Nezar Ismet 博士。


是伊拉克北部

自治区库尔德斯坦的卫生部长。

他在这里宣布
,在过去的九个月里,

他的国家,他的地区,
从 400 万人

增加到了 500 万人。

这增加了 25%。

数以千计的新来
者经历了难以置信的创伤。

他的医生
每天无薪工作 16 小时。

他的预算没有
增加 25%;

由于资金流向了安全问题
和短期救济工作,因此减少了 20%。

当他的卫生部门失败时

——如果历史可以作为指导,它会——

你认为这将如何影响

他所在地区的 500 万人的决策,

因为他们考虑
是否应该逃离

那种脆弱的生活 情况?

正如你所看到的,
这对我来说是一个令人沮丧的话题

,我真的试图理解:

为什么不愿意保护和支持

土著卫生系统
和安全系统?

我通常把两个关注点,
两个论点放在一起。

第一个关注点是腐败,担心

这些环境中的人腐败

且不值得信任。

我承认,在这些情况下,我遇到了

在卫生部门工作的令人讨厌的角色

但我会告诉你,在

我所从事的每一个案例中,

从阿富汗到利比亚,到科索沃,
到海地,到利比里亚,情况都完全相反——

我遇到了鼓舞人心的

人,他们在
为他们的国家而努力的时候 ,

他们冒着一切风险
拯救他们的医疗机构。

对于想要提供帮助的局外人来说,诀窍

是确定这些人是谁,

并为他们建立一条领导途径。

这正是阿富汗发生的事情

我们在阿富汗的国家建设努力中不为人知且不为人知的
成功故事

之一是世界银行在 2002 年
大力投资

于确定、培训和提升
阿富汗卫生部门的领导人。

这些卫生部门的领导人
在阿富汗取得了令人难以置信的壮举

他们积极增加了大多数人口
获得医疗保健的机会

他们正在迅速改善

阿富汗人口的健康状况,

这曾经是世界上最糟糕的。

事实上,阿富汗
卫生部做

了我希望我们在美国能做的事情。

他们使用诸如数据之类的东西来制定政策。

这太不可思议了。

(笑声)

我经常听到的另一个担忧是:

“我们负担不起,
我们只是没有钱。

这是不可持续的。”

我会向你
提出,目前的情况

和我们现有的

系统是我们可能想到的最昂贵、效率最低的系统

目前的情况
是,当像美国这样的政府——

或者,比方说

,组成欧盟委员会的政府集合——时

,他们每年

在全球范围内仅在人道主义、紧急
和救灾方面花费 150 亿美元。

这与外援无关,
这只是救灾。

其中 95%
流向国际救援机构

,然后它们必须
向这些地区输入资源,

并组织某种类型
的临时卫生系统,比如说,当资金用完时

,它们会拆除并送走

事实证明,我们的工作非常明确。

作为全球卫生
界政策专家,

我们的首要工作是成为专家
,了解如何

在受威胁的情况下监测卫生系统的优势和脆弱性。

当我们看到医生逃离,

当我们看到医疗资源枯竭,

当我们看到机构崩溃时——

这就是紧急情况。

那是我们需要拉响警报
并挥动手臂的时候。

好的?

现在不要。

每个人都可以看到这是紧急情况,
他们不需要我们告诉他们。

第二:

像我在哈佛工作的地方
需要从世界银行

在阿富汗的经验中汲取灵感

,我们需要——而且我们将——

建立强大的平台来支持
这些卫生部门的领导者。

这些人冒着生命危险。

我认为我们可以将他们的勇气
与一些支持相匹配。

第三:

我们需要伸出援手
并建立新的伙伴关系。

在我们的全球卫生中心,

我们
与北约和其他安全政策制定者

共同发起了一项新举措,与他们一起探讨在部署期间可以采取哪些措施
来保护卫生系统机构

我们希望他们看到

,保护卫生系统
和其他重要的社会机构

是他们使命的一个组成部分。

这不仅仅是为了避免
附带损害;

这是关于赢得和平。

但我们需要接触的最重要的合作伙伴
是你们

、美国公众,
甚至是世界公众。

因为除非你了解
社会机构的价值,

比如
这些脆弱环境中的卫生系统,否则

你不会支持拯救它们的努力。

你不会点击

那篇关于“嘿,所有这些
医生都在 X 国逃亡的文章

。我想知道这意味着什么。

我想知道这

对卫生系统
检测流感的能力意味着什么。”

“嗯,应该不太好吧。”
这就是我要告诉你的。

在屏幕上,

我展示了我最喜欢的三位美国
机构维护者和建设者。

这边是乔治·C·马歇尔,

他是二战后
提出马歇尔计划

以拯救欧洲所有经济
机构的人。

还有这个埃莉诺罗斯福。

她在人权方面的工作
确实

是我们所有国际
人权组织的基础。

然后我最喜欢的是本富兰克林,


在创建机构方面做了很多事情,

但还是我们宪法的助产士。

我要对你们

说,这些人,当我们的
国家受到威胁,

或者我们的世界受到威胁时,

他们并没有退缩。

他们没有谈论建造墙壁。

他们谈到建立机构
来保护人类安全,

为他们这一代人,也为我们这一代人。

我认为我们这一代也
应该这样做。

谢谢你。

(掌声)