4 ways we can avoid a catastrophic drought David Sedlak

Our grandparents' generation
created an amazing system

of canals and reservoirs
that made it possible

for people to live in places
where there wasn’t a lot of water.

For example, during the Great Depression,

they created the Hoover Dam,

which in turn, created Lake Mead

and made it possible for the cities
of Las Vegas and Phoenix

and Los Angeles to provide water

for people who lived
in a really dry place.

In the 20th century,
we literally spent trillions of dollars

building infrastructure
to get water to our cities.

In terms of economic development,
it was a great investment.

But in the last decade,
we’ve seen the combined effects

of climate change, population growth
and competition for water resources

threaten these vital lifelines
and water resources.

This figure shows you the change
in the lake level of Lake Mead

that happened in the last 15 years.

You can see starting around the year 2000,

the lake level started to drop.

And it was dropping at such a rate

that it would have left the drinking water
intakes for Las Vegas high and dry.

The city became so concerned about this

that they recently constructed
a new drinking water intake structure

that they referred to as the “Third Straw”

to pull water out
of the greater depths of the lake.

The challenges associated
with providing water to a modern city

are not restricted
to the American Southwest.

In the year 2007, the third largest
city in Australia, Brisbane,

came within 6 months
of running out of water.

A similar drama is playing out today
in São Paulo, Brazil,

where the main reservoir for the city

has gone from being
completely full in 2010,

to being nearly empty today

as the city approaches
the 2016 Summer Olympics.

For those of us who are fortunate enough

to live in one
of the world’s great cities,

we’ve never truly experienced
the effects of a catastrophic drought.

We like to complain
about the navy showers we have to take.

We like our neighbors to see
our dirty cars and our brown lawns.

But we’ve never really faced
the prospect of turning on the tap

and having nothing come out.

And that’s because when things
have gotten bad in the past,

it’s always been possible
to expand a reservoir

or dig a few more groundwater wells.

Well, in a time when all
of the water resources are spoken for,

it’s not going to be possible
to rely on this tried and true way

of providing ourselves with water.

Some people think that we’re going
to solve the urban water problem

by taking water from our rural neighbors.

But that’s an approach that’s fraught
with political, legal and social dangers.

And even if we succeed in grabbing
the water from our rural neighbors,

we’re just transferring
the problem to someone else

and there’s a good chance
it will come back and bite us

in the form of higher food prices

and damage to the aquatic ecosystems
that already rely upon that water.

I think that there’s a better way
to solve our urban water crisis

and I think that’s to open up
four new local sources of water

that I liken to faucets.

If we can make smart investments
in these new sources of water

in the coming years,

we can solve our urban water problem

and decrease the likelihood
that we’ll ever run across

the effects of a catastrophic drought.

Now, if you told me 20 years ago

that a modern city could exist
without a supply of imported water,

I probably would have dismissed you
as an unrealistic and uninformed dreamer.

But my own experiences

working with some of the world’s most
water-starved cities in the last decades

have shown me that we have
the technologies and the management skills

to actually transition away
from imported water,

and that’s what I want
to tell you about tonight.

The first source of local water
supply that we need to develop

to solve our urban water problem

will flow with the rainwater
that falls in our cities.

One of the great tragedies
of urban development

is that as our cities grew,

we started covering all the surfaces
with concrete and asphalt.

And when we did that,
we had to build storm sewers

to get the water
that fell on the cities out

before it could cause flooding,

and that’s a waste
of a vital water resource.

Let me give you an example.

This figure here shows you
the volume of water

that could be collected
in the city of San Jose

if they could harvest the stormwater
that fell within the city limits.

You can see from the intersection
of the blue line and the black dotted line

that if San Jose could just capture half
of the water that fell within the city,

they’d have enough water
to get them through an entire year.

Now, I know what some of you
are probably thinking.

“The answer to our problem
is to start building great big tanks

and attaching them
to the downspouts of our roof gutters,

rainwater harvesting.”

Now, that’s an idea
that might work in some places.

But if you live in a place
where it mainly rains in the winter time

and most of the water demand
is in the summertime,

it’s not a very cost-effective way
to solve a water problem.

And if you experience the effects
of a multiyear drought,

like California’s currently experiencing,

you just can’t build a rainwater tank
that’s big enough to solve your problem.

I think there’s a lot more practical way

to harvest the stormwater and
the rainwater that falls in our cities,

and that’s to capture it
and let it percolate into the ground.

After all, many of our cities are sitting
on top of a natural water storage system

that can accommodate
huge volumes of water.

For example, historically,
Los Angeles has obtained

about a third of its water supply
from a massive aquifer

that underlies the San Fernando Valley.

Now, when you look at the water
that comes off of your roof

and runs off of your lawn
and flows down the gutter,

you might say to yourself,
“Do I really want to drink that stuff?”

Well, the answer is
you don’t want to drink it

until it’s been treated a little bit.

And so the challenge that we face
in urban water harvesting

is to capture the water, clean the water

and get it underground.

And that’s exactly
what the city of Los Angeles is doing

with a new project that they’re building
in Burbank, California.

This figure here shows
the stormwater park that they’re building

by hooking a series of stormwater
collection systems, or storm sewers,

and routing that water
into an abandoned gravel quarry.

The water that’s captured in the quarry

is slowly passed
through a man-made wetland,

and then it goes
into that ball field there

and percolates into the ground,

recharging the drinking water
aquifer of the city.

And in the process
of passing through the wetland

and percolating through the ground,

the water encounters microbes
that live on the surfaces of the plants

and the surfaces of the soil,

and that purifies the water.

And if the water’s
still not clean enough to drink

after it’s been through
this natural treatment process,

the city can treat it again

when they pump if back out
of the groundwater aquifers

before they deliver it to people to drink.

The second tap that we need to open up
to solve our urban water problem

will flow with the wastewater

that comes out
of our sewage treatment plants.

Now, many of you are probably familiar
with the concept of recycled water.

You’ve probably seen signs like this

that tell you that the shrubbery
and the highway median

and the local golf course

is being watered with water

that used to be
in a sewage treatment plant.

We’ve been doing this
for a couple of decades now.

But what we’re learning
from our experience

is that this approach is much more
expensive that we expected it to be.

Because once we build
the first few water recycling systems

close to the sewage treatment plant,

we have to build longer
and longer pipe networks

to get that water to where it needs to go.

And that becomes prohibitive
in terms of cost.

What we’re finding is

that a much more cost-effective
and practical way of recycling wastewater

is to turn treated wastewater
into drinking water

through a two-step process.

In the first step in this process
we pressurize the water

and pass it through
a reverse osmosis membrane:

a thin, permeable plastic membrane

that allows water molecules
to pass through

but traps and retains the salts,
the viruses and the organic chemicals

that might be present in the wastewater.

In the second step in the process,

we add a small amount of hydrogen peroxide

and shine ultraviolet light on the water.

The ultraviolet light
cleaves the hydrogen peroxide

into two parts that are called
hydroxyl radicals,

and these hydroxyl radicals
are very potent forms of oxygen

that break down most organic chemicals.

After the water’s been
through this two-stage process,

it’s safe to drink.

I know,

I’ve been studying recycled water

using every measurement technique
known to modern science

for the past 15 years.

We’ve detected some chemicals

that can make it through
the first step in the process,

but by the time we get to the second step,

the advanced oxidation process,

we rarely see any chemicals present.

And that’s in stark contrast
to the taken-for-granted water supplies

that we regularly drink all the time.

There’s another way we can recycle water.

This is an engineered treatment wetland
that we recently built

on the Santa Ana River
in Southern California.

The treatment wetland receives water
from a part of the Santa Ana River

that in the summertime consists
almost entirely of wastewater effluent

from cities like Riverside
and San Bernardino.

The water comes
into our treatment wetland,

it’s exposed to sunlight and algae

and those break down
the organic chemicals,

remove the nutrients
and inactivate the waterborne pathogens.

The water gets put back
in the Santa Ana River,

it flows down to Anaheim,

gets taken out at Anaheim
and percolated into the ground,

and becomes the drinking water
of the city of Anaheim,

completing the trip
from the sewers of Riverside County

to the drinking water supply
of Orange County.

Now, you might think
that this idea of drinking wastewater

is some sort of futuristic fantasy
or not commonly done.

Well, in California, we already recycle
about 40 billion gallons a year

of wastewater through the two-stage
advanced treatment process

I was telling you about.

That’s enough water to be
the supply of about a million people

if it were their sole water supply.

The third tap that we need to open up
will not be a tap at all,

it will be a kind of virtual tap,

it will be the water conservation
that we manage to do.

And the place where we need to think
about water conservation is outdoors

because in California
and other modern American cities,

about half of our water use
happens outdoors.

In the current drought,

we’ve seen that it’s possible

to have our lawns survive
and our plants survive

with about half as much water.

So there’s no need
to start painting concrete green

and putting in Astroturf
and buying cactuses.

We can have California-friendly
landscaping with soil moisture detectors

and smart irrigation controllers

and have beautiful
green landscapes in our cities.

The fourth and final water tap
that we need to open up

to solve our urban water problem

will flow with desalinated seawater.

Now, I know what you probably heard
people say about seawater desalination.

“It’s a great thing to do if you have
lots of oil, not a lot of water

and you don’t care about climate change.”

Seawater desalination is energy-intensive
no matter how you slice it.

But that characterization
of seawater desalination

as being a nonstarter
is hopelessly out of date.

We’ve made tremendous progress
in seawater desalination

in the past two decades.

This picture shows you

the largest seawater desalination plant
in the Western hemisphere

that’s currently being built
north of San Diego.

Compared to the seawater
desalination plant

that was built in
Santa Barbara 25 years ago,

this treatment plant
will use about half the energy

to produce a gallon of water.

But just because seawater desalination
has become less energy-intensive,

doesn’t mean we should start building
desalination plants everywhere.

Among the different choices we have,

it’s probably the most energy-intensive

and potentially environmentally damaging

of the options to create
a local water supply.

So there it is.

With these four sources of water,

we can move away
from our reliance on imported water.

Through reform in the way we landscape
our surfaces and our properties,

we can reduce outdoor water use
by about 50 percent,

thereby increasing
the water supply by 25 percent.

We can recycle the water
that makes it into the sewer,

thereby increasing
our water supply by 40 percent.

And we can make up the difference
through a combination

of stormwater harvesting
and seawater desalination.

So, let’s create a water supply

that will be able
to withstand any of the challenges

that climate change throws at us
in the coming years.

Let’s create a water supply
that uses local sources

and leaves more water
in the environment for fish and for food.

Let’s create a water system that’s
consistent with out environmental values.

And let’s do it for our children
and our grandchildren

and let’s tell them this is the system

that they have to
take care of in the future

because it’s our last chance
to create a new kind of water system.

Thank you very much for your attention.

(Applause)

我们的祖父母一代
创造了一个惊人

的运河和水库系统

使人们能够生活在
没有很多水的地方。

例如,在大萧条期间,

他们建造了胡佛水坝,而胡佛水坝

又创造了米德湖

,使
拉斯维加斯、凤凰城

和洛杉矶等城市能够为

生活
在非常干燥的地方的人们提供水源。

在 20 世纪,
我们确实花费了数万亿美元

建设基础设施
来为我们的城市供水。

在经济发展方面,
这是一笔巨大的投资。

但在过去十年中,
我们已经看到

气候变化、人口增长
和水资源竞争的综合影响

威胁着这些重要的生命线
和水资源。

该图显示了过去 15 年
米德湖湖水位

的变化。

你可以看到从 2000 年左右

开始,湖水位开始下降。

而且它的下降速度如此之快

,以至于拉斯维加斯的饮用水
摄入量高而干燥。

这座城市对此非常关注,

以至于他们最近建造
了一个新的饮用水取水口结构

,他们称之为“第三根稻草”,

以将水从
湖的更深处抽出。

为现代城市供水

所面临的挑战不仅
限于美国西南部。

2007 年,澳大利亚第三
大城市布里斯班

在 6 个月
内就出现了缺水现象。

今天在巴西圣保罗上演了一场类似的戏剧,随着这座城市临近 2016 年夏季奥运会

,该市的主要水库

已从
2010 年完全水满,

到今天几乎空无一人

对于我们这些

有幸生活在
世界上最伟大的城市之一的人来说,

我们从未真正经历
过灾难性干旱的影响。

我们喜欢
抱怨我们必须接受的海军淋浴。

我们喜欢我们的邻居看到
我们的脏车和棕色的草坪。

但我们从来没有真正面对
过打开水龙头

却一无所获的前景。

那是因为当
过去情况变得糟糕时

,总是
可以扩大水库

或再挖几口地下水井。

好吧,在
所有水资源都被提及的时代,

依靠这种久经考验的真实方式

为我们自己提供水是不可能的。

有些人认为我们将

通过从农村邻居那里取水来解决城市用水问题。

但这是一种
充满政治、法律和社会危险的方法。

即使我们成功地
从农村邻居那里抢到了水,

我们只是
将问题转移给了其他人,

而且很有可能
它会

以更高的食品价格

和对水生生态系统的破坏的形式反过来咬
我们 已经依赖那水了。

我认为有一个更好的方法
来解决我们的城市水资源危机

,我认为那就是开辟
四个新的当地水源

,我把它们比作水龙头。

如果我们能够在未来几年
对这些新的水源进行明智的投资

我们就可以解决我们的城市用水问题,

并降低
我们遭遇

灾难性干旱影响的可能性。

现在,如果你在 20 年前告诉我

,一个现代化的城市可以在
没有进口水供应的情况下存在,

我可能会认为你
是一个不切实际和无知的梦想家。

但我在过去几十年

中与世界上一些最
缺水的城市合作的经历

告诉我,我们拥有真正从进口水过渡
的技术和管理技能

,这就是我
今晚想告诉你们的。 为解决城市用水问题,我们需要开发

的第一个当地供水源

将与流入我们城市的雨水一起流动
。 城市发展的

一大悲剧

是,随着城市的发展,

我们开始
用混凝土和沥青覆盖所有表面。

当我们这样做的时候,
我们必须建造雨水管道

,以便
在城市

洪水泛滥之前将雨水排出,这

是对重要水资源的浪费。

让我给你举个例子。

此图向您展示
了圣何塞市

可以收集的水量,前提

是他们可以收集
城市范围内的雨水。

你可以从
蓝线和黑虚线的交点看到

,如果圣何塞能够捕获
城市内一半的水,

他们就有足够的水
度过一整年。

现在,我知道你们
中的一些人可能在想什么。

“我们的问题的答案
是开始建造大型水箱

,并将它们连接
到我们屋顶排水沟的落水管上,

收集雨水。”

现在,这个想法
可能在某些地方奏效。

但是如果你住在一个
冬季主要下雨,

而大部分用水需求
是在夏季的地方,

那么解决用水问题就不是一个非常划算的
方法。

如果你经历
了多年干旱的影响,

就像加利福尼亚目前正在经历的那样,

你就无法建造一个足够大的雨水箱
来解决你的问题。

我认为有很多更实用的方法

来收集雨水和
流入我们城市的雨水

,那就是捕获它
并让它渗入地下。

毕竟,我们的许多城市都坐落
在可以容纳大量水的天然储水系统

之上。

例如,从历史上看,
洛杉矶

大约三分之一的供水
来自

圣费尔南多谷下的一个巨大的含水层。

现在,当你看着从屋顶流出的水
,从

草坪上流下来,顺着排水沟流下来时,

你可能会对自己说,
“我真的想喝那些东西吗?”

嗯,答案是
你不想喝它,

直到它得到一点处理。

因此,我们
在城市集水方面面临的挑战

是捕获水、净化水

并将其置于地下。


正是洛杉矶市正在做

的一个新项目,他们正在
加利福尼亚州伯班克建造。

这张图显示
了他们

通过连接一系列雨水
收集系统或雨水管,

并将雨水输送
到废弃的砾石采石场来建造的雨水公园。

在采石场捕获的水

慢慢地
通过人造湿地,

然后
进入那里

的球场并渗入地下,

补充城市的饮用水
含水层。

并且在
穿过湿地

和渗透地面的过程中

,水遇到
了生活在植物

表面和土壤表面的微生物

,从而净化了水。

如果水在经过这种自然处理过程后
仍然不够干净,无法饮用,

如果在将水
从地下水含水层中抽出,

然后再将其输送给人们饮用,城市可以再次对其进行处理。 为了解决城市用水问题

,我们需要打开的第二个水龙头

将与污水处理厂排出的废水一起

流出。

现在,你们中的许多人可能
熟悉再生水的概念。

您可能已经看到这样的标志

,告诉您灌木丛
和高速公路中间地带

以及当地的高尔夫球场

正在用曾经
在污水处理厂中的水浇灌。

我们已经这样
做了几十年了。


我们从经验中学到的

是,这种方法
比我们预期的要昂贵得多。

因为一旦我们在污水处理厂附近建造
了最初的几个水循环系统

我们就必须建造
越来越长的管网

,才能将水输送到需要去的地方。

这在成本方面变得令人望而却步

我们发现

,一种更具成本效益
和实用的废水回收方法

是通过两步过程将处理过的废水
转化为饮用水

在这个过程的第一步,
我们对水加压

并使其
通过反渗透膜:

一种薄的、可渗透的塑料膜

,它允许水
分子通过,

但捕获并保留可能存在的盐
、病毒和有机化学

物质 在废水中。

在该过程的第二步中,

我们添加少量过氧化氢

并用紫外线照射水。

紫外线
将过氧化氢分解

成称为
羟基自由基的两部分

,这些羟基自由基
是非常有效的氧气形式

,可以分解大多数有机化学物质。


经过这两个阶段的过程后,

就可以安全饮用了。

我知道,在过去的 15 年里,

我一直在

使用
现代科学已知的每一种测量技术来研究循环水

我们已经检测到一些化学

物质可以通过
该过程的第一步,

但是当我们进入第二步,

即高级氧化过程时,

我们很少看到任何化学物质存在。

这与

我们经常饮用的理所当然的供水形成鲜明对比。

我们还有另一种方法可以循环利用水。


是我们最近在南加州

圣安娜河上建造的工程处理湿地

处理湿地
从圣安娜河的一部分接收水

,在夏季,该河
几乎完全

由河滨和圣贝纳迪诺等城市的废水组成


进入我们的处理湿地

,暴露在阳光和藻类中

,它们会
分解有机化学物质,

去除营养物质
并灭活水中的病原体。

水被
放回圣安娜河

,流向阿纳海姆,

在阿纳海姆被取出
并渗入地下

,成为
阿纳海姆市的饮用水,

完成
从河滨县的下水道


橙县的饮用水供应。

现在,您可能会
认为这种喝废水的想法

是某种未来主义的幻想,
或者不常见。

好吧,在加利福尼亚,我们已经

通过我告诉你的两阶段
高级处理过程每年回收了

大约 400 亿加仑的废水。 如果这是他们唯一

的供水,那足以供应大约一百万人

我们需要打开的第三
个水龙头根本就不是水龙头,

它会是一种虚拟的水龙头,

它将
是我们设法做到的节水。

我们需要考虑
节约用水的地方是户外,

因为在加利福尼亚
和其他现代美国城市,

我们大约一半的用水
发生在户外。

在当前的干旱中,

我们已经看到

我们的草坪可以
生存,我们的植物可以

用大约一半的水生存。

所以没有
必要开始将混凝土粉刷成绿色

,放入人造草皮
和购买仙人掌。

我们可以
使用土壤湿度检测器

和智能灌溉控制器进行加州友好的景观美化,并

在我们的城市中拥有美丽的绿色景观。 为了解决我们的城市用水问题,我们需要打开

的第四个也是最后一个水龙头

将使用淡化海水流动。

现在,我知道你可能听说过
人们对海水淡化的看法。

“如果你有
很多石油,而不是很多水,

而且你不关心气候变化,这是一件很棒的事情。”

海水淡化是能源密集型的,
无论您如何切片。

但是,

海水淡化定性
为行不通的做法已经完全过时了。

在过去的二十年里,我们在海水淡化方面取得了巨大的进步。

这张照片向您

展示了目前正在圣地亚哥北部建造的西半球最大的海水淡化厂

与 25 年前

在圣巴巴拉建造的海水淡化厂相比

这个处理厂
将使用大约一半的能源

来生产一加仑的水。

但仅仅因为海水淡化
已经变得不那么耗能,

并不意味着我们应该开始
在各地建造海水淡化厂。

在我们拥有的不同选择中,

它可能是创建当地供水的选择中最耗能

且可能对环境造成破坏

的选择

就这样。

有了这四种水源,

我们就可以
摆脱对进口水的依赖。

通过改革
我们的表面和物业景观方式,

我们可以将室外用水量
减少约 50%,

从而
将供水量增加 25%。

我们可以回收
进入下水道的水,

从而将
我们的供水量增加 40%。

我们可以

通过雨水收集
和海水淡化相结合来弥补差异。

所以,让我们创造一个

能够承受未来几年

气候变化给我们
带来的任何挑战的供水系统。

让我们创建
一个使用当地资源的供水系统,


在环境中为鱼类和食物留下更多的水。

让我们创建一个
符合环境价值的水系统。

让我们为我们的子孙后代做这件事

,让我们告诉他们这是

他们
未来必须照顾的系统,

因为这是我们
创造一种新型水系统的最后机会。

非常感谢您的关注。

(掌声)