The surprising thing I learned sailing solo around the world Dame Ellen MacArthur

When you’re a child,

anything and everything is possible.

The challenge, so often,
is hanging on to that as we grow up.

And as a four-year-old,

I had the opportunity
to sail for the first time.

I will never forget
the excitement as we closed the coast.

I will never forget

the feeling of adventure
as I climbed on board the boat

and stared into her tiny cabin
for the first time.

But the most amazing feeling
was the feeling of freedom,

the feeling that I felt
when we hoisted her sails.

As a four-year-old child,

it was the greatest sense of freedom
that I could ever imagine.

I made my mind up there and then
that one day, somehow,

I was going to sail around the world.

So I did what I could in my life
to get closer to that dream.

Age 10, it was saving my school
dinner money change.

Every single day for eight years,
I had mashed potato and baked beans,

which cost 4p each, and gravy was free.

Every day I would pile up the change
on the top of my money box,

and when that pile reached a pound,
I would drop it in

and cross off one of the 100 squares
I’d drawn on a piece of paper.

Finally, I bought a tiny dinghy.

I spent hours sitting on it in the garden
dreaming of my goal.

I read every book I could on sailing,

and then eventually,
having been told by my school

I wasn’t clever enough to be a vet,

left school age 17 to begin
my apprenticeship in sailing.

So imagine how it felt
just four years later

to be sitting in a boardroom

in front of someone who I knew
could make that dream come true.

I felt like my life
depended on that moment,

and incredibly, he said yes.

And I could barely contain my excitement
as I sat in that first design meeting

designing a boat
on which I was going to sail

solo nonstop around the world.

From that first meeting
to the finish line of the race,

it was everything I’d ever imagined.

Just like in my dreams, there were
amazing parts and tough parts.

We missed an iceberg by 20 feet.

Nine times, I climbed to the top
of her 90-foot mast.

We were blown on our side
in the Southern Ocean.

But the sunsets, the wildlife,
and the remoteness

were absolutely breathtaking.

After three months at sea, age just 24,

I finished in second position.

I’d loved it, so much so
that within six months

I decided to go around the world again,
but this time not in a race:

to try to be the fastest person ever
to sail solo nonstop around the world.

Now for this, I needed a different craft:

bigger, wider, faster, more powerful.

Just to give that boat some scale,
I could climb inside her mast

all the way to the top.

Seventy-five foot long, 60 foot wide.

I affectionately called her Moby.

She was a multihull.

When we built her, no one had ever
made it solo nonstop

around the world in one,
though many had tried,

but whilst we built her, a Frenchman
took a boat 25 percent bigger than her

and not only did he make it,
but he took the record from 93 days

right down to 72.

The bar was now much, much higher.

And these boats were exciting to sail.

This was a training sail
off the French coast.

This I know well because I was one
of the five crew members on board.

Five seconds is all it took
from everything being fine

to our world going black
as the windows were thrust underwater,

and that five seconds goes quickly.

Just see how far below
those guys the sea is.

Imagine that alone
in the Southern Ocean

plunged into icy water,
thousands of miles away from land.

It was Christmas Day.

I was forging into the Southern Ocean
underneath Australia.

The conditions were horrendous.

I was approaching a part in the ocean

which was 2,000 miles away
from the nearest town.

The nearest land was Antarctica,
and the nearest people

would be those manning
the European Space Station above me.

(Laughter)

You really are in the middle of nowhere.

If you need help,

and you’re still alive,

it takes four days
for a ship to get to you

and then four days for that ship
to get you back to port.

No helicopter can reach you out there,

and no plane can land.

We are forging ahead of a huge storm.

Within it, there was 80 knots of wind,

which was far too much wind
for the boat and I to cope with.

The waves were already 40 to 50 feet high,

and the spray from the breaking crests

was blown horizontally
like snow in a blizzard.

If we didn’t sail fast enough,
we’d be engulfed by that storm,

and either capsized or smashed to pieces.

We were quite literally
hanging on for our lives

and doing so on a knife edge.

The speed I so desperately needed
brought with it danger.

We all know what it’s like driving a car
20 miles an hour, 30, 40.

It’s not too stressful.
We can concentrate.

We can turn on the radio.

Take that 50, 60, 70, accelerate through
to 80, 90, 100 miles an hour.

Now you have white knuckles
and you’re gripping the steering wheel.

Now take that car off road at night

and remove the windscreen wipers,
the windscreen,

the headlights and the brakes.

That’s what it’s like
in the Southern Ocean.

(Laughter) (Applause)

You could imagine

it would be quite difficult
to sleep in that situation,

even as a passenger.

But you’re not a passenger.

You’re alone on a boat
you can barely stand up in,

and you have to make
every single decision on board.

I was absolutely exhausted,
physically and mentally.

Eight sail changes in 12 hours.

The mainsail weighed
three times my body weight,

and after each change,

I would collapse on the floor
soaked with sweat

with this freezing Southern Ocean air
burning the back of my throat.

But out there, those lowest of the lows

are so often contrasted
with the highest of the highs.

A few days later, we came out
of the back of the low.

Against all odds, we’d been able
to drive ahead of the record

within that depression.

The sky cleared, the rain stopped,

and our heartbeat, the monstrous
seas around us were transformed

into the most beautiful moonlit mountains.

It’s hard to explain, but you enter
a different mode when you head out there.

Your boat is your entire world,

and what you take with you
when you leave is all you have.

If I said to you all now,
“Go off into Vancouver

and find everything you will need for
your survival for the next three months,”

that’s quite a task.

That’s food, fuel, clothes,

even toilet roll and toothpaste.

That’s what we do,

and when we leave we manage it

down to the last drop of diesel
and the last packet of food.

No experience in my life

could have given me a better understanding
of the definition of the word “finite.”

What we have out there is all we have.

There is no more.

And never in my life had I ever
translated that definition of finite

that I’d felt on board
to anything outside of sailing

until I stepped off the boat at
the finish line having broken that record.

(Applause)

Suddenly I connected the dots.

Our global economy is no different.

It’s entirely dependent
on finite materials

we only have once
in the history of humanity.

And it was a bit like seeing something
you weren’t expecting under a stone

and having two choices:

I either put that stone to one side

and learn more about it,
or I put that stone back

and I carry on with my dream job
of sailing around the world.

I chose the first.

I put it to one side and I began
a new journey of learning,

speaking to chief executives,
experts, scientists, economists

to try to understand just how
our global economy works.

And my curiosity took me
to some extraordinary places.

This photo was taken in the burner
of a coal-fired power station.

I was fascinated by coal,
fundamental to our global energy needs,

but also very close to my family.

My great-grandfather was a coal miner,

and he spent 50 years
of his life underground.

This is a photo of him,
and when you see that photo,

you see someone from another era.

No one wears trousers
with a waistband quite that high

in this day and age. (Laughter)

But yet, that’s me
with my great-grandfather,

and by the way, they are not
his real ears. (Laughter)

We were close. I remember sitting on
his knee listening to his mining stories.

He talked of the camaraderie underground,

and the fact that the miners used to save
the crusts of their sandwiches

to give to the ponies
they worked with underground.

It was like it was yesterday.

And on my journey of learning,

I went to the World
Coal Association website,

and there in the middle
of the homepage, it said,

“We have about 118 years of coal left.”

And I thought to myself, well,
that’s well outside my lifetime,

and a much greater figure
than the predictions for oil.

But I did the math, and I realized
that my great-grandfather

had been born exactly 118 years
before that year,

and I sat on his knee
until I was 11 years old,

and I realized it’s nothing

in time, nor in history.

And it made me make a decision
I never thought I would make:

to leave the sport
of solo sailing behind me

and focus on the greatest challenge
I’d ever come across:

the future of our global economy.

And I quickly realized it wasn’t
just about energy.

It was also materials.

In 2008, I picked up a scientific study

looking at how many years we have

of valuable materials
to extract from the ground:

copper, 61; tin, zinc, 40; silver, 29.

These figures couldn’t be exact,
but we knew those materials were finite.

We only have them once.

And yet, our speed that we’ve used
these materials has increased rapidly,

exponentially.

With more people in the world
with more stuff,

we’ve effectively seen
100 years of price declines

in those basic commodities
erased in just 10 years.

And this affects all of us.

It’s brought huge volatility in prices,

so much so that in 2011,

your average European car manufacturer

saw a raw material price increase

of 500 million Euros,

wiping away half their operating profits

through something they have
absolutely no control over.

And the more I learned, the more
I started to change my own life.

I started traveling less,
doing less, using less.

It felt like actually doing less
was what we had to do.

But it sat uneasy with me.

It didn’t feel right.

It felt like we were
buying ourselves time.

We were eking things out a bit longer.

Even if everybody changed,
it wouldn’t solve the problem.

It wouldn’t fix the system.

It was vital in the transition,
but what fascinated me was,

in the transition to what?
What could actually work?

It struck me that the system itself,
the framework within which we live,

is fundamentally flawed,

and I realized ultimately

that our operating system,
the way our economy functions,

the way our economy’s been built,
is a system in itself.

At sea, I had to understand
complex systems.

I had to take multiple inputs,

I had to process them,

and I had to understand the system to win.

I had to make sense of it.

And as I looked at our global economy,
I realized it too is that system,

but it’s a system that effectively
can’t run in the long term.

And I realized we’ve been perfecting
what’s effectively a linear economy

for 150 years,

where we take a material
out of the ground,

we make something out of it,
and then ultimately

that product gets thrown away,
and yes, we do recycle some of it,

but more an attempt to get out
what we can at the end,

not by design.

It’s an economy that fundamentally
can’t run in the long term,

and if we know that we
have finite materials,

why would we build an economy
that would effectively use things up,

that would create waste?

Life itself has existed
for billions of years

and has continually adapted
to use materials effectively.

It’s a complex system,
but within it, there is no waste.

Everything is metabolized.

It’s not a linear economy
at all, but circular.

And I felt like the child in the garden.

For the first time on this new journey,
I could see exactly where we were headed.

If we could build an economy that would
use things rather than use them up,

we could build a future that really
could work in the long term.

I was excited.

This was something to work towards.

We knew exactly where we were headed.
We just had to work out how to get there,

and it was exactly with this in mind

that we created the Ellen MacArthur
Foundation in September 2010.

Many schools of thought fed our thinking
and pointed to this model:

industrial symbiosis, performance economy,
sharing economy, biomimicry,

and of course, cradle-to-cradle design.

Materials would be defined
as either technical or biological,

waste would be designed out entirely,

and we would have a system
that could function

absolutely in the long term.

So what could this economy look like?

Maybe we wouldn’t buy light fittings,
but we’d pay for the service of light,

and the manufacturers
would recover the materials

and change the light fittings
when we had more efficient products.

What if packaging was so nontoxic
it could dissolve in water

and we could ultimately drink it?
It would never become waste.

What if engines were re-manufacturable,

and we could recover
the component materials

and significantly reduce energy demand.

What if we could recover components
from circuit boards, reutilize them,

and then fundamentally recover
the materials within them

through a second stage?

What if we could collect
food waste, human waste?

What if we could turn that
into fertilizer, heat, energy,

ultimately reconnecting nutrients systems

and rebuilding natural capital?

And cars – what we want
is to move around.

We don’t need to own
the materials within them.

Could cars become a service

and provide us with
mobility in the future?

All of this sounds amazing, but these
aren’t just ideas, they’re real today,

and these lie at the forefront
of the circular economy.

What lies before us is to expand them
and scale them up.

So how would you shift
from linear to circular?

Well, the team and I at the foundation
thought you might want to work

with the top universities in the world,

with leading businesses within the world,

with the biggest convening
platforms in the world,

and with governments.

We thought you might want
to work with the best analysts

and ask them the question,

“Can the circular economy decouple
growth from resource constraints?

Is the circular economy able
to rebuild natural capital?

Could the circular economy
replace current chemical fertilizer use?”

Yes was the answer to the decoupling,

but also yes, we could replace
current fertilizer use

by a staggering 2.7 times.

But what inspired me most
about the circular economy

was its ability to inspire young people.

When young people see the economy
through a circular lens,

they see brand new opportunities
on exactly the same horizon.

They can use their creativity
and knowledge

to rebuild the entire system,

and it’s there for the taking right now,

and the faster we do this, the better.

So could we achieve this
in their lifetimes?

Is it actually possible?

I believe yes.

When you look at the lifetime of
my great-grandfather, anything’s possible.

When he was born, there were only
25 cars in the world;

they had only just been invented.

When he was 14, we flew
for the first time in history.

Now there are 100,000 charter flights

every single day.

When he was 45, we built
the first computer.

Many said it wouldn’t catch on,
but it did, and just 20 years later

we turned it into a microchip

of which there will be thousands
in this room here today.

Ten years before he died,
we built the first mobile phone.

It wasn’t that mobile, to be fair,

but now it really is,

and as my great-grandfather
left this Earth, the Internet arrived.

Now we can do anything,

but more importantly,

now we have a plan.

Thank you.

(Applause)

当你还是个孩子的时候

,一切皆有可能。

随着我们的成长,挑战常常是坚持下去。

作为一个四岁的孩子,


第一次有机会航行。

我永远不会忘记
我们关闭海岸时的兴奋。

当我登上

小船第一次凝视她的小船舱时
,我永远不会忘记冒险的感觉。

但最令人惊奇
的感觉是自由

的感觉,
当我们扬起她的帆时我感受到的那种感觉。

作为一个四岁的孩子,

这是我能想象到的最大的自由感

我在那里下定决心,然后
有一天,不知何故,

我要去环球航行。

所以我尽我
所能来接近那个梦想。

10 岁时,它可以节省我学校
晚餐的零钱。

八年来的每一天,
我都吃土豆泥和烤豆子,

每人 4 便士,肉汁是免费的。

每天我都会把零钱堆
在我的钱箱顶部

,当那堆钱达到一磅时,
我会把它丢进去,

然后划掉我在一张纸上画的 100 个方格中的
一个。

最后,我买了一条小橡皮艇。

我花了几个小时坐在花园里
梦想着我的目标。

我读了我能读到的所有关于航海的书

,最后,
在我的学校告诉

我不够聪明,不能当一名兽医后,我在

17 岁时离开学校开始了
我的航海学徒生涯。

所以想象一下,
仅仅四年后

,坐在董事会会议室里

,面对一个我知道
可以让这个梦想成真的人是什么感觉。

我觉得我的生命
取决于那一刻,

令人难以置信的是,他说是的。

当我参加第一次设计会议时,我几乎无法抑制自己的兴奋,

设计一
艘船,我将乘坐

这艘船不间断地在世界各地航行。

从第一次见面
到比赛的终点线,

这是我曾经想象过的一切。

就像在我的梦中一样,有
惊人的部分和艰难的部分。

我们错过了 20 英尺的冰山。

我九次爬到
她 90 英尺高的桅杆顶端。

我们在南大洋被吹到了一边

但是日落,野生动物

偏远绝对令人叹为观止。

在海上航行了三个月后,年仅 24 岁的

我获得了第二名。

我非常喜欢它,
以至于在六个月内

我决定再次环游世界,
但这次不是在比赛中:

尝试成为有史以来最快的人
,独自一人不间断地环游世界。

现在为此,我需要一种不同的工艺:

更大、更宽、更快、更强大。

只是为了给那艘船一些规模,
我可以爬进她的桅杆

一直到顶部。

长七十五尺,宽六十尺。

我亲切地称她为莫比。

她是一个多体船。

当我们建造她的时候,没有人能
在世界各地不间断地单打独斗


尽管很多人都尝试过,

但是在我们建造她的时候,一个法国人
驾驶了一艘比她大 25% 的船

,他不仅成功了,
而且他 将记录从 93

天降至

72 天。现在的标准要高得多。

这些船航行起来令人兴奋。

这是
在法国海岸附近的一次训练航行。

我很清楚这一点,因为我是
船上五名船员之一。

从一切都好

到我们的世界
因为窗户被推入水下

而变黑只需要五秒钟,而这五秒钟很快就过去了。

看看
那些人海下面有多远。

想象一下,独自一人
在南大洋

坠入冰冷的水中,
距离陆地数千英里。

那是圣诞节。

我正在进入澳大利亚下方的南大洋

条件是可怕的。

我正在接近距离最近的城镇 2,000 英里的海洋中的一部分

最近的陆地是南极洲
,最近的

人是
我上方欧洲空间站的人员。

(笑声)

你真的在茫茫人海中。

如果您需要帮助,

并且您还活着,

一艘船需要四天时间才能到达您身边

,然后这艘船需要四天时间
才能将您送回港口。

没有直升机可以到达那里,

也没有飞机可以降落。

我们正朝着一场巨大的风暴前进。

里面有 80 节的风速,


对我和船来说太大了,无法应付。

海浪已经有 40 到 50 英尺高

,从破碎的波峰喷出的浪花

像暴风雪中的雪一样被水平吹散。

如果我们航行得不够快,
我们就会被风暴吞没

,要么倾覆,要么被砸成碎片。

我们实际上是
在为我们的生活而死,

并且在刀刃上这样做。

我迫切需要的速度
带来了危险。

我们都知道
以每小时 20 英里、30 英里、40 英里的速度驾驶汽车是什么感觉

。压力不会太大。
我们可以集中注意力。

我们可以打开收音机。

以 50、60、70 的速度加速
到每小时 80、90、100 英里。

现在你有白色的指关节
,你握着方向盘。

现在让那辆车在晚上离开公路

,拆下挡风玻璃雨刷
、挡风玻璃、

前灯和刹车。

这就是它
在南大洋的样子。

(笑声)(掌声)

你可以想象


在那种情况下,

即使作为乘客,也很难入睡。

但你不是乘客。

你一个人在一艘
几乎站不起来的船上,你必须

在船上做出每一个决定。

我完全筋疲力尽,
身体上和精神上。

12 小时内更换 8 次风帆。

主帆的重量是
我体重的三倍

,每次更换后,

我都会
倒在地板上,汗流浃背

,南大洋冰冷的空气
灼烧着我的喉咙。

但在那里,那些最低的低点

经常
与最高的高点形成对比。

几天后,我们
走出了低谷。

尽管困难重重,我们还是能够

在那个萧条时期超越记录。

天放晴了,雨停了

,我们的心跳,
我们周围滔天的大海

变成了最美的月光山。

很难解释,但是
当您前往那里时,您会进入不同的模式。

你的船就是你的整个世界,

你离开时所带的就是你所拥有的。

如果我现在对你们所有人说:
“去温哥华

,找到
未来三个月生存所需的一切”

,那是一项艰巨的任务。

那是食物、燃料、衣服,

甚至是卫生纸和牙膏。

这就是我们所做的

,当我们离开时,我们会管理

到最后一滴柴油
和最后一包食物。

我一生中的任何经历

都无法让我更好地理解
“有限”这个词的定义。

我们所拥有的就是我们所拥有的一切。

没有了。

在我的生活中,我从来没有
将我在船上感受到的有限的定义翻译

成航行之外的任何东西,

直到我在终点线下船
并打破了该记录。

(掌声)

突然间我把这些点连起来了。

我们的全球经济也不例外。

它完全依赖

我们
在人类历史上只有一次的有限材料。

这有点像
在一块石头下看到你没想到的东西

,有两个选择:

我要么把石头放在一边

,了解更多关于它的信息,
或者我把石头放回去

,继续我梦想的
工作 环游世界。

我选择了第一个。

我把它放在一边,开始
了新的学习之旅,

与首席执行官、
专家、科学家、经济学家

交谈,试图了解
我们的全球经济是如何运作的。

我的好奇心把我
带到了一些非凡的地方。

这张照片是在燃煤发电站的燃烧器中拍摄的

我对煤炭很着迷,煤炭
是我们全球能源需求的基础,

但也与我的家人非常亲近。

我的曾祖父是一名煤矿工人

,他在
地下生活了 50 年。

这是他的照片
,当你看到那张照片时,

你会看到另一个时代的人。 在这个时代,

没有人会
穿腰带这么高的裤子

。 (笑声)

但是,那是我
和我的曾祖父

,顺便说一句,他们不是
他真正的耳朵。 (笑声)

我们很亲密。 我记得坐在
他的膝盖上听他的采矿故事。

他谈到了地下的友情,

以及矿工们过去常常把
三明治的外壳

留给
他们在地下工作的小马的事实。

就像昨天一样。

在我的学习过程中,

我去了世界
煤炭协会的网站,

在主页的中间,上面写着:

“我们还有大约 118 年的煤炭资源。”

我心想,嗯,
这远远超出了我的一生,

而且
比石油的预测要大得多。

但我算了算,我
发现我的曾祖父

正好在那年出生 118 岁

,我坐在他的膝盖上
直到我 11 岁

,我意识到这

不是时间,也不是历史。

这让我做出了一个
我从未想过会做出的决定:


单人航行抛在脑后

,专注于
我遇到过的最大挑战:

我们全球经济的未来。

我很快意识到这
不仅仅是关于能源。

这也是材料。

2008 年,我进行了一项科学研究,研究

我们有多少年可以

从地下提取有价值的材料:

铜,61; 锡,锌,40; 银,29。

这些数字并不准确,
但我们知道这些材料是有限的。

我们只有一次。

然而,我们使用
这些材料的速度却以

指数级的速度迅速增长。

随着世界上越来越多的人
拥有更多的东西,

我们实际上已经看到这些基本商品的
100 年价格下跌

在短短 10 年内就消失了。

这影响到我们所有人。

它带来了巨大的价格波动,

以至于在 2011 年,

欧洲汽车制造商的平均

原材料价格上涨

了 5 亿欧元,通过他们完全无法控制的事情

抹去了他们一半的营业利润

我学得越多,我就越
开始改变自己的生活。

我开始少旅行,少
做事,少用。

感觉实际上少做
是我们必须做的。

但它让我感到不安。

感觉不对劲。

感觉就像我们在为
自己争取时间。

我们把事情搞得更久了。

即使每个人都改变了,
也解决不了问题。

它不会修复系统。

这在过渡中至关重要,
但让我着迷的是

,过渡到什么?
什么实际上可以工作?

令我震惊的是,系统本身
,我们赖以生存的框架,

从根本上是有缺陷的

,我最终

意识到我们的操作系统
,我们的经济

运作方式,我们的经济建设方式,
本身就是一个系统。

在海上,我必须了解
复杂的系统。

我必须接受多个输入,

我必须处理它们

,我必须了解系统才能获胜。

我必须理解它。

当我审视我们的全球经济时,
我意识到它也是那个

系统,但它是一个实际上
无法长期运行的系统。

我意识到我们已经完善
了 150 年来有效的线性经济

,我们从地里取出一种材料

我们用它制造一些东西,
然后最终

该产品被扔掉
,是的,我们确实回收了一些 它,

但更多的是试图在最后得到
我们所能做的,

而不是通过设计。

这是一个根本
无法长期运行的经济体

,如果我们知道我们
拥有有限的材料,

我们为什么要建立一个
能够有效地用完东西

、会产生浪费的经济体?

生命本身已经存在
了数十亿年

,并且不断适应
有效地使用材料。

这是一个复杂的系统,
但在其中,没有浪费。

一切都被代谢了。

这根本不是线性
经济,而是循环经济。

我觉得自己就像花园里的孩子。

在这次新的旅程中,我第一次
可以准确地看到我们要去的地方。

如果我们能够建立一个
使用而不是耗尽它们的经济,

我们就可以建立一个真正
可以长期发挥作用的未来。

我很兴奋。

这是需要努力的方向。

我们确切地知道我们要去哪里。
我们只需要弄清楚如何到达那里

,正是考虑到这一点

,我们
在 2010 年 9 月创建了艾伦麦克阿瑟基金会。

许多思想流派为我们提供了思路,
并指出了这个模型:

工业共生、绩效经济、
共享 经济、仿生学

,当然还有从摇篮到摇篮的设计。

材料将被定义
为技术或生物,

废物将被完全设计出来

,我们将拥有一个
可以

绝对长期运行的系统。

那么这个经济会是什么样子呢?

也许我们不会买灯具,
但我们会为灯具的服务付费,当我们有更高效的产品时

,制造商会
回收材料

并更换灯具

如果包装是如此无毒以至于
可以溶解在水中

并且我们最终可以饮用呢?
它永远不会成为浪费。

如果发动机是可再制造的

,我们可以
回收部件材料

并显着降低能源需求。

如果我们可以
从电路板上回收组件,再利用它们,

然后通过第二阶段从根本上回收
其中的材料

呢?

如果我们可以收集
食物垃圾,人类垃圾怎么办?

如果我们可以将其
转化为肥料、热量、能源,

最终重新连接营养系统

并重建自然资本会怎样?

还有汽车——我们想要的
是四处走动。

我们不需要拥有
其中的材料。

汽车能否成为一种服务

并在未来为我们提供
移动性?

所有这些听起来都很棒,但
这些不仅仅是想法,它们在今天是真实的,

而且这些都处于循环经济的最前沿

摆在我们面前的是扩大它们
并扩大它们的规模。

那么你将如何
从线性转变为圆形呢?

嗯,基金会的团队和我
认为您可能希望

与世界顶尖大学、

世界领先企业、世界

上最大的召集
平台

以及政府合作。

我们认为您可能
想与最优秀的分析师合作

并问他们一个问题,

“循环经济能否将
增长与资源约束脱钩

?循环经济
能否重建自然资本?

循环经济能否
取代当前的化肥使用?”

是的,这是脱钩的

答案,但也是的,我们可以将
当前的化肥使用

量替代惊人的 2.7 倍。

但循环经济给我最大的启发

是它能够激励年轻人。

当年轻人
通过圆形镜头看待经济时,

他们会
在完全相同的视野中看到全新的机遇。

他们可以利用他们的创造力
和知识

来重建整个系统

,它现在就在那里

,我们越快越好。

那么我们能
在他们的有生之年实现这一目标吗?

真的有可能吗?

我相信是的。

看看
我曾祖父的一生,一切皆有可能。

他出生时,世界上只有
25辆汽车;

它们才刚刚被发明出来。

在他 14 岁的时候,我们
进行了历史上的第一次飞行。

现在每天有 100,000 架包机航班

在他 45 岁时,我们制造
了第一台计算机。

许多人说它不会流行,
但它确实流行起来了,仅仅 20 年后,

我们把它变成了一个微

芯片,
今天这个房间里将有数千个。

在他去世前十年,
我们制造了第一部手机。

公平地说,它不是那么移动,

但现在确实如此

,当我的曾祖父
离开这个地球时,互联网就来了。

现在我们可以做任何事情,

但更重要的是,

现在我们有了一个计划。

谢谢你。

(掌声)